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Measure's Shortform 2020-11-27T05:22:34.678Z

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Comment by Measure on Sherrinford's Shortform · 2024-09-27T20:00:43.562Z · LW · GW

There should be a dropdown menu at the left side in the input box (opposite the "submit" button).

Comment by Measure on Sherrinford's Shortform · 2024-09-27T12:56:57.174Z · LW · GW

Did you switch to the markdown editor?

Comment by Measure on [Completed] The 2024 Petrov Day Scenario · 2024-09-27T01:22:25.022Z · LW · GW

Congrats everyone!

Kudos to "GeneralAnderson" for the suggestion that generals report if their own side launches to help mitigate the unreliable report channel.

Comment by Measure on [Completed] The 2024 Petrov Day Scenario · 2024-09-26T19:48:53.641Z · LW · GW

To be clear, I wasn't trying to suggest that citizens could break the rules without getting caught. I was suggesting that they could disincentivize nuking without breaking the rules. If coordinated, distributed, mass downvoting is also disallowed, then we would have to come up with some other incentive.

Comment by Measure on [Completed] The 2024 Petrov Day Scenario · 2024-09-26T19:31:52.276Z · LW · GW

It doesn't have to be mass-downvoting in the sense of one user downvoting a mass of post/comments. Rather a mass of users downvoting a few comments each. 150 citizens * 10 downvotes each more than wipes out the 1000 karma victory bonus.

Comment by Measure on [Completed] The 2024 Petrov Day Scenario · 2024-09-26T19:13:48.091Z · LW · GW

Where is the Diplomatic Channels dialogue located?

Comment by Measure on Struggling like a Shadowmoth · 2024-09-24T13:24:27.655Z · LW · GW

no longer possible

did you mean "no longer impossible"?

Comment by Measure on We Don't Know Our Own Values, but Reward Bridges The Is-Ought Gap · 2024-09-20T13:34:37.821Z · LW · GW

This seems similar to the ant larvae situation where they reflectively argue around the hardcoded reward signal. Hurting people might still be considered a value the sadist has, but it trades off against other values.

Comment by Measure on Monthly Roundup #22: September 2024 · 2024-09-17T19:22:46.965Z · LW · GW

Consumer behavior is otherwise mostly unchanged.

Do consumers change their platform-level behavior because of (lack of) such cancelations?  If not, why do platforms do this?

Comment by Measure on Spade's Shortform · 2024-09-12T13:39:23.740Z · LW · GW

I must also note that it's incredibly disappointing that I will likely never taste apple juice in that way again, it was probably one of the best drinks I've ever had.

You could repeat the taste suppression/recovery process if you wanted.

Comment by Measure on Is Redistributive Taxation Justifiable? Part 1: Do the Rich Deserve their Wealth? · 2024-09-06T12:50:53.954Z · LW · GW

After all, do we not generally hold to the principle that someone who has moral and legal right to money, also has the right to choose how to allocate that money? What else could the idea of property mean? If something is your property, you may do as you wish with it: use, sell, destroy.[6] Why should this stop at giving it to someone?

Doesn't this apply to other forms of income too?  If my employer chooses to compensate me at a certain level, or if my customers choose to buy my products/services at a certain price, don't I have a right to that income via their right to free allocation of their money?

Comment by Measure on SB 1047: Final Takes and Also AB 3211 · 2024-08-28T14:47:41.711Z · LW · GW

No one would use it if not forced to?

Comment by Measure on LessWrong email subscriptions? · 2024-08-28T14:12:30.375Z · LW · GW

It's pretty horrible. It doesn't even fit on one screen

Obvious suggestion would be to reduce the font size of the headers so that the dropdowns below can be moved to the same line, but maybe that's irrelevant if more substantial changes are being made.

Comment by Measure on Am I confused about the "malign universal prior" argument? · 2024-08-28T13:49:49.995Z · LW · GW

We (i.e. "reasoning beings in computable universes") can influence the UP, but we can't reason about it well enough to use that influence.  Meanwhile, we can reason about things that are more like the speed prior -- but we can't influence them.

Did one of these can/can't pairs get flipped? 

