Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 15, chapter 84

post by FAWS · 2012-04-11T03:39:38.702Z · LW · GW · Legacy · 1238 comments

Contents

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1238 comments

The next discussion thread is here.

 

This is a new thread to discuss Eliezer Yudkowsky’s Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality and anything related to it. This thread is intended for discussing chapter 84The previous thread  has passed 500 comments. Comment in the 14th thread until you read chapter 84. 

There is now a site dedicated to the story at hpmor.com, which is now the place to go to find the authors notes and all sorts of other goodies. AdeleneDawner has kept an archive of Author’s Notes. (This goes up to the notes for chapter 76, and is now not updating. The authors notes from chapter 77 onwards are on hpmor.com.) 

The first 5 discussion threads are on the main page under the harry_potter tag.  Threads 6 and on (including this one) are in the discussion section using its separate tag system.  Also: 12345678910111213, 14.

As a reminder, it’s often useful to start your comment by indicating which chapter you are commenting on.

Spoiler Warning: this thread is full of spoilers. With few exceptions, spoilers for MOR and canon are fair game to post, without warning or rot13. More specifically:

You do not need to rot13 anything about HP:MoR or the original Harry Potter series unless you are posting insider information from Eliezer Yudkowsky which is not supposed to be publicly available (which includes public statements by Eliezer that have been retracted).

If there is evidence for X in MOR and/or canon then it’s fine to post about X without rot13, even if you also have heard privately from Eliezer that X is true. But you should not post that “Eliezer said X is true” unless you use rot13.

1238 comments

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comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-11T07:07:41.597Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I had this idea about Tom Riddle's plan that I appreciated having criticized.

Tom Riddle grew up in the shadow of WWII. He saw much of the Muggle world unite against a threat they all called evil, and he saw Europe's savior, the US, eventually treated as the new world leader afterward, though it was somewhat contested, of course. That threat strongly defined it's own presentation and style, and so that style and presentation were associated with evil afterward.

Tom didn't want to be Hitler. Tom wanted to actually win and to rule in the longer term, not just until people got tired of his shit and went all Guy Fawks on his ass. He knew that life isn't easy for great rules, but thought that was worthwhile. He knew that life was even harder for great rulers who ruled by fear, so that wasn't his plan.

So Tom needed two sides, good and evil. To this end he needed two identities, a hero and a villain.

I guess he didn't think the villain didn't need to have any kind of history. Maybe he didn't think the villain would matter much or for long. Voldemort was just there for the hero to strike down. That was a mistake, because he lacked a decoy his enemies were eventually able to discover his identity.

Then there's this hero. The hero is a what passes for a minor noble in magical Britain. He's from a 'cadet' branch of the family, which means he doesn't stand to inherit anything substantial because he's not main line.

Most importantly, he goes missing in Albania. That's a shout out to canon and a code phrase for "became Tom RIddle's bitch."

As Voldemort, Tom sows terror and reaps fear. He's ridiculously evil and for Dumbledore redefines evil because he is apparently evil without necessity. Dumbledore can't tell what function that outrageous evil serves because Dumbledore thinks that evil is done sincerely. He doesn't know it's just a show.

Tom stages a dramatic entrance into the drama for his hero: he saves the president's daughter, or something like that. Totally Horatio Alger. It's a cliche, which may be EY's way of helping us to understand that Tom is fallible, more then than now.

Tom promotes his hero from Minor Noble to Last Scion of House X by killing off the rest of his hero's family. Tom simultaneously builds legitimacy for his hero's authority and leverages the tragedy to build sympathy for his hero's cause.

Tom's mistake was thinking that would be enough. There was a threat to the peace. There was a solution. The people instead chose to wallow in their failure and doom. He made it all so clear, so simple, and yet the morons just didn't get it.

I'm sure anyone whose been the biggest ego in the room during improv could sympathize.

When Tom realizes that his plan has failed and cannot be made to work in the intended fashion, he exits his hero, stage left. At that point, 75 or so, he doesn't have a good plan to leave the stage as his villain, so he kind of kicks it for a few years, tolerating the limits of his rule and getting what meager entertainment he can out of being a god damned theater antagonist.

When Tom gets a chance, he pulls his villain off the stage and may or may not have done something to the infant Harry Potter.

Now he's using the Scion of X as an identity layer to keep the fuzz off his back, while manipulating Harry into a position of power, and I'm guessing he plans to hit Harry with the Albanian Shuffle a little while later and give World Domination another try.

Tom Riddle is a young immortal. He makes mistakes but has learned an awful lot. He is trying to plan for the long term and has nothing but time, and so can be patient.

Replies from: Nominull, Percent_Carbon, loserthree, Desrtopa, knb, thomblake, ChrisHallquist, gwern, cousin_it, None, alex_zag_al
comment by Nominull · 2012-04-11T07:25:27.693Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

That's a really good explanation for how Dumbledore's recollection of the purposeless evil of Voldemort can be reconciled with the clearly purposeful evil of Quirrell.

Replies from: Anubhav
comment by Anubhav · 2012-04-11T11:43:01.017Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

And why Voldie'd lay low for TEN YEARS waiting for a hero.

(Still... see Chris Halquist below. '73 to '81? He must've had some plan going.)

Replies from: Percent_Carbon, buybuydandavis
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-11T12:52:09.423Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yeah. He did. And yeah, that's odd. There's probably something else going on there that we don't know about.

comment by buybuydandavis · 2012-04-12T08:35:12.021Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

He's patient?

I believe he intends to upload into Harry after arranging for Harry to "kill" Voldemort and take power. He showed up just in time for Harry's first year at Hogwarts - first year in public. Then creates the whole army business which propels Harry to leadership.

Also, even though he "was winning" the war, finishing off Dumbledore, holder of the Elder Wand, is non trivial. Much better to become Harry and have Dumbledore pass on his power to you.

comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-12T08:40:40.102Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Right now this post has 53 points. WHY?

The post where put down the theory this grew from only has 2 points. Don't go voting it up just because I mentioned that. I don't want anything 'fixed' I just want an explanation.

This isn't written any better than my other posts, which commonly stay under 3 points and go negative often enough. Those other posts are totally contributions to the conversation. Some of them are even helpful.

I left points hanging. I didn't defend what I was saying. I just told a story. That's what you want?

I'm not even the first to revisit this speculation since my low vote theory post. Chris Hallquist was saying pretty much the same thing and he didn't get over 40 upvotes.

What are you upvoting?

Replies from: None, Alsadius, Benquo, Vladimir_Nesov, ArisKatsaris, CronoDAS, Eponymuse, kilobug
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-12T08:57:54.748Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I left points hanging. I didn't defend what I was saying. I just told a story. That's what you want?

Why hello there! We are called humans, have you met us before?

comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T02:20:42.093Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Because votes come more from the location in the thread than from quality of the post - sheer numbers of people reading it swamp a better post made 400 spots downthread. Also, it puts down in decent fashion a thesis that's getting kicked around a lot and that is rather appealing.

comment by Benquo · 2012-04-12T12:27:23.677Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Maybe the illusion of transparency doesn't let you see how much clearer this comment [EDIT: I mean the parent comment] is.

Replies from: loserthree, Percent_Carbon
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-12T16:02:25.479Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Did you just get burned by the Illusion of Transparency while referencing the Illusion of Transparency?

Well. Done.

comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-12T12:32:57.854Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You're probably right. I have no fucking clue what you're thinking.

comment by Vladimir_Nesov · 2012-04-12T20:25:28.224Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

One factor is that it's a top-level comment to a popular post, and once a top-level comment outcompetes most others it's shown more prominently and read by more people.

comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-13T08:50:21.276Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The post where put down the theory this grew from only has 2 points.

I don't think your current post "deserves" as many upvotes as it got, but that other post is just bad. Badly written, badly argued, makes lots of unsupported random claims, like "Voldemort killed Narcissa".

comment by CronoDAS · 2012-04-12T10:38:35.215Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

This isn't written any better than my other posts, which commonly stay under 3 points and go negative often enough.

Well, I thought it was!

comment by Eponymuse · 2012-04-12T20:12:13.610Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I downvoted the previous post because it was a needlessly complicated, poorly justified plan. Crucially, there was little indication of why Voldemort would want to pretend to lose, when he was already winning the war. By contrast, your more recent post is a good analysis of the new insight into Voldemort's history and motivations provided by the latest chapter.

comment by kilobug · 2012-04-12T12:37:36.466Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I liked the story you told, I found it interesting so I upvoted (but your post was like at 5 or 6 when I upvoted it, I wouldn't have upvoted it if it was already above 30, I tend to avoid upvoting posts which are already too high, unless they are really wonderful).

I didn't see the first one - I don't read all the comments, depends of my schedule. Maybe since you posted your new one earlier in the thread, when it wasn't too bloated, more people saw it ?

comment by loserthree · 2012-04-11T16:06:07.663Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I guess he didn't think the villain didn't need to have any kind of history. Maybe he didn't think the villain would matter much or for long. Voldemort was just there for the hero to strike down. That was a mistake, because he lacked a decoy his enemies were eventually able to discover his identity.

Perhaps not so much. We may believe Voldemort to truly be Tom Riddle for the following few reasons.

  • The Order of the Phoenix thinks Voldemort is Tom Riddle.
  • Voldemort is Tom Riddle in canon
  • In Chapter 70, Quirrell, who we are to understand is Voldemort, talks about a witch taking advantage of a muggle man, which is part of Tom Riddle's tragic backstory in cannon.
  • He just can't seem to help himself from punning his damn name, between the references to 'riddles' and his godawful anagram.

But canon doesn't count, this fic diverges strongly in places.

And knowledgeable, otherwise competent characters are wrong about things.

And, most tellingly, we now know that Voldemort in his Quirrell mask has been dropping hints that he is actually your Scion X (or David Monroe or whomever). He could just as easily be falsely hinting at the Riddle identity.

Yes, I am suggesting that the student that opened the Chamber of Secrets in '41 was not Tom Riddle, but someone else. Why pick one patsy, when you could have two? It's just one more murder, hardly anything at all.

This means that Voldemort, whomever he really is, had a backup identity behind 'Voldemort' just like he has a backup identity behind Quirrell. It means that he didn't get discovered back in the '70s. And it means that he's just as slick and awesome and I hope he is, as I wish he is.

Oh, damn. I have far, far too much affection for this character. 84 is my new favorite chapter.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-12T08:29:24.818Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

That sounds unsolvable with only the information we've been given.

If it was another kid in Hogwarts that opened the chamber then why haven't there been any hints in the text to this man behind the man who is also the man behind the other man who is pretending to be the man behind yet another man.

And if it was an adult then also who because there are not hints and how did they get into Hogwarts and the Chamber and I don't think you mean it was someone who was already grown up in 41.

comment by Desrtopa · 2012-04-12T01:29:25.940Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

When Tom realizes that his plan has failed and cannot be made to work in the intended fashion, he exits his hero, stage left. At that point, 75 or so, he doesn't have a good plan to leave the stage as his villain, so he kind of kicks it for a few years, tolerating the limits of his rule and getting what meager entertainment he can out of being a god damned theater antagonist.

This strikes me as the least characteristic part of your idea. Quirrellmort doesn't seem like someone who would have taken a few years kicking it around trying to come up with a new plan.

ETA: I think that for the most part this seems like a pretty likely outline. I think the evidence stacks up in favor of the new character being a dupe of Voldemort, and this strikes me as the most plausible motivation for him to be playing both sides. I think his plan would probably even have been workable in the sense of making the heroic identity the de facto leader of the country, but he called it quits when he realized that the prize for heroism was not being lavished with adulation, but being treated as responsible for being a hero all the time, whereas the prize for being a Dark Lord was fawning obedience. There are all sorts of directions he could have gone from here, including him deciding that the world seems particularly hateful and so why not keep up the villain role, when the benefits are so much better? But spending a few years in an "okay, now what?" slump seems out of character.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-12T08:13:54.565Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

There are all sorts of directions he could have gone from here, including him deciding that the world seems particularly hateful and so why not keep up the villain role, when the benefits are so much better? But spending a few years in an "okay, now what?" slump seems out of character.

Yeah, I get that now.

I've amended my suspicion to be that Riddle enjoyed himself in the Voldemort role, for maybe a little less than eight years. I still think he intentionally left the stage and didn't somehow end up on the losing end of a Nuts roll vs.. infant. Tom Riddle bites it in a cutscene? Lame.

Replies from: Desrtopa
comment by Desrtopa · 2012-04-12T13:30:29.854Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

My primary hypothesis is still that getting cindered by Harry was the consequence of some unknown unknown, some event that Voldemort wouldn't have been able to predict in advance by being really good at planning.

comment by knb · 2012-04-11T10:50:02.942Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I've been thinking along the same lines, probably because I watched Code Geass not too long ago, and this is basically the "Zero Requiem" gambit employed by Lelouch. He creates a totem of pure evil as a target of the world's hatred, then publicly destroys it, establishing a hero as savior-king. Riddle, like Lelouche, is portrayed as a "Byronic hero"--mysterious, cynical, cunning, arrogant, and brilliant. If this interpretation is correct, Harry might not be his future meatpuppet, but actually the "chosen one", who will fulfill the role of the hero and unite the world as savior-king after destroying the risen Voldemort.

But of course it could have just been a "Palpatine Gambit". In this version, Riddle was using his Voldemort persona to create fear, which his other persona takes advantage of to turn Magical Britain into the Empire, consolidating all power to himself. But in this version, much to the consternation of Tom Riddle, the "Republic" actually doesn't give up power to the obviously qualified hero (due to diffusion of responsibility, political maneuvering, etc.) So instead he decides to just seize power as Voldemort, but by bad luck, he is struck down by Lilly Potter's self-sacrifice. Now he is back, and wants to use Harry as his new hero, but he needs to make it plausible, by convincing Harry of his political views, and making him super-formidable. That way, when "Harry" (actually Riddle acting via Imperius/polyjuice, etc.) takes over Britain and strikes down the resurrected "Voldemort" in his 7th year, people will believe it was possible. Riddle will then rule Britain (and eventually the world as "Harry Potter".

