Slatestarcodex Meetup Hamburg 2019-11-17 2019-10-27T22:29:27.835Z · score: 7 (1 votes)
Welcome to SSC Hamburg [Edit With Your Details] 2019-09-24T21:35:10.473Z · score: 8 (2 votes)
Slatestarcodex Meetup in Hamburg, Germany 2019-09-09T21:42:25.576Z · score: 7 (1 votes)
Percent reduction of gun-related deaths by color of gun. 2019-08-06T20:28:56.134Z · score: 7 (1 votes)
Open Thread April 2018 2018-04-06T21:02:38.311Z · score: 14 (4 votes)
Intercellular competition and the inevitability of multicellular aging 2017-11-04T12:32:54.879Z · score: 1 (1 votes)
Polling Thread October 2017 2017-10-07T21:32:00.810Z · score: 3 (3 votes)
[Slashdot] We're Not Living in a Computer Simulation, New Research Shows 2017-10-03T10:10:07.587Z · score: 1 (1 votes)
Interpreting Deep Neural Networks using Cognitive Psychology (DeepMind) 2017-07-10T21:09:51.777Z · score: 1 (1 votes)
Using Machine Learning to Explore Neural Network Architecture (Google Research Blog) 2017-06-29T20:42:00.214Z · score: 0 (0 votes)
Does your machine mind? Ethics and potential bias in the law of algorithms 2017-06-28T22:08:26.279Z · score: 0 (0 votes)
From data to decisions: Processing information, biases, and beliefs for improved management of natural resources and environments 2017-05-08T21:47:35.097Z · score: 1 (2 votes)
Introduction to Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations (LIME) 2017-02-09T08:29:40.668Z · score: 4 (5 votes)
Interview with Nassim Taleb 'Trump makes sense to a grocery store owner' 2017-02-08T21:52:21.606Z · score: 1 (2 votes)
Slate Star Codex Notes on the Asilomar Conference on Beneficial AI 2017-02-07T12:14:46.189Z · score: 13 (14 votes)
Polling Thread January 2017 2017-01-22T23:26:15.964Z · score: 1 (2 votes)
Could a Neuroscientist Understand a Microprocessor? 2017-01-20T12:40:04.553Z · score: 10 (10 votes)
Scott Adams mentions Prediction Markets and explains Cognitive Blindness bias 2016-12-20T21:23:33.468Z · score: 3 (4 votes)
Take the Rationality Test to determine your rational thinking style 2016-12-09T23:10:00.251Z · score: 3 (3 votes)
OpenAI releases Universe an interface between AI agents and the real world 2016-12-07T22:04:32.139Z · score: 2 (3 votes)
Slashdot: study Finds Little Lies Lead To Bigger Ones 2016-10-26T06:53:29.557Z · score: 0 (1 votes)
Scientists Create AI Program That Can Predict Human Rights Trials With 79 Percent Accuracy 2016-10-26T06:47:49.124Z · score: 0 (1 votes)
US tech giants found Partnership on AI to Benefit People and Society to ensure AI is developed safely and ethically 2016-09-29T20:39:48.969Z · score: 4 (5 votes)
Open Thread May 23 - May 29, 2016 2016-05-22T21:11:56.868Z · score: 4 (5 votes)
Open Thread March 21 - March 27, 2016 2016-03-20T19:54:49.073Z · score: 3 (4 votes)
[Link] Using Stories to Teach Human Values to Artificial Agents 2016-02-21T20:07:47.994Z · score: 1 (2 votes)
Polling Thread January 2016 2016-01-03T17:43:17.911Z · score: 4 (7 votes)
Life Advice Repository 2015-10-18T12:08:04.730Z · score: 9 (10 votes)
Crazy Ideas Thread - October 2015 2015-10-06T22:38:06.480Z · score: 7 (8 votes)
Polling Thread - Tutorial 2015-10-01T21:47:38.805Z · score: 5 (6 votes)
Meetup : LessWrong Hamburg 2015 Q4 2015-09-22T20:54:35.430Z · score: 1 (2 votes)
Meetup : LessWrong Hamburg 2015-09-22T20:43:30.553Z · score: 1 (2 votes)
[Link] Marek Rosa: Announcing GoodAI 2015-09-14T21:48:15.364Z · score: 6 (7 votes)
Group rationality diary for July 12th - August 1st 2015 2015-07-26T23:31:05.196Z · score: 6 (7 votes)
LessWrong Hamburg Meetup July 2015 Summary 2015-07-18T23:13:20.023Z · score: 7 (8 votes)
List of Fully General Counterarguments 2015-07-18T21:49:41.608Z · score: 9 (10 votes)
Biases and Fallacies Game Cards 2015-07-15T08:19:35.453Z · score: 7 (8 votes)
Crazy Ideas Thread 2015-07-07T21:40:48.931Z · score: 22 (23 votes)
Meetup : LessWrong Hamburg 2015-06-25T23:40:50.966Z · score: 3 (4 votes)
[Link] Self-Representation in Girard’s System U 2015-06-18T23:22:21.142Z · score: 2 (9 votes)
[Link] Robots Program People 2015-06-15T08:42:11.732Z · score: 2 (3 votes)
European Community Weekend 2015 Impressions Thread 2015-06-14T20:21:05.673Z · score: 19 (20 votes)
Summary of my Participation in the Good Judgment Project 2015-06-03T21:51:07.821Z · score: 7 (8 votes)
[Link] Throwback Thursday: Are asteroids dangerous? 2015-05-23T08:00:24.415Z · score: 1 (2 votes)
[link] Bayesian inference with probabilistic population codes 2015-05-13T21:11:05.519Z · score: 10 (10 votes)
[Link] Death with Dignity by Scott Adams 2015-05-12T21:34:49.246Z · score: 5 (5 votes)
When does technological enhancement feel natural and acceptable? 2015-05-01T21:11:11.164Z · score: 8 (5 votes)
[link] The surprising downsides of being clever 2015-04-18T20:33:12.086Z · score: 1 (6 votes)
Effective Sustainability - results from a meetup discussion 2015-03-29T22:15:10.978Z · score: 9 (12 votes)
Meetup : LessWrong-like Meetup Hamburg 2015-03-22T20:53:40.977Z · score: 1 (2 votes)


Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Covid-19: My Current Model · 2020-06-21T20:04:47.078Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Well, how else would we figure out if it actually works. We are not the experts.

Anyway. I take it. I have seen that it got banned by CDC and that would let me update a bit. But I want to move forward and the main motivator of having a bet is that I will follow it until next year :-)

Update: I expect to get in touch by DM here when results are due.

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Effective children education · 2020-06-20T23:36:08.818Z · score: 4 (3 votes) · LW · GW

When our firstborn was in kindergarten and had trouble with his peers, I was very worried about how he would fare in school. I was considering setting up a homeschooling school. Not real homeschooling because Germany has mandatory schooling but using a legal construct that uses a private school as 'adapter' between multiple co-home-schooling parents. I had already researched the requirements and written (parts of) the application. But it turned out that our son had no problems in school—quite the opposite. Part of the reason probably was that he had an extremely experienced and caring teacher who also allowed me to offer some activities in the class (I was the "fried of numbers" in the class).

Anyway, your idea of a teaching community sounds quite like what I had in mind with my homeschooling school (though regulations would have set significant parts of the curriculum). I understand that you want to teach the 'valuable' parts of the curriculum like active reading and writing skills, math, and the scientific method plus some more useful stuff that is left unspecified.
Over time, I have discussed multiple times how education can be improved. We have taught our kids many things that are not part of the school curriculum, and I have made clear which aspects I judge to provide little long term value. Talking about the process with my kids (my oldest is now in 10th grade) has also informed my views. He has his own opinions on it. Now, with COVID19, he had the opportunity to study more self-directed and enjoyed it (and invested much more effort in some school projects than before).

My conclusion is that there is no simple answer. Do we understand why school is the way it is? Is it some Chesterton's Fence? I think so. Especially after a lengthy discussion, I have concluded that school reproduces more than knowledge. It reproduces culture. It does so partly by creating a shared experience, a shared vocabulary, and shared methods of working together. And shared social networks. Sure, a big part is signaling. But the structure that the signaling supports - fitness for work in the corporate world - is highly interconnected with everything else. Can we get rid of it without breaking a lot of things? Maybe. It is worth a try for sure. Let's experiment and learn.

