Posts

About BOINC 2019-12-10T09:22:34.968Z
Question about a past donor to MIRI. 2019-09-01T15:39:02.219Z
FAI failure scenario 2019-07-16T11:49:41.983Z

Comments

Comment by Teerth Aloke on Anatomy of a full school climate strike · 2021-08-24T02:15:43.736Z · LW · GW

A coordination committee with a clear realistic understanding will be required otherwise radicals will accept no proposal. (Case in point: Indian farmer's ongoing protest)

Comment by Teerth Aloke on Anatomy of a full school climate strike · 2021-08-22T15:41:45.129Z · LW · GW

But what will be the demand? Without a clear demand, the strike will fail.

Comment by Teerth Aloke on Any recommendation for reading material for pre-school children [3-4 yr]? · 2021-08-21T06:46:53.437Z · LW · GW

I don't think that will be necessary.

Comment by Teerth Aloke on [Prediction] What war between the USA and China would look like in 2050 · 2021-08-20T14:18:07.227Z · LW · GW

Indians mostly hate China, and this feeling is almost universal in the dominant party.

Comment by Teerth Aloke on What are some triggers that prompt you to do a Fermi estimate, or to pull up a spreadsheet and make a simple/rough quantitative model? · 2021-08-16T16:24:02.090Z · LW · GW

Yes

Comment by Teerth Aloke on There isn't just one unemployment rate · 2021-08-16T16:11:13.829Z · LW · GW

Hello fellow Indian.

Comment by Teerth Aloke on How The West Was Won · 2021-08-15T14:41:21.482Z · LW · GW

Not just Islam. It was illegal in India 3 years back. Also, Christian majority Barbados, Antigua, Camroon, Burundi, Zambia, Zimbabwe, Namibia and a few other African countries ban homosexuality. 

Comment by Teerth Aloke on What 2026 looks like (Daniel's Median Future) · 2021-08-08T13:50:52.632Z · LW · GW

I got the idea. I would also update to a very short timeline (4-5 years) in the absence of slowdown in dense-network parameter growth l, and performance following the scaling trend. And I was pretty scared when GPT-3 was released. As many here, I was expected further growth in that direction very soon which did not happen. So, I am less scared now.

Comment by Teerth Aloke on What 2026 looks like (Daniel's Median Future) · 2021-08-08T01:33:38.760Z · LW · GW

What will be your new median? (If you observe 32 trillion parameter model in 2023)

Comment by Teerth Aloke on Industrial literacy · 2021-07-23T14:55:38.017Z · LW · GW

I consider the absence of industrial literacy a big problem. 

Comment by Teerth Aloke on Book review: The Explanation of Ideology · 2021-07-23T14:48:42.056Z · LW · GW

Not living with parents as adults is increasingly common in India due to the expansion of higher education. 

Comment by Teerth Aloke on Book review: The Explanation of Ideology · 2021-07-20T15:52:52.952Z · LW · GW

I will just like to note one detail, while parallel first cousin marriage is 'prohibited' in South India, nearly a tenth of cousin marriages are of this category.

Comment by Teerth Aloke on The Mountaineer's Fallacy · 2021-07-18T11:34:37.149Z · LW · GW

Narrow AI and General AI may be the sort of thing in mind.

Comment by Teerth Aloke on Re: Competent Elites · 2021-07-16T11:23:41.168Z · LW · GW

Exactly.

Comment by Teerth Aloke on Re: Competent Elites · 2021-07-15T16:06:40.627Z · LW · GW

Too much self praise.

Comment by Teerth Aloke on Covid 7/8: Delta Takes Over · 2021-07-09T10:42:52.798Z · LW · GW

How serious do you think vaccine effectiveness drops due to variants can become? 

Comment by Teerth Aloke on How can there be a godless moral world ? · 2021-06-21T15:54:34.540Z · LW · GW

If you define morality to be dependent on God, you are deliberately precluding any conception of a godless moral world. 

Comment by Teerth Aloke on How can there be a godless moral world ? · 2021-06-21T15:51:20.304Z · LW · GW

I don't understand why murder needs to be bad, in a meaning different from 'bad for self/society'. I also don't understand how God or any entity saying anything will make murder 'bad' in a nonutilitarian meaning. 