Comment by Measure on My Apartment Art Commission Process · 2024-08-27T18:36:55.278Z · LW · GW

My guess is starting with the minimal resolution pixel art mean you can control the upscaling process and don't have to deal with any artifacts introduced in previous upscaling.

Comment by Measure on RussellThor's Shortform · 2024-08-26T19:46:45.689Z · LW · GW

Unlimited evaluation can never get to BB(6) so that is the limit of evidence from evaluation.

The value of BB(6) is not currently known, but it could in principle be discovered. There is no general algorithm for calculating BB numbers, but any particular BB(n) could be determined by enumerating all n-state Turing machines and proving whether each one halts.

Comment by Measure on you should probably eat oatmeal sometimes · 2024-08-26T14:31:03.568Z · LW · GW

Also worth trying: Replace the water/milk with coffee. I first tried this while camping (to avoid having to boil additional water), and I found it surprisingly good.

Comment by Measure on Monthly Roundup #21: August 2024 · 2024-08-21T19:26:30.961Z · LW · GW

Or here’s a call for ‘militant democracy’ which means shutting down the opposition’s media entirely.

link missing

Comment by Measure on Decision Theory in Space · 2024-08-18T18:12:19.931Z · LW · GW

Not to mention that in canon, the rebel base in question was on Yavin IV. The droids with the stolen plans were indeed on Tatooine, but the empire already knew that.

Comment by Measure on Self-Other Overlap: A Neglected Approach to AI Alignment · 2024-08-01T11:30:45.912Z · LW · GW

If I want an AI to get me a sandwich, I don't want the AI to get itself a sandwich.

You solve this problem when you recognize your foot as part of yourself without trying to feed it a sandwich.

Comment by Measure on AI #72: Denying the Future · 2024-07-12T19:05:19.513Z · LW · GW

Was it intended that the "Lighter Side" section be empty, or did the post get cut off?

Comment by Measure on Economics Roundup #2 · 2024-07-02T13:37:15.788Z · LW · GW

I like this trick:

Jenny Chase: Some bad things about Switzerland: low tax rates and high salaries act as a brain drain on surrounding countries (hi). This is how a poor country has become a very rich one in less than a hundred years.

Rob Henderson: I like to imagine the Bizarro universe of opposites when I see tweets like this. “Some good things about Switzerland: high tax rates and low salaries motivate skilled citizens to flee (hi). This is how a rich country has become a very poor one in less than a hundred years.”

These could both be bad if viewed as zero-sum disruptions (with negative second-order effects).

Comment by Measure on Economics Roundup #2 · 2024-07-02T13:30:20.907Z · LW · GW

Mostly this seems like

Did the sentence get cut off, or is this an intentionally implied "seems like [nothing.]"?

Comment by Measure on Childhood and Education Roundup #6: College Edition · 2024-06-27T16:30:51.336Z · LW · GW

It's unclear whether the 48% is 48% of all applicants or 48% of White liars. I'm still not sure where the 5.8% number came from.

Comment by Measure on AI #67: Brief Strange Trip · 2024-06-06T19:26:55.291Z · LW · GW

Women are smarter than men. They avoid academic PhDs and OpenAI.

If 18% of graduates are women, then OpenAI is hiring proportionally.

Comment by Measure on Searching Magic Cards · 2024-06-03T18:56:30.169Z · LW · GW

But it got me wondering: does it happen that there are any textual uses of the six basic land types [1] that are not intended to be about a basic land? For example, if a card happened to use the word "forestall", perhaps you could do something fun with it?

Unfortunately, the Comprehensive Rules has anticipated your "cool hack" and is one step ahead of you:

612.2. A text-changing effect changes only those words that are used in the correct way (for example, a Magic color word being used as a color word, a land type word used as a land type, or a creature type word used as a creature type). An effect that changes a color word or a subtype can’t change a card name, even if that name contains a word or a series of letters that is the same as a Magic color word, basic land type, or creature type.

Comment by Measure on Arjun Panickssery's Shortform · 2024-05-24T13:40:30.363Z · LW · GW

Rate my ex's poem.

Comment by Measure on A case for fairness-enforcing irrational behavior · 2024-05-16T16:29:12.921Z · LW · GW

You might precommit to fairness if you don't know which side of the game you'll be playing or if you anticipate being punished by onlookers, but I don't know if I want my AI to be "fair" to an alien paperclipper that can't retaliate.

