Posts

Berlin – ACX Meetups Everywhere Spring 2024 2024-03-30T11:19:31.308Z
A New Paradigm For Emotional Work And Mental Health 2023-12-01T22:32:46.321Z
AI Risk Scenario Roleplay 2023-11-07T14:36:12.888Z
Berlin AI Alignment Open Meetup October 2023 2023-10-02T15:23:15.297Z
Berlin, Germany – ACX Meetups Everywhere Fall 2023 2023-08-25T23:27:07.530Z
Postmortem: Trying out for Manifold Markets 2022-09-08T17:54:09.890Z

Comments

Comment by Milli | Martin (Milli) on 2023 Unofficial LessWrong Census/Survey · 2023-12-23T10:20:32.635Z · LW · GW

Long survey is long.

Comment by Milli | Martin (Milli) on How did you integrate voice-to-text AI into your workflow? · 2023-11-20T14:02:45.308Z · LW · GW

ChatGPT is using Whisper for speech to text, which is open source and available through OpenAIs APIs.

I personally tried to use more text to speech on my phone, but was annoyed by it and went back to typing.

I've heard Whisper is a definite step-up, especially when mixing English and German.

https://openai.com/research/whisper
https://github.com/openai/whisper
https://platform.openai.com/docs/models/whisper

€: This used to say text to speech.

Comment by Milli | Martin (Milli) on Berlin, Germany – ACX Meetups Everywhere Fall 2023 · 2023-09-17T13:21:41.229Z · LW · GW

Hey everyone, I'm amazed with how many people showed up and the atmosphere. I hope you had fun and interesting conversations as well. If you want to be connected to the Berlin Rationality or EA communities, just contact me! Contact: acx-meetups@martinmilbradt.de, t.me/truemilli or @Milli | Martin.

PS.: "My" monthly workshop is happening tomorrow evening, happy to have you: The Art of Difficult Conversations - Workshop.

Comment by Milli | Martin (Milli) on Berlin, Germany – ACX Meetups Everywhere Fall 2023 · 2023-09-14T13:30:09.219Z · LW · GW

Quick heads up: Most of the RSVPs are on Meetup.com (26 atm).

Comment by Milli | Martin (Milli) on Open Thread: June 2023 (Inline Reacts!) · 2023-06-09T13:28:08.787Z · LW · GW

EA Germany has an "Employer of Record" program. Your funding gets put into their account, and they pay your salary from it, formally becoming your employer.

This is probably what you want to google or mention to an organization in the UK. :)

Details (EAD): https://docs.google.com/document/d/1EePELRNTrZGHgeJa3oeRdF_rDsN7LesYppQah_zE7g4

Comment by Milli on [deleted post] 2023-06-09T08:00:45.337Z

Be wary of survivorship bias! Of course, everything that is licensed and proven to work was not at some point. But so is everything that was tried out and ineffective / harmful, and (hopefully) still not licensed.

But things that work, accumulate evidence that they do, and good chances get licensed. That's the way science works.

I don't blame anyone for trying things out, in fact we need people who do to figure out what actually works. But it's also perfectly reasonable not to want to do that.

Comment by Milli | Martin (Milli) on Open & Welcome Thread - May 2023 · 2023-05-15T18:45:39.260Z · LW · GW

PSA: If you're like me, you want to subscribe to the Open Threads Tag, to not miss these: https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/open-threads

Comment by Milli | Martin (Milli) on Advice for interacting with busy people · 2023-05-04T14:18:06.060Z · LW · GW

Useful to keep in mind, especially the point of getting an introduction to the next person.

But I want to point out that it's also easy to undershoot. Many people hesitate to ask questions or contact new people. It makes me sad when people waste hours on something that I can answer / fix in minutes.

Another thing is to keep time spent / saved in mind. A well crafted message, that's easy to understand and only requires a short answer, is much harder to write than going back and forth a few times.

If you spend 100x the time you save the other person, it's probably not worth it in most non-Paul-Christiano-cases.

Comment by Milli | Martin (Milli) on The Parable of the King and the Random Process · 2023-04-13T10:36:32.927Z · LW · GW

Thanks for the post, it's useful to be reminded of every now and then. The first time I thought about it was when thinking about the statement by doctors that "somebodies life expectancy is 6 months". This also actually means that there is a high chance to die very soon, but if that doesn't happen they'll probably live on for many years.

Planning as if they would live for +/- 6 months is useless in that case.

Comment by Milli | Martin (Milli) on Open & Welcome Thread — February 2023 · 2023-02-16T08:28:11.262Z · LW · GW

Here's a form to give the Lightcone team anonymous feedback about this decision (or anything).

The link seems to be missing.

Also: Looking forward to the postmortem.