The other aspect is that you and I might have good ideas about which curriculum would be best. But that is informed by our predisposition - which our kids may or may not share. The world is evolving fast. We may be well-adapted to the current state (hopefully, after not too painful learning experience). But that doesn't mean that passing our tools on to our kids makes them well-equipped for the future also. The jobs we have now didn't exist when we were kids (at least mine didn't). Many of today's well-paying professions didn't exist before the age of the internet. At least not in the form we see them now. As usual, the future arrives with leaving things superficially unchanged - but things did change. And they will do so in the future too. Maybe even faster.

I talk a lot with my older son about how I do not know which future job will be best for him. I can only provide ideas and support, and he has to figure out most of it. I'm not worried. He is so rational and seems to take up many of my suggestions quickly. I am more concerned about his younger brother, who watches YouTube videos without end. But who am I to judge? When I was his age, I was reading copious amounts of science fiction. Many would have judged this a waste of time. And I played around with these computer things (that was in the 80s). Who knows? Maybe his fluency in these memes and the English he is picking up from it will be useful for him. I think his older brother will benefit from the rationality skills too. But I can't force the tools. I will keep talking with them. Talking helps.

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Growing Independence · 2020-06-18T16:40:22.009Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW
I feel like a big trick to parenting so far has been trying to find the angle from which these look the same, or at least harmonious.


Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Covid-19: My Current Model · 2020-06-16T11:19:09.682Z · score: 4 (2 votes) · LW · GW

@Zvi The deeper look by Glen below lets me update back to ~40% that HCQ as prophylactic i.e. taken before the infection works. I'm now willing to take my $10 vs. your $30. We would commit here and transfer by PayPal after Scott has resolved. OK?

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Covid-19: My Current Model · 2020-06-16T11:12:56.667Z · score: 4 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Thank you for looking deeper into this. A likely 1/3 reduction when taking it on day 1 is amazing. And if people at risk take it routinely ("day zero") it might be even better. I guess I have to update back to 40% likely it works.

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Growing Independence · 2020-06-09T22:25:30.516Z · score: 8 (5 votes) · LW · GW

Tip: Take notes of what new things she does every week - or even every day. It is so cool to see one brain module after another come online.

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Growing Independence · 2020-06-09T22:23:45.199Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW
That said, your daughter falling and hurting herself may be a positive in the long run.

I am also of the opinion that we should let our kids take some real risks (at least those without long-term health consequences). And risk here meaning that some of these risks do lead to getting hurt. getting bruises or even broken arms or teeth. This way the kids can calibrate how dangerous (or not dangerous) the world really is. This way, when they grow up, they will a) have more options to choose from and b) avoid options dangerous options they didn't know were dangerous.

My go-to-example is a toddler who jumped out of his high-stool head-first because he genuinely didn't know that was a bad idea. My boys knew that certain heights are bad ideas because from early on when they were crawling toward the edge of our bed we would let them 'fall' down, i.e. let them slide down head-first and just make sure they would land just gently enough (by holding their leg) that they would learn "this is uncomfortable and probably not a good idea this way".

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Growing Independence · 2020-06-08T11:22:00.167Z · score: 9 (4 votes) · LW · GW

One thing that I have not yet figured out is how to teach delegation. Being very independent myself, I took very long to realize that I achieve more by delegating or working together on topics. Many friends esp. in manager roles love to delegate tasks while I enjoy figuring things out myself. I really have no solution. Maybe it is also a question of interests and talents - but then how do you know you kid has the talent to delegate and organize?

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Growing Independence · 2020-06-08T11:14:37.437Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

On the topic of parenting books there is also Kazdin's Everyday Parenting Toolkit (one of the few evidence-based books on parenting).

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Growing Independence · 2020-06-08T10:56:30.691Z · score: 6 (3 votes) · LW · GW

Note that if your goal is only that it can lead to a lack of trust that comes from unconditional support. I think kids should receive quite a lot of unconditional support and love. As always the trick is to find the right balance.

