Posts

GreaterWrong Arbital Viewer 2019-06-28T06:32:22.278Z · score: 61 (14 votes)
What societies have ever had legal or accepted blackmail? 2019-03-17T09:16:55.560Z · score: 33 (10 votes)
An alternative way to browse LessWrong 2.0 2018-02-19T01:52:06.462Z · score: 104 (33 votes)

Comments

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Comment section from 05/19/2019 · 2020-01-29T10:57:06.196Z · score: 5 (2 votes) · LW · GW

The entire HBD community is seen as racist pseudoscientists by many.

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Bay Solstice 2019 Retrospective · 2020-01-17T05:35:52.292Z · score: 16 (6 votes) · LW · GW

Could someone explain what the "Eliezer bit" actually was, for those of us who weren't there?

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Free Speech and Triskaidekaphobic Calculators: A Reply to Hubinger on the Relevance of Public Online Discussion to Existential Risk · 2020-01-04T18:29:53.423Z · score: 16 (4 votes) · LW · GW

As a semi-outsider, rationalists seem remarkably unlikely to altruistically punish each other for this sort of casual betrayal. (This is a significant part of why I've chosen to remain a semi-outsider by only participating online.)

Comment by clone-of-saturn on What cognitive biases feel like from the inside · 2020-01-03T21:51:07.392Z · score: 7 (7 votes) · LW · GW

I'm going to assume this is a false flag attack on conflict theory by an insane, terroristic mistake theorist.

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Dominic Cummings: "we’re hiring data scientists, project managers, policy experts, assorted weirdos" · 2020-01-03T02:36:52.558Z · score: 7 (5 votes) · LW · GW

But Schelling's whole point was about how it's virtually impossible to separate those two things.

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Meta-discussion from "Circling as Cousin to Rationality" · 2020-01-02T03:07:35.611Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Oh, I see. Yes, I was assuming in the context of this discussion that X is something you hadn't already thought of, and do find relevant.

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Meta-discussion from "Circling as Cousin to Rationality" · 2020-01-02T02:33:37.678Z · score: 4 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Probably? Commentary is useful because most of us aren't smart enough to anticipate all possible criticisms and responses to those criticisms.

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Meta-discussion from "Circling as Cousin to Rationality" · 2020-01-02T01:22:08.070Z · score: 4 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Yes, I disagree with that as stated, although I would agree with a slightly softened version that replaced "the author should be interpreted as ignorant" with "the post should be regarded as less trustworthy".

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Meta-discussion from "Circling as Cousin to Rationality" · 2020-01-02T00:05:45.879Z · score: 23 (7 votes) · LW · GW

To be clear, I don't interpret a lack of any response as anything other than a sign that the author has a busy life. What I take as strong evidence of the author being incapable of giving a proper response is when there's a back-and-forth in which the author never directly responds to the original question.

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Meta-discussion from "Circling as Cousin to Rationality" · 2020-01-01T06:31:25.808Z · score: 40 (21 votes) · LW · GW

My experience has been that the usual reason these threads are unproductive, when they are, is simply because the author doesn't have a sensible answer. Unpleasant as it may be for the rest of us, Said is doing us a great service by revealing this fact.

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Programmers Should Plan For Lower Pay · 2019-12-31T22:24:10.430Z · score: 6 (3 votes) · LW · GW

Yes, my immediate assumption was that they have a strong filter on who they teach. I don't find it terribly implausible that someone would know 15 people who are smart enough to code. But I think they're going to be unpleasantly surprised if they start teaching strangers from the public library.

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Programmers Should Plan For Lower Pay · 2019-12-29T08:57:52.274Z · score: 25 (8 votes) · LW · GW

I don't think your experiment gives much evidence that "anybody" can learn coding, just that it isn't very strongly correlated with social status.

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Is Causality in the Map or the Territory? · 2019-12-18T21:41:52.833Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW
  • This probably isn’t quite right, but “current sources” are in some sense a bit fictitious. The defining feature is that they maintain constant current regardless of the load placed across the terminals, but in practice, you can set up a device that behaves like that by supplying whatever voltage is necessary to maintain a fixed current. So you can model a “current-source” as “a device which adapts its voltage difference to produce constant current”, which is compatible with a “voltage causes current” paradigm.
    • All real current sources have a limited range they can operate over dependent on how much voltage they can supply. If you had a truly ideal current source, you’d have an infinite energy machine.

This is all true, however, voltage sources are equally fictitious, and a truly ideal voltage source would also be an infinite energy machine. As you increase the load, a real-life voltage source will start to behave more like a current source (and eventually like a smoke generating machine).

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Open & Welcome Thread - December 2019 · 2019-12-18T05:53:42.724Z · score: 9 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Maybe this one? https://meltingasphalt.com/here-be-sermons/

Comment by clone-of-saturn on ialdabaoth is banned · 2019-12-14T00:39:15.307Z · score: 10 (7 votes) · LW · GW

My understanding is that the epistemic concern is "after writing the affordance widths post, he would tell young women he needed to do BDSM stuff they weren't comfortable with in order to stay within his affordance width." And similar things for some of his other posts. I'm not sure why the OP was so vague about this.

