LessWrong help desk - free paper downloads and more

I note, by the way, that /r/scholar is also an excellent place to ask for papers. I've seen (and had) requests I thought near-impossible answered within an hour.

Currently outstanding requests:

1. When the only constant is change.

2. NEO Personality Inventory-Revised (NEO-PI-R) and Raven's Advanced Progressive Matrices (APM)

3. The effect of iodine supplementation on cognition of mildly iodine deficient young New Zealand adults.

4. (Found) Ruddick, William. 1980. “Concluding note.” In Philosophers in Medical Centers, edited by William Ruddick, 81–2. New York: Society for Philosophy and Public Affairs. OCLC:7424036

5. (Found) Hooper, Edward. 1999. “The quieting of Louis Pascal.” In The River: A Journey to the Source of HIV and AIDS, 365–74. Boston, MA: Little, Brown and Co. OCLC:39905078

6. (Found) Pascal, Louis. 1986. “Judgement day.” In Applied Ethics, edited by Peter Singer, 105–24. Oxford: Oxford University Press. OCLC:13820779

7. A number of old AI papers

8. Machine consciousness: plausible idea or semantic distortion?

9. (Found) Zadeh (1950), Thinking Machines, A New Field in Electrical Engineering.

Please respond to these under the original request (linked).

I have a big library of about 5,000 pdf's, with books (including textbooks) and papers in philosophy, psychology, statistics, computer science and a few other areas. The library is about 18 GB in size. If folks here can think of an easy way of sharing this material, I'd be happy to make it publicly available.

This site is the best for academic papers: http://libgen.org/scimag

Seriously. Look at their list of available journals. They claim to have access to 21M papers.

I have subscriptions to both ACM and IEEE. Just sayin'.

Request: "K. Hoskin (1996) The ‘awful idea of accountability’: inscribing people into the measurement of objects. In Accountability: Power , Ethos and the Technologies of Managing, R. Munro and J. Mouritsen (Eds). London, International Thomson Business Press, and references therein."

(Cited by: Strathern, Marilyn (1997). "'Improving ratings': audit in the British University system". European Review. John Wiley & Sons. 5 (3): 305–321. doi:10.1002/(SICI)1234-981X(199707)5:3<05::AID-EURO184>3.0.CO;2-4.)

See Google Books, and Worldcat (Available in many UK universities, incl. Cambridge & Oxford, and in the NYPL, at MIT, etc.) 

Context: Looking for sources about the history of Goodhart's law, esp. as "quoted"/ paraphrased, seemingly by Strathern.

From Strathern's paper:
"When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure. The more a 2.1 examination performance becomes an expectation, the poorer it becomes as a discriminator of individual performances. Hoskin describes this as ‘Goodhart’s law’, after the latter’s observation on instruments for monetary control which lead to other devices for monetary flexibility having to be invented. However, targets that seem measurable become enticing tools for improvement."

PDFs of the following books are available upon request (I will likely send you a link by next business day):

Kahnemann, Slovic, Tversky, eds. (1982) Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

Howson & Urbach (2006) Scientific Reasoning: The Bayesian Approach 3rd ed.

Thaler & Sunstein (2008) Nudge

Elliott Sober (2008) Evidence and Evolution

Huw Price (1997) Time's Arrow and Archimedes' Point

James Stewart (2011) Calculus: Early Transcendentals 7th ed.

Craig & Moreland, eds. (2009) The Blackwell Companion to Natural Theology

Jordan Howard Sobel (2009) Logic and Theism

Graham Oppy (2006) Arguing About Gods

Neil A. Manson, ed. (2003) God and Design: The Teleological Argument and Modern Science

Madigan et al. (2010) Brock Biology of Microorganisms 13th ed.

Goode, P. (2002). Connecting with the reservoir. Australian Petroleum Production and Exploration Association Journal, 42(2).

According to Welsh et al. (2002), this paper estimates that "biases such as anchoring and overconfidence contribute to a US$30 billion/year loss in the oil and gas industry."