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Growing Independence · 2020-06-08T10:54:06.198Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

The general approach of teaching vs helping goes is the same directions as "say yes, but" in this post I wrote some time ago, more examples (esp. for older kids) can be found there:

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Growing Independence · 2020-06-08T09:37:09.340Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

My father-in-law said: "I'm not here to make you happy but to prepare you for life."

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Three characteristics: impermanence · 2020-06-06T20:29:50.647Z · score: 4 (2 votes) · LW · GW

I love your deep analysis of meditation and the mind (not just impermanence here). Thank you. I especially liked this one and added it to my Anki deck. To remind me of the concept it conveys I added this short summary (which totally doesn't do it justice but served as a memory aid):

Sensory perceptions (external as well as internal) do not convey off themselves permanent information about the (internal or external) world. Those can only be inferred (often mistakenly) by memory and learning.
Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Covid-19: My Current Model · 2020-06-04T19:04:30.746Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

And Re Scott Adams: I know that he is pushing things. He is actually relatively transparent about that part esp. in his Periscopes. He is basically demoing most of his techniques for his audience (and his audience does a lot of the explaining in the replies). I don't like him as he can be very offending/transgressing but it still possible to learn quite a bit about politics and psychology from him and he is always ahead of the curve.

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Covid-19: My Current Model · 2020-06-04T00:41:30.914Z · score: 7 (4 votes) · LW · GW

Update: An RCT on HCQ as prophylactic is just out (with some evidence on Zinc too) and it is negative:

See also the supplementary material which has the details on Zinc:

So this covers use of HCQ plus Zinc as treatment and the people show the same symptoms (feaver, chills, headache,...; not only positive tests) than the controls.

This really leaves little room for any noticable benefits. I am updating toward lower than 10% now.

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Covid-19: My Current Model · 2020-06-04T00:34:13.532Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Thank you for offering the bet. I would have taken it. Unfortunately I see it just now that I have an update on the matter. See below.

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Poll: ask anything to an all-knowing demon edition · 2020-05-31T21:13:31.160Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Constant vigilance when dealing with oracles!


Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Covid-19: My Current Model · 2020-05-31T21:11:10.953Z · score: 6 (3 votes) · LW · GW

I agree with all points regarding actual risks which match my own actions and the recommendations I give friends and family.

The only point where my probability estimates seems to noticeable differs from yours is with HCQ:

11. Best scientific consensus ends up being that hydroxychloroquine was significantly effective: 20%
I sold to 15%, given studies are actively being halted let’s knock that down to 10% now.

I think it is still relatively likely that there are combinations of HCQ with esp. Zinc that might work. I have updated toward them not working by now but would still give them at least 40%. Pure HCQ obviously not. I would offer a bet between your 10% and my 40% i.e. 1 to 3 that in the end a treatment with HCQ plus other active ingredients turns out to be effective.

Disclaimer: I follow ScottAdamsSays on Twitter and while he is also uncertain the potential upsides seem to be huge. He mentions use as a prophylactic for personell at risk like medical and police. He pushes further looking into it and there are many posts about other countries using combinations of HCQ with Zinc and others. You mention Zinc yourself. It seems plausible that Zinc is the active ingredient and HCQ enables its uptake. I seem to remember that CellBioGuy also wrote something along these lines.

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Simplifying Board Games · 2020-05-31T19:46:26.272Z · score: 4 (2 votes) · LW · GW

This is also how we do it. Works well for e.g. Set or Zoff im Zoo.

Other alternatives:

  • if you have many (mostly adult) players the kid can play with one player and they let the kid execute the turn (e.g. place a card or execute pieces, throw dice and move etc.). The next level here is that the kid suggest moves and the adult supervises. This works best for traditional board games like Ludo, Malefiz. But also with Catan or Robo Ralley.
  • The games overall goes as usual and the kid plays one role - but errors are OK or are corrected if that makes sense. One traditional example in germany is Oma Skat. But it works with many games. Poker works, Bluff/Perudo is another good example. This changes the dynamic of the game for the other players because they have to accommodate a level of 'randomness'. Works best if winning is not essential for the kid and being able to make reasonable moves is rewarding enough.
  • Scaling the game by skill level. Our kids all wanted to join in Boggle and partly learned reading from it. The scoring was scaled down by allowing single letter words and any mis-spellings and scoring up to 3 less letters.
  • Games like Take it easy where everybody has their own board.