Edit: and he also managed to fool members of CFAR with a similar line.

We believe that Brent is fundamentally oriented towards helping people grow to be the best versions of themselves. In this way he is aligned with CFAR’s goals and strategy and should be seen as an ally.

In particular, Brent is quite good at breaking out of standard social frames and making use of unconventional techniques and strategies. This includes things that have Chesterton’s fences attached, such as drug use, weird storytelling, etc. A lot of his aesthetic is dark, and this sometimes makes him come across as evil or machiavellian.

Brent also embodies a rare kind of agency and sense of heroic responsibility. This has caused him to take the lead in certain events and be an important community hub and driver. The flip side of this is that because Brent is deeply insecure, he has to constantly fight urges to seize power and protect himself. It often takes costly signalling for him to trust that someone is an ally, and even then it’s shaky.

Brent is a controversial figure, and disliked by many. This has led to him being attacked by many and held to a higher standard than most. In these ways his feelings of insecurity are justified. He also has had a hard life, including a traumatic childhood. Much of the reason people don’t like him comes from a kind of intuition or aesthetic feeling, rather than his actions per se.

Comment by clone-of-saturn on ialdabaoth is banned · 2019-12-13T08:36:42.705Z · score: 20 (7 votes) · LW · GW

https://medium.com/@mittenscautious

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Effect of Advertising · 2019-11-26T21:24:10.559Z · score: 4 (2 votes) · LW · GW

If reviewers would indeed be more trustworthy, I don't see why they couldn't take over the function of letting interested people know about new products etc. that you say would go away.

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Double Cruz and Verification of Claims · 2019-11-22T10:26:22.289Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Double crux is only meant to resolve a disagreement between two people, it wouldn't let third parties verify anything unless they all happened to share the same cruxes.

Comment by clone-of-saturn on The LessWrong 2018 Review · 2019-11-22T08:18:51.951Z · score: 43 (11 votes) · LW · GW

I've added support for this on GreaterWrong; you can view nominated posts here and all 2018 posts here.

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Realism about rationality · 2019-11-22T07:52:26.475Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Testing, ignore this

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Insights from the randomness/ignorance model are genuine · 2019-11-14T01:24:03.508Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Could you explain why the Doomsday argument answer seems absurd, or why I don't have to be a human who was actually born?

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Experiments and Consent · 2019-11-11T09:54:28.989Z · score: 18 (6 votes) · LW · GW

Humans are known to be extremely bad at this kind of task (passively watching something for hours while remaining ready to respond to danger within a few seconds) and Uber should have known this. If Uber wanted to go ahead with this bad strategy anyway, it should have screened its employees to make sure they were capable of the task they were given.

Comment by clone-of-saturn on The Technique Taboo · 2019-11-01T04:49:38.699Z · score: 4 (2 votes) · LW · GW

How prestigious were these art classes?

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Door Ideas · 2019-10-27T08:22:44.874Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Another option would be an accordion-style door with hinges in the middle, which folds into the little space next to the doorway.

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Open & Welcome Thread - October 2019 · 2019-10-25T05:05:05.392Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Literally no one is rational enough to actually reach Aumann agreement on anything but a simple toy problem. See https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/JdK3kr4ug9kJvKzGy/probability-space-and-aumann-agreement

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Open & Welcome Thread - October 2019 · 2019-10-24T07:08:37.360Z · score: 6 (3 votes) · LW · GW

Aumann's agreement theorem is an extremely bad basis for any kind of couples therapy...

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Deleted · 2019-10-24T05:25:28.038Z · score: 3 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Something like quasi-realist Hobbesian contractualism.

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Deleted · 2019-10-24T02:54:13.128Z · score: 18 (6 votes) · LW · GW

Utilitarianism, and most forms of consequentialism, are not just normatively wrong but also logically incoherent.

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Chris_Leong's Shortform · 2019-10-23T23:35:35.077Z · score: 4 (2 votes) · LW · GW

how did Marx view a village cobbler who owned his workshop and all his tools? Hated exploiter of his neighbours?

https://www.marxists.org/archive/marx/works/1847/communist-league/1850-ad1.htm

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Deleted · 2019-10-23T22:52:46.158Z · score: 3 (2 votes) · LW · GW

It seems like it would've been more productive to set up an anonymous google form or similar (like this recent EA forum one).

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Deleted · 2019-10-22T23:09:57.537Z · score: 2 (4 votes) · LW · GW

It seems fairly uncontroversial to say that the list of countries with mandatory national service doesn't seem like a list of countries that are notoriously terrible.

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Does the body have an almost infinite number of potential positions? · 2019-10-22T20:51:00.726Z · score: 4 (2 votes) · LW · GW

What would it mean for the statement to be false? What would a body with a finite number of potential positions be like?

Comment by clone-of-saturn on "Mild Hallucination" Test · 2019-10-14T07:52:01.255Z · score: 3 (2 votes) · LW · GW

I don't have any clear explanation. I noticed them before I ever tried meditation or drugs. It's possible that I'm neurodivergent but I'm not sure.

