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Comment by nathanwe (nathan-weise) on Natural Latents: The Concepts · 2024-03-21T14:07:54.074Z · LW · GW

In the Alice and Bob example aren't the rules of the game part of the natural latent? Like Carol also needs to remember that neither Alice nor Bob will draw any [color that isn't purple] lines and this information isn't in the green lines.

Comment by nathanwe (nathan-weise) on Boltzmann brain's conditional probability · 2023-12-30T05:47:36.263Z · LW · GW

I think there is a misunderstanding as what counts as an observation. I think your point of view is something like  "Yesterday I experienced a universe consistent with the laws of physics, and the day before that I experienced a universe consistent with the laws of physics and so on. I'm about 30 years old so that's 10,950 observations" to which I ask "If you have all that knowledge, what did you have for dinner 78 days ago? Was it consistent with the laws of physics?" to make the rhetorical point that a boltsman brain does not need to fake any history, it only needs to fake your current memories of history, a much easier task. Boltzman brains are very similar to Last Thursdayism.