Report from the FDA's Sugards Task Force, 1986 (Link is to first four pages.)

EDIT: Resolved via /r/scholar/

"A Preliminary Report of Kayak-Angst Among the Eskimo of West Greenland: a Study in Sensory Deprivation" http://isp.sagepub.com/content/9/1/18.extract

1. 'Lithium in drinking water and the incidences of crimes, suicides, and arrests related to drug addictions', Schrauzer & Shrestha 1990 http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/BF02990271
2. "The mathematical relationship of drinking water lithium and rainfall to mental hospital admission" https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/5497853
3. "Relationship of lithium metabolism to mental hospital admission and homicide" http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/4648454

Fusion projections: http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/1978trbc.book..577D or http://link.springer.com/article/10.1023/A%3A1021815909065 (following up on this graph from here)

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/joes.12032/abstract

I was halfway through writing a post asking for this paper, but remembered to Google first and it turns out gwern already has that covered. Thanks!

(The result of my research: creatine is probably a good nootropic only if you are a vegetarian. This is valuable information, since I am a vegetarian.)

Looking into Hanson's proposal for fire-the-ceo markets: Entrenchment, governance, and the stock price reaction to sudden executive deaths, An analysis of the stock price reaction to sudden executive deaths: Implications for the managerial labor market, and The Importance of Board Quality in the Event of a CEO Death.

http://link.springer.com/article/10.3758/s13423-013-0384-5

http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-1-4471-4878-4_6

http://sss.sagepub.com/content/1/3-4/407.full.pdf+html

http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/xpl/freeabs_all.jsp?arnumber=5440129

http://da.journal.informs.org/content/2/3/144.abstract

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1747-9991.2012.00528.x/pdf

• http://ethesys.yuntech.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0706111-230947
• "An Exploration of Student Personality Type and Success in Online Classes"

(If anyone knows a general way to get theses when the obvious download fails, I'd appreciate knowing. They seem pretty hard to get.)

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1053811911004964

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1053811912000353

I need some guidance with a problem in the calculus of variations. I want to use direct methods to prove the existence of a minimizer of a certain functional, but I don't really know what I'm doing. If anyone with expertise is reading, I've given a full description at MathOverflow.

For the editing. How could I sign up to help? I don't have the skills in research yet, but I am decent at writing and could help.

• http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.2991/978-94-91216-62-6_1
• http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.2991/978-94-91216-62-6_2
• http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.2991/978-94-91216-62-6_3
• http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.2991/978-94-91216-62-6_4
• http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.2991/978-94-91216-62-6_6
• http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.2991/978-94-91216-62-6_7
• http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.2991/978-94-91216-62-6_8
• http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.2991/978-94-91216-62-6_10
• http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.2991/978-94-91216-62-6_14
• http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.2991/978-94-91216-62-6_16

http://logcom.oxfordjournals.org/content/5/2/173.short

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcs.1222/pdf

http://direct.bl.uk/bld/PlaceOrder.do?UIN=206689557&ETOC=RN&from=searchengine

http://search.informit.com.au/documentSummary;dn=034548084727579;res=IELHSS

http://www.springerlink.com/content/tp6w73g03gp1x721/#section=1034705&page=1

http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/13569775.2012.651273

http://www.jstor.org/discover/10.2307/27646750?uid=3739560

http://psycnet.apa.org/psycinfo/2012-00560-001/

I'm looking for a thesis by Bullock 2007, "Experiments on partisanship and public opinion: Party cues, false beliefs, and Bayesian updating" (may be accessible via Proquest).

I'm interested in it because I've come up with a Bayesian justification of the backfire effect, but it seems like Bullock may have covered it already in the last section. ;_;

EDIT: He did some interesting stuff in "Part 3, Bayesian Updating of Political Beliefs: Normative and Descriptive Properties", but not exactly what I have in mind.