Comment by clone-of-saturn on "Mild Hallucination" Test · 2019-10-14T07:39:42.270Z · score: 3 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Yes, I meant #1. It's only noticeable with my eyes open when I look at a textureless dark surface. If I sit with my eyes closed and concentrate on the visual snow for several minutes, it will usually progress to level 2 or 3 described here. But that goes away immediately when I open my eyes, unless the surroundings are completely dark.

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Social Class · 2019-10-12T02:29:08.846Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

So this is a write-up of discussion points brought up at a meetup, it’s not intended to be a comprehensive overview about every single thing about social class.

Okay... but it still seems like a surprising omission. I'm only familiar with two concepts of class, the somewhat vacuous American one where everyone is middle class (which you seem to be criticizing) and the Marxist one.

it’s now pretty common to be wealthy without owning any productive capital

I would have thought almost all wealthy people own either stocks or real estate... what do you mean by this?

Comment by clone-of-saturn on A simple sketch of how realism became unpopular · 2019-10-12T02:12:38.829Z · score: 21 (8 votes) · LW · GW

It's relatively easy to be a master ninja of philosophy relative to anyone in 1710, because you've had a chance to crib from the work of all the smartest people who've lived since then.

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Social Class · 2019-10-11T20:18:45.601Z · score: 11 (2 votes) · LW · GW

No mention of selling your labor versus owning productive capital or state-granted monopoly rights?

Comment by clone-of-saturn on "Mild Hallucination" Test · 2019-10-11T18:38:49.424Z · score: 7 (2 votes) · LW · GW

I could already see all 3 of these.

Comment by clone-of-saturn on What do the baby eaters tell us about ethics? · 2019-10-07T08:58:17.679Z · score: 4 (2 votes) · LW · GW

How would you know if you had?

Comment by clone-of-saturn on The first step of rationality · 2019-09-30T21:54:00.015Z · score: 5 (3 votes) · LW · GW

I think it's completely fair to describe that as "sexual misconduct."

Comment by clone-of-saturn on The first step of rationality · 2019-09-29T21:26:36.217Z · score: 7 (4 votes) · LW · GW

Also related: https://engagedharma.net/2019/08/19/culadasa-charged-with-sexual-misconduct/

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Feature Wish List for LessWrong · 2019-09-27T11:36:56.281Z · score: 7 (3 votes) · LW · GW

I added web push notifications to GreaterWrong, you can activate them on your inbox page. If your browser and device have the proper support, they should show up even when you don't have a GreaterWrong tab open.

This is pretty experimental, let me know how it works for you.

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Honoring Petrov Day on LessWrong, in 2019 · 2019-09-27T03:41:52.081Z · score: 1 (7 votes) · LW · GW

Good point. We're unlucky that nuclear war didn't break out in 1983.

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Feature Wish List for LessWrong · 2019-09-20T07:06:48.758Z · score: 5 (2 votes) · LW · GW

I want to see a backlink feature, so people can find replies to a post that aren’t in the form of a comment.

Added to GreaterWrong.

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Feature Wish List for LessWrong · 2019-09-17T04:40:13.793Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Thanks! While I have you here, any rea­son why vot­ing is dis­abled in the in­box and re­cent com­ments on GW?

Voting from recent comments was enabled for a while, but Said objected to it because he thought people might vote on comments in a knee-jerk way without understanding the context. For the inbox, though, it's more of an oversight (I just never missed having the buttons there).

Also, I sub­mit­ted a fea­ture re­quest on the GW is­sue tracker to dis­play AF karma (the num­bers next to the Omega signs on LW).

Sure, that should be doable. Originally I thought it would require two independent sets of voting buttons, which seemed too weird and confusing, but it looks like that's not actually the case.

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Feature Wish List for LessWrong · 2019-09-17T03:01:20.533Z · score: 5 (2 votes) · LW · GW

I sug­gest a “I already replied” in­di­ca­tor for mes­sages in my in­box.

Added to GreaterWrong.

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Divergence on Evidence Due to Differing Priors - A Political Case Study · 2019-09-17T02:08:51.252Z · score: 16 (6 votes) · LW · GW

It's probably worth noting that the two tweets don't actually contradict each other.

Comment by clone-of-saturn on Realism and Rationality · 2019-09-16T08:25:47.927Z · score: 17 (8 votes) · LW · GW

It seems like you've set up a dichotomy between there being universally compelling normative statements versus normative statements being meaningless, but what about the position that specific subsets of possible statements are compelling to specific people? Would that be realist, anti-realist, or neither?

Comment by clone-of-saturn on The Power to Demolish Bad Arguments · 2019-09-05T06:15:02.164Z · score: 3 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Right, but what's their motivation for transferring their wealth in this way?

Comment by clone-of-saturn on The Power to Demolish Bad Arguments · 2019-09-05T03:03:49.986Z · score: 3 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Could you explain why shareholders are subsidizing Uber drivers, in your opinion?