Evaluating “What 2026 Looks Like” So Far 2025-02-24T18:55:27.373Z

Whose track record of AI predictions would you like to see evaluated? 2025-01-29T12:05:30.311Z

Concrete benefits of making predictions 2024-10-17T14:23:17.613Z

Comment by Jonny Spicer (jonnyspicer) on Whose track record of AI predictions would you like to see evaluated? · 2025-02-25T09:26:46.731Z · LW · GW

That's good to know - transcripts from Dwarkesh's podcast are one of the things I'd be most excited about evaluating too and agreed the one with Leopold seems like a great one to start with.

Comment by Jonny Spicer (jonnyspicer) on OpenAI’s cybersecurity is probably regulated by NIS Regulations · 2024-10-25T12:03:17.517Z · LW · GW

Provide an online search engine, an online marketplace, and a cloud computing service;

Should this be "Provide an online search engine, an online marketplace, or a cloud computing service;"? 

Comment by Jonny Spicer (jonnyspicer) on Concrete benefits of making predictions · 2024-10-18T13:16:08.458Z · LW · GW

I think in many cases this is a feature rather than a bug, I'd be curious as to whether you had an example of a time when having made the prediction would be deleterious to realising the desired outcome? Assuming as Adam says that you're more interested in the outcome than the prediction being accurate.

Comment by Jonny Spicer (jonnyspicer) on Rashomon - A newsbetting site · 2024-10-17T10:11:12.570Z · LW · GW

This is a cool idea, good work putting the site together! I noticed some of the articles reference their publisher e.g. the one about Olivia Nuzzi includes "support HuffPost", maybe there's some way you could scrub these?