Churchland, Paul M., State-space Semantics and Meaning Holism in Philosophy and Phenomenological Research JStor Philosophy Documentation Center

Search engine for paywalled papers. Just for Chrome right now.

http://unpaywall.org/

https://www.techdirt.com/articles/20170319/02251236949/unpaywall-browser-add-on-that-finds-legal-free-copies-academic-papers-you-see-as-you-browse-web.shtml

Hi looking for: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00461520.1986.9653026

this was an unhelpful comment, removed and replaced by the comment you are now reading

Is this page still active? My institution doesn't have access to the journal Psychophysiology going back far enough... would anyone be able to find this:

Fischler, I. et al. "Brain potentials related to stages of sentence verification." Psychophysiology 20(4), 400--409.

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1469-8986.1983.tb00920.x/pdf

Thanks very much!

Two requests:

Shelf life and safety concerns of bakery products--a review. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/15077880

Predicting and preventing mold spoilage of food products. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23462093

Greene LS. "A retrospective view of iodine deficiency, brain development, and behavior from studies in Ecuador". In: Stanbury JB, ed. The Damaged Brain of Iodine Deficiency. New York, NY: Cognizant Communication; 2004:173-185.

National Health Spending In 2011: Overall Growth Remains Low, But Some Payers And Services Show Signs Of Acceleration

If Slow Rate Of Health Care Spending Growth Persists, Projections May Be Off By $770 Billion

Trends Underlying Employer-Sponsored Health Insurance Growth For Americans Younger Than Age Sixty-Five

"Possible observation of tachyons associated with extensive air showers" RW Clay, PC Crouch - 1974 - nature.com

The difficulties of executing simple algorithms: Why brains make mistakes computersdon’t

RISI World Containerboard Production Capacity Report

Full text of this article: http://content.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,2152422,00.html

Converting relative risks to absolute risks: A graphical approach http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/sim.4780080603/abstract

Narratives and goals: Narrative structure increases goal priming. Laham, Simon M.; Kashima, Yoshihisa http://psycnet.apa.org/journals/zsp/44/5/303/

"Effects of LED-backlit computer screen and emotional selfregulation on human melatonin production", Sroykham & Wongsawa 2013.

Absorption of nicotine by the human stomach and its effect on gastric ion fluxes and potential difference

W. Krull 1930/1987 http://www.springerlink.com/content/3203036jq8v23484/ "The aesthetic viewpoint in mathematics"

1. "Melatonin in elderly patients with insomnia.– A systematic review", Rikkert & Rigaud 2001
2. "Melatonin in sleep disorders and jet-lag", Cardinali et al 2002
3. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/8844341 'Neuroimmunotherapy with low-dose subcutaneous interleukin-2 plus melatonin in AIDS patients with CD4 cell number below 200/mm3: a biological phase-II study', Lissoni et al 1995
4. Claustrat et al 1984 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/6498244 "A chronobiological study of melatonin and cortisol secretion in depressed subjects: plasma melatonin, a biochemical marker in major depression"
5. Frazer et al 1986 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/3462336/ "Patterns of melatonin rhythms in depression"
6. Dallaspezia & Benedetti 2011 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21721914 "Chronobiological therapy for mood disorders"
7. Garzón et al 2009 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19225268 "Effect of melatonin administration on sleep, behavioral disorders and hypnotic drug discontinuation in the elderly: a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study"
8. Quera Salva et al 2011 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21476953 "Circadian rhythms, melatonin and depression"
9. http://www.springerlink.com/content/k46070w7p83g1181/ 'Vitamin/mineral supplementation and cancer, cardiovascular, and all-cause mortality in a German prospective cohort (EPIC-Heidelberg)', Li et al 2012

"Effects of nicotine on perceptual speed"

Some iodine studies:

1. http://jcem.endojournals.org/content/52/4/671.short
2. http://jcem.endojournals.org/content/77/4/1078.short
3. http://jcem.endojournals.org/content/80/1/258.short
4. http://www.eje-online.org/content/134/4/443.abstract

Would it be possible to get a pdf of the original (1934) version of Dale Carnegie's How to Win Friends and Influence People? The one's I found are from the revised edition. I'm trying to put together links to all the books recommended by Satvik Beri in a recent exchange he had with Ben Kuhn, in the hope that this will help EAs interested in earning to give.

http://ntr.oxfordjournals.org/content/15/1/277

"The healthy donor effect: a matter of selection bias and confounding."