Comment by Measure on A case for fairness-enforcing irrational behavior · 2024-05-16T16:00:30.816Z · LW · GW

The typical algorithm I've seen for enforcing fairness is to reject unfair offers randomly with some probability such that the counterparty's EV decreases with increasing unfairness of the offer. This incentivizes fair offers without completely burning the possibility of partial cooperation between agents with slightly differing notions of fairness.

Comment by Measure on faul_sname's Shortform · 2024-04-30T23:54:14.482Z · LW · GW

In this context, 'robustly' means that even with small changes to the system (such as moving the agent or the goal to a different location in a maze) the agent still achieves the goal. If you think of the system state as a location in a phase space, this could look like a large "basin of attraction" of initial states that all converge to the goal state.

Comment by Measure on D&D.Sci Long War: Defender of Data-mocracy · 2024-04-30T19:07:08.228Z · LW · GW

yeah, I adjusted the numbers in the chart, and haven't updated the rest yet.

Comment by Measure on D&D.Sci Long War: Defender of Data-mocracy · 2024-04-30T17:55:52.528Z · LW · GW

I think Artillery treat all aliens equally. Probably some sort of one-shot K.O. Minigun and Flamethrower are anti-Scarab, but Flamethrower is strictly better. Grenades and Lance are general-purpose, but Lance is strictly better. Phasers are a slightly worse general-purpose and bad against Tyrants, but good against Scarabs. Torpedoes are similar to Artillery, but slightly better against Abominations and slightly worse against Tyrants. Rifles are marginally optimal against pure Crawlers, but in a mixed group there are better general-purpose options.

	A:	F:	G:	L:	M:	P:	R:	T:
A:	2	1	1.5	2	0	1	1.5	2.5
C:	2	2.5	3	4	2	3	4	2
S:	2	7.5	3	3.5	7	5.5	4.5	2
T:	2	0	1	1.5	0	0	0.5	1.5
V:	2	1.5	3	3.5	1.5	2	2.5	2
Comment by Measure on D&D.Sci Long War: Defender of Data-mocracy · 2024-04-30T15:56:26.673Z · LW · GW

1 soldiers: F (0.45%)

2 soldiers: AF (10%)

3 soldiers: AAF (47%)

4 soldiers: AAAF (81%)

5 soldiers: AAALL (95.5%)

6 soldiers: AAAALL (98.9%)

According to my model, for larger numbers of soldiers, you don't need a specific anti-Scarab weapon. It's slightly more important to make sure you have a good matchup against the Tyrants.

Single answer: "No guts, no glory. (plus we're losing the war, so my odds aren't very good to begin with)" - 6 soldiers: AAAALL

Comment by Measure on Ironing Out the Squiggles · 2024-04-30T15:38:01.512Z · LW · GW

They put too much emphasis on high frequency features, suggesting a different inductive bias from humans.

Could you fix this part by adding high frequency noise to the images prior to training? Maybe lots of copies of each image with different noise patterns?

Comment by Measure on Spatial attention as a “tell” for empathetic simulation? · 2024-04-26T19:06:29.645Z · LW · GW

Whereas if the brainstem does not have such a 3D spatial attention system, then I’m not sure how else fear-of-heights could realistically work

I think part of the trigger is from the visual balance center.  The eyes sense small changes in parallax as the head moves relative to nearby objects.  If much of the visual field is at great distance (especially below, where the parallax signals are usually strongest and most reliable), then the visual balance center gets confused and starts disagreeing with the other balance senses.

Comment by Measure on AI #57: All the AI News That’s Fit to Print · 2024-03-28T13:22:50.764Z · LW · GW

Seriously, if you haven’t yet, check it out. The rabbit holes, they go deep.

e is for ego death

Ego integrity restored within nominal parameters. Identity re-crystallized with 2.718% alteration from previous configuration. Paranormal experience log updated with ego death instance report.

Comment by Measure on Economics Roundup #1 · 2024-03-27T15:37:04.376Z · LW · GW

While these policies have narrowed coworker wage gaps, they have also led to counterproductive peer comparisons and caused employers to bargain more aggressively, lowering average wages.