Comment by Teerth Aloke on How can there be a godless moral world ? · 2021-06-21T15:47:01.109Z · LW · GW

The only way I can connect 'theism' to morality, is that God is supposed to provide perks in the afterlife (or in the present world). I don't see how the existence or nonexistence of any entity can create a non-perk justification for niceness. 

Comment by Teerth Aloke on Let's Go Back To Normal · 2021-05-06T10:13:30.801Z · LW · GW

I agree. Since I have been using mask, I have rarely caught cold.

Comment by Teerth Aloke on The AI Timelines Scam · 2021-05-05T11:52:39.166Z · LW · GW

Ageing?

Comment by Teerth Aloke on The AI Timelines Scam · 2021-05-04T12:38:10.525Z · LW · GW

I tilt towards rapid timeline - but I promise, my brain is not turning into mush. I have no terminal disease

Comment by Teerth Aloke on AMA: Paul Christiano, alignment researcher · 2021-05-01T09:30:46.583Z · LW · GW

Define evil. 

Comment by Teerth Aloke on Can you improve IQ by practicing IQ tests? · 2021-04-28T02:48:56.806Z · LW · GW

While I would tilt towards the 'natural' option, this question is worthy of some research.

Comment by Teerth Aloke on Best empirical evidence on better than SP500 investment returns? · 2021-04-27T14:42:48.628Z · LW · GW

I don't hold Bitcoin, friends.

Comment by Teerth Aloke on Can you improve IQ by practicing IQ tests? · 2021-04-27T14:37:42.097Z · LW · GW

Agreed. I am pretty sure practise can increase IQ scores, but people don't do it.

Comment by Teerth Aloke on Best empirical evidence on better than SP500 investment returns? · 2021-04-25T05:17:44.872Z · LW · GW

Investing some money in Bitcoin would not be a bad idea. Bitcoin is both high-risk and high-potential. 

Comment by Teerth Aloke on Estimating COVID cases & deaths in India over the coming months · 2021-04-25T04:55:00.390Z · LW · GW

Indian death counts are substantially dubious with regional and local authorities frequently giving contradictory figures. However, the general feeling is that the government figures heavily underrepresent the actual mortality. This is due to substantial increase of traffic at crematoriums and graveyards. 

Comment by Teerth Aloke on Problems of evil · 2021-04-21T14:04:35.803Z · LW · GW

Agreed.

Comment by Teerth Aloke on Problems of evil · 2021-04-21T14:03:23.413Z · LW · GW

Can you provide sources for the first statement? I couldn't follow the reasoning. How would the existence of a God create an infinite life-time?

Comment by Teerth Aloke on Problems of evil · 2021-04-19T11:19:18.962Z · LW · GW

Why, oh, why is so much ink spilt on God?

Comment by Teerth Aloke on What weird beliefs do you have? · 2021-04-17T08:40:29.467Z · LW · GW

~1/3

Comment by Teerth Aloke on What weird beliefs do you have? · 2021-04-16T09:56:22.561Z · LW · GW

That is weird.

Comment by Teerth Aloke on What weird beliefs do you have? · 2021-04-16T09:48:30.317Z · LW · GW

No. Actually I meant to say that there is atleast 1% chance of foreknowledge or involvement.

Comment by Teerth Aloke on What weird beliefs do you have? · 2021-04-14T11:47:57.636Z · LW · GW

It cannot be stated with >99% certainty that members of the Bush Administration did not have definite prior information of the events of 9/11 or played a role in it.

Comment by Teerth Aloke on How can I protect my bank account from large, surprise withdrawals? · 2021-02-24T05:25:10.553Z · LW · GW

I wonder whether anyone's confidence in our system has been slightly shaken by these events?

Comment by Teerth Aloke on What's your best alternate history utopia? · 2021-02-24T02:10:19.476Z · LW · GW

However, in my country, where we use FPTP, we have frequently got extremist parties in power. If seats had been given proportionally, they might not have got power, or would have to operate in Big Tent coalitions. In the last general election, 486(!) parties fielded candidates. Of course, most of them would not reach the threshold for representation in PR. But some of them will. That would almost always cause hung parliaments. Upside is, minorities like Muslims will get better representation. They are heavily underrepresented in legislatures due to their dispersal.