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-11T13:04:01.060Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I don't see any need for a sacrifice or a Voldemort who goes alone to confront the kind of threat he takes seriously enough to take seriously the threat posed by an infant.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T02:12:27.664Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I cannot parse that.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-13T07:33:30.724Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The circumstances we are given in MOR do not require or imply a sacrifice. There are no hints that Harry was saved by a sacrifice. I can't think of any hints about any reason at all that he was saved, really.

If Vodlemort hears of a threat that is an infant and he takes that threat seriously enough to do something about an infant, we are not told anything about Voldemort that makes it in character for him to confront a threat like that alone.

That is, there is more than one problem with the story we have concerning the night Harry's parents died.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T14:43:56.463Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Why would he need backup to kill a baby? We've seen him do more dangerous things(e.g., sitting in Hogwarts for a year scheming) without backup.

And yes, the sacrifice story comes from canon, not MoR. Still, with no other hints, that gives it a pretty high prior probability.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-14T03:41:50.884Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Why would he need backup to kill a baby?

People protect babies and it would be reasonable to expect that people would work especially hard to protect babies that are prophesied to save the world from an evil villain. It turns out that his enemies were idiots and suffered a single point of failure, but even if he thought he knew that the target would be under protected the smart thing to do is not to depend on his quisling and go in alone.

And yes, the sacrifice story comes from canon, not MoR. Still, with no other hints, that gives it a pretty high prior probability.

How high is this canon bonus to probability of yours? Would you say that Aberforth was probably a zoophile just because he was in canon? Or that Ron and Hermione will probably get together because they did in canon? Or that Snape will kill Dumbldedore because he did in canon?

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-14T04:19:20.191Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

What was idiotic about the way Harry was protected? They were betrayed to a superior force by someone highly placed, and there's no good defense against that. And Voldemort was knowingly superior to every possible defender, so why would he worry about it?

And re prior probabilities, it's obviously dependant on the issue in question. On something where MoR is silent, canon carries a lot of weight. On something where MoR spends time adjusting expectations, canon carries very little weight. So it's quite likely that Aberforth loved goats(though even more likely that MoR will stay silent on the topic), but quite unlikely that Ron and Hermione will get together(because the story is explicitly listed as Harry/Hermione, and has been proceeding accordingly). And Snape killing Dumbledore...actually that one's not implausible, because both characters seem quite similar to their canon versions. If they were put in the same position, they'd likely do the same thing. I don't think the story will run long enough to get there, but if it does somehow, I can see it. I'd certainly put the probability higher than McGonagall or Flitwick doing him in.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-14T05:45:10.866Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

What was idiotic about the way Harry was protected?

Did you miss the part about a single point of failure?

Fate of the whole fucking world and the critical security decisions and on site protective services are trusted to a crew of twenty somethings who were really close in school. Idiots.

And Voldemort was knowingly superior to every possible defender, so why would he worry about it?

The only reason to work alone is if working with others means watching your back more. We have no evidence that Vodlemort executed his other raids singlehandely, so we should believe that he did it the smart way with backup. So why the sudden switch from terrorist to cheap slasher monster?

On something where MoR is silent, canon carries a lot of weight. On something where MoR spends time adjusting expectations, canon carries very little weight.

MoR is not silent on the question of sacrifice, it is covered under the primary themes of the story. Throwing your life away futilely not smart and should not be rewarded in a story with rationalist aspirations. There's no exposition on the subject of mother's love sacrifice charms, so if this is what happened it will be unforeshadowed. EY has said that is a bad thing to do so we should guess that he probably doesn't intend to do that.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-14T14:35:51.991Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Find me a protection scheme that applies to the situation at hand with a second point of failure, and I'll accept your criticism of the plan they had. Highly-placed traitors are really, really hard to defend against.

Similarly, find me an example of Voldemort having backup on any of his attacks, and I'll believe that him lacking it here is relevant.

Rationality is about winning. Lily Potter won that night, as much as she believably could have. I'd say she did okay by "throwing her life away".

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-14T15:17:49.992Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Find me a protection scheme that applies to the situation at hand with a second point of failure, and I'll accept your criticism of the plan they had.

Have Dumbledore be the Secret-Keeper.

Similarly, find me an example of Voldemort having backup on any of his attacks, and I'll believe that him lacking it here is relevant.

The Ministry raid at the end of OotP.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-14T18:31:08.123Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

So you want to replace a single point of failure for defending a baby with a single point of failure for the entire Order? Remember what happens when the Secret-Keeper dies, after all.

And there's a bit of a difference between hitting a single-family house and a large battle.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-14T18:37:46.466Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

So you want to replace a single point of failure for defending a baby with a single point of failure for the entire Order?

How would Dumbledore be any easier to kill as a Secret-Keeper than otherwise? Wait, before that, how would Dumbledore's death be any more crippling to the Order if he was a Secret-Keeper than otherwise? He dies, they've pretty much lost the war, baby Harry Potter or no baby Harry Potter.

Remember what happens when the Secret-Keeper dies, after all.

I am. Are you?

(Dumbledore's death resulted in everyone read into the Secret of 12 Grimmauld Place becoming Secret-Keepers themselves; the Fidelius was still in place.)

Edit: The wiki claims- unfortunately without attribution- that Dumbledore offered to be the Potters' Keeper, and was turned down.

Edit2:

Similarly, find me an example of Voldemort having backup on any of his attacks, and I'll believe that him lacking it here is relevant.

The Ministry raid at the end of OotP.

And there's a bit of a difference between hitting a single-family house and a large battle.

Emphasis mine.

Replies from: jaimeastorga2000
comment by jaimeastorga2000 · 2012-04-15T20:06:58.226Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The wiki claims- unfortunately without attribution- that Dumbledore offered to be the Potters' Keeper, and was turned down.

I definitely remember this from the third book. The adults are talking about the Potters' deaths in the Three Broomsticks Inn and someone mentions that Dumbledore himself offered to become the secret keeper, but was turned down with insistences that Sirius Black would never betray them.

EDIT: Found it.

"So Black was the Potters' Secret-Keeper?" whispered Madam Rosmerta.
"Naturally," said Professor McGonagall. "James Potter told Dumbledore that Black would die rather than tell where they were, that Black was planning to go into hiding himself... and yet, Dumbledore remained worried. I remember him offering to be the Potters' Secret-Keeper himself."

comment by thomblake · 2012-04-11T14:51:05.453Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Tom Riddle grew up in the shadow of WWII. He saw much of the Muggle world unite...

Tom didn't want to be Hitler...

In case it's relevant, remember that Hitler was just a muggle pawn of Grindlewald, and the Holocaust existed to fuel Gindlewald's dark rituals.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon, Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-13T07:27:26.045Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I'm sorry. I don't understand what you're suggesting. Please say more about your point.

Replies from: thomblake
comment by thomblake · 2012-04-13T14:17:20.698Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

World War II had a different story in Harry Potter, and it's a bit clearer in MoR. It was sparked by Grindlewald's desire to have dominion over the muggles - the muggle war was just a reflection of the wizarding war going on at the same time. Grindlewald was the real power in Germany, and Hitler just a pawn. The reason Dumbledore couldn't take down Grindlewald until the war was over, was that Hitler was fueling Grindlewald's power using dark rituals involving the blood sacrifice of millions of muggles.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-14T03:34:43.885Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yeah, that is one of the holes in this thing.

Riddle probably got his idea to exchange heroism for power from somewhere else.

comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-12T10:30:19.808Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The Holocaust wasn't why Hitler lost.

The world didn't know about the Holocaust and had trouble believing it had happened. Much of the Nazi higher ups didn't know about it. A particular high ranked Nazi officer kept a diary while he was in Nuremburg throughout the trials. Among other things, it records him being told about and shown evidence of the Holocaust, denying it, confronting it, and reconciling it with his beliefs. If I remember correctly he remains loyal to the cause, all except the Holocaust, which he thought was terrible even when he thought it was fake.

Tangent aside, Hitler was hated by many non-Germans before he started losing. He was hated by some of his own people before he lost. He didn't lose because he was hated, he lost because war is decided by logistics, strategy, morale, and luck. Even when his side could keep up the others, it couldn't sustain logistics against giants like Americans and Soviets.

Wait... was that another tangent?

Oh, yeah. So villains act and heroes react, right? Tom wanted to be the hero because he thought people love heroes and promote them to positions of power. And Tom wanted power. So first you make a villain who makes a mess, then you make a hero who rallies the people around himself, cleans up the villain, and sustains his momentum and rally to take over the world!

I guess.

But doesn't have to be about the Holocaust.

Replies from: ArisKatsaris
comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-12T10:40:04.431Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Downvoted because I don't see where thomblake is supposed to have said that the Holocaust was why Hitler lost, so I don't see what you're responding to.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-12T13:57:19.348Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yeah, I totally don't know what thomblake meant. I just tried to spread the words around and hope they caught some rain.

I'm not REALLY retracting this in that it remains true. But I am taking a different approach.

comment by ChrisHallquist · 2012-04-11T08:37:51.624Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I think this is right in broad strokes, but what you call "a few years" is '73 to '81, kind of a long time to "kick it" because your plan went astray.

Furthermore, Quiddle also often talks about his motives in terms of what he found "amusing," "felt like," or "pleasant" (in conversation with Hermione). Then there's this:

"You know, Mr. Potter, if He-Who-Must-Not-Be-Named had come to rule over magical Britain, and built such a place as Azkaban, he would have built it because he enjoyed seeing his enemies suffer. And if instead he began to find their suffering distasteful, why, he would order Azkaban torn down the next day. As for those who did make Azkaban, and those who do not tear it down, while preaching lofty sermons and imagining themselves not to be villains... well, Mr. Potter, I think if I had my choice of taking tea with them, or taking tea with You-Know-Who, I should find my sensibilities less offended by the Dark Lord."

I think he's not quite so given to long-term planning as you imagine.

Replies from: LucasSloan, Percent_Carbon, somervta
comment by LucasSloan · 2012-04-11T09:13:41.627Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

There's a difference between using long term planning to develop a power base, and being willing to use your power base to indulge your desires.

Replies from: ChrisHallquist
comment by ChrisHallquist · 2012-04-11T09:38:21.381Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

So the quote is not the best illustration of Quiddle's character. But does seem to have abandoned the "hero" plan (at least in its initial version) on the basis of what was "more pleasant."

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-12T08:32:56.850Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

So you want this quote?

"So -" Hermione's voice sounded strange in the night. "You left your friends behind where they'd be safe, and tried to attack the Dark Wizard all by yourself?"

"Why, no," said Professor Quirrell. "I stopped trying to be a hero, and went off to do something else I found more pleasant."

comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-11T09:48:50.968Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

He had to wait for his exit. He could kill off the hero at any time, that's easy. Heroes just die.

But villains need to be vanquished.

Replies from: LucasSloan
comment by LucasSloan · 2012-04-11T09:54:49.198Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You think that someone as competent as Voldemort couldn't have created a faster exit strategy?

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-11T12:51:13.249Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The world was not offering him an opportunity to be vanquished in a fashion that would allow him to escape.

Moody and Dumbledore would be too thorough, and everyone else wasn't good enough to touch him.

Or maybe he had reasons for staying Voldemort until he heard about the 'prophesy' and decided that was a good opportunity.

Replies from: LucasSloan
comment by LucasSloan · 2012-04-11T19:04:22.063Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I can think of ways to be vanquished much quicker than he did, especially if he's willing to be reverted to horcrux. Challenge Dumbledore to a duel and lose. Be seen doing some dark ritual, which then goes out of control, killing him. Hell, I'm sure someone as competent as Voldemort could have faked a prophecy about his doom. I don't see why you think that Voldemort wasn't willing to use villainhood to achieve total dominance - he was winning, he would have gotten what he wanted.

Replies from: Desrtopa
comment by Desrtopa · 2012-04-12T01:40:22.506Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I can think of ways to be vanquished much quicker than he did, especially if he's willing to be reverted to horcrux. Challenge Dumbledore to a duel and lose. Be seen doing some dark ritual, which then goes out of control, killing him. Hell, I'm sure someone as competent as Voldemort could have faked a prophecy about his doom.

If I were Voldemort, I wouldn't have waited on that prophesy until I needed to make an exit.

comment by somervta · 2012-12-18T15:17:04.960Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Furthermore, Quiddle...

Love it!

comment by gwern · 2012-04-11T17:58:51.383Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

So in this scenario, why is he dying? Before, we were unsure that his cataplexy was getting worse; I pointed out that on-screen he seems as active or more active than ever. But Bones says: "And you seem to be resting more and more frequently, as time goes on." and she would know. Are we speculating that whatever dupe's body that Riddle stole is breaking down 60-odd years later after Albania?

Replies from: Percent_Carbon, LucasSloan, trlkly, buybuydandavis
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-12T08:24:28.948Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

So in this scenario, why is he dying?

That is a good question. I don't know why he appears to be dying.

Maybe Riddle was put Scion of X's body on ice when he put an Albania with a nail through it up side his head. Then he trotted it out for a few years in the seventies, then put it back on ice. And it turns out that's not good for a body and so it's kind of falling apart or something.

Maybe Quirrell wants the appearance of weakness, for all the right reasons.

Maybe Scion of X has been alive the whole time, imprisoned in his own usually motionless flesh. And since the only thing he could do was wait there, motionless, he practiced being lethargic. And he became strong and wise in the ways of lethargy, so that Voldemort must ration his own strength and only force Scion of X to action when absolutely necessary.

Maybe when Quirrell is 'resting' he's actually busy in the Dream Place leading the Crunch Rebellion against the Evil Empire of Sogg.

Replies from: DSimon
comment by DSimon · 2012-04-16T05:08:22.683Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

And he became strong and wise in the ways of lethargy[...]

I will definitely have to put that in my General-Purpose Excuses File. :-)

comment by LucasSloan · 2012-04-11T19:23:36.968Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Quirrell's body is in its 30s.

comment by trlkly · 2012-04-24T07:33:55.059Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

My interpretation of the book is that the Defense Professor looks just like Quirrell. If this is the case, then maybe it takes more and more out of him to maintain the illusion that he is someone else. Or maybe he actually inhabits the body Quirrell, and Quirrell is slowly fighting back.

