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Comment by jhahn on AI Forecasting: One Year In · 2022-07-05T17:45:11.873Z · LW · GW

Well, I know at least one assistant professor who couldn't win gold at the IMO. However, I would be extremely surprised if AI were able to supplant me before winning IMO gold.

Comment by jhahn on AI Forecasting: One Year In · 2022-07-04T13:22:54.249Z · LW · GW

For selfish reasons I hope that the mathematics profession lasts at least another decade. I was surprised to see that the timeline for an IMO gold medal here

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6728/ai-wins-imo-gold-medal/

did not shift very much, and am unsure if how little that moved has to do with how few users make predictions on that website. It would do me a great deal of practical and psychological good to see more accurate predictions about progress in mathematics in particular in the future, so I hope you can achieve that. Thank you and your group for producing the MATH dataset.