The result is that the kids reach a surprising level of proficiency very quickly. We routinely play Talisman, Risk (legacy!) with an 8-year-old.

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Helping Lily Make Dinner · 2020-04-27T18:56:00.304Z · score: 4 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Other recipes my kids like to do (and have been doing since they are about 7):

  • Pancakes. Super easy: 1 egg, one small spoon of sugar, one very big spoon of flour (I don't know the US spoon sizes), as much milk as needed to make creamy. Multiply as needed.
  • Spicy noodle pan. Cook noodles in a pan. Boil until most of the water is gone (not that much in a pan to begin with anyway). Add lots of spices as they like. I can't tell you much about it because they invented it on their own and love it and do it every now and then. Note: Most of the spices in my home are not that spicy: Sweet and mild peppers, oregano, parsley, turmeric, rosemary, granular garlic, thyme. I think kummel is the one they like least.
  • Fried sausages with spices.

I'm fine with their dishes not having all the expected components (protein, carbohydrates, vegetable). It actually improves their intake of vegetables/fruits when that is the only thing available. Just over the course of the day all parts should be there.

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on How strong is the evidence for hydroxychloroquine? · 2020-04-27T18:21:27.766Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Seems like Algeria and Morocco improved after starting to use HCQ;

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Poll: ask anything to an all-knowing demon edition · 2020-04-22T18:19:27.415Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Wait until a situation comes up where you are torn between two alternatives with potential high loss/gain. Then ask: "Among situations A and B should I choose A?"

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on COVID transmission by talking (& singing) · 2020-03-29T22:56:58.071Z · score: 8 (4 votes) · LW · GW

Relevant recent post with good summary of many recent findings even better than the SSC post about mask wearing:

Author Sui Huang is working for the NYC Institute for Systems Biology. I'm not affiliated or anything.

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Could you save lives in your community by buying oxygen concentrators from Alibaba? · 2020-03-16T20:51:32.346Z · score: 4 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Agree. This is definitely not intended as a replacement for proper care.

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Could you save lives in your community by buying oxygen concentrators from Alibaba? · 2020-03-16T17:46:18.039Z · score: 3 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Actually it looks more like 400$ - including shipping and taxes. Plus the risk that it will get there at all or not in time.

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Could you save lives in your community by buying oxygen concentrators from Alibaba? · 2020-03-16T17:43:02.627Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Depends on the level of emergency. I have a mild case of asthma and if I catch it at a time the medical system is overwhelmed I think I would choose this. Measuring blood oxygen levels is relatively easy: I already got a 20€ blood oxymeter. If it goes up it is enough oxygen?

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on March Coronavirus Open Thread · 2020-03-15T21:15:18.279Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

I have seen quite a bit of advice here or elsewhere but not so much what people actually do. I'd like to post a poll but unfortunately that is no longer possible. But maybe you can comment here what you do.

In the spirit of this question I have written this on my FB page:

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Frivolous speculation about the long-term effects of coronavirus · 2020-03-15T20:58:49.035Z · score: 5 (3 votes) · LW · GW

It was mentioned elsewhere before, but it fits the pattern: Children who routinely wash their hands like a surgeon.
My son suggested that Amazon will be speeding up their delivery by drone program.
Seen on twitter: Divorce and childbirth rates go up.

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on How to have a happy quarantine · 2020-03-15T20:52:48.777Z · score: 1 (2 votes) · LW · GW

My ex-wife has cancelled a party and replaced it with an outside gathering. It is much easier to keep a distance there and talk. Just do not get close or touch. I think she will even provide food - muffins fresh from the oven for everybody to pick up from the tray.

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on How to have a happy quarantine · 2020-03-15T20:48:29.476Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW
Make sure you get real alone time

This one was the most surprising and I like it. I have no lack of it but anyway.

Set up passive Skype calls with other houses so it’s kind of like we’re hanging out in each other’s living rooms

This is a great one and I hope we will see more of it. Setting it up is not trivial though. Mostly because of the permanent part. Zoom for example limits to 40 min even in the paid version.