Then again, I still have a hard time reading the DP as actually being Voldemort, so take my instincts with a grain of salt.

comment by buybuydandavis · 2012-04-12T08:37:16.297Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I believe it's the Dark magic, which requires a bit of sacrifice with every use.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-12T09:05:00.258Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I think you're mixing up Dark magic and ritual magic.

comment by cousin_it · 2012-04-11T19:09:38.675Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I really like your theory of what happened, but have a different idea about Tom's motives. When the hero disappeared, people were already speaking of him as the next Dumbledore. He had two easy paths to world domination. Put yourself in his place and his personality, what would you do? I'd probably get bored and set about creating the only thing I don't have: a worthy adversary. This also explains why Harry Potter is so overpowered.

Replies from: Desrtopa, gjm, Percent_Carbon
comment by Desrtopa · 2012-04-12T01:31:13.380Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Put yourself in his place and his personality, what would you do? I'd probably get bored and set about creating the only thing I don't have: a worthy adversary.

I wouldn't. Sign me up for unworthy adversaries all the way.

Replies from: None
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-12T08:58:59.699Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

This violates fun theory if the adversaries are really unworthy.

Replies from: kilobug, Desrtopa
comment by kilobug · 2012-04-12T16:17:05.396Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

In my understanding of fun theory, you have worthy adversaries, but low consequences in case of failure. Like a video game, where if you lose, you lose a few hours of gaming at worse. Not that if you lose, you end up in Azkaban feeding the Dementors.

At least for myself, I like hard games, not easy ones, but I like it when defeat isn't too severe; I do sometimes play games in "iron will" mode (no saving, if you lose, restart all from the beginning), but not often, it's really the upper limit to what I accept when losing.

comment by Desrtopa · 2012-04-12T12:43:38.330Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I would do other things for fun than risk losing.

comment by gjm · 2012-04-12T10:12:46.962Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

set about creating ... a worthy adversary

Just to put slightly differently what others have already said: We're talking here about a version of Voldemort who has read the Evil Overlord List (or written his own version or something of the kind). It is hard to reconcile either half of that with taking considerable trouble and risk to raise up a "worthy adversary".

comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-12T08:16:14.043Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Asking for a worthy adversary is asking to lose. Quirrell taught his 'worthy adversary' Harry to lose as an attempt to weaken him, not to make him stronger. Harry is just too caught up in his Quirrell worship to see that.

Replies from: Viliam_Bur
comment by Viliam_Bur · 2012-04-12T09:18:31.182Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Pretending to lose can be a good move, and if you are able to play it at the right moment, it makes you stronger.

Did Quirrell ask Harry to accept some unrepairable damage? No. It was only about signalling, and temporary pain (any resulting damage is guaranteed to be healed magically later). Quirrell taught Harry that signalling defeat is not the same thing as being defeated. Just like Voldemort, pretending to be killed by a baby, is not really dead.

(I agree that asking for a worthy adversary is suicidal. Having a sparring partner can be useful, but you should be able to destroy them reliably, when necessary.)

EDIT: Though, you have a good point. Willingness to simulate defeat may reduce emotional barriers against (real) defeat, which in some circumstances could weaken one's resolution to fight. Humans are not perfectly logical; when we do something "as if", it influences our "real" behavior too. That's the essence of "fake it till you make it" self-improvement... or perhaps, in this specific situation, self-weakening.

comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-11T17:29:10.291Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

This is remarkably internally consistent and consistent with the evidence available to us.

comment by alex_zag_al · 2012-04-11T13:52:02.150Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Is it possible that he disappeared as Tom Riddle not because his plan wasn't working, but because Dumbledore had discovered Voldemort was him?

comment by Eneasz · 2012-04-14T20:40:35.770Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Am I losing my mind, or was there a change made to Chap 16? I recall this section:

" No, there is exactly one monster which can threaten you once you are fully grown. The single most dangerous monster in all the world, so dangerous that nothing else comes close. The adult wizard. That is the only thing that will still be able to threaten you."

However now it reads:

" No, there is exactly one monster which can threaten you once you are fully grown. The single most dangerous monster in all the world, so dangerous that nothing else comes close. The Dark Wizard. That is the only thing that will still be able to threaten you."

If it was changed... why the change? The original was better, and (perhaps more to the point) more in keeping with Quirrell's character. He wouldn't distinguish between adult and Dark wizards when it comes to threat-to-his-students assessment.

Replies from: buybuydandavis, drethelin, ChrisHallquist, gjm, ArisKatsaris, None, LKtheGreat
comment by buybuydandavis · 2012-04-14T22:00:30.931Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You're right. I search the PDF version, and have been told it doesn't receive edits in it's build (currently - though that's the plan for the future).

"The adult wizard." pg. 226

And I agree. I don't like the change either. Thinking that other adult wizards aren't a threat to you unless they're Dark is a horribly mistaken bias in more ways that one.

comment by drethelin · 2012-04-15T06:49:43.482Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Definitely not insane. Do not like this change.

comment by ChrisHallquist · 2012-04-16T02:31:08.123Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yeah. I dislike this change. "Dark" makes sense for Quirrell to say for purposes of not sounding too evil, for not sounding like he's encouraging being dangerous. But at that point in the story, it was pretty clear Quirrell thought it was a good thing to be dangerous, and saying "adult" wizard is more consistent with that. It's also more consistent with his decision to call "Defense Against the Dark Arts" "Battle Magic."

comment by gjm · 2012-04-14T21:07:43.680Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

If you're losing your mind, then either I am too or the nature of your mind-losing is a hallucination about what the chapter says now. I remember the same original text as you do (or, at any rate, the words "the adult wizard" and certainly not "the Dark wizard"). And I strongly agree that the original version is better.

comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-14T21:21:20.513Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It used to say "adult wizard" yes -- I just confirmed it with an old pdf.

comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-14T21:17:12.814Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Maybe it's phrased that way in order to be similar to the bit several sentences down:

You are here to learn how to defend yourselves against the Dark Arts. Which means, let us be very clear on this, defending yourselves against Dark Wizards.

That instance of "Dark" makes sense (since they're Dark Arts and not "Adult Arts") and so there is a reason to use "Dark Wizard" throughout.

Replies from: 75th
comment by 75th · 2012-04-15T19:15:26.433Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Best rationalization I can think of, but I still don't approve of the change. Let us remember that Quirrell intends to help Harry become a Dark Wizard, in which case, since Harry is in the classroom, he should include Light Wizards in the class of people who can threaten the students present.

It also makes more sense to say "the adult wizard" since that sentence is the conclusion of a list of species that are dangerous, and "adult" sounds more biological.

Maybe there's an important reason for this change, but otherwise I think this is too much like a composer making inane changes to a piece after it's already written, or like George Lucas messing with the original Star Wars trilogy.

Replies from: HonoreDB
comment by HonoreDB · 2012-04-15T22:42:35.947Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I think Quirrell is working with an unconventional definition of Dark. Something like "in violent opposition to you."

comment by LKtheGreat · 2012-04-16T19:17:47.446Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

That passage, of course, ties into what the Defense Professor says in the latest chapter: "You cannot use the Killing Curse, so the correct tactic is to Apparate away." If I had to work from the premise that the revision is actually related to that, I'd assume it's emphasising the Defense Professor being, in fact, a Dark wizard.

But I agree that from a point of view outside Eliezer's head, it appears to have at best neutral impact, and at worst negative impact on the effect of the passage.

comment by Xachariah · 2012-04-11T11:05:39.968Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Eliezer, in an edit, just reminded me that Tom Riddle is 65 years old. And from there I got to looking that other ages. Dumbledore is 110. Bahry One-Hand and Mad Eye Moody are each at least ~120. From chapter 39, I got the impression that 150 years old is uncomfortably old (maybe 90 in muggle years) and 200 is unthinkably old (110+ for muggles). So now I'm confused again.

Where are all the old people? What would family trees look like if people really lived to be 120+ regularly? If you're a child you've got two parents, and 4 grandparents, but what about the 8 great grandparents...and the 16 great^2 grandparents...32 great^3 grandparents...64 great^4 grandparents... 128 great^5 grandparents...256 ...512 etc? Plus, imagine the number of children each couple would have if people jumped from 40 fertile years to 80. I could buy that with older ages, people would wait longer to have kids (In canon they mention that it was slightly unusual for people to be having children at 20 years old). That would explain why there aren't 7-10 generations of family at the reunions, but on the other hand, I wouldn't expect Wizards to be big fans of birth control or abortion. Plus, that doesn't explain where all the grandparents are.

So many things don't match up. In retrospect, it seems odd for Lucius Malfoy to be alone in front of the Wizengamot when he ought to have four grandparents roughly Dumbledore's age and two parents at around Voldemort's age (though canonically his father dies of an old age disease prior to 1996...what?). That hearing doesn't seem like the kind of event his family would skip out on. The bureaucracy and government structures don't make sense either. When I first read the story, I thought the Ministry and other power structures were dominated by old fogies, but now I realize that they're damn near children! Plus, education for 7 years makes no sense if you expect to live another hundred; muggles spend 1/5-1/6th of their life in education, but wizards only 1/15th. And heck, how does Harry go to his muggle relatives when he ought to have dozens of still surviving wizard relatives up higher in the family tree?

I suppose the real answers to these questions is that JK Rowling didn't think through the societal implications of living 150+ years old and HPMoR adopted it rather than having to overhaul the entire canon. But that's not quite a satisfying answer. So, can anyone think of any thoughts or theories on how the magical world looks the way it does with regard to age? I'd rather save my suspension of disbelief for birds of fire and talking hats, not have to spend it on census statistics.

Replies from: FiftyTwo, Desrtopa, NancyLebovitz, loserthree, Benquo, linkhyrule5, NancyLebovitz, maia, thomblake, DavidAgain
comment by FiftyTwo · 2012-04-11T12:39:36.911Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

In recent history they've had two devastating wars. Plotting and infighting seems perpetual. Most adults spend a reasonable amount of their time using dangerous magic (there was some mention of wizard specific diseases like 'dragon pox' in canon). And everyone in the world can kill you instantly with their wand. So even if their notional life expectancy is high the number of dangers that reduce the population is enormous.

Actually given how easy deadly curses are I'm surprised there are any wizards left... Possibly explains why age correlates with magical power/skill.

Replies from: Eugine_Nier
comment by Eugine_Nier · 2012-04-12T06:23:44.209Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Actually given how easy deadly curses are I'm surprised there are any wizards left... Possibly explains why age correlates with magical power/skill.

Probably for the same reason the existence of guns hasn't resulted in human extinction.

Replies from: DSimon
comment by DSimon · 2012-04-16T04:56:36.462Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

On the other hand, I don't carry a gun on my keychain, but a wizard's wand is used to do everything from insta-death to turning on and off the lights in a room.

Replies from: Desrtopa
comment by Desrtopa · 2012-05-25T03:12:50.288Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

In canon, not only is casting the killing curse extremely illegal, it's probably beyond the abilities of most wizards anyway. It's said to take powerful magic, and most adult wizards aside from professors and aurors are implied to be inept at even the basics of defensive magic.

I thought it added verisimilitude to the setting, that rather than being on a level far above teenage students after decades of honing their skills, most witches and wizards are fairly incompetent and don't remember most of what they were made to learn in school, much like how most of our population can't win Are You Smarter Than A Fifth Grader

comment by Desrtopa · 2012-04-12T01:12:06.202Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Plus, education for 7 years makes no sense if you expect to live another hundred; muggles spend 1/5-1/6th of their life in education, but wizards only 1/15th

This, at least, does not confuse me. It's not like this is a historical constant, for most of human history most people have spent less.

Anyway, it's implied that vocational training exists after one is finished with one's mandatory education.

comment by NancyLebovitz · 2012-04-11T15:11:06.084Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I wouldn't expect Wizards to be big fans of birth control or abortion.

Are you assuming vaguely medieval tech = Catholic = opposed to birth control and abortion?

The Catholic Church didn't declare that all abortion was murder until the Renaissance, and I don't think there's any reason to think that wizards are generally Catholics. ETA Nor is there any reason to think that Catholics are reliably obedient to Popes.

The simplest explanation might be that wizards (like Tolkien's elves, but less so) just aren't very fertile.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon, FiftyTwo
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-12T07:19:04.593Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Church of England, surely.

As an American I can tell you confidently that the wizards and witches of magical Britain have one quality above all others: they are British.

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-12T13:50:34.685Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

This would explain why religion never comes up in canon.

Replies from: gjm
comment by gjm · 2012-04-12T16:13:25.895Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It does, a little bit. I think there's one church service, seen from the outside, and some important grave -- Harry's parents? -- has a quotation from the New Testament on it. ("The last enemy to be defeated is death", which of course plenty of not-at-all-religious people would have much sympathy with.) But yes, religion in the UK tends to be rather less conspicuous than in the US.

comment by FiftyTwo · 2012-04-11T21:21:27.702Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

'Fanon' generally assumes there are relatively simple and well known contraceptive spells, and given the known abilities of magic that would seem a fairly easy thing to create.

comment by loserthree · 2012-04-11T16:14:05.168Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I wouldn't expect Wizards to be big fans of birth control or abortion.

Why not?

There are only thirty hours in a day and every child means greater demands on your time. It's not like they can hire muggles to raise their kids, like affluent muggle families might hire less-affluent folk to look after theirs. And we don't hear about anyone being raised by house elves.

Why wouldn't they want sex without conception?

Replies from: moritz, faul_sname
comment by moritz · 2012-04-12T02:08:14.733Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

There are only thirty hours in a day and every child means greater demands on your time.

Which is much less of an issue if your own parents and grandparents (and maybe even another generation) are around to dote on your children.

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-12T02:22:16.529Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Which is much less of an issue if your own parents and grandparents (and maybe even another generation) are around to dote on your children.

Except they'd also be around to dote on your nieces and nephews (who are also their grandchildren) and the children of your first cousins (since those children would be their great-grandchildren just as much as your own children would be). In fact, because they're subject to multipliers as they go further up the family tree, they have even less time for each child.

This does not make any stronger argument against desiring sex without conception, not does it weaken my "only thirty hours in a day" argument for sex without conception.

comment by faul_sname · 2012-04-11T23:54:58.809Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Particularly since there's almost certainly an easy spell for that.

Replies from: loup-vaillant
comment by loup-vaillant · 2012-04-12T10:14:52.379Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Which seems to be unknown to 7th year students of Hogwarts.