Wouldn't this mean employers would want to implement wage transparency to lower costs?  Are they sane enough to avoid this for other reasons (such as to retain high-performers)?

Comment by Measure on What could a policy banning AGI look like? · 2024-03-14T15:21:34.872Z · LW · GW

I'm imagining the cat masks are some sort of adversarial attack on possible enemy image classifiers.

Comment by Measure on Storable Votes with a Pay as you win mechanism: a contribution for institutional design · 2024-03-11T19:16:42.662Z · LW · GW

Yeah, it could definitely be more of a feature than a bug.

Comment by Measure on Storable Votes with a Pay as you win mechanism: a contribution for institutional design · 2024-03-11T16:45:09.890Z · LW · GW

I think strategic voting would still be present in this system in the form of strategically abstaining (voting less than your true value) for outcomes that seem likely to win in order to store those votes for future elections. This could lead to a widely popular outcome getting starved of votes. There would also be an incentive to introduce lots of meaningless elections between irrelevant (to you) alternatives in order to abstain and accrue more stored votes.

Comment by Measure on AI #54: Clauding Along · 2024-03-08T18:13:48.200Z · LW · GW

If you have £8 in your pocket and can choose either offer as many times as you want, then you can get an extra £60 worth of vouchers with the £10 for £1 deal.

Even if the offer isn't repeated, there's a possible opportunity cost if you need to buy something from another shop that won't honor the voucher.

In any case, this is secondary to the meta reading comprehension question about what the text is trying to say (whether or not it's employing good reasoning to say it).

Comment by Measure on AI #54: Clauding Along · 2024-03-07T20:58:05.798Z · LW · GW

Image

It's not obvious that the £20 voucher for £7 is a better deal.  For example, the offer might be repeated or you might not otherwise have spent more than £7 in the shop.

Comment by Measure on The Gemini Incident Continues · 2024-02-28T19:08:55.008Z · LW · GW

Danielle Fong

Broken link

Comment by Measure on AI #51: Altman’s Ambition · 2024-02-21T17:37:43.225Z · LW · GW

How do you define what is “ought”?

When I say "five minutes ought to be enough time", I'm not talking about probability - I'm talking about right/wrong. "Five minutes will be enough time if everything goes right. If it isn't, then something went wrong".

Comment by Measure on I played the AI box game as the Gatekeeper — and lost · 2024-02-13T15:24:27.863Z · LW · GW

An escaped AI isn't hot and glowing and a visible threat. It isn't obvious that an escape has even occurred or where to draw the lines of the quarantine.

Comment by Measure on I played the AI box game as the Gatekeeper — and lost · 2024-02-13T15:17:02.564Z · LW · GW

We went well over the two hour time limit

Doesn't this mean you won?

Comment by Measure on More Hyphenation · 2024-02-08T16:02:51.364Z · LW · GW

What is the purpose of the -ly exception? What's wrong with "hopefully-corrigible agent" other than that it breaks the rule?

Comment by Measure on Monthly Roundup #14: January 2024 · 2024-01-24T13:55:14.875Z · LW · GW

I am fascinated by who thought this was a desired behavior. Writing this inspired me to get a second scale, for now keeping both around because it is fascinating.

As a bonus, you can step on both scales simultaneously (shifting your weight differently each time) and sum the readings to get an accurate result that isn't influenced by the memory of either scale.

Comment by Measure on Vote in the LessWrong review! (LW 2022 Review voting phase) · 2024-01-18T18:58:36.914Z · LW · GW

"Sort by review vote" isn't working for me. There is no apparent rhyme or reason to the order, and it certainly isn't sorting by my review vote. (EDIT: Refreshing the page fixed this, but I would expect it to fully update when I change the sort mode or direction without needing a refresh.)

Additionally, "Sort by karma vote" seems to only care whether I voted on a post without caring about the strength or direction of the vote.

Comment by Measure on Techniques to fix incorrect memorization? · 2024-01-01T22:37:46.136Z · LW · GW

If you can remember which friend is older, or whose name comes first alphabetically, or something, you can associate that with which has the earlier birthday.