Comment by Milli | Martin (Milli) on Open & Welcome Thread — February 2023 · 2023-02-16T08:23:52.409Z · LW · GW

LessWrong open thread, I love it. I hope they become as lively as the ACX Open Threads (if they have the same intention).

I'm reading the sequences this year (1/day, motivated by this post) and am enjoying it so far. Lmk if I'm wasting my time by not "just" reading the highlights.

PS: In case you or someone you know is looking for a software engineer, here's my profile: https://cv.martinmilbradt.de/. Preferably freelance, but I'm open to employment if the project is impactful or innovative.

Comment by Milli | Martin (Milli) on [Crosspost] ACX 2022 Prediction Contest Results · 2023-01-24T08:45:38.752Z · LW · GW

Dang I seem to have not participated.

Can you give the percentiles for people with >130, 140 and 160 IQ (self reported) to determine that the 150 IQ cutoff is not cherry-picked? Does it work like that?

Comment by Milli | Martin (Milli) on Is ChatGPT rigth when advising to brush the tongue when brushing teeth? · 2022-12-02T16:52:52.543Z · LW · GW

I'm doing it for years already but have not done analysis. My dentist empathized also brushing my gums. GPT has arguments in favor of that when prompted directly.

Has GPT suggested anything unexpected yet?

Comment by Milli | Martin (Milli) on What videos should Rational Animations make? · 2022-11-26T21:20:31.874Z · LW · GW

I don't know how to make Meditations on Moloch into a video. But it has shaped me deeply and I feel it contains a lot of important lessons that could make or break the future.

Closing paragraph:

He always and everywhere offers the same deal: throw what you love most into the flames, and I can grant you power.
As long as the offer’s open, it will be irresistible. So we need to close the offer. Only another god can kill Moloch. We have one on our side, but he needs our help. We should give it to him.
Ginsberg’s poem famously begins “I saw the best minds of my generation destroyed by madness”. I am luckier than Ginsberg. I got to see the best minds of my generation identify a problem and get to work.

Comment by Milli | Martin (Milli) on [Book Review] "Station Eleven" by Emily St. John Mandel · 2022-11-08T09:25:33.244Z · LW · GW

Thank you for short and sweet the review.

But all the personal connections of the characters before the apocalypse were transient and superficial. Their relationships after the apocalypse aren't.

I wonder how to get that feeling of deep connectedness (I assume) people in small communities and tribes had in the past. An additional challenge is that it might cause people to care even less about people not in their group.

The close knit group that sticks together through thick and thin is a fantasy of mine that hopefully can be achieved without catastrophe.

Comment by Milli | Martin (Milli) on How to Take Over the Universe (in Three Easy Steps) · 2022-10-18T17:08:19.043Z · LW · GW

Great video.

Minor complaint: Is there no way to fix numeric mistakes in post production? Sounds to me like a problem modern sound editing software should be able to fix.

Comment by Milli | Martin (Milli) on The LessWrong 2018 Book is Available for Pre-order · 2022-09-28T19:05:30.848Z · LW · GW

Here are the links to the articles from the books. Let me know if there are any mistakes.

A Sketch of Good CommunicationBen Pace
BabbleAlkjash
Local Validity as a Key to Sanity and CivilizationEliezer Yudkowsky
The Loudest Alarm is Probably FalsePatrick LaVictoire
Varieties of Argumentative ExperienceScott Alexander
More BabbleAlkjash
Naming the NamelessSarah Constantin
Toolbox-thinking and Law-thinkingEliezer Yudkowsky
PruneAlkjash
Toward a New Technical Explanation of Technical ExplanationAbram Demski
Noticing the Taste of LotusMichael 'Valentine' Smith
The Tails Coming Apart As Metaphor For LifeScott Alexander
Meta-Honesty: Firming up Honesty Around its Edge-CasesEliezer Yudkowsky
Explaining Insight Meditation and Enlightenment in Non-Mysterious TermsKaj Sotala
Being a Robust AgentRaymond Arnold
Anti-social PunishmentMartin Sustrik
The Costly Coordination Mechanism of Common KnowledgeBen Pace
Unrolling Social Metacognition: Three Levels of Meta are not EnoughAndrew Critch
The Intelligent Social WebMichael 'Valentine' Smith
Prediction Markets: When Do They Work?Zvi Mowshowitz
Spaghetti TowersGeorgia Ray
On the Loss and Preservation of KnowledgeSamo Burja
A Voting Theory PrimerJameson Quinn
The Pavlov StrategySarah Constantin
Inadequate Equilibria vs Governance of the CommonsMartin Sustrik
Is Science Slowing Down?Scott Alexander
What Motivated Rescuers during the Holocaust?Martin Sustrik
Is There an Untrollable Mathematician?Abram Demski
Why Did Everything Take So Long?Katja Grace
Is Clickbait Destroying Our General Intelligence?Eliezer Yudkowsky
What Makes People Intellectually Active?Abram Demski
Are Minimal Circuits Daemon-Free?Paul Christiano
Is There Something Beyond Astronomical Waste?Wei Dai
Do Birth Order Effects Exist?Eli Tyre, Bucky, Raymond Arnold
Hyperbolic GrowthPaul Christiano
Specification Gaming Examples in AIVictoria Krakovna
Takeoff SpeedsPaul Christiano
The Rocket Alignment ProblemEliezer Yudkowsky
Embedded AgentsAbram Demski, Scott Garrabrant
FAQ about Iterated AmplificationAlex Zhu
Challenges to Christiano's Iterated Amplification ProposalEliezer Yudkowsky
Response to FAQ on Iterated AmplificationEliezer Yudkowsky
Robustness to ScaleScott Garrabrant
Coherence Arguments Do Not Imply Goal-Directed BehaviorRohin Shah