It was hard to muster a proper sense of indignation when you were confronting the same dignified witch who, twelve years and four months earlier, had given both of you two weeks' detention after catching you in the act of conceiving Tracey.

Sigh. Magical education is seriously lacking.

Replies from: HonoreDB, moritz, Percent_Carbon
comment by HonoreDB · 2012-04-13T22:06:30.362Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Or you cast the spell after doing the deed, and that one time they were too busy fleeing/claiming this wasn't what it looked like/getting castigated/getting dressed.

...just how many pregnancies has McGonagall caused, anyway?

comment by moritz · 2012-04-12T16:15:47.056Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Or maybe they simply wanted a child? That can happen at that age, even if it's not all that common in our societies.

Replies from: faul_sname, Alsadius
comment by faul_sname · 2012-04-12T19:16:53.374Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

True. It's not like having a child at that age will prevent them from going to college or have any particularly negative effects in the HPMORverse.

Edit: I accidentally a word there. Edit 2: And then I the put word in the wrong place.

comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T02:33:24.803Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yes, but you generally don't do the deed somewhere you can get caught if you're actually a serious couple of that sort.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-13T07:17:42.518Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Wanting a child does not necessitate responsibility.

comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-12T10:50:51.432Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Perhaps it still has a drawback.

This being a Potterverse it wouldn't be something straightforward like the way a condom insulates against body heat or decreases sensation. It'd be that the semen is magically transported into a nearby container. If you don't have a proper container prepared it ends up somewhere inconvenient like someone's pocket, or outer ear, or mouth. Or that both parties must spend a moment beforehand concentrating on a blue sphere, or the smell of vomit, or the sound of breaking celery. Or maybe it just makes a lady's feet numb.

So some people in some situations skip the contraceptive because they aren't prepared or don't want to deal with the complication.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T02:32:27.188Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

More likely, parents got offended by the thought of that spell getting taught officially, and the (edit)Davises just missed out on the unofficial version?

Replies from: Percent_Carbon, pedanterrific
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-13T07:18:48.831Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Have we heard of magical Britain being remarkably prudish in either MOR or canon?

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T14:46:13.410Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

"Remarkably", no. But at a school where kids as young as 11 go, it'll perhaps seem incongruous. And again, we have an example of a couple kids still in highschool conceiving a kid somewhere they got caught at it - if birth control was both easy and well-taught then that's unlikely to have happened.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-14T03:56:03.511Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I had sex ed at that age. I think it was a remarkably unproductive use of time for most of the people in there. But there was a least one girl who was pregnant the next year, so it's possible that it prevented further pregnancy.

Sex education does not prevent all pregnancy any more than driver's education prevents all accidents. Kids both fuck and fuck up.

comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T02:36:13.969Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

(Davises.)

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T02:57:44.552Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Edited.

comment by Benquo · 2012-04-11T11:57:11.486Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

1) The war 2) Some wizards are more equal than others.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-11T12:42:45.855Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

1a) Also that other war before that one

3) Dumbledore uses his Time Tuner all the time. If he received it in his teens there could be almost twenty five extra years on that airframe.

comment by linkhyrule5 · 2012-04-11T16:36:42.592Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Might be a Baby Boom effect, combined with high death rates from the wars. Basically, WWII still has visible effects.

Replies from: Bluehawk
comment by Bluehawk · 2012-04-12T02:12:48.438Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I think it's easy to forget that world events that might have had lasting visible effects in present day might have much bigger lasting effects in a world of extended lifespans and older parenting that is also taking place twenty one years ago.

So I guess what I'm saying is I agree?

comment by NancyLebovitz · 2012-04-11T13:16:56.806Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Considering how poor the Weasleys are, most wizards might well use birth control and abortion. Both seem like they should be magically feasible, and wizards might actually know whether fetuses are conscious.

Replies from: TheOtherDave, None, bogdanb, Alsadius
comment by TheOtherDave · 2012-04-11T13:53:32.275Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

(nods) And the Fetusmouths were driven into isolated seclusion in the early 1200s due to ethical concerns, and also they were really annoying at baby showers.

Replies from: None, Bluehawk
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-11T15:29:40.797Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

And thus did the nine Ancient and Most Noble Houses of Britain become eight.

comment by Bluehawk · 2012-04-12T02:10:08.096Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Fetusmouth sounds to me remarkably like a synonym for "babyeater".

comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-12T21:47:08.297Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The Weasleys do seem to be more cosmetically poor than anything else. I mean, we're told they're poor, and that they wear shabby clothing and have hand-me-down wands, but they own a big house and land and broomsticks and a car(!) and everyone of age in the family is gainfully employed, often in reasonably respectable and lucrative jobs. Makes you wonder where the money's going.

Replies from: NancyLebovitz, Sheaman3773, Alsadius
comment by NancyLebovitz · 2012-04-12T23:42:12.272Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I'm not sure, but it could be that while they're hardly desperate, they can't quite run with people who are upper middle class or better. They're getting by, but they don't have much to spare.

Replies from: LauralH
comment by LauralH · 2012-04-14T05:52:47.445Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Speaking as the middle of 5 kids - having a bunch of kids close to the same age like that can get expensive, and Molly didn't work.

comment by Sheaman3773 · 2012-06-26T06:46:41.447Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Beyond what has already been said by other posters, they take vacations all the time. I get that it was probably a narrative technique, to get them out of the way and either keep Ron around or move him away, but it was unbelievably frustrating that they would choose to all go out and have fun before getting Ron a wand that was actually attuned to him, considering how central to their lives wands are.

I'm probably biased both in my love of (the idea of) magic and in my enjoyment in being a homebody, though I'm not sure what that might be called at the moment.

comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T02:30:21.897Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

For most of the series, they have several school-age children, and many of the employed ones are at least somewhat estranged from the parents. It's not hard to believe that they could be fairly shabby.

comment by bogdanb · 2012-04-11T21:28:49.556Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I think I’ve actually seen something on the lines of “interesting potions for girls if you know what I mean”—but though I don’t remember if in canon or MoR.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T02:28:50.754Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yeah, but even with birth control our families are bigger than that. Perhaps it's just Voldemortality?

Replies from: bogdanb
comment by bogdanb · 2012-04-13T11:29:58.470Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Well, the Weasleys have a somewhat larger family, despite participating in the war, and they’re somewhat low-status among the magic users. It might be a semi-unconscious cultural thing. Most Slytherins concentrate on building status, or on grooming a heir worthy of it if they have status (and have little love to split), the Ravenclaws are busy reading books, Griffindors are busy heroing like Dumbledore, and Hufflepufs have to pick up all the slack.

But yeah, war is probably the main reason, the older parts of family trees have more branches. (Well, out-of-universe it’s probably just how writing works: you initially concentrate on a few characters, and they have to be diverse so you make them from different backgrounds and families, so you have mostly only-children, but later you need to build up the relationships so you get more complex family trees in the past.)

comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T02:28:00.377Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Kids really aren't that expensive in the grand scheme of things, as long as you don't spoil them too badly. If my great-grandparents could afford to raise a family of 13 during the Depression, then I think any random wizard could afford to have more than a couple.

comment by maia · 2012-04-12T19:06:00.103Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Nitpick:

Plus, imagine the number of children each couple would have if people jumped from 40 fertile years to 80.

Why would you think that would happen? Women already regularly outlive their fertile periods in real life. Unless you're also proposing some magical mechanism of fertility increase (and if so, why?), you wouldn't expect fertile periods to increase.

Of course, wizards would have longer fertile periods, but you still bump into the hard limit of how many children witches are willing and able to have.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-13T07:16:14.607Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Maybe he is thinking of fertility the way a gamer thinks of health.

Wizards are just healthier. There isn't a solid, hard science fiction explanation for why they heal faster and shrug off harder hits. They just do.

Likewise no attention needs to be paid to the nature of the end of fertility or the resources that run out or the way the odds of viable offspring and safe childbirth start ramping down around in the mid to late twenties in normal females. They just don't in a witch's life.

Replies from: maia, wedrifid
comment by maia · 2012-04-13T16:20:11.474Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Could be, although there is still menopause, which is more what I was thinking about... That seems less attached to a general concept of "health" to me for some reason.

comment by wedrifid · 2012-04-13T07:22:08.246Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Wizards are just healthier. There isn't a solid, hard science fiction explanation for why they heal faster and shrug off harder hits. They just do.

Unlike in Dresdenverse where I just finished reading Butters giving an analysis (when he should have been working out how to escape from zombies!)

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-13T07:43:01.010Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Unlike in Dresdenverse where I just finished reading Butters giving an analysis

That scene is exactly what I was thinking of.

comment by thomblake · 2012-04-11T15:02:10.294Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I'd always assumed canon Dumbledore had limited access to the Philosopher's Stone.

Replies from: gwern
comment by gwern · 2012-04-11T15:13:44.826Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Isn't it stated in Book 1 that both he and Flamel were using the elixir?

Replies from: ArisKatsaris
comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-11T15:16:44.798Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

No, Flamel and his wife were mentioned as the users of the elixir.

comment by DavidAgain · 2012-04-11T21:18:17.753Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

As with others, I don't see why they'd oppose birth control. I'd assume magic allowed very good, easy, birth control. After all, Arthur Weasley is known for two things: big family, and tendency to use Muggle techology rather than the superior magic alternative. I'm assuming serious condom malfunction.

Replies from: TheOtherDave
comment by TheOtherDave · 2012-04-11T21:20:02.419Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Why do you find repeated condom malfunction more plausible than wanting a big family?

Replies from: taelor, DavidAgain, Alsadius
comment by taelor · 2012-04-16T21:50:49.820Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Alternately, they just wanted a girl and kept trying until they got one.

comment by DavidAgain · 2012-04-14T08:25:52.150Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Because it's the only large family mentioned and the only family that relies on Muggle technology over superior magic (e.g. stitches).

Wasn't deadly serious: I don't know if it's mentioned directly, but it can't be a mistake that it's a family of six boys, then a girl, and then no further children. I've seen that pattern before.

Oddly, that implies that (some) wizards can't/won't sex-select their kids.

Replies from: wirov, JoshuaZ, pedanterrific
comment by wirov · 2012-04-14T20:56:55.451Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Well … Arthur's the one who's fond of Muggle technology. Molly didn't really approve of the flying car in the second book and she definitely didn't approve of the stitches, so it's rather unlikely that she'd approve of some Muggle invention made from rubber which Arthur suggests for contraception.

Replies from: DavidAgain
comment by DavidAgain · 2012-04-22T20:40:58.047Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

True, that. I refer you to my 'not deadly serious' point. It's not that it stands up to scrutiny so much as it's a neat parallel

comment by JoshuaZ · 2012-04-22T20:58:18.873Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Minor note- condoms date as a technology from the 1600s. The wizarding world has taken many muggle technologies from well after that (such as door knobs). Wizards would likely have had time to not only make and adopt reliable condoms but use magic to improve them.

comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-14T08:58:20.264Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

and the only family that relies on Muggle technology over superior magic (e.g. stitches).

You don't think the stitches were Arthur's idea, do you? Cause they weren't.

Replies from: DavidAgain
comment by DavidAgain · 2012-04-22T20:45:48.549Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The book says him and the healer agree on them: not sure if he came up with the idea but they got his support.

Interesting, the next generation got a more rational form: Fred+George's lockpicking is a great idea, not just for underage magic reasons but because you suspect wizards would cast complex locking charms on things to protect from Aloharama but not actually make the lock itself very secure from a mundane angle. Which has parallels to the sadly rare RPGs that allow you to get round complicated locks that frustrate you rogue by smashing the chest to pieces with a two-handed hammer.

comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T02:34:18.336Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Because he's not the brightest bulb?

comment by buybuydandavis · 2012-04-11T04:55:05.725Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

EY doesn't seem so fond of Rand, and it's like he's building her up as the great bugaboo of the story. That whole talk with Hermione was one of those "Gault Recruits a Striker" speeches.

If you live in a world where you are punished for what was called Good:

And yet it was as if they tried to do everything they could to make his life unpleasant. To throw every possible obstacle into his way. I was not naive, Miss Granger, I did not expect the power-holders to align themselves with me so quickly - not without something in it for themselves. But their power, too, was threatened; and so I was shocked how they seemed content to step back, and leave to that man all burdens of responsibility. They sneered at his performance, remarking among themselves how they would do better in his place, though they did not condescend to step forward."

And rewarded for what was called Evil:

"And it was the strangest thing - the Dark Wizard, that man's dread nemesis - why, those who served him leapt eagerly to their tasks. The Dark Wizard grew crueler toward his followers, and they followed him all the more. Men fought for the chance to serve him, even as those whose lives depended on that other man made free to render his life difficult... I could not understand it, Miss Granger."

What should you do?

Voldemort Shrugged:

"Why, no," said Professor Quirrell. "I stopped trying to be a hero, and went off to do something else I found more pleasant."

At that point, it's hard to complain. But I'm seeing Rand paired with Lord Foul. Consider Harry, Dumbledore, and Quirrell.

Harry: Harry's eyes were very serious. "Hermione, you've told me a lot of times that I look down too much on other people. But if I expected too much of them - if I expected people to get things right - I really would hate them, then.

"No..." said Professor Quirrell. "That was not why I came here. You have made no effort to hide your dislike for me, Miss Granger. I thank you for that lack of pretense, for I much prefer true hate to false love.

Dumbledore: There is evil in this world which knows itself for evil, and hates the good with all its strength. All fair things does it desire to destroy."

The Moral of the Story seems to be Harry finding an answer to the weakness, stupidity, and evil of others besides hating them and destroying them.

You get a lot of interesting passages just by searching for Hate.

The Killing Cure is formed of Pure Hate

And it’s not that I hate this Ron guy,” Harry said, “I just, just...” Harry searched for words. “Don’t see any reason for him to exist?” offered Draco. “Pretty much.”

“Sometimes,” Professor Quirrell said in a voice so quiet it almost wasn’t there, “when this flawed world seems unusually hateful, I wonder whether there might be some other place, far away, where I should have been.

Right now this flawed world seemed unusually hateful. And Harry couldn’t understand Professor Quirrell’s words, it might have been an alien that had spoken, or an Artificial Intelligence, something built along such different lines from Harry that his brain couldn’t be forced to operate in that mode. You couldn’t leave your home planet while it still contained a place like Azkaban. You had to stay and fight.

