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Comment by cody-bryce on Irrationality Quotes August 2016 · 2016-08-24T14:54:03.660Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

Quite possibly.

The epidemiological studies, as I understand it, make the association between claims of flossing and improved tooth health unambiguously exist (though not huge). HHS didn't analyse them and find them too week, exactly; they simply want controlled studies for this purpose (for good reason, of course). Nonetheless, everything we know makes it sound like flossing is at least a little effective.

Whether the effect justifies spending minutes every week, who knows.

Comment by cody-bryce on Irrationality Quotes August 2016 · 2016-08-23T15:12:40.927Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

For what it's worth, the situation isn't really that we've established that it isn't clear flossing helps, it's that we haven't established with the kind of evidence HHS requires that flossing helps. Those sorts of studies are hard to do reliably with things like flossing.

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes Thread September 2015 · 2015-09-20T01:28:02.330Z · score: 2 (4 votes) · LW · GW

"Fortune favors the prepared mind." -Louis Pasteur

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes Thread August 2015 · 2015-08-09T10:32:44.129Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW
  1. GP clearly thinks so to, which is why they presented the question, clearly trying to accuse GGP of a similar equivocation.

  2. Your actual claim is ridiculous. It is most certainly not the case that believing in God can only connect to Stage One morality. Even in the face of a punishing god, this wouldn't be true, but not all gods are punishing anyway, making it even more off.

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes August 2014 · 2014-09-07T04:36:43.259Z · score: 3 (3 votes) · LW · GW

Convincing people to offer others programming help on the internet isn't a special accomplishment of SO. From usenet to modern mailing lists to forums to IRC, there are tons and tons of thriving venues for it. The gamification might have helped SO's popularity some, but taking time out of their busy lives to answer others' questions was alive and well.

SO is a dangerous trash heap. It doesn't encourage helping people make good programs; it answers extremely literal questions. Speed of post is important. Style of post is important. Blatantly wrong answers are upvoted by people who don't know what they're looking at when they are early, indicating that vote count isn't telling ever. Doing anything but answering a question completely literally is treated with extreme hostility. These sorts of things have gotten worse with time.

The community relations are bizarre. Active members of the community buy into cheap salesman lines by the owners that are meant to favor the owners. The idea that the community can direct itself is thrown around as if it wasn't blatantly untrue.

Yes, an incredible people jump at the chance to help strangers. SO didn't invent that, they're just one of the more popular current hosts to these people. It's distasteful to act like it started by wondering if such people exist.

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes December 2013 · 2013-12-18T12:39:42.379Z · score: 3 (3 votes) · LW · GW

Cool comic, though a repeat http://lesswrong.com/lw/2o3/rationality_quotes_september_2010/2juu

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes August 2013 · 2013-08-04T03:13:51.708Z · score: 8 (10 votes) · LW · GW

"Because the dollar is dirty" is one of those pained, stretched explanations people come up with to explain why they do what they do, not the actual reason (even in some small part) the bookmark was invented and became popular.

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes August 2013 · 2013-08-03T16:51:23.911Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

But you don't have to be perfect to be the right person in a team, and you don't have to be "the" right person to be an asset to a team.

Who said anything about being perfect?

And if you're an asset, you sound prettymuch like the right person to me.

Maybe. I don't have any actual sources, so I could be totally wrong. Still, I'm not sure I like the focus on "being" rather than doing things.

To me the clause "be the right person" sounds very much active/action-based.

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes August 2013 · 2013-08-03T16:47:47.436Z · score: 3 (7 votes) · LW · GW

It would seem that most of the responders are hopelessly literal....

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes August 2013 · 2013-08-03T16:44:05.023Z · score: 2 (2 votes) · LW · GW

I assume the original intent of the quote was about romantic partners, where it means, "Instead of searching so hard, make sure to prioritize being awesome for its own sake."

I was trying to repurpose it to express that action is better than preparing for something to fall into place more generally, and I think it's appealed to people.

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes August 2013 · 2013-08-03T04:49:14.457Z · score: -3 (5 votes) · LW · GW

.

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes August 2013 · 2013-08-03T04:48:51.265Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

A somewhat similar sentiment: http://lesswrong.com/lw/2o3/rationality_quotes_september_2010/2kol

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes August 2013 · 2013-08-03T04:42:23.177Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

You still have to be the right person to be the right person in a team....?