Anyway here are some pointers:

Setup in general

Jitsi video solution (which you can host yourself and can have a permanent call then):

I had good results with a Logitech C920 HD Pro Webcam because it has a good compromise of which sounds it picks up in front of the screen. A Jabra Speak 510 is better but who can afford that?

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on A practical out-of-the-box solution to slow down COVID-19: Turn up the heat · 2020-03-15T20:29:47.509Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

I have turned up the thermostat to 27°C anyway.

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on A practical out-of-the-box solution to slow down COVID-19: Turn up the heat · 2020-03-15T20:28:47.803Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Now that some more days have passed and more data is in from some countries in Africa and South America I think that the seasonality/temperature claim becomes less plausible: The development of cases in Algeria, Brasil, and Egypt for example show doubling times even worse than the average doubling times in other affected countries (Germany for example which I'm tracking most closely). Source is the Wikipedia COVID19 pages on these countries

I think the remaining explanation is much less international traffic to these locations from China.

This is bad news for the hope of summer fixing things.

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Coronavirus: Justified Practical Advice Thread · 2020-03-15T14:22:57.382Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

A bit more copper might actually be a good idea for people who also take zinc (see the zinc thread elsewhere in this post) as the body needs to keep both of these in some balance.

Dangerous levels of copper seem highly unlikely just from touching but you should probably avoid lining your pots and pans:

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on March Coronavirus Open Thread · 2020-03-09T20:18:06.008Z · score: 5 (3 votes) · LW · GW

Keep them until you more clearly see what the best possible or most urgent immediate use turns out to be.

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on March Coronavirus Open Thread · 2020-03-09T20:14:52.910Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

This is an interesting timeline of people in different countries (or speaking different languages) looking for information on the corona virus - based on Wikipedia view stats:

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Paper Trauma · 2020-02-06T22:14:42.078Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Thank you. I looked into ReMarkable and it seems very alike to the Boox that I got as a present and that I'm utterly disappointed with (yes really). Can you tell me whether it has

  • a screensaver mode that just keeps on the screen what was last visible?
  • an OCR that does not throw the original notes away (the arrangement e.g. in a mindmap)
Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Paper Trauma · 2020-02-05T22:38:40.789Z · score: 5 (2 votes) · LW · GW

I also have paper and pen with me all the time. A lot of people are trying to convince me to go digital - including my son - but I have yet to be convinced that there is a way to improve my workflow. Which is this:

  • take notes and sketches making use of however much paper is available and being creative in size, positioning and alignment of text. Quickly.
  • Clearly this doesn't digitize well. It will be ugly, hard to read and lack all the context that you have in your mind at that time. After all it is adding to your memory not replacing it.
  • So the obvious and necessary next step is to convert these notes into actually useful longer-term representations like diagrams, summaries, tasks in a task tracker, calendar entries,...

Until someone creates an app that automates at least some of these things while creating the sketches I am usually worse of with a digital solution:

  • It is not as readily available and always on.
  • It disincentivizes the next step: "I will convert it later" (at which time you have lost of your memory context)

My minimum requirements are really

  • always on (incredibly, eink readers typically do not preserve the last page on power off!!)
  • recognize handwritten text
  • convert lines into appropriate geometric forms (rectangles, ellipses - in any orientation)
  • convert text blocks to calendar entries, tickets, mails,...

Maybe there is an app for that but I have yet to find it. It should be there as these things are all solved, right?

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on "But that's your job": why organisations can work · 2020-02-05T22:19:28.742Z · score: 9 (6 votes) · LW · GW

It seems like if you add evolution to the mix over time the worst abuses will be weeded out because they are no longer suitable as a lip-service performance but will make you vulnerable.

It seems we could derive a weak law of progress: Over time not the best systems will win but the worst will die out - raising the sanity water line from below.

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Pieces of time · 2019-11-13T20:12:17.255Z · score: 5 (3 votes) · LW · GW

Human minds run on stories. Identity is the stories you tell about yourself. At least that is what I hear. I kept my identity small.

I can relate to your description of how 'natural' chunks of time influence how you think in them. Recognizing common features of a day, a week, an episode like a walk, is what the brain is good at. And also providing the relevant (more salient) thoughts and memories and associations in these situations.