There’s no light in the place the Dementor takes you, Hermione. No warmth. No caring. It’s somewhere that you can’t even understand happiness. There’s pain, and fear, and those can still drive you. You can hate, and take pleasure in destroying what you hate.

But then something in the world changed, and now you can’t find any great scientists who still think skin color should matter, only loser people like the ones I described to you. Salazar Slytherin made the mistake when everyone else was making it, because he grew up believing it, not because he was desperate for someone to hate.

“I guess I was stupid too,” Draco said. “All this time, all this time I forgot that you must hate the Death Eaters for killing your parents, hate Death Eaters the way I hate Dumbledore.”

“No,” Harry said. “It’s not—it’s not like that, Draco, I, I don’t even know how to explain to you, except to say that a thought like that, wouldn’t,” Harry’s voice choked, “you wouldn’t ever be able to use it, to cast the Patronus Charm...”

Harry remembered it from the night the Dark Lord killed his parents: the cold amusement, the contemptuous laughter, that high-pitched voice of deathly hate.

Fury blazed in Harry then, blazed up like fire, it might have come from where a phoenix now rested on his own shoulder, and it might have come from his own dark side, and the two angers mixed within him, the cold and the hot, and it was a strange voice that said from his throat, “Tell me something. What does a government have to do, what do the voters have to do with their democracy, what do the people of a country have to do, before I ought to decide that I’m not on their side any more?”

The old wizard’s voice was pleading. “And it is possible to oppose the will of your fellows openly or in secret, without hating them, without declaring them evil and enemy! I do not think the people of this country deserve that of you, Harry! And even if some of them did—what of the children, what of the students in Hogwarts, what of the many good people mixed in with the bad?”

“Don’t go!” The voice came in a scream from behind the metal door. “No, no, no, don’t go, don’t take it away, don’t don’t don’t—” Why had Fawkes ever rested on his shoulder? He’d walked away. Fawkes should hate him. Fawkes should hate Dumbledore. He’d walked away. Fawkes should hate everyone—

rage grew in him alongside the self-loathing, a terrible hot wrath / icy cold hatred, for the world which had done that to her / for himself, and in his half-awake state Harry fantasized escapes, fantasized ways out of the moral dilemma,

You have everything now that I wanted then. All that I know of human nature says that I should hate you. And yet I do not. It is a very strange thing.

A couple more that I recalled showing the difference between Harry answer and Quirrells. See the last in particular.

There was a pause at this. Then the boy said, “Professor, I have to ask, when you see something all dark and gloomy, doesn’t it ever occur to you to try and improve it somehow? Like, yes, something goes terribly wrong in people’s heads that makes them think it’s great to torture criminals, but that doesn’t mean they’re truly evil inside; and maybe if you taught them the right things, showed them what they were doing wrong, you could change—” Professor Quirrell laughed, then, and not with the emptiness of before. “Ah, Mr. Potter, sometimes I do forget how very young you are. Sooner you could change the color of the sky.” Another chuckle, this one colder. “And the reason it is easy for you to forgive such fools and think well of them, Mr. Potter, is that you yourself have not been sorely hurt. You will think less fondly of commonplace idiots after the first time their folly costs you something dear.

“I’m certainly becoming a bit frustrated with... whatever’s going wrong in people’s heads.” “Yes,” said that icy voice. “I find it frustrating as well.” “Is there any way to get people not to do that?” said Harry to his teacup. “There is indeed a certain useful spell which solves the problem.” Harry looked up hopefully at that, and saw a cold, cold smile on the Defense Professor’s face. Then Harry got it. “I mean, besides Avada Kedavra.” The Defense Professor laughed. Harry didn’t.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon, oliverbeatson, RobertLumley, vali
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-11T09:06:16.539Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You should break up your quote blocks with an extra line so they look like separate quotes..

comment by oliverbeatson · 2012-04-11T12:28:38.094Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I find some of the most relatable parts of the story to be the vague hero-against-the world / morality allegory, particularly in the dialogue quoted here. I think as much of the micro-morality of the story is Randian in a way that as much of the surface dialogue might paint Rand as a negative colour (if only by showing how ugly her beliefs on the surface, but revealing their purer roots). Harry is basically saying "Yes, everyone is incompetent; woe that they didn't have the luck to be not, and let's try and change that without getting too annoyed". With greater intelligence comes greater ability (and in a sense perceived moral obligation) to restrain or make productive one's hatred towards that which can't be changed or that can't be changed easily. Harry is taking morality as being the extent to which a strength can compensate for weakness in the spirit of creating future strength. The Randian 'strike' is a utilitarian way to achieve Randian values, and not an inherently Randian way or whatever. I don't think it's immediately obvious Harry isn't aiming for Randian values, if perhaps narratively in a way that Ayn Rand would not have imagined - i.e. strength and weakness are much more complexly intertwined.

(It's not obvious either that I'm disagreeing with the parent post.)

Replies from: buybuydandavis
comment by buybuydandavis · 2012-04-14T03:11:01.248Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I think as much of the micro-morality of the story is Randian in a way that as much of the surface dialogue might paint Rand as a negative colour

Definitely. For me, EY hits some of the exact same buttons that Rand does, though maybe a little harder. In Rand's terms, the Sense of Life is the same. EY's money shots, Harry's internal dialogues, are practically interchangeable with the money shots in Anthem and We The Living, also internal dialogues of the main characters. It's a Nietzschean Yes! to life. I can't think of anyone more similar to either in that respect.

The same sense of life, but they part ways on ideological conclusions. Quirrell as the Big Bad, is busy giving the No Duty to others, free to be an Egoist speech. I don't think we're intended to sympathize. Then EY makes a package deal of an egoistic love of life and it' opposite - Despite, the contempt for life because of it's "imperfections". Reminds me of It's a Wonderful Life, where a different kind of package deal is used to recommend the squashing of George's youthful egoism.

Replies from: wedrifid
comment by wedrifid · 2012-04-14T04:38:04.883Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Quirrell as the Big Bad, is busy giving the No Duty to others, free to be an Egoist speech. I don't think we're intended to sympathize.

Oops.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-14T06:34:27.629Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's taken me three passes over the newest posts to figure out that you meant you sympathize with him. Upvoting for (delayed) chuckle.

Do you sympathize with Randian protagonists, too?

Replies from: wedrifid
comment by wedrifid · 2012-04-14T08:16:20.275Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Do you sympathize with Randian protagonists, too?

I doubt it. I'm not familiar with any Randian protagonists but if they act in accord to what I understand of Randian philosophical agenda then their attitude would be gratingly incompatible with my sympathy. From what I understand Randians are have their options artificially constrained in the direction of a particular interpretation of 'selfishness'. Quirrel can do whatever the heck he wants and care about whatever he wants. Doing whatever the heck he wants gets my sympathy and also a certain kind of trust.

comment by RobertLumley · 2012-04-11T14:19:28.650Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I was thinking of Rand through this entire chapter too, but I dismissed that as a cached thought because of the recent "In Defense of Ayn Rand". Perhaps I shouldn't have.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T01:52:20.968Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I think the "I quit and did something more fun" bit was very Rand, the rest much less so.

comment by vali · 2012-04-11T07:20:13.189Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The Moral of the Story seems to be Harry finding an answer to the weakness, stupidity, and evil of others besides >hating them and destroying them.

EY has made it his life goal to creating an artificial intelligence that is friendly to humans. A mind that transcends us without hating us. Harry MUST triumph over Quirrel, and he must do so by being more moral, not more intelligent. Because if Harry wins by being smarter, then EY would be conceding that morality is a weakness, or at the very least that strength and strength alone will determine which AI will win. And there would always be that risk that the AI would "grow up" as Quirrel puts it, and realize that "the reason it is easy for you to forgive such fools and think well of them, Mr. Potter, is that you yourself have not been sorely hurt". And something tells me that EY's solution is not to create a being that can't be hurt.

My guess is that "The power that the dark lord knows not" is, in some way, a solution to this problem. Harry will triumph for the same reason EY's friendly AI will (supposedly) triumph. But we will see. I haven't read enough of EY's stuff on friendly AI to know for certain what his solution to the AI problem is, only that he thinks he has one.

Replies from: None, Desrtopa, FAWS
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-11T07:49:04.348Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Harry MUST triumph over Quirrel, and he must do so by being more moral, not more intelligent.

That doesn't sound right. If you're looking for ways Harry could win, why not take Harry's advice and draw up a list of his relative advantages? He does have them - knowledge of superrationality, knowledge of science, ability to empathize with non-psychopaths, to name three - and they're likely to be part of the solution.

comment by Desrtopa · 2012-04-12T02:06:39.338Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

then EY would be conceding that morality is a weakness, or at the very least that strength and strength alone will determine which AI will win.

I'm pretty sure that he does believe that if an AI goes FOOM, it's going to win, period, moral or no. The idea that an AI would not simply be more preferable, but actually win over another AI on account of being more moral strikes me as, well, rather silly, and not at all in accordance with what I think Eliezer actually believes.

comment by FAWS · 2012-04-11T07:34:51.639Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

As of last week Eliezer didn't have any plans to include an allegory to FAI, and expected any such allegory to work very badly in story terms ("suck like a black hole").

Replies from: Percent_Carbon, vali
comment by vali · 2012-04-11T08:00:45.361Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Oh. I feel a little silly now.

comment by Eliezer Yudkowsky (Eliezer_Yudkowsky) · 2012-04-11T06:05:08.247Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I've edited the birthdate of the person Amelia refers to, to be 1927 - too many people were interpreting that as "She thinks he's Tom Riddle" despite the House incongruence, an interpretation I'd honestly never thought of due to Illusion of Transparency.

Replies from: Vaniver, ArisKatsaris, ChrisHallquist, ChrisHallquist, Alsadius, pedanterrific
comment by Vaniver · 2012-04-11T17:47:42.392Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I recommend checking out what your hints mean in canon, because that's what we have to go off of. The first thing I did when I saw 1926 was head over to the Harry Potter wiki and figure out who was born in 1926. It's Riddle and three of his Death Eater pals, all from Slytherin, of which the obvious option is Riddle. Riddle fits the biographical details you give, with minor modification consistent with the upgrades people get from canon (a MOR Riddle might decide to not murder his family while still in school, for example). The canon rules for Houses appear to be "only Black is Noble and Most Ancient," and so we really don't have any idea which houses are the seven mentioned by Bones, and what the eighth missing house could be. Gaunt is a way better option than, say, Lestrange (where we know Lesath is alive).

In a fanfic, you should expect people to suspect that new characters are canon characters rather than completely new characters, which the person Bones is describing now appears to be (no canon births in 1927).

Replies from: ciphergoth
comment by Paul Crowley (ciphergoth) · 2012-04-14T06:44:17.237Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Thank you - I assumed it was a canon character, and came to this thread to find out who it was.

comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-11T11:11:58.492Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I think you're underestimating how quick people are to latch onto a detected pattern at the tiniest bit of evidence, and highly overestimating how quick they're to let go of the pattern they (brilliantly) detected when evidence to the contrary appears.

Any date at around that era will keep making people think she identified him as Tom Riddle, no matter any other evidence to the contrary, unless you explicitly have her mention a different name for him by chapter's end.

If you don't want people to have that confusion by chapter's end, just edit the chapter to have her name him with whatever non-Tom-Riddle name she thinks him to be.

Replies from: DeevGrape, Alsadius
comment by DeevGrape · 2012-04-11T17:29:10.071Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Said by Quirrell, but appropriate to the question of EY publishing the name of the hero: "it is clear he does not wish the fact announced, and has reasons enough for silence. "

Replies from: ArisKatsaris
comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-11T17:50:44.810Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

it is clear he does not wish the fact announced, and has reasons enough for silence. "

Whether true or false, it isn't clear to me. Eliezer has edited chapters in the past for the purposes of clarity/removal of red herrings.

comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-12T23:58:14.032Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I think the idea was to hint at Riddle(the Albania reference in particular seems intended for that purpose) and then swerve, and 1927 does that effectively - it's in the right ballpark to make people think of him, but when they go look it up, it's not.

comment by ChrisHallquist · 2012-04-11T06:28:18.084Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Facepalm

Of course, if Riddle wanted to create a hero persona for himself, he wouldn't use his real name, especially not when his villain persona's name was an anagram of his real name.

So to create his hero persona, he looked for a dead scion of a Most Ancient House who he could impersonate. In his Voldemort persona, he orders the kidnapping of the Minster of Magic's daughter, then rescues her in his hero persona, &c.

Also solves the problem of why doesn't Bones know Riddle became Voldemort.

Replies from: gwern
comment by gwern · 2012-04-11T14:02:03.281Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

especially not when his villain persona's name was an anagram of his real name.

I don't think that's an issue. It's a really long anagram - 'I am Lord Voldemort' to 'Tom Marvolo Riddle'. You need his middle name, you need to use 'Tom' rather than 'Thomas', and how many would think of prepending 'I am Lord' to 'Voldemort', especially when 'Lord' is mostly (exclusively?) used by Death Eaters. (Did anyone in the entire world besides Rowling get that anagram before it was published in Book 2? No one in canon but Harry seems to know.)

Remember that folks like Hook would publish hash - I mean, anagram - precommitments to their great scientific discoveries. Against humans without computers, anagrams are pretty effective trapdoor functions. (And that's when you know there's an anagram in the first place.)

EDIT: For 'Tom Marvolo Riddle', the AWAD anagram server says 74,669 possible anagrams. Some are quite ominous, eg. 'Dread Mil Volt Room'.

Replies from: faul_sname, gjm
comment by faul_sname · 2012-04-11T23:44:20.923Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

That, and an anagram that long can become almost anything. Exapmles: Armored doll vomit, odd immoral revolt, and my favorite, devil marmot drool. So even with the "marvolo", and even with the knowledge that it anagrams to something you're not going to spontaneously make that association unless you have prior reason to suspect voldemortiness.

Replies from: gwern
comment by gwern · 2012-04-11T23:51:36.570Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

odd immoral revolt

Of course - it's so obvious in retrospect! And it even encodes a hint about Quirrel's future activities too:

devil marmot drool

(If you squint, his resemblance to a devil marmot is clear.)

comment by gjm · 2012-04-11T15:07:48.716Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

In fairness, I think the first anyone heard of "Marvolo" as Riddle's middle niddle -- er, I mean name -- was when he anagrammed it for Harry in the Chamber of Secrets. So it's not a big surprise that no one else guessed the anagram.