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes: January 2011 · 2013-08-03T00:32:10.185Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

This is both insightful and highly quotable.

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes August 2013 · 2013-08-03T00:17:26.686Z · score: 7 (7 votes) · LW · GW

I'm afraid I don't know what that stands for.

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes August 2013 · 2013-08-02T22:31:02.630Z · score: 7 (13 votes) · LW · GW

There are no happy endings. Endings are the saddest part, So just give me a happy middle And a very happy start.

-Shel Silverstein

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes August 2013 · 2013-08-02T22:30:27.813Z · score: 25 (43 votes) · LW · GW

If Tetris has taught me anything it's that errors pile up and accomplishments disappear.

-Unknown

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes August 2013 · 2013-08-02T22:29:32.926Z · score: 7 (25 votes) · LW · GW

Why spend a dollar on a bookmark? ... Why not use the dollar as a bookmark?

-Steven Spielberg

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes August 2013 · 2013-08-02T22:29:11.591Z · score: 24 (28 votes) · LW · GW

Far too many people are looking for the right person, instead of trying to be the right person.

-Gloria Steinem

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes August 2013 · 2013-08-02T22:28:23.775Z · score: 11 (17 votes) · LW · GW

I just think it's good to be confident. If I'm not on my team why should anybody else be?

-Robert Downey Jr.

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes June 2012 · 2013-07-30T01:46:54.625Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

If Sagan had actually looked for it happening in politics and religion, he'd have found plenty of examples. Especially in the latter.

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes June 2012 · 2013-07-30T00:42:20.944Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

Inspiring, but not true.

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes July 2013 · 2013-07-29T01:08:06.053Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

Can you explain why you wanted to post this?

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes July 2013 · 2013-07-22T01:47:23.160Z · score: 2 (10 votes) · LW · GW

Every book is a children's book if the kid can read

Mitch Hedberg

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes July 2013 · 2013-07-12T14:57:16.199Z · score: 12 (14 votes) · LW · GW

When we roll our eyes at business school grads, it isn't because we don't believe in measuring anything. It's the same eyeroll that the 10 O'Clock news gets when they report the newest study linking molasses and cancer, which has nothing to do with my lack of belief in studies about cancer.

Comment by cody-bryce on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 22, chapter 93 · 2013-07-09T18:26:35.628Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Doesn't seem all that silly to me.

But if it is silly, then Harry just found out Dumbledore is humoring him.

Comment by cody-bryce on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 23, chapter 94 · 2013-07-08T20:11:22.248Z · score: 4 (4 votes) · LW · GW

If not Hermoine, the only possible person to have died was McGonagall.

That being said, Hermoine's dead. No tricks.

Comment by cody-bryce on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 23, chapter 94 · 2013-07-08T20:07:18.048Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

.

Comment by cody-bryce on The AI in a box boxes you · 2013-07-08T16:48:17.902Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Mr. AI, what sort of person do you think I am? Don't you mean "eight billion copies"?

Comment by cody-bryce on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 22, chapter 93 · 2013-07-07T15:08:22.396Z · score: 3 (13 votes) · LW · GW

That's ridiculous.

That only serves to shut down discussion. Not only are analysis based on only part of the work fundamentally valid, they are exceedingly popular at the moment, and they are being participated in by the author. Besides...as Akin's 9th law of spacecraft design states, "Not having all the information you need is never a satisfactory excuse for not starting the analysis."

Comment by cody-bryce on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 22, chapter 93 · 2013-07-07T15:04:37.188Z · score: 2 (2 votes) · LW · GW

In fact, he said that it was the one character he had a choice with...

Comment by cody-bryce on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 22, chapter 93 · 2013-07-06T15:25:52.640Z · score: 3 (9 votes) · LW · GW

EY seems to believe that Chapter 93 is going to be some kind of slam-dunk answer to critics

My thoughts exactly. When I read the chapter, I really didn't see why EY was so damn proud about it in that regard.

Comment by cody-bryce on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 22, chapter 93 · 2013-07-06T15:24:12.035Z · score: 10 (10 votes) · LW · GW

Draco is not only a girl, she was removed before being at Hogwarts 9 months, what with the baby almost here.

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes July 2013 · 2013-07-03T02:56:14.843Z · score: 5 (5 votes) · LW · GW

If posting things said on lesswrong or OB or from HPMOR aren't in scope, it seems a little odd things said in HPMOR discussion on a forum run by you that doesn't happen to be those two is.