I can less relate to there being a different mood at the start or end of an episode. Except in so far as the border of the episode or situation requires naturally a change of gears. going to sleep making sure to set the alarm to a proper time for the schedule of the next day (and thus thinking of the next day). Or collecting your thoughts of the day - whether to appreciate (and thus reinforce) good things or to memorize things before they are lost to sleep.

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on We tend to forget complicated things · 2019-10-24T23:29:00.401Z · score: 3 (2 votes) · LW · GW

Also consider that people are different and some people might have an easy time learning and reliably remembering a lots of (unconnected) facts while other people have much bigger problems with that but will have an easy time learning highly connected concepts.

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on When does technological enhancement feel natural and acceptable? · 2019-10-09T18:52:49.075Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW
What would the use be of thinking slower? Maybe for boring times?

No, though that might be useful for things like long space travel too.

I'm more thinking about the ability to perceive and act on longer timescales effectively. What Robin Hanson calls the Long View. We are not very good at noticing and consciously dealing with processes that are much slower than our attention span. We have to piece these together from episodic memory.

Sorry for the laaaaate reply. Curious whether you are still here.

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Percent reduction of gun-related deaths by color of gun. · 2019-09-07T22:59:43.615Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

As promised: The question was originally posed by Scott Adams on Twitter.

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Percent reduction of gun-related deaths by color of gun. · 2019-09-07T22:57:10.364Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Thank you for offering your thoughts on the question with such depth! While I agree with your sentiment your answer didn't help answer the original question. But maybe the answer really is that the question is ill-posed.

(sorry for the late reply - I was switching working machines...)

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Percent reduction of gun-related deaths by color of gun. · 2019-08-08T09:34:55.977Z · score: 3 (2 votes) · LW · GW

I agree with this distinction. Thank you for pointing it out. One seems more immediate, the other more longer term.

What do you think about the magnitude of the effect?

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Percent reduction of gun-related deaths by color of gun. · 2019-08-07T05:01:19.155Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

New guns, e.g. those newly produced or sold.

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Being the (Pareto) Best in the World · 2019-08-01T10:07:36.423Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

Don't trust any numbers Scott Adams gives. They are just directional. And they include self-perception. So someone who is actually 95th percentile may *feel* like he is just 75th.

Also he talks a lot about creating a stack of multiple skills. And stack doesn't mean just having the skills but combining them in a productive way. Like robertskmiles: Being a YouTuber and being interested in AI Safety doesn't automatically make you an AI Safety
YouTuber. You have to do some actual work for that. And it doesn't hurt to e.g. know enough economics to do A/B tests.

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Expressive Vocabulary · 2019-07-12T09:41:10.851Z · score: 7 (5 votes) · LW · GW
Pedantry like this _is_ a way to assert a little bit of independence/disagreement (or, less justifiably, dominance), and to open the concept of disagreement in a way that's deniable, and start a subtle, unacknowledged negotiation which can be de-escalated easily if either party decides it's not worth pursuing.

Great point! That is, provided you make this a conscious choice. But if you are not making it consciously. If you are just following a habit of nitpicking (for whatever deeper psychological reasons) then de-escalation will be harder because you don't know where the conflict comes from.

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on "Just Suffer Until It Passes" · 2019-06-15T23:13:08.835Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW
Ozy, in their sequence on Dialectical Behavioral Therapy

I can't find it here on LW. Can you point me to it?

Radical Acceptance says, "It's okay to screw up. ..."

I recently attended a meditation retreat organized by the Berlin LW group. Buddhist meditation is a lot about seeing yourself and your needs and actions as it is. Seeing pain as pain. Seeing feelings as feelings and distractions as distractions. In a way the thoroughness of this could be called radical. But it goes beyond acceptance. Acceptance relates to or alters your identity. But Buddhism goes farther: There is nothing to accept. Which part of you is doing the accepting?

Related to

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Highlights from "Integral Spirituality" · 2019-04-14T21:09:00.301Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

I would have liked some links to definitions of terms used as they come along, e.g. the colors and meditative levels (the former I could google the latter less so).

Comment by gunnar_zarncke on Spaghetti Towers · 2019-02-06T21:25:44.865Z · score: 2 (1 votes) · LW · GW

The general patterns is

Systems in general work poorly or not at all.


Which also has lots of examples but needs to be taken not too serious.