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1537-2995.2011.03270.x/abstract

"Sleep symptoms associated with intake of specific dietary nutrients", Grandner et al 2013 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jsr.12084/abstract

• Baker, E., Hinton, L., Callen, D. F., Altree, M., Dobbie, A., Eyre, H. J., et al. (2002). "Study of 250 children with idiopathic mental retardation reveals nine cryptic and diverse subtelomeric chromosome anomalies". American Journal of Medical Genetics, 107, 285–293

Santos, Santos, and Shimony, "Implicitly preserving semantics during incremental knowledge base acquisition under uncertainty".

Santos, Wilkinson, and Santos, "Fusing multiple Bayesian knowledge sources".

The first describes a formalism called the Bayesian knowledge base that is more compact than the usual conditional probability table approach to a Bayesian network, along with other advantages; the second presents an algorithm for aggregating representations in this formalism.

I ran across this in a book on adversarial reasoning, and haven't found anything about it on LW (at least, not apparent from search results). Are paper summaries (e.g., explaining concepts like BKBs) suitable discussion posts?

Situated cognition and learning environments: Roles, structures, and implications for design

http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2FBF02300472 / http://www.jstor.org/discover/10.2307/30220993?uid=3737976&uid=2129&uid=2&uid=70&uid=4&sid=21102636605971

Gentzen’s Cut Elimination Theorem for Non-Logicians

Knowledge and Value, Tulane Studies in Philosophy Volume 21, 1972, pp 115-126

1. "Medical research: Trial unpredictability yields predictable therapy gains" (http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2013/08/130827122917.htm)
2. "Response of experimental animals to human carcinogens: an analysis based upon the IARC Monographs programme", Wilbourn et al 1986
3. "Current Status of Predictive Animal Models for Drug Photoallergy and Their Correlation With Drug Photoallergy in Humans"
4. Schein, P.S. et al. (1970) The evaluation of anticancer drugs in dogs and monkeys for the prediction of qualitative toxicities in man. Clin. Pharmacol. Ther. 11, 3–40

Some modafinil-related papers:

• "Effects of modafinil on cognitive performance and alertness during sleep deprivation" (Wesensten 2006)
• http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22310006 / http://www.ugeskriftet.dk/portal/page/portal/LAEGERDK/UGESKRIFT_FOR_LAEGER/Artikelvisning?pUrl=/UGESKRIFT_FOR_LAEGER/TIDLIGERE_NUMRE/2012/UFL_2012_6/UFL_2012_174_6_348 / http://europepmc.org/abstract/MED/22310006 (tough)
• https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/7855221 / http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/BF02244990
• "Phenylpropanolamine: reinforcing and subjective effects in normal human volunteers" / http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/BF00177562

Spaced repetition:

• http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/9617647 / http://baywood.metapress.com/app/home/contribution.asp?referrer=parent&backto=issue,3,10;journal,72,178;linkingpublicationresults,1:300314,1
• http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/12428708

Meta-science priors:

• http://www.nature.com/scibx/journal/v4/n15/full/scibx.2011.416.html
• http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v467/n7312/full/467153d.html

Martin Gardner's Mathematical Games column from Scientific American Volume 242, Number 6, June, 1980. Paywalled here:June:1980).

EDIT: escape characters

"The Cognitive Effects of Micronutrient Deficiency: Evidence from Salt Iodization in the United States"; I think this may be a republication of "The Economic Effects of Micronutrient Deficiency: Evidence from Salt Iodization in the United States" (Feyrer et al 2008), but it's nice to be sure.