Notes:

I didn't find "Do Birth Order Effects Exist?", "Challenges to Christiano's Iterated Amplification Proposal" seems to be only on intelligence.org and "Response to FAQ on Iterated Amplification" seems to be a comment and not a post of it's own.

Comment by Milli | Martin (Milli) on Checksum Sensor Alignment · 2022-07-11T11:56:41.981Z · LW · GW

Very nice solution.

You a word here:

Either the AGI has the camera or the AGI has hacked your other nine sensors.

Comment by Milli | Martin (Milli) on [Closed] Hiring a mathematician to work on the learning-theoretic AI alignment agenda · 2022-05-13T19:40:23.833Z · LW · GW

Application form is closed. Can this be marked in the title?

Comment by Milli | Martin (Milli) on A Brief Theology of D&D · 2022-04-04T22:03:14.748Z · LW · GW

Pharasma is from Pathfinder and not D&D, isn't she?

Comment by Milli | Martin (Milli) on The Jordan Peterson vs Sam Harris Debate · 2022-04-04T21:50:57.427Z · LW · GW

I don't think religion keeps is what modern people from learning physics

Should this be "I don't think religion is what keeps modern people from learning physics" or am I missing something?

Comment by Milli | Martin (Milli) on Luna Lovegood and the Fidelius Curse - Part 12 · 2022-04-02T11:50:23.642Z · LW · GW

Can you tag this/the series as finished somehow? I like to read stories when they are concluded and didn't realize I could read this yet!

Comment by Milli | Martin (Milli) on April 2022 Welcome & Open Thread · 2022-04-02T11:33:45.631Z · LW · GW

Hello all,

I am not new, but I read much more than I comment. I have not written any articles yet.
I've known LessWrong for maybe 10 years, but it didn't captivate me then. When I started reading SSC again at the beginning of the pandemic, I also came back to LessWrong and got captivated this time. I have subscribed to some authors and try to stay up to date on the curated list. I don't have the time/concentration to read everything I want, unfortunately. "The Engines of Cognition" is still lying around here wrapped up.

About me: I'm a Berlin freelance developer in my early 30s. I enjoy reading, educational and entertaining videos, board and PC games (cooperative, singleplayer and occasional competitive multiplayer).

Some stuff on LessWrong that I have enjoyed. Feel free to ask me for more links (on and off LessWrong):
* All of A Map that Reflects the Territory
* Bayeswatch by lsusr
* Theses on Sleep by guzey
* Cryonics signup guide by mingyuan
* Can you control the past by Joe Carlsmith

€: I'm also looking for a project from July onwards. Feel free to message me if you are looking for a developer.

Comment by Milli | Martin (Milli) on The 2021 Less Wrong Darwin Game · 2021-09-27T17:15:01.429Z · LW · GW

There are some occurrences in the git of Ditritus as well and more importantly in the google Form.

Comment by Milli | Martin (Milli) on Pleasure and Pain are Long-Tailed · 2021-09-13T18:58:58.649Z · LW · GW

Interesting article.

An oddity I noticed is that the statistics ranks "Sexual Assault" equal to "Aunt Death". That seems wrong to me and might be due to the (hopefully) low sample size.

The original article doesn't mention the oddity either.

But that got me thinking of where "Sexual Assault" would / should rank in "Painful Experiences". Does anyone have insight into that or can direct me to a post?

Comment by Milli | Martin (Milli) on [Sponsored] Job Hunting in the Modern Economy · 2021-09-04T11:57:19.834Z · LW · GW

I like this post, but I don't know how to feel about faking sponsored posts. That could trick people into reading actual sponsored posts.

Comment by Milli | Martin (Milli) on Framing Practicum: Stable Equilibrium · 2021-08-11T20:17:54.867Z · LW · GW
  1. For any atom not being part of a living organism is a stable equilibrium.
  2. For a spinning top not to spin is a stable equilibrium.
  3. Hair length is a stable equilibrium.