Posts

Cellular respiration as a steam engine 2024-02-25T20:17:38.788Z
Embed your second brain in your first brain 2024-02-22T21:46:51.091Z
Abs-E (or, speak only in the positive) 2024-02-19T21:14:32.095Z
Senses of "knowing" a person 2024-02-18T19:13:05.448Z
The entropy maxim for binary questions 2024-02-11T17:17:27.989Z
Will issues are quite nearly skill issues 2023-08-27T16:42:11.264Z
Walk while you talk: don't balk at "no chalk" 2023-08-22T21:27:47.257Z
Goldilocks and the Three Optimisers 2023-08-17T18:15:39.456Z
How to decide under low-stakes uncertainty 2023-08-11T18:07:50.133Z
The cone of freedom (or, freedom might only be instrumentally valuable) 2023-07-24T15:38:54.687Z
Please speak unpredictably 2023-07-23T22:09:09.035Z
To use computers well, learn their rules 2023-07-21T17:00:21.676Z
Problems with predictive history classes 2023-07-20T23:28:20.417Z
Clever arguers give weak evidence, not zero 2023-07-18T17:07:27.126Z
Predictive history classes 2023-07-17T20:48:31.363Z
Weak Evidence is Common 2023-07-16T23:37:40.983Z

Comments

Comment by dkl9 on Embed your second brain in your first brain · 2024-02-23T21:58:16.599Z · LW · GW

The ability to quickly recall what I studied for its application.

I thought that was obvious. Why do you ask? What am I missing?

Comment by dkl9 on Abs-E (or, speak only in the positive) · 2024-02-22T21:44:08.807Z · LW · GW

You almost always have some information to concentrate your priors. Between mutually-helpful speakers, implicit with an answer to a question is that the answer gives all the information you have on the question that could benefit the questioner. E.g.

What will the closing price of Apple be at the end of the year?

"Almost certainly somewhere between $150 and $250."

Comment by dkl9 on Abs-E (or, speak only in the positive) · 2024-02-20T21:52:44.994Z · LW · GW

positive statements like "Stay away from the wires" are more effective than negative statements, like "Don't touch the wires," because your brain basically ignores the negative part of it. "*mumble mumble* touch the wires? Don't mind if I do!"

That's what I was going for with

When reading or hearing a negation used in language, you must first process the positive form it contains to understand the entire statement. For example, to understand "the sky is not green", you must first understand "the sky is green", then negate it. Usually, this happens quickly and subconsciously, but it can harmfully slow down or weaken understanding by making you first consider a false idea.

Comment by dkl9 on Abs-E (or, speak only in the positive) · 2024-02-20T21:50:54.036Z · LW · GW

I predict that it mostly gets worked around, by using only a few extra words.

"The sky is something other than blue" and "I will be somewhere else tomorrow" are both semantically-equivalent to the forbidden forms.  Even "I deny that the sky is blue" is a positive-form negation of the object-level statement.

I suspect all such workarounds depend on one of a relatively small set of negation-enabling words, such as "other", "else", and "deny", as you demonstrate. Prohibiting more words should eventually block all workarounds, while making writing more annoying.

Comment by dkl9 on How to decide under low-stakes uncertainty · 2023-08-11T23:24:46.479Z · LW · GW

An excellent alternative. I was going for something usable without any tools.