Ken Binmore & Hyun Song Shin. Algorithmic knowledge and game theory. (Chapter 9 of Knowledge, Belief, and Strategic Interaction by Cristina Bicchieri.)

EDIT: Actually, I'd be pretty happy to see any paper containing both the phrases "common knowledge" and "Löb's theorem". This particular paper is probably not the only one.

Jeffrey Smith, "America's arsenal of nuclear time bombs", Washington Post National Weekly Edition, May 28-June 3, 1990

Jeffrey Smith, "America's arsenal of nuclear time bombs", Washington Post National Weekly Edition, May 28-June 3, 1990

• Irani, T., Telg, R., Scherler, C., & Harrington, M. (2003). "Personality and its relationship to distance education students' course perceptions and performance". The Quarterly Review of Distance Education, 4, 445-453.
• Lee, J. M., & Lee, Y. (2006). "Personality types and learners' interaction in web-based threaded discussion". Quarterly Review of Distance Education, 7(1), 83-94.

http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1207/S15328031US0201_01 "Meta-Analysis and Power: Some Suggestions for the Use of Power in Research Synthesis"

1. Fierro-Benitez, R.; Ramirez, I.; Suarez, J. "Effect of iodine correction early in fetal life on intelligence quotient. A preliminary report". Adv. Exp. Med. Biol. 1972, 30, 239–247
2. Fierro-Benitez, R.; Ramirez, I.; Estrella, E.; Jaramillo, C.; Diaz, C.; Urresta, J. "Iodized Oil in the Prevention of Endemic Goiter and Associated Defects in the Andean Region of Ecuador. I. Program Design, Effects on Goiter Prevalence, Thyroid Function, and Iodine" In Endemic Goiter; Report of the Meeting of the PAHO Scientific Group on Research in Endemic Goiter; Stanbury, J.B., Ed.; Pan American Health Organization, Pan American Sanitary Bureau: Washington, DC, USA, 1968; pp. 306–340.
3. Fierro-Benitez, R.; Ramirez, I.; Estrella, E.; Stanbury, J.B. "The Role of Iodine in Intellectual Development in an Area of Endemic Goiter". In Endemic Goiter and Cretinism: Continuing Threats to World Health. Report of the IV Meeting of the PAHO Technical Group on Goiter; Dunn, J.T., Medeiros-Neto, G.A., Eds.; Pan American Health Organization: Washington, DC, USA, 1974; pp. 135–142.

"Annual injection of vitamin D and fractures of aged bones", 1992 http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/BF00298497

1. "Caffeine, priming, and tip of the tongue: evidence for plasticity in the phonological system". VE Lesk, SP Womble - Behavioral Neuroscience, 2004
2. "Caffeine, Sleep, and Quality of Life"; MM Lorist, J Snel - Sleep and Quality of Life in Clinical Medicine, 2008 http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007%2F978-1-60327-343-5_33

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/17828627 / http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/13825580600788100 McMorris, Terry (09/2007). "Creatine Supplementation and Cognitive Performance in Elderly Individuals". Aging, neuropsychology, and cognition (1382-5585), 14 (5), p. 517

• http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/15011734 (UWash thinks I can get it through http://www.freemedicaljournals.com/index.htm - but the website is completely and utterly broken!)
• http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/8927677
• Levin, E. D. (01/1996). "Nicotine effects on adults with attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder". Psychopharmacologia (1959) (0033-3158), 123 (1), p. 55.
• Foulds, Jonathan (06/1996). "Cognitive performance effects of subcutaneous nicotine in smokers and never-smokers". Psychopharmacologia (1959) (0033-3158), 127 (1-2), p. 31. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/8880941
• Le Houezec, J., Halliday, R., Benowitz, N.L., Callaway, E., Naylor, H., Herzig, K., 1994. "A low dose of subcutaneous nicotine improves information-processing in non-smokers". Psychopharmacology 114, 628-634
• http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/8077891 / http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1365-2796.1994.tb00804.x/abstract
• O'Neill (2002). "The Role of Neuronal Nicotinic Acetylcholine Receptors in Acute and Chronic Neurodegeneration". Current Drug Targets-CNS & Neurological Disorders http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/ben/cdtcnsnd/2002/00000001/00000004/art00008 / http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/12769612
• http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/2005845

Electronics (ISSN 0883-4989), volume 63 (1963), May 31 issue: "Chart Gives RLC Values for Critical Damping" by Arthur B. Moulton, pg6

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/10442215 May be hard to get.