Replies from: HonoreDB, hairyfigment
comment by HonoreDB · 2012-04-11T19:03:41.141Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yeah, it was a total cheat. That's why I put my anagram in the Dramatis Personae.

Replies from: gwern
comment by gwern · 2012-04-11T20:16:29.348Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Incidentally, what's happened with that play since I left my comment?

Replies from: HonoreDB
comment by HonoreDB · 2012-04-13T15:18:33.029Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Most of the stuff I was hoping for hasn't panned out thus far. The ebook gets a few downloads each week, mostly as referrals from the HPMoR fan art page.

Replies from: gwern
comment by gwern · 2012-04-13T15:34:36.992Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

That's too bad. Maybe you should just re-release it for free so you at least get some readers?

comment by hairyfigment · 2012-05-06T01:46:48.764Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The American version definitely says in the flashback, "she lived just long enough to name me -- Tom after my father, Marvolo after my grandfather." (And the book introduced him as T.M. Riddle.) I have no reason to think the British version lacked this info.

Replies from: gjm
comment by gjm · 2012-05-06T19:13:36.753Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Am I misremembering? Isn't that after the point where he anagrammatizes it for Harry in the CoS?

Replies from: hairyfigment
comment by hairyfigment · 2012-05-06T21:54:04.347Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Definitely not. First Riddle uses the diary as a Pensieve-style flashback machine and gives Harry this info, then Ginny steals the diary back, then we get to the CoS climax.

Replies from: gjm
comment by gjm · 2012-05-07T11:03:39.685Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Oh yes, you're right. So, yeah, a sufficiently ingenious reader might have noticed the (apparent) throwaway comment about the names, noticed that the letters of "Voldemort" are contained in "Tom Marvolo Riddle", and worked out the rest before the big reveal fifty pages later. I remain of the opinion that it's no big surprise if no one did.

comment by ChrisHallquist · 2012-04-11T07:02:43.764Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Ah. And checking the Harry Potter wiki, I see I had forgotten just how far the "pureblood" house of Gaunt had fallen in canon.

comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-12T23:45:55.064Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

What house incongruence? Mystery Man was a Slytherin, as was Riddle.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-13T07:35:15.539Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

He means that Tom Riddle isn't connected to any noble house but Scion of X was. So it is incongruent that people would just to think that Scion of X was Tome Riddle.

Born or married house, not sorted house.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T14:42:11.566Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Ah, I see. He's messed with character backgrounds so much that I figured Gaunt had just been made noble or something, but fair enough.

comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-11T06:12:45.982Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

What House incongruence? They're both Slytherins.

comment by ChrisHallquist · 2012-04-12T07:21:29.656Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's dawned on me that one of the biggest themes of this fic may be the importance of being able to notice flaws in one's models of other people. Virtually every time something has gone wrong in one of Voldemort's plans, it is because he is weak in this area:

  • Failure to predict how Harry would react to seeing him (as Quirrell) trying to kill an Aurour in Azkaban
  • Failure to predict that Hermione would be suspicious of Mr. Incredibly Suspicious Person
  • Failure to see how far Harry would go to keep Hermione out of Azkaban
  • Failure to talk Hermione into leaving Hogwarts of her own free will
  • The initial failure to predict that people would not treat him very well in his hero role

Then there's Lucius, seeing everything in terms of self-interested plots, and concluding Harry is Voldemort because of it.

And finally, the bit in chapter 81 about how Harry is wiser than either Dumbledore or Voldemort, because he realizes he's able to realize when he doesn't understand people.

Replies from: pedanterrific, Xachariah, trlkly, Normal_Anomaly, None
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-12T07:28:34.532Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

(I think one of those Azkabans should be a Hogwarts.)

There's also the two miscalculations in the speech before Yule- Harry's wish (which I think genuinely caught him by surprise) and Harry's publicly disagreeing with him (likewise).

Replies from: ChrisHallquist
comment by ChrisHallquist · 2012-04-12T07:35:39.997Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Fixed the Azkaban/Hogwarts mistake.

And yes, the Yule speech belongs there as well.

comment by Xachariah · 2012-04-12T07:38:37.292Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's dawned on me that one of the biggest themes of this fic may be the importance of being able to notice flaws in one's models of other people.

Not that the theme isn't present, but I almost consider that a general theme of fiction. Romeo and Juliet is enabled by the authorities on both sides not having accurate models of their respective scions. Of Mice and Men is about Lenny's inaccuracy in his model of George. Die Hard always ends because the villain does not have an accurate model of John McClane. I'm sure you could write a whole book about Death Note. etc.

While it is present in HPMoR, it doesn't strike me as especially significant any more so than other fiction, compared to the many more overtly rationalist themes already present.

comment by trlkly · 2012-04-24T06:50:39.679Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I think you are erring when you assume that these are Voldemort's plans. They might be, but I don't think they have to be. The story seems to have deviated quite far from the original story.

In fact, my reading is that Quirrell may actually be some good guy, destroying our expectations from the story. I mean, has his turban even been mentioned?

Replies from: pedanterrific, ChrisHallquist
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-24T07:02:40.713Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Chapter 12 (the Welcoming Feast):

The young, thin, nervous man who Harry had first met in the Leaky Cauldron slowly made his way up to the podium, glancing fearfully around in all directions. Harry caught a glimpse of the back of his head, and it looked like Professor Quirrell might already be going bald, despite his seeming youth.

comment by ChrisHallquist · 2012-04-24T11:36:36.098Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The the first omake in chapter eleven, combined with the "philosophy of fanfiction" in the "more info," at HPMOR.com, strongly suggests that Voldemort is possessing Quirrell, but Quirrell isn't wearing a turban because Voldemort found some smarter method that wouldn't be trivially easy for Rational!Harry to figure out. Other major clues that something is up with Quirrell are:

  • His mysterious illness
  • Chapter 20 strongly hints that he turned the Pioneer Plaque into a horcrux.

And those are just the clues we got in the first 20 chapters. In another comment in this thread, I made a rather long list of clues restricting myself to thinks Harry knows about.

Replies from: ygert, Richard_Kennaway
comment by ygert · 2012-11-28T12:07:11.149Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

My idea for this is that Voldemort is on the back of Quirrell's head, but then the Quirrellmort composite polyjuiced himself back into Quirrell, so that he doesn't have the huge vulnerability of having a face on the back of his head. (This explains the mystery of why he blocked the polyjuice detection spell that was cast at him at the ministry.)

comment by Richard_Kennaway · 2012-04-24T12:47:26.809Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

On the other hand, Dumbledore and McGonagall both know some reason that Quirrell's nature is absolutely not to be inquired about by anyone. Dumbledore even evaded the Aurors' question on the subject. If the secret that they are guarding is that Q=V, then either they're all on V's side or they've been jinxed or blackmailed in some way. I don't find any of those possibilities credible. That implies that there is some other secret in play about Quirrell's nature. I don't think there's room for two such secrets, the other one being Q=V.

More likely, Q contains a fragment of V but Q remains in control. Q's lapses into zombieness are a side effect of what it takes to stay in control. Inquiries are dangerous because of the possibility, as with Harry under the Sorting Hat, of awakening the fragment to self-awareness. Q is valuable to Dumbledore and the forces of light because of the insight he can provide into Voldemort's history and how Voldemort thinks. Perhaps control over that piece of V will also be useful for magical reasons.

comment by Normal_Anomaly · 2012-04-17T13:08:30.739Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

And finally, the bit in chapter 81 about how Harry is wiser than either Dumbledore or Voldemort, because he realizes he's able to realize when he doesn't understand people.

This is a better interpretation of that bit than I've seen before--I approve.

comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-12T07:27:33.797Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
  • Failure to talk Hermione into leaving Azkaban of her own free will

Assuming you meant Hogwarts...

If there is a possession element to this plot, as Dumbledore believes, it may not have been her will she was fighting when she had to clamp her mouth shut to keep it from saying Yes.

Replies from: Lavode, ChrisHallquist
comment by Lavode · 2012-04-12T08:04:34.265Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Dumbledore explicitly warded her against mental interference as soon as he got her back - Which is presumably why Quirrell didnt use the groundhog day attack again. He only got one try to sway her this time, and while his mental model was more accurate based on the data from the last go.. nope, fail.

Replies from: None
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-12T08:20:49.328Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You're right.

The old wizard nodded in affirmation. "If any hostile magic is cast on her, or any spirit touches her, I shall know, and come."

comment by ChrisHallquist · 2012-04-12T07:34:54.396Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

D'oh, right fixed.

comment by MarkusRamikin · 2012-04-11T07:44:41.099Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

In the spirit of making people flee screaming out of the room, propelled by a bone-deep terror as if Cthulhu had erupted from the podium:

One thing I really enjoy about HPMoR is how it likes to show intelligent people taking unreasonable-seeming ( = actually reasonable) precautions. Amelia Bones in chapter 84, and also in the Azkaban arc, Dumbledore and Snape and even Minerva on various occasions... not quite sure why but I really enjoy reading that sort of a thing.

Replies from: Psy-Kosh
comment by Psy-Kosh · 2012-04-11T18:19:10.342Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Interestingly enough, that's also why I liked the older seasons of Mythbusters. You'd see much more of the planning/preparation for their tests, including all the safety considerations.

ie, they'd do the usual "don't try this at home", but then you'd actually see just how much planning/etc it takes to do such things properly and safely.

Replies from: DSimon, elpechos, elpechos
comment by DSimon · 2012-04-16T05:18:06.455Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Hm, yeah, I hadn't noticed that. They do still show the engineering and problem-solving process (where they laboriously set up an experiment, run it, and its results turn out to be completely useless), but not really the safety stuff that goes along with it anymore.

Maybe it's because they are running more myths per show now that the build team pretty much does their own separate thing?

comment by elpechos · 2012-04-20T08:14:51.491Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Fuck you

comment by elpechos · 2012-04-20T08:14:11.347Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Fuck you

comment by Scott Alexander (Yvain) · 2012-04-11T11:09:44.913Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Nicholas Flamel (born 1340) could be almost as good a source of ancient spells lost to the Interdict of Merlin as Slytherin's Monster (exact creation date unknown, but Godric Gryffindor was alive in 1202 and Slytherin was a contemporary). He also seems to be dependent on Albus Dumbledore for protection; maybe it's time Dumbledore called in some quid pro quo if he hasn't already?

Replies from: ArisKatsaris, gwern
comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-11T12:10:54.087Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Nicholas Flamel (born 1340) could be almost as good a source of ancient spells lost to the Interdict of Merlin as Slytherin's Monster

From Chapter 77:

A single glance would tell any competent wizard that the Headmaster has laced that corridor with a ridiculous quantity of wards and webs, triggers and tripsigns. And more: there are Charms laid there of ancient power, magical constructs of which I have heard not even rumors, techniques that must have been disgorged from the hoarded lore of Flamel himself.

So Dumbledore's already using some of Flamel's knowledge in his efforts against Voldemort.

comment by gwern · 2012-04-11T14:13:54.913Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

He also seems to be dependent on Albus Dumbledore for protection; maybe it's time Dumbledore called in some quid pro quo if he hasn't already?

If Dumbledore had that kind of leverage, he would have used it to either move or destroy the Philosopher's Stone.

comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-11T22:43:29.020Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I'm experimenting with reproducing the sound of the really horrible humming in Mathematica. I haven't changed the duration of notes yet, but I've experimented with trying to make things sound as horribly off-key as possible. I've started out with just changing the pitches of the notes by adding normally-distributed noise. So far the main discovery I've made is that for greater effect, the magnitude of the change should be proportional to the length of the note. Any ideas for things to try?

I'm using MIDI sounds, which are the simplest to set up, but also have the drawback that every pitch must correspond to an integral semitone, which limits how horrible things can sound. Also, what is a good standard MIDI instrument for simulating humming?

Replies from: None, thescoundrel, 75th, buybuydandavis, q4-g03olf, Bill_McGrath, Bill_McGrath
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-12T19:53:14.190Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

After several hours of experimentation, I have figured out what the trick is. Quirrell did nothing except hum the same song for four hours. The Auror's mind filled in the rest. After four hours of listening to the same fifty-one notes over and over again, I'd be calling code RJ-L20 too.

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-13T01:11:17.769Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

On the one hand, I once listened to "Why Don't We Do It in the Road?" for three days straight. I had not stopped enjoying it when I stopped listening to it. (My roommates and guests did not share my enthusiasm, but I don't think they ever liked the song.)

On the other hand, while attempting to transfer a customer to the appropriate party I once listened to "Unchained Melody" for almost an hour. I didn't snap (it was a mill of a call center, so public nervous breakdowns were not unheard of), but the piece gained the ability to infuriate me even without the extra hours and fuck-with-your-brain inconsistency.

comment by thescoundrel · 2012-04-11T22:50:45.051Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I would think the real key to horrible humming would not be to have it be uniformly horrible, but so close to brilliant that the horrible notes punctuate and pierce the melody so completely that it starts driving you mad- a song filled with unresolved suspensions, minor 2nds where they just should not belong, that then somehow modulate into something which sounds normal just long enough for you to think you are safe, when it collapses again, and the new key is offensive both to the original and to the modulation. This is not just random sounds, this is purposeful song writing, with the intent to unsettle- in my mind, something like sondheim at his most twisted, but without any resolution ever.

Replies from: None, David_Gerard
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-11T22:58:17.739Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Well, first we're dealing with variations on a specific tune. The reason I suspect that random variations might work well is that if the probability of a change is sufficiently low, it would have exactly the effect you suggest: mostly the original "Lullaby and Goodnight", but with occasional horrible. Of course, if I were actually a cruel genius, I could do better, but it would be foolish of me to admit to being one.

Another reason random changes might work well is that they are by definition unexpected. If I did something purposeful, it would have a pattern; the real Quirrell might break that pattern by observing his victim's reactions, but not having a pattern at all might also be an interesting thing to try.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-12T07:01:29.623Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

My music theory is rusty and anyway underdeveloped. But I don't think individual notes can be disturbingly off key. It is the relationship between notes that takes them out of key. A single note of any frequency will produce harmonics with anything in the environment that is capable of responding, and thus create its own meager, on key accompaniment.