Comment by dkl9 on Babble challenge: 50 ways to escape a locked room · 2023-08-11T19:00:51.776Z · LW · GW
  1. beat up the lock by ordinary methods
  2. contact someone outside to let you out
  3. beat up the door by ordinary methods
  4. beat up the wall by ordinary methods
  5. teleport
  6. contact someone outside to destroy part of the wall
  7. reshape phone and/or clothes into paperclips and wait for the paperclip maximiser to take them in a way that will probably let you out
  8. break off a sharp piece of metal from your phone and cut your way out
  9. break off a thin piece of metal from your phone and pick the lock
  10. wish/pray
  11. order a delivery, which will require the door to be opened (during which you can walk out), which may be easier from the outside
  12. look up solutions and implement them (or contact person or AI to come up with them)
  13. ignite a fire (friction or something, perhaps aided by starting on clothes you take off), and burn away the wall
  14. distract yourself with entertainment on your phone so you mentally escape
  15. wear steel-toed shoes as part of your clothes and kick holes in the wall
  16. mentally swap inside and outside of room (the wall separates the two, but it doesn't care which direction) -- now you're outside
  17. wait for someone to check on you and let you out
  18. scream for help (or play suitably loud sound on your phone) to accelerate 17
  19. vaporise yourself (never mind how) and let your molecules diffuse to the outside world
  20. order a very thin, flat sheet of powerful explosives, which can be delivered thru a gap in the door without outsiders having to unlock, and detonate it to break the wall
  21. don't go in the room in the first place
  22. order a time machine and go back to prevent the door from being locked
  23. collapse to a true vacuum (... which would also kill you)
  24. look for mechanical weaknesses in the architecture of the room and exploit them
  25. write out enough of your thoughts to your phone to effectively transfer your mind/personality, then send it to be simulated outside the room
  26. hack the room's lights to be way brighter and gradually apply light pressure to push away part of the floor (you have 10 years, right?)
  27. use the other door which isn't locked
  28. order a saw and cut the wall easily
  29. scream at the wall (or play suitably loud sound on your phone) to break it
  30. open (or break, if necessary) the window and climb out
  31. publish a prize/bounty offer online for letting you out and wait for someone to take it
  32. wear a cape as part of your clothes and write (lay out thread pulled from other clothes?) in Spanish on it, making it an es-cape (... sorry)
  33. corrode the lock (or otherwise cause escape-enabling damage) with urine
  34. fall asleep and forget about your problem, another form of mental escape
  35. run really fast to slam the door open despite the lock when you hit it
  36. wait, one of the walls was missing this whole time?
  37. the lock's electronic, hack it
  38. break the light fixture to get glass shards from the bulb, which would be very effective for cutting your way out
  39. become the type of person who would take brutal revenge on those who lock you in rooms, thereby acausally preventing this situation
  40. take off some clothes, thread it around the door, get it stuck with part sticking out on your side, and pull really hard (and hope that overrides the lock)
  41. cry me a river (literally), which might break something by water pressure
  42. suggest a study of this room's lock to LockPickingLawyer
  43. disable phone's cooling mechanisms, heat the processor, melt a hole in the wall
  44. wait, the door didn't properly block the way out this whole time?
  45. talk to the gatekeeper over the text channel, be really smart and manipulative, and convince them to let you out
  46. set some clothes on fire, push it thru the gaps around the door, thereby making everyone else in the building panic and let you out as part of the emergency response
  47. skew the reviews of the company that owns the room to alter the number of people who come near the room, making someone let you out sooner (this would intuitively benefit from more people, but maybe less, sith bystander effect)
  48. you didn't say what kind of phone; maybe this is a special phone with an extra feature specifically designed to let me out
  49. wait, the lock was trivially insecure the whole time?
  50. go to the moon, which is outside the room (we have hundreds of ways of doing that)
Comment by dkl9 on Babble challenge: 50 ways of sending something to the moon · 2023-07-27T21:32:32.676Z · LW · GW

Good challenge. I thought I could do this quickly, but it took ~45 minutes.
I looked things up when clarifying/writing out answers, but not in coming up with them.
Some of my answers are indirect, with the assumed completion "and then it'll be much easier to find an actual method". Some (a bigger some) are stupid.
Any otherwise-unclarified mention of "it" refers to the object which we want to send to the moon. Any otherwise-unclarified implicit reference to a task/goal refers to this task of sending it to the moon.

1 to 10: rocket, space elevator, catapult, make Earth bigger, bring moon closer, kick it really hard, outsource task to [other person/agent], build an unreasonably tall skyscraper, drive it there (find a way to grip tires onto near-vacuum?), direction-selective gravity disable + walking
11 to 20: set off explosives under it, machine-teleport, be on the moon already and pull it on a rope, motivate it to get away itself (if it's intelligent/independent), pray really hard, trebuchet, pump it up a pipe, move Earth towards moon, destroy Earth so rocketry etc is easier, swim
21 to 30: figure out something with graphene (it does enough other crazy things), wind-up spinny launch thing, booming force of loud noise, figure out where someone with name "Moon" lives and use conventional Earth travel, transfigure with tension, revolve it on a flywheel and release, send it into orbit so it is the moon, jump to an alternate universe where it's already on the moon, shoot matter against it to push it away, break apart the moon so its fragments land on Earth and you can access them by conventional travel
31 to 40: vaporise the moon so anywhere is technically "on all zero the-moons", make a knowingly-perversely-incentivised prediction market, break it to atoms which will all eventually diffuse to the moon (but probably not at the same time), quantum-teleport, let a nearby Earth-disaster blast it away to the moon, get people to collaboratively throw it, burn it (??? cf atomic diffusion maybe???), set a bounty, stretch it out by a factor of many thousands, plant something that grows indefinitely under it
41 to 50: stretch Earth, corrugate spacetime (yeah idk; ask my Babble), throw a rope to connect to the moon and climb, pile up a sufficiently-large mountain under it, climb a ladder, wait for red-giant Sun to make things "convenient", get a machine that'll turn it (and only it) into paperclips on the moon, establish a trend of sending Earthly things to the moon which will include it eventually, contrive your incentives/reward/emotion/utility function to want it harder, inflate a bubble under it

