Do bond yield curve inversions really indicate there is likely to be a recession?

2019-07-10T01:23:36.250Z · score: 22 (8 votes)

What is the best online community for questions about AI capabilities?

2019-05-31T15:38:11.678Z · score: 4 (2 votes)
Comment by bgold on Quotes from Moral Mazes · 2019-05-30T20:26:15.707Z · score: 3 (2 votes) · LW · GW

This is great, I also had struggled reading Moral Mazes and I appreciate the selected quotes.

For a more readable, modern treatment of the subject I strongly recommend Power: Why Some People Have It - And Others Don't. The author draws heavily from Moral Mazes as well as other case studies.

What's the best approach to curating a newsfeed to maximize useful contrasting POV?

2019-04-26T17:29:30.806Z · score: 28 (5 votes)

How do S-Risk scenarios impact the decision to get cryonics?

2019-04-21T15:59:50.342Z · score: 6 (3 votes)
Comment by bgold on What is a reasonable outside view for the fate of social movements? · 2019-01-04T00:58:55.922Z · score: 12 (6 votes) · LW · GW

Off the cuff:

  • Temperance movement in the United States
  • Much of the radical left movement from the 60s to the 70s (ex. Students for a Democratic Society -> Weatherman)
  • Georgism
  • The Shakers

Another useful line of inquiry might be factoring out what success for a social movement looks like, find social movements that "succeeded", and see what happened to the social movements they were competing against.

Comment by bgold on Oops on Commodity Prices · 2018-06-12T21:27:04.172Z · score: 17 (3 votes) · LW · GW

+1 for noting mistake and for noting the importance of being bold, and asking questions and sharing models even when you're uncertain.

Your use of the Epistemic status tag - which I think /u/gwern pioneered? - seems good for balancing the value of sharing models while preventing polluting the "idea space" with potentially misleading/untrue things.