Osterweil (1992). "Cognitive function in non-demented older adults with hypothyroidism". Journal of the American Geriatrics Society (JAGS) (0002-8614) https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/1556359

http://www.dl.begellhouse.com/journals/6ed509641f7324e6,forthcoming,7629.html

http://www.aaai.org/ojs/index.php/aimagazine/article/view/2405 http://www.aaai.org/ojs/index.php/aimagazine/article/view/2402 http://www.aaai.org/ojs/index.php/aimagazine/article/view/2427

Goldin et al (2013). "Training Planning and Working Memory in Third Graders". Mind, brain and education

http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007%2F978-3-642-28717-6_18

http://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/S0217979213500732

http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-94-015-7634-5_3

waddell (2011). "Single-Case Design in Psychophysiological Research: Part II: Statistical Analytic Approaches". Journal of Neurotherapy: Investigations in Neuromodulation, Neurofeedback and Applied Neuroscience http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/10874208.2011.570693

http://amj.aom.org/content/54/6/1207.short

http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/01440357.2010.528921

As some of you probably know, Google Books restricts access to certain books to users with a US IP address. I tried to circumvent this restriction with a number of different proxy servers, but had no success. This is the book (or, rather, journal) I'm trying to download (PDF link on the left sidebar). If you live in the States and could download it for me, that would be great. If you could explain to me how to download this or any other book similarly restricted, that would be even better. Thanks!

http://journals.cambridge.org/action/displayAbstract?fromPage=online&aid=6577844

http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-94-009-6340-5_10

• Cross-national Retrospective Studies of Mathematics Olympians
• Cross-Cultural Predictors of Mathematical Talent and Academic Productivity
• Factors that Contribute to or Hinder Academic Productivity: Comparing Two Groups of Most and Least Successful Olympians

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0079612308644477

(Posting here because /r/scholar failed to get this one for me.)

http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/BF00126382

Teaching probability.

"Does life seem better on a sunny day? Examining the association between daily weather conditions and life satisfaction judgments."

http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-94-011-4972-3_9

http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00201749608602428

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1096-3642.1931.tb01023.x/abstract

http://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/S1793843013400052

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23647093

Edmundson, R.H. (1990), Decomposition: a strategy for judgmental forecasting. Journal of Forecasting, 9, 301-314.

http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-1-4020-4108-2_13

http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-642-37382-4_5

http://www.psycontent.com/content/5t84rk4116m14q31/

"Working memory training improvements and gains in non-trained cognitive tasks in young and older adults", Heinzel et al 2013

"A double-blind trial of the effect of docosahexaenoic acid and vitamin and mineral supplementation on aggression, impulsivity, and stress", Long & Benton 2013 Human Psychopharmacology: Clinical and Experimental

https://dl.acm.org/citation.cfm?id=2399189

http://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007%2F978-94-017-0466-3_1.pdf

• http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/BF00140057
• http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-94-009-4019-2_26
• http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-94-007-5140-8_5

http://philpapers.org/rec/ELIAAI

http://secure.pdcnet.org/teachphil/content/teachphil_2013_0036_0002_0107_0124

http://dl.acm.org/citation.cfm?id=1005394

http://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/978-94-007-1494-6_81

"Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuroscience", Buttton Ioannidis et al 2013