I think MIDI keeps you from even approaching the kind of terrible close but not quite right tones you want to reproduce.

Replies from: 75th, thescoundrel
comment by 75th · 2012-04-12T23:10:21.388Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Changing one individual note in a monophonic tune absolutely can be horribly off key. Melody is harmony, and harmony is counterpoint; even with a single voice humming, if the tune is "classical" enough your brain understands intuitively where the chord changes are and what the bass line should be.

You don't need microtonal pitches to violently defy people's expectations.

(EDIT: Though you almost certainly do need microtonal pitches to precisely mimic the effects described in the text. But I think you certainly could do something horrible without them.)

comment by thescoundrel · 2012-04-12T13:44:33.184Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I don't think you need to even venture into the world of quarter pitches in order to create horrible humming. To give an idea of a song that twists your expectations of keys and time signatures and melodic progression, and breaks it in specific ways to ramp tension, check the epiphany from sweeney todd.

Replies from: Alsadius, Percent_Carbon
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T03:35:06.493Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I didn't really notice anything wrong with that. it jumped around a lot, and it wasn't especially good, but it didn't much bother me.

Replies from: thescoundrel
comment by thescoundrel · 2012-04-13T03:45:32.215Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I forget that when I listen to it, I have the background of the story and buildup already, so I start with different expectations- perhaps not the best example.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T04:03:00.530Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Also, I've listened to a fair bit of weird proggy music.

comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-12T14:01:26.182Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

There's a continuous spectrum of pitch. The character is kind of showing off, like he always kind of is.

He's probably hitting notes that are multiples of irrational numbers when described in Hertz.

Retracted because it seemed the best way to acknowledge the correction: the vast majority of common musical notes are multiples of irrational numbers when described in Hertz.

Replies from: arundelo, thescoundrel
comment by arundelo · 2012-04-12T14:59:03.912Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

FYI, in the tuning system commonly used for western music, all notes except A are irrational frequencies in hertz. Example: A below middle C is 220 hertz, and middle C is

(220 * (2 ^ (1/12)) ^ 3) hertz ~= 261.6255653006 hertz.

(To go up a half step, you multiply the frequency by the 12th root of 2.)

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T03:41:47.498Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

At risk of derail, how the hell did they ever get a twelfth root into music?

Replies from: None, Benquo
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-13T04:08:49.065Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

We think of intervals between tones as being "the same" when there is a constant ratio between them. For instance, if two notes are an octave apart, the frequency of one is twice the other.

Thus, if we want to divide the octave into twelve semitones (which we do have twelve of: C, C#, D, D#, E, F, F#, G, G#, A, A#, B) and we want all of these twelve semitones to be the same intervals, then we want each interval to multiply the frequency by 2^(1/12).

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T05:26:52.960Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Every part of that makes sense except for the lack of E# and B#, and why x2 is called an octave. Thanks for the info, and for reminding me why musical theory is one of three fields I have ever given up on learning.

Replies from: None, Eugine_Nier
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-13T16:46:11.588Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The reason we avoid E# and B# is to get nice-sounding chords by only using the white keys. This way, the C-E chord has a ratio of 2^(4/12) which is approximately 5/4; the C-F chord has a ratio of 2^(5/12) which is approximately 4/3; and the C-G chord has a ratio of 2^(7/12) which is approximately 3/2.

In fact, before we understood twelfth roots, people used to tune pianos so that the ratios above were exactly 5/4, 4/3, and 3/2. This made different scales sound different. For instance, the C major triad might have notes in the ratios 4:5:6, while a D major triad might have different ratios, close to the above but slightly off.

There's also the question of whether the difference between these makes a difference in the sound. There's two answers to that. On the one hand, it's a standard textbook exercise that the difference between pitches of a note in two different tuning systems is never large enough for the human ear to hear it. So, most of the time, the tuning systems are impossible to distinguish.

On the other hand, there are certain cases in which the human ear can detect very very small differences when a chord is played. To give a simple (though unmusical) example, suppose we played a chord of a 200 Hz note and a 201 Hz note. The human ear, to a first approximation, will hear a single note of approximately 200 Hz. However, the difference between the two notes has a period of 1 second, so what the human ear actually hears is a 200 Hz note whose (EDIT) amplitude wobbles every second. This is very very obvious, it's a first sign of your piano being out of tune, and in different tuning systems it happens to different chords.

Replies from: None, gjm, Alsadius
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-14T21:47:01.858Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The reason we avoid E# and B# is to get nice-sounding chords by only using the white keys.

and only 12 notes per octave. With more notes per octave you can distinguish between F# and Gb without losing much accuracy in the most common keys.

In fact, before we understood twelfth roots, people used to tune pianos so that the ratios above were exactly 5/4, 4/3, and 3/2. This made different scales sound different. For instance, the C major triad might have notes in the ratios 4:5:6, while a D major triad might have different ratios, close to the above but slightly off.

Nitpick: I'm no expert in historical tunings, but AFAIK medieval music used pure fifths, where near-pure major thirds are hard to reach. This became a problem in Renaissance music so keyboard instruments started to favor meantone tunings with more impure fifths, to make 4 fifths modulo octave a better major third in the most common keys. (The video demonstrating the major scale/chords generated by a fifth of 695 cents shows this rationale.) As soon as people began to value pure major thirds in their music the fifths in keyboard music became more tempered. Keyboard tunings with both pure 3/2s and pure 5/4s were not widely used, because of the syntonic comma.

In Renaissance music 12-equal was used for lutes for example, which shows that even though people knew about 12 equal temperament and could approximate 2^(1/12) well they didn't like to use it for keyboard instruments. The tuning of the keyboard gradually changed to accommodate all 12 keys of modern Western music as the style of music started to call for more modulations in circa 18th century. But you are overall correct that different keys in the twelve-tone keyboard sounded different. (even in the 18th century.)

On the one hand, it's a standard textbook exercise that the difference between pitches of a note in two different tuning systems is never large enough for the human ear to hear it. So, most of the time, the tuning systems are impossible to distinguish.

I find it hard to believe this. If these differences were mostly not significant there would be no reason for the existence of different tuning systems. What kinds of differences between tuning systems are you talking about?

comment by gjm · 2012-04-13T22:27:12.698Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

a 200Hz note whose pitch wobbles slightly every second.

Actually it's the amplitude that wobbles, and more than slightly.

Replies from: None
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-13T22:56:04.170Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Thank you, edited.

comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T19:42:26.682Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

And I suppose that "the white keys", defined some centuries ago, are a more difficult standard to change than the underlying mathematical assumptions. Right.

Replies from: gjm
comment by gjm · 2012-04-13T22:33:00.082Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Also, the white keys are far from being an arbitrary set of pitches. Very roughly, they're chosen so that as many combinations of them as possible sound reasonably harmonious together when played on an instrument whose sound has a harmonic spectrum (which applies to most of the tuned instruments used in Western music). I don't mean that someone deliberately sat down and solved the optimization problem, of course, but it turns out that the Western "diatonic scale" (= the white notes) does rather well by that metric. So it's not like we'd particularly want to change the scale for the sake of making either the mathematics or the music sound better.

comment by Eugine_Nier · 2012-04-13T06:23:41.786Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Notes sound good if they're approximately simple rational multiples of each other. Hence you want your scale to contain multiples.

Since the simplest multiple is x2 we use that for the octave. As for why we break it up into 12 semitones, the reason is that 2^(7/12) is approximately 3/2 and as a bonus 2^(4/2) is a passable approximation to 5/4.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T15:06:35.227Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I'm referring to the name. What relation does it have to eight?

Replies from: Random832
comment by Random832 · 2012-04-13T15:24:33.848Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Eight notes: C D E F G A B C. (People used to not know how to count properly.* I think it comes from not having a clear concept of zero.)

* One can argue that this counting system is no worse than ours, but to do so, one would have to explain why ten octaves is seventy[one] notes.

Replies from: gjm
comment by gjm · 2012-04-13T22:35:02.344Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Similarly, other musical intervals -- i.e., ratios between frequencies -- have names that are all arguably off by one. A "perfect fifth" is, e.g., from C to G. C,D,E,F,G: five notes. So a fifth plus a fifth is (not a tenth but) a ninth.

comment by Benquo · 2012-04-13T04:07:19.616Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Look up "equal temperament." There are 12 half-steps in an Octave, after each octave the frequency should double, and the simplest way to arrange it is to make each step a multiplication by h=2^(1/12) so that h^12=2.

Many people report that "natural" intervals like the 3:2 and 4:3 ratio, sound better than the equal temperament approximations, though I don't hear much of a difference myself.

Replies from: thomblake
comment by thomblake · 2012-04-13T20:08:39.923Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's really obvious if you expect any decent math to invoke exponents of 2.

comment by thescoundrel · 2012-04-12T14:11:23.329Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The vast majority of humans don't have perfect pitch, so the specific pitch of the note is far less important than the relationships to the notes surrounding them. I agree that he is rather showing off, but unless you spend a very large amount of time ear training, you likely cannot tell when a note is a quarter tone sharp or flat. However, just like there are cycles of notes that always sound amazing together when you run them through variation (see the circle of 5ths), there are notes that sound horrible and jarring. Furthermore, the amount of time it takes to reliable sing quarter tones is ridiculously high- it is something that life long trained musicians cannot do. (Of course there is another discussion about how our formulation of music causes this, but lets set that aside for now.) I think it is far more likely that he has studied a circle of 7th's and 2nd's, or something to that effect- he has created a musical algorithm where the pattern itself is so convoluted, it is not intuitively detected, and the notes/key changes produced so horrible, it wears on the mind.

Replies from: gjm
comment by gjm · 2012-04-12T16:06:39.751Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Even without a lot of ear training, you can quite likely hear if a note is a quarter-tone out relative to its predecessors and successors.

Replies from: thescoundrel
comment by thescoundrel · 2012-04-12T17:09:11.040Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Here is a quarter tone scale. While the changes are detectable right next to each other, much like sight delivers images based on pre-established patterns, so does hearing. When laid out in this fashion, you can hear the quarter tone differences- although to my ears (and I play music professionally, have spent much time in ear training, and love music theory) there are times it sounds like two of the same note is played successively. Move out of this context, into an interval jump, and while those with good relative pitch may think it sounds "pitchy", your mind fills it in to a close note- this is why singers with actual pitch problems still manage to gain a following. Most people cannot hear slightly wrong notes. However, none of this approaches the complexity of actually trying to sing a quarter tone. The amount of vocal training required to sing quarter tones at will is the work of a master musician- much like the the person who can successfully execute slight of hand at the highest level is someone who spends decades in honing their craft.

Replies from: gjm
comment by gjm · 2012-04-12T20:49:51.254Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I just tried some experiments and I find that if I take Brahms's lullaby (which I think is the one Eliezer means by "Lullaby and Goodnight") and flatten a couple of random notes by a quarter-tone, the effect is in most cases extremely obvious. And if I displace each individual pitch by a random amount from a quarter-tone flat to a quarter-tone sharp, then of course some notes are individually detectable as out of tune and some not but the overall effect is agonizing in a way that simply getting some notes wrong couldn't be.

I'm a pretty decent (though strictly amateur) musician and I'm sure many people wouldn't find such errors so obvious (and many would find it more painful than I do).

Anyway, I'm not sure what our argument actually is. The chapter says, in so many words, that Q. is humming notes "not just out of key for the previous phrases but sung at a pitch which does not correspond to any key" which seems to me perfectly explicit: part of what makes the humming so dreadful is that Q. is out of tune as well as humming wrong notes. And yes, the ability to sing accurate quarter-tones is rare and requires work to develop. So are lots of the abilities Q. has.

(Of course that doesn't require that the wrong notes be exactly quarter-tones.)

Python code snippet for anyone who wants to do a similar experiment (warning 1: works only on Windows; warning 2: quality of sound is Quirrell-like):

import random, time, winsound
for (p,d) in [(4,1),(5,1),(7,3),(None,1), (4,1),(5,1),(7,3),(None,1), (4,1),(7,1),(12,2),(11,2),(9,2),(9,2),(7,1),(None,1), (2,1),(4,1),(5,3),(None,1), (2,1),(4,1),(5,3),(None,1), (2,1),(5,1),(11,1),(9,1),(7,2),(11,2),(12,4)]:
    if p is None: time.sleep(0.2*d)
    else: winsound.Beep(int(440*2**((p+1*(random.random()-0.5))/12.)), 200*d)
Replies from: ircmaxell, Schroedingers_hat, David_Gerard, gjm
comment by ircmaxell · 2012-06-11T03:20:35.724Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Here's a tweak I made that I think keeps to the spirit.

import random, time, winsound

timebias = 0.2
pitchbias = 0.7
changebias = 0.75

current = [(4.,1.),(5.,1.),(7.,3.),(None,1.), (4.,1.),(5.,1.),(7.,3.),(None,1.),(4.,1.),(7.,1.),(12.,2.),(11.,2.),(9.,2.),(9.,2.),(7.,1.),(None,1.),(2.,1.),(4.,1.),(5.,3.),(None,1.),(2.,1.),(4.,1.),(5.,3.),(None,1.),(2.,1.),(5.,1.),(11.,1.),(9.,1.),(7.,2.),(11.,2.),(12.,4.)]

timeshift = 1;
while 1:
    timeshift = timeshift + timeshift * random.uniform(1 - timebias, 1 + timebias)
    if timeshift > 1.0 + 2.0 * timebias or timeshift < 1.0 - 2.0 * timebias:
        timeshift = random.uniform(1.0 - timebias / 2.0, 1.0 + timebias / 2.0)
    key = random.randrange(0, len(current) - 1)
    if random.random() > changebias:
        if current[key][0] is not None:
            current[key] = (current[key][0] + current[key][0] * random.uniform(-1.0 * pitchbias, pitchbias), current[key][1])
    else:
        current[key] = (current[key][0], current[key][1] + current[key][1] * random.uniform( -1.0 * timebias, timebias))
    time.sleep(random.random())
    for (p,d) in current:
        if p is None: time.sleep(0.2*d * timeshift)
        else: winsound.Beep(int(440*2**(p/12.)), int(200*d*timeshift))

Basically, each loop it tweaks the song slightly from the one before it, randomly. The three different bias settings on the top dictate how the song evolves. But besides just changing the song, the rate of any play varies randomly (according to the timebias as well).