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes July 2013 · 2013-07-03T02:50:10.801Z · score: 2 (4 votes) · LW · GW

There's a saying about India, "Whatever you can rightly say about India, the opposite is also true."

Comment by cody-bryce on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 20, chapter 90 · 2013-07-02T23:50:24.852Z · score: -7 (13 votes) · LW · GW

The method of resurrection should be 'no resurrection' or I'll have to stop recommending HPMOR.

Comment by cody-bryce on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 20, chapter 90 · 2013-07-02T23:49:34.292Z · score: 6 (8 votes) · LW · GW

They gave a respectful nod because they are smartasses.

Comment by cody-bryce on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 19, chapter 88-89 · 2013-07-02T23:03:27.231Z · score: 0 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Dear Lord, I hope EY is a better writer than that.

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes July 2013 · 2013-07-02T21:09:38.812Z · score: 2 (12 votes) · LW · GW

Correct.

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes July 2013 · 2013-07-02T18:17:44.169Z · score: 25 (25 votes) · LW · GW

Truth would quickly cease to be stranger than fiction, once we got as used to it.

H.L. Mencken

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes June 2013 · 2013-06-17T02:43:17.399Z · score: 2 (6 votes) · LW · GW

You may have missed the idea of a quote here.

Comment by cody-bryce on Do Earths with slower economic growth have a better chance at FAI? · 2013-06-14T20:29:49.636Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

Although it's still a point worth making that those technologies were adopted, they were not innovations--they were eastern inventions from antiquity that were adopted.

Stirrups in particular are a fascinating tale of progress not being a sure thing. The stirrup predates not only the fall of Rome, but the founding of Rome. Despite constant trade with the Parthians/Sassanids as well as constantly getting killed by their cavalry, the Romans never saw fit to adopt such a useful technology. Like the steam engine, we see that technological adoption isn't so inevitable.

Comment by cody-bryce on Do Earths with slower economic growth have a better chance at FAI? · 2013-06-13T02:34:02.707Z · score: 2 (4 votes) · LW · GW

Why do you find the idea of having the level of technology from the Roman empire to be so extreme? It seems like the explosion in technological development and use in recent centuries could be the fluke. There was supposedly a working steam engine in the Library of Alexandria in antiquity, but no one saw any reason to encourage that sort of thing. During the middle ages people didn't even know what the Roman aqueducts were for. With just a few different conditions, it seems like it's within the realm of possibility that ancient Roman technology could have been a nearly-sustainable peak of human technology.

Much more feasible would be staying foragers for the life of the species, though.

Comment by cody-bryce on Applied art of rationality: Richard Feynman steelmanning his mother's concerns · 2013-06-04T18:08:47.447Z · score: 14 (14 votes) · LW · GW

I need to start signing letters to my mom "Cody Bryce, Ph.D"

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes June 2013 · 2013-06-03T17:56:40.185Z · score: 12 (12 votes) · LW · GW

Not having all the information you need is never a satisfactory excuse for not starting the analysis.

-Akin's Laws of Spacecraft Design

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes June 2013 · 2013-06-03T17:53:36.863Z · score: -1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

One needs the right balance between conversation and action, and overall, it's probably too much of the latter and too little of the former in this world.

Comment by cody-bryce on Be a little bit more trusting than most people think sensible · 2013-05-26T15:17:42.755Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

A while back here a few people revealed they were Mr Money Mustache fans. One of the more intriguing blog posts of his I read touches on this topic

http://www.mrmoneymustache.com/2012/06/11/get-rich-with-trust/

Comment by cody-bryce on Preparing for a Rational Financial Planning Sequence · 2013-05-23T11:56:09.708Z · score: 1 (1 votes) · LW · GW

65-year old you will not want to live like a grad student

Great food for thought. My rather wealthy grandparents were much more frugal than most of today's twentysomethings.

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes May 2012 · 2013-05-22T13:53:39.903Z · score: 2 (2 votes) · LW · GW

That's only true if you prefer ports reached sooner or ports on this side of the ocean.

Comment by cody-bryce on Rationality Quotes May 2012 · 2013-05-20T20:42:06.439Z · score: 0 (0 votes) · LW · GW

I don't see how this criticism applies to the original quote.

(And yes, the Cheshire Cat's entire schtick is being difficult.)