Posts

Comments

Comment by Leon Lang (leon-lang) on March Coronavirus Open Thread · 2020-03-15T16:48:59.208Z · LW · GW

Is there anything precise known about the distribution over the severity of symptoms I should expect as a 20-30 year old? I'm in that age-group, that's why I'm interested.

So, what I'd like to know specifically, conditional on being infected, is:

  • How likely would I be asymptomatic?
  • How likely would I have symptoms not more severe than the common cold?
  • How likely would symptoms comparable in severity to the flu (being mostly in the bed for maybe 2 weeks but nothing more)?
  • How likely would I have mild to moderate pneumonia with which I could still stay at home?
  • How likely would I need to go into the hospital and receive oxygen, but no mechanical ventilation?
  • How likely would I need mechanical ventilation?
  • How likely is it I might die even if I receive mechanical ventilation?