• http://www.computer.org/csdl/mags/ex/2012/06/mex2012060076-abs.html
• http://www.computer.org/csdl/mags/ex/2012/06/mex2012060060-abs.html
• http://www.computer.org/csdl/mags/ex/2012/04/mex2012040070-abs.html
• http://www.computer.org/csdl/mags/ex/2012/03/mex2012030086-abs.html
• http://www.computer.org/csdl/mags/ex/2012/02/mex2012020075-abs.html
• http://www.computer.org/csdl/mags/ex/2012/01/mex2012010060-abs.html
• http://www.computer.org/csdl/mags/ex/2011/06/mex2011060014-abs.html
• http://www.computer.org/csdl/mags/ex/2010/05/mex2010050009-abs.html
• http://www.computer.org/csdl/mags/ex/2010/03/mex2010030092-abs.html

http://www.computer.org/csdl/mags/ex/2013/01/mex2013010084-abs.html

http://www.aaai.org/ojs/index.php/aimagazine/article/view/2441

http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2FBF00148954?LI=true

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016328709000020

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1758-5899.12002/abstract (I want the publication version from this website, not the copy available free elsewhere.)

1. http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1081/E-ESE-120044257
2. http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1081/E-ESE-120044477
3. http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1081/E-ESE-120048375
4. http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1081/E-ESE-120048375
5. http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1081/E-ESE-120048455
6. http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1081/E-ESE-120044162
7. http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1081/E-ESE-120044178
8. http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1081/E-ESE-120044179
9. http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1081/E-ESE-120044313
10. http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1081/E-ESE-120044686
11. http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1081/E-ESE-120046903

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/phc3.12037/abstract

http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/01973533.2013.764301

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1740-9713.2011.00506.x/abstract

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1465-7295.1988.tb01520.x/abstract

1. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1046/j.1526-4637.2000.00042.x/abstract
2. http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/03601230600857130
3. Petticrew M, Davey Smith G. "Monkey business: what do primate studies of social hierarchies, stress, and the development of CHD tell us about humans?" J Epidemiol Community Health 2003;57(suppl 1): A1-21.

(For http://lesswrong.com/lw/1lt/case_study_melatonin/8n2h )

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/phc3.12021/abstract

Abramson et al 1955, Linton & Langs 1962

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0262407913605771

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wics.82/abstract

http://www.degruyter.com/view/j/revneuro.2013.24.issue-1/revneuro-2012-0073/revneuro-2012-0073.xml?format=INT

http://pps.sagepub.com/content/8/2/119.short

"Iodine deficiency in pregnancy, infancy and childhood and its consequences for brain development"; Melse-Boonstra, A., & Jaiswal, N. (2010). Iodine deficiency in pregnancy, infancy and childhood and its consequences for brain development. Best Practice & Research Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism, 24, 29-38

Bayes and admissible set estimation.

link

Length of confidence intervals.

"Full publication of results initially presented in abstracts" (this has been published in various versions since 1994; as far as I can tell, this is the latest one).

Berry, "Meta-analysis vs large trials: resolving the controversy" (in Meta-analysis in medicine and health policy, Stangel & Berry 2000; the version on Google Books is incomplete for me).

Devlin et al 1997, "The heritability of IQ"

http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/15027570.2010.537903

http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/hart/lit/2011/00000003/00000002/art00004

http://www.emeraldinsight.com/journals.htm?articleid=1891348&show=abstract

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/10607161

http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-1-4614-4358-2_3

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/sim.4780121508/abstract

Three papers:

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/phc3.12008/abstract http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/phc3.12015/abstract http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/phc3.12016/abstract

1) Aided and unaided decision making: improving intuitive judgement. Journal of Forecasting. Volume 1, Issue 4, pages 349–363, October/December 1982.

2) Cognitive biases and decision support systems development: a design science approach. Information Systems Journal. Volume 16, Issue 1, pages 55–78, January 2006.

3) Cognitive biases in the use of computer-based decision support systems. Omega. Volume 17, Issue 4, 1989, Pages 335–344.