Comment by dkl9 on Please speak unpredictably · 2023-07-27T14:42:15.671Z · LW · GW

Just did it. Paradox.

Comment by dkl9 on Please speak unpredictably · 2023-07-24T15:23:33.612Z · LW · GW

Clever, but

to the point that I can't predict it

not further. If you increase redundancy, still unpredictable, as here, you probably went too far.

Comment by dkl9 on Please speak unpredictably · 2023-07-24T15:20:19.019Z · LW · GW

是年龄的影响,还是标识的影响?

机译

Comment by dkl9 on Please speak unpredictably · 2023-07-23T23:53:45.677Z · LW · GW

1 and 2 are absolutely correct, but for specific subsets. Outside such subsets, this optimisation still applies.

3 is correct sometimes as reversed advice. I see your point in 3 often (usually implicit). My post reverses that in response to it sometimes going too far.

It seems I went too far. Hence the expanded original:

Adjust how much to omit based on the concentration and domain-intelligence of the listener. Your starting point should probably err more on the side of "omit more redundancy" than it currently does.

Comment by dkl9 on To use computers well, learn their rules · 2023-07-21T23:10:39.580Z · LW · GW

Neither. Long-lasting deliberate idiosyncrasy, based on Shakespearean English.
What word is sufficiently Levenshtein-close to "sith" as to get there from a typo whilst also fitting grammatically into the sentence?

Comment by dkl9 on I'm consistently overwhelmed by basic obligations. Are there any paradigm shifts or other rationality-based tips that would be helpful? · 2023-07-21T21:19:51.708Z · LW · GW

When you actually do these never-ending simple tasks, do you dislike/suffer-from the process itself? Or is this just the stress of having to do them sometime, when you're not doing them?
(Sorry if you already explained this, but it's not very clear from the question)

Comment by dkl9 on To use computers well, learn their rules · 2023-07-21T17:58:04.946Z · LW · GW

What did you think the right word would be?

(It's deliberate. Synonym of "because".)

Comment by dkl9 on Predictive history classes · 2023-07-19T16:53:27.593Z · LW · GW

I intended the latter. Ideally, instructors would start teaching students that in an act of educational reform, but that's harder and very unlikely from what I see now.

there are no widely-accepted models of how history works that are detailed enough to let you predict the outcomes of unfamiliar historical events

We don't need such a model. The students would be figuring it out for themselves, and we don't expect them to predict in great detail. There'd have to be a lot of partial credit in this.

in the few cases where students are asked to give causal explanations in current classes, their work is graded as a persuasive essay rather than as a factual claim that can be held to some objective standard of correctness.

That's exactly the issue.

Comment by dkl9 on Predictive history classes · 2023-07-19T16:49:51.365Z · LW · GW

Thanks, but that's deliberate. Revived-archaic synonym of "because".

Comment by dkl9 on Predictive history classes · 2023-07-18T16:59:07.292Z · LW · GW

Nice. Is there some post about dath ilan that establishes that (I don't see it in Yudkowsky's original AMA), or did you just make this up?

Comment by dkl9 on Weak Evidence is Common · 2023-07-17T15:43:10.134Z · LW · GW

I don't understand what you're getting at with your response to the question of personal evil.

You're right about trading.

Seeing an Onion headline say "X did Y" is teeny evidence that X didn't Y. 

...

I think that's doubtful.

In which direction? Do you mean to say that it's no evidence, or it's strong evidence? You speak of "a strong prior against the event", but the strength of the prior doesn't have any necessary relation to the strength of the evidence.

Comment by dkl9 on Weak Evidence is Common · 2023-07-16T23:59:40.643Z · LW · GW

Fixed, thanks. I implicitly assumed that all ChatGPT use we cared about was about complicated, confusing topics, where "correct" would be little evidence.