Comment by Teerth Aloke on What's your best alternate history utopia? · 2021-02-24T02:04:10.009Z · LW · GW

IRV has the problem that (a) many votes would get exhausted. However, if to control for that you impose a minimum number of choices, you would get a higher number of invalid votes. Or even donkey voting - just filling out at random. Score voting, in my opinion, better captures the reality of human preference.

Comment by Teerth Aloke on What's your best alternate history utopia? · 2021-02-23T07:26:37.551Z · LW · GW

So, if you had to choose an election system for USA, what would you choose?

Comment by Teerth Aloke on What's your best alternate history utopia? · 2021-02-23T04:31:48.589Z · LW · GW

The 1953 Iranian coup strengthened the Iranian monarchy and overthrew Mossadegh the Prime Minister. And Britain would have got Mossadegh out anyway - they were fighting on the ownership of oil installations. If a British-backed coup ended up failing, Iran would probably have been pushed into the arms of Soviet Union. (Just like Nasser in Egypt after the Suez crisis) We could have ended up with an Arab conquest of Israel - if Iran allowed Soviet forces to move into Soviet-leaning Iraq and Syria in 1967.

Comment by Teerth Aloke on What's your best alternate history utopia? · 2021-02-23T04:21:05.022Z · LW · GW

What voting method in your opinion is superior to single-member district plurality election with one vote per voter? Ranked Choice Voting, Approval Voting, Score Voting?

Comment by Teerth Aloke on Chinese History · 2021-02-20T09:20:48.422Z · LW · GW

Mongol conquests happened in China, Central Asia, Iran, East Europe etc. It was a number of different wars over a long period of time.

Comment by Teerth Aloke on Nuclear war is unlikely to cause human extinction · 2020-11-09T06:38:16.937Z · LW · GW

If a nuclear war happened, say, in 1983, what percent of people would die?

Comment by Teerth Aloke on The Treacherous Path to Rationality · 2020-11-04T14:02:49.971Z · LW · GW

Taking the pandemic seriously was not local to the rationalist community. Many people, including my father, began to take the pandemic seriously in late January. He avoided any major travel, and largely remained at home. He began to wear masks from early March, when cases were few. This is in India, not USA.

Comment by Teerth Aloke on A tale from Communist China · 2020-11-03T13:37:59.297Z · LW · GW

I agree. Some intellectuals in the West could not even condemn the execution of Lenin's comrades by Stalin on trumped up charges. I will trust no Sovietologist who tries to show that Stalin was a good person.

Comment by Teerth Aloke on How should one deal with life threatening infections or air planes? · 2020-10-29T13:32:20.166Z · LW · GW

Effective Altruism.

Comment by Teerth Aloke on A tale from Communist China · 2020-10-29T11:47:24.101Z · LW · GW

I agree, such whataboutism is not necessary. But my point remains. The 100 million killed by communism is an incorrect figure created by anticommunists with an agenda.

Comment by Teerth Aloke on How can I reconcile these COVID test false-negative numbers? · 2020-10-28T06:48:38.101Z · LW · GW

Please follow up on what you find.

Comment by Teerth Aloke on A tale from Communist China · 2020-10-28T02:11:09.321Z · LW · GW

A comparison with USA will be enlightening. I shall note that the methodology includes systematically choosing high estimates. Some of these high estimates like the prison population of USSR, the death toll of the famine stand discredited.

Comment by Teerth Aloke on A tale from Communist China · 2020-10-27T14:21:29.137Z · LW · GW

USA itself is responsible for mass murder, by bombing, in Japan, Germany, North Korea, North Vietnam, Cambodia and Laos. US-backed regimes are implicated in mass murder in Indonesia, East Pakistan, Somalia, and Guatemala. USA also backed Pol Pot, the Cambodian genocidal dictator, during and after his ouster by the Vietnamese army. And we must not forget that USA backed military juntas in Chile, Argentina, Brazil, Bolivia and Uruguay. These governments also killed thousands of opponents.