Comment by Kieran Farr (kieran-farr) on A Gentle Introduction to Risk Frameworks Beyond Forecasting · 2024-04-15T15:37:35.973Z · LW · GW

Thanks author for this amazing piece, especially bibliography to followup up on some of the direct sources. While I had been introduced to Normal Accident Theory a decade ago, I wasn't familiar with the HEVCR model and it definitely opens up new -- and very practical -- doors to thinking about existential risk in the context of AI.

If use the HEVCR what are the actual "exposure" and "vulnerability" issues for humanity? At least, I would assert that the exposure and vulnerability will vary widely between individuals and population groups. That is a stunning insight that in and of itself deserves future work.

Comment by Kieran Farr (kieran-farr) on Are we so good to simulate? · 2024-03-04T07:23:31.350Z · LW · GW

Maybe it's even worse and we're just ms dos. Nobody bothers to emulate us except for the fun games