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The accelerationist and the doomer souls living in one body apparently.
How about coordinate legal actions to have chatbots banned, like ChatGPT was banned in Italy? Is it possible?
If successful this would weaken the incentive for devealopment of new AI models.
As per a survey, 7% Nigerian Christians like ISIS. That is another example of this phenomenon.
QA sessions.
Some people in this community are thinking out of the box. I fully support this, all options must be on the table.
However, one cannot make universal statements. The efficacy of violent and nonviolent methods depend upon the exact context. If someone believes in an imminent hard takeoff, and gives high credence to Doom, violent activity may be rational.
Exactly my thought, but how to get it done?
Difference in criteria.
In my understanding, this is only possible by rote memorization.
Yes, have you considered any reasonable strategy to provoke a nuclear war, as the worst-case plan to stop AI progress?
Honestly, some of these arguments are laughable, like the ones about aliens and Everett branches. I don't think that an AI would believe this.
You are contemplating suicide. Seek help.
They are looking to China, perhaps, as a new patron.
We will see in Afghanistan whether banning contraception is one of those viable policies to inflate fertility.
Admitted.
Biowarfare won't kill everyone. Nuclear war won't kill everyone. Anthropogenic global warming won't kill everyone. At worst, these will destroy civilization which, counterintuitively, makes Homo sapiens more likely to survive on the short term (century). The same goes for minor natural disasters like volcanic eruptions.
Natural disasters like giant meteors, or perhaps a gamma ray burst, are unlikely. The last time something like that happened was 66 million years ago. The odds of something similar happening in the next century are on the order of . That's small enough to ignore for the purposes of this bet. The only way everyone dies is via AI
Strongly agreed with this. The only non-infinitesimal probability of human extinction comes from an alien intelligence (like AI) actively pursuing the goal of human extinction.
It appears that Microsoft and Google are know in a high-stakes race. That somehow must be increasing the likelihood of catastrophe.
Ethnic violence is rarely one sided.
What? When? Where?
The vast majority of chicken would not have existed but for the meat industry. Would you accept that argument?
So, did it happen due to atheism?
With God, 9/11 was permitted for Mohammed Atta, Inquisition for medieval Catholics, and so on. With it was permitted the brutal massacres of the Crusaders in the Middle East (against Muslims) and in France against heretics. With Him was permitted the pogroms against Jews in medieval Europe.
You see the evils of WW2, but what caused the evils of the Thirty Year War, as a part of the European Wars of Religion? What caused evils during the brutal Arab-Islamic conquests?
Hypothetically, if you know an AI lab is very close to developing AGI which is very likely to destroy humanity, and the only way to stop it is to carry out a bomb blast on the premises of the organization, would you not do it?
From a longtermist viewpoint, even the tactic of terrorism to prevent X-Risk cannot and should not be ruled out. If the future of humanity is at stake, any laws and deontological rules can be overruled.
I didn't comprehend your purpose
Ever heard of scorched earth?
Any data for India?
To what extent can these trends be observed in other countries, I wonder?
Dispelling the one-sided narrative is necessary to build a consensus for peace negotiations
What is your assessment of reports of Russian atrocities against Ukrainian civilians? (I have come to doubt a lot of what I hear in the news)
Honest opinion
Perhaps a nuclear war today would reduce the possibility of human extinction within this century. It appears that AGI is close, without substantial progress in AI Safety. A nuclear war, would, I believe cause a major slowdown in AI progress, increasing the probability of getting an aligned AI at the end.
I am an Indian, do you think migrating Northwards should be a priority?
True, and income distribution is far less unequal.
Realistically, giving is insufficient for even a modest redistribution of wealth. Government intervention is and has been far more effective in this aspect.
It will be essentially a Secular Judaism, where the scriptures only speak of the common values to be achieved by human effort, and not about future miracles. It will be a vision that some secularized Rabbis may even agree to.
My intuition was that the prior probability of head and tails hypotheses should be 50% each. Since existence is not evidence to update in favour of any of these theories, being 100% likely under both, we end up with the 1:1 odds ratio.
A coordination committee with a clear realistic understanding will be required otherwise radicals will accept no proposal. (Case in point: Indian farmer's ongoing protest)
But what will be the demand? Without a clear demand, the strike will fail.
I don't think that will be necessary.
Indians mostly hate China, and this feeling is almost universal in the dominant party.
Yes
Hello fellow Indian.
Not just Islam. It was illegal in India 3 years back. Also, Christian majority Barbados, Antigua, Camroon, Burundi, Zambia, Zimbabwe, Namibia and a few other African countries ban homosexuality.
I got the idea. I would also update to a very short timeline (4-5 years) in the absence of slowdown in dense-network parameter growth l, and performance following the scaling trend. And I was pretty scared when GPT-3 was released. As many here, I was expected further growth in that direction very soon which did not happen. So, I am less scared now.
What will be your new median? (If you observe 32 trillion parameter model in 2023)
I consider the absence of industrial literacy a big problem.
Not living with parents as adults is increasingly common in India due to the expansion of higher education.