4) Debiasing investors with decision support systems: an experimental investigation. Decision Support Systems. Volume 46, Issue 1, December 2008, Pages 399–410.

Goal programming and cognitive biases in decision-making. Journal of the Operational Research Society (2005) 56, 1166–1175.

http://www.igi-global.com/article/shaping-ethics-emergent-field/39123

http://www.igi-global.com/article/can-wrong-when-feels-right/64205

Walker, Human Extinction and Farsighted Universal Surveillance

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/psyp.12010/abstract

A. Carlone, S. M. Goldup, N. A Three-Compartment Chemically-Driven Molecular Information Ratchet http://pubs.acs.org/doi/abs/10.1021/ja302711z It is not a lesswrong related project so I retracted it.

William Cochran, "Designing clinical trials". In: Evaluation of Drug Therapy 1961, ed. F. M. Forster, pp. 71—77. Madison: University of Wisconsin Press.

(Trying to follow up a claim about correlational results getting more misleading with increasing sample size.)

http://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/S1793843012400288

• Baddeley, A. D., & Longman, D. J. A. (1978). "The influence of length and frequency of training session on the rate of learning to type". Ergonomics, 21, 627–635

• Lee, T. D., & Genovese, E. D. (1988). "Distribution of practice in motor skill acquisition: Learning and performance effects reconsidered". Research Quarterly for Exercise and Sport, 59, 277-287
• Ammons, R. B. (1988). "Distribution of practice in motor skill acquisition: A few questions and comments". Research Quarterly for Exercise and Sport, 59, 288–290
• Christina, R. W., & Shea, J. B. (1988). "The limitations of generalization based on restricted information". Research Quarterly for Exercise and Sport, 59, 291–297
• Newell, K. M., Antoniou, A., & Carlton, L. G. (1988). "Massed and distributed practice effects: Phenomena in search of a theory?" Research Quarterly for Exercise and Sport, 59, 308–313
• Goode, S., & Magill, R. A. (1986). "Contextual interference effects in learning three badminton serves". Research Quarterly for Exercise and Sport, 57, 308–314

Lashley, K. S. (1915). "The acquisition of skill in archery". Papers from the Department of Marine Biology of the Carnegie Institution of Washington, 7, 105-128

• Culler, E. A. (1912). "The effect of distribution of practice upon learning". Journal of Philosophical Psychology, 9, 580-583
• Lashley, K. S. (1915). "The acquisition of skill in archery". Papers from the Department of Marine Biology of the Carnegie Institution of Washington, 7, 105-128
• Murphy, H. H. (1916). "Distributions of practice periods in learning". Journal of Educational Psychology, 7, 150-162

"Spacing effects and their implications for theory and practice", Dempster 1989

http://www.era.lib.ed.ac.uk/handle/1842/2373

http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11023-012-9295-x

Peter Norvig. 2008. Statistical learning as the ultimate agile development tool. ACM 17th Conference on Information and Knowledge.

• Ross, L. D., Amabile, T. M. & Steinmetz, J. L. (1977). Social roles, social control, and biases in social-perceptual processes. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 35, 485-494.

(UWash is timing out on me.)

http://wcx.sagepub.com/content/18/1/80.short

http://wcx.sagepub.com/content/20/1/99.short

This is a case where Google scholar claims to have a PDF, but the link to the PDF is not working for me.

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0020737383800613

http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/014492998119283

http://psycnet.apa.org/journals/xlm/10/3/483/

http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/01449299008924237

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0020737387800585

Neufeld, V. R., Norman, G. R., Barrows, H. S., & Feightner, J.W. (1981). Clinical problem solving by medical students: A longitudinal and crosssectional analysis. Medical Education, 15 , 315–322.

Feltovich, P. J., & Barrows, H. S. (1984). Issues of generality in medical problem solving. In H. G. Schmidt & M. L. DeVolder (Eds.), Tutorials in problem-based learning. Assen, the Netherlands: Van Gorcum.