The timebias applies to changes of timing. So the tempo of the play, the rate of change of the length of a note and the length of pauses are all shifted by the timebias randomly. increasing this number will create more dramatic swings in time changes from run to run (as well as the overall bounds of the tempo).

The pitchbias applies to pitch changes. Increasing it will let the algorithm drift from the normal song much faster. Too high will cause obvious swings in notes. Too low, and it'll take forever to get a decently maddening change (but perhaps that's part of the master plan).

The changebias indicates the chance that on a particular loop, the pitch of a random note will change, or if the duration will change. This change is carried on to all future plays (and will have a ripple effect)

The result is quite maddening, as parts of the song will randomly trend back towards the correct notes. And notes you could have sworn were wrong will appear normal later. And back and forth it goes. Just repeating, and changing until you get driven mad (or bored) enough to ^C...

Basically, it's a genetic algorithm without a binding fitness function. Its random changes will just propegate infinitely towards chaos. But for a very long time it will have the "feel" of the original song...

comment by Schroedingers_hat · 2012-04-25T17:39:44.287Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I couldn't help myself. I had to have a go at making it, too.
http://jsfiddle.net/GVTk2/

Didn't check it on anything other than chromium, and I can't guarantee it won't eventually use all your memory and crash.
It's horrible in many ways: switches key, misses the frequency of notes, changes from 2^(1/12) ratio between semitones, pauses at random and changes note length.

Take a listen, there's always a chance it'll stop :D

/edit ambiguity. Come to think of it, skipping notes is the one thing I didn't do. Note that it starts reasonably close to being in tune and slowly degrades.

Replies from: LauralH
comment by LauralH · 2013-02-08T01:06:54.443Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

This is pretty awesomely horrible, all right! ::applause::

comment by David_Gerard · 2012-04-12T21:48:19.545Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I can't get this to work in Wine. Could you please put up a recording? Thank you :-)

Replies from: gjm
comment by gjm · 2012-04-12T23:04:44.494Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Try this instead; it should work on any OS and generate a .wav file you can play. (It's better than putting up a recording because you can play with the parameters, put in your own tune, etc.)

import math, random, struct, wave
from math import sin,cos,exp,pi
filename = '/home/dgerard/something.wav' # replace with something sensible

def add_note(t,p,d,v):
    # t is time in seconds, p is pitch in Hz, d is duration in seconds
    # v is volume in arbitrary (amplitude) units
    i0 = int(44100*t)
    i1 = int(44100*(t+d))
    if len(signal)<i1: signal.extend([0 for i in range(len(signal),i1)])
    for i in range(i0,i1):
        dt = i/44100.-t
        if dt<0.02: f = dt/0.02 # attack: 0..1 over 20ms
        elif dt<0.2: f = exp(-(dt-0.02)/0.18) # decay: 1..1/e over 180ms
        elif dt<d-0.2: f = exp(-1) # sustain: 1/e
        else: f = exp(-1)*(d-dt)/0.2 # release: 1/e..0 over 200ms
        signal[i] += f*v*(sin(2*pi*p*dt)+0.2*sin(6*pi*p*dt)+0.06*sin(10*pi*p*dt))

def save_signal():
    m = max(abs(x) for x in signal)
    d = [int(30000./m*x) for x in signal]
    w = wave.open(filename, "wb")
    w.setparams((1,2,44100,len(signal),'NONE','noncompressed'))
    w.writeframes(''.join(struct.pack('h',x) for x in d))
    w.close()

signal = []
t=0
for (p,d) in [(4,1),(5,1),(7,3),(None,1), (4,1),(5,1),(7,3),(None,1), (4,1),(7,1),(12,2),(11,2),(9,2),(9,2),(7,1),(None,1), (2,1),(4,1),(5,3),(None,1), (2,1),(4,1),(5,3),(None,1), (2,1),(5,1),(11,1),(9,1),(7,2),(11,2),(12,4)]:
    if p is not None: add_note(t, 440*2**((p+1*(random.random()-0.5))/12.), 0.3*d+0.1, 1)
    t += 0.3*d
save_signal()
Replies from: gjm, None, Alsadius, Incorrect, None, 75th, David_Gerard, thomblake
comment by gjm · 2012-04-12T23:19:15.273Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

This is quite Quirrellicious:

signal = []
t=0
for (p,d) in [(4,1),(5,1),(7,3),(None,1), (4,1),(5,1),(7,3),(None,1), (4,1),(7,1),(12,2),(11,2),(9,2),(9,2),(7,1),(None,1), (2,1),(4,1),(5,3),(None,1), (2,1),(4,1),(5,3),(None,1), (2,1),(5,1),(11,1),(9,1),(7,2),(11,2),(12,4)]:
    if p is not None: add_note(t, 440*2**(((p+random.choice([-1,0,0,0,1]))+random.random())/12.), 0.3*d+0.1, 1)
    t += 0.3*d*math.exp(random.random()*random.random())
save_signal()

It (1) displaces 20% of notes up and 20% of notes down by one semitone, (2) detunes all notes randomly by about +/- a quarter-tone, and (3) inserts random delays, usually quite short but up to a factor of about 1.7 times the length of the preceding note or rest.

[EDITED to add: actually, I think it distorts the pitches just a little too much.]

[FURTHER EDITED: really, it should be tweaked so that when two consecutive notes in the original melody are, say, increasing in pitch, the same is true of the distorted ones. I am too lazy to make this happen. A simpler improvement is to replace the two pitch-diddlings with a single call to random.choice() so that you never get, e.g., a semitone displacement plus a quarter-tone mistuning in the same direction. I also tried making the timbre nastier by putting the partials at non-harmonic frequencies, which does indeed sound quite nasty but not in a particularly hummable way. This doesn't introduce as much nastiness as it would in music with actual harmony in it; one can make even a perfect fifth sound hideously discordant by messing up the spectrum of the notes. See William Sethares's excellent book "Tuning, timbre, spectrum, scale" for more details, though he inexplicably gives more attention to making music sound better rather than worse.]

comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-13T00:37:39.354Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

For further fun, get the code to play the lullaby, wait an exponentially distributed time with mean, say, 30 seconds, and then start again with 99% probability.

If you were using this on someone else, starting again would be mandatory. But the only way to build up hope that it will stop in yourself, when you know how the code works, is to add a small chance of stopping.

Edit: upon further consideration, the distribution should be Pareto or something with a similarly heavy tail.

comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T03:43:19.158Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Please post a recording, for those of us who don't want to have to set up whole programming environments to watch a Youtube video.

Replies from: fgenj
comment by fgenj · 2012-04-16T02:50:58.800Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I've made a recording with SuperCollider using almost the same algorithm as in the Python script above, here's the link /watch?v=wjZRM6KgGbE.

Replies from: Alsadius, zerker2000
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-16T03:32:56.228Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It loses much of the impact when you intentionally seek it out, I think. The lullaby loop midi I found to be more annoying than the errors.

Still, thanks for posting that - it's certainly interesting.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon, fgenj
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-16T06:24:46.428Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It loses much of the impact when you intentionally seek it out, I think.

Listening to something is not at all the same as listening to something for seven hours.

comment by fgenj · 2012-04-16T19:45:41.400Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Personally, I find random changes a little disorienting even if I'm expecting them (like a deceptive cadence in a familiar piece). Though this feeling of disorientation is not unpleasant, so a simple loop would be more annoying for me too.

comment by zerker2000 · 2013-01-23T10:17:03.516Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

"unavailable": what gives?

comment by Incorrect · 2012-04-13T00:50:33.710Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Oh well, I guess bad music isn't actually so annoying... I tried it and it didn't bother me at all.

Replies from: gjm
comment by gjm · 2012-04-13T01:30:31.217Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Apparently I'm not quite as good at tormenting people as Lord Voldemort. Oh well, can't win 'em all.

comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-15T03:29:01.987Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I didn't find the result all that unpleasant. Probably because the sound file was still pretty close to what the intervals/notes were "supposed" to be, my brain categorized them into the right categories. It would have been worse if I perceived them as "completely wrong" intervals (as in a seventh instead of a fourth) rather than just "out-of-tune" intevals.

comment by 75th · 2012-04-12T23:20:03.372Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Whooo, that is awesome.

comment by David_Gerard · 2012-04-12T23:17:35.510Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

So simple, and yet so awful ... you're onto sheer antimusical gold here.

comment by thomblake · 2012-04-12T23:09:46.720Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Awesome. Is this your creation?

Replies from: gjm
comment by gjm · 2012-04-12T23:23:05.192Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I'm not sure that the word "creation" is quite right (except in so far as for some musically-minded people it may bring to mind the other words "representation of chaos") but yes, I'm afraid it is.

comment by gjm · 2012-04-12T20:58:12.224Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Just to add: (1) The pointless "1*" is because I experimented with other sizes of error too. (2) A slight modification of this lets you, e.g., have the pitch drift downward by 1/10 of a semitone per note, which for me at least is very noticeable and unpleasant even though each individual interval is OK.

Replies from: mbrigdan
comment by mbrigdan · 2012-04-29T00:24:21.275Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

While all of the evil credit of course goes to you, I feel that I have made some neat* modifications:

signal = []
t=0L
pscale=5
pexp=2
transpose = 0
iterations = 10
for ii in range(1,iterations):
    for (p,d) in [(4,1),(5,1),(7,3),(None,1), (4,1),(5,1),(7,3),(None,1), (4,1),(7,1),(12,2),(11,2),(9,2),(9,2),(7,1),(None,1), (2,1),(4,1),(5,3),(None,1), (2,1), 
(4,1),(5,3),(None,1), (2,1),(5,1),(11,1),(9,1),(7,2),(11,2),(12,4)]:
        if p is not None: 
            add_note(t, random.choice([440*2**(((p+transpose)+random.choice([-1,0,0,0,1]))/12.),440*2**(((p+transpose)+random.random())/12.)]), 0.3*d+0.1, 1)
        t += 0.3*d*math.exp(random.random()*random.random())
    transpose = random.choice([-14, -9, -7, -4.5, -2, -1, 0, 0.5, 1, 2, 4.5, 7, 9, 14]) #transpose up or down
    t += 5*(pexp*((pscale**pexp)/((random.randrange(200,600,1)/100)**(pexp+1)))) #wait a while before repeating
save_signal()

*Where neat is, of course, a synonym for evil

comment by David_Gerard · 2012-04-12T21:04:49.625Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

See, I'm the sort of person that reads that and wants to buy that record. Probably from the small ads in the back of The Wire.

(Breaking musical rules sufficiently horribly is a well-established way to win at music, even if you're unlikely to get rich from it. Metal Machine Music actually got reissued and people actually bought it.)

comment by 75th · 2012-04-12T23:02:21.396Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I'm not sure how much music you know, and I'm not sure how much music Mathematica knows, so if this is all Greek or too hard, disregard it all:

Try different diatonic modes and different scales altogether. Switch from Major to Phrygian in the middle of a phrase. Switch to different sets of keys depending on whether consecutive tones are ascending or descending. Use a lot of Locrian mode, it is generally wrong-sounding. Try mapping diatonic scale degrees to octatonic ones somehow, and switch between the two octatonic scales at random. See if you can produce a portamento between two notes, and use it a lot when two notes are separated by only a semitone.

Replies from: Bill_McGrath
comment by Bill_McGrath · 2012-04-16T14:23:26.543Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Additionally, switch tunings at random. This would be extremely difficult, but I'd imagine the disorientation caused would be related to how difficult it is. Switch from 12-ET to Pythagorean to Arabic to some obscure Baroque tuning, and base them all on different pitch centres.

Replies from: gjm
comment by gjm · 2012-04-16T20:54:18.468Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

When what you're listening to is purely melodic (like humming) I think such differences would either be unnoticeable or indistinguishable from just humming out of tune, to all but the most expert listeners.

A whole Pythagorean comma -- i.e., all the out-of-tune-ness you can get from Pythagorean tuning, crammed into a single interval -- is only about a quarter of a semitone. A quarter-comma meantone "wolf fifth" is actually even worse than this, but it's still only about 1/3 of a semitone.

If you have a computer with Python on it, you could grab the code from my discussion elsewhere in the thread with thescoundrel and experiment; I think you'll find that the sort of tuning-switching you describe would be altogether too subtle to be very effective as psychological warfare. [EDITED to add: in particular, I found that to my ears a quarter-tone error is quite often obtrusively unpleasant but a quarter-semitone is generally no worse than "a bit out of tune".]

Replies from: Bill_McGrath
comment by Bill_McGrath · 2012-04-17T09:49:23.923Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Hmm. You're probably right. I've experimented with different tunings but I didn't play anything purely melodic. The effect is probably a lot more apparent when you're dealing with intervals rather than just pitches.

That said, changing the central pitch that the temperament is based around makes the differences bigger again; but that's not too useful as a tool for actually creating this melody. I think it'd be noticeable for the arabic tuning system too; that's extremely different to Western temperaments.

comment by buybuydandavis · 2012-04-12T08:21:56.281Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

EY is one hilarious fellow. He should do standup. The Horrible Humming was just too funny.

And interesting too, because you wonder if it could work.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon, David_Gerard, kilobug
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-12T09:47:37.304Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Tolerance for rejection is a much harder qualifier to meet for success in standup than being funny is. Just, you know, so you know.

comment by David_Gerard · 2012-04-12T20:06:36.253Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I am reminded of the first time Australian musician Lester Vat did his famous show Why Am I A Pie? (there's audio and video there.) He got up on stage at a rock'n'roll pub - it was a "What Is Music?" weird noise festival, but no-one expected this - went up to the microphone, and for forty-five minutes, just repeated the words:

"Why ... am I ... a pie?"
"Why ... am I ... a pie?"
"Why ... am I ... a pie?"

After fifteen minutes people didn't even have the energy left to tell him to fuck off. By twenty minutes people were slamdancing to it.

Repetition. It's powerful stuff.

Replies from: Jonathan_Elmer, Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T03:45:25.235Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

After three minutes, I'd be out of the bar and telling the manager not to expect me back.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T03:57:36.175Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

it was a "What Is Music?" weird noise festival

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T05:28:10.769Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Correction: After I saw the sign, I'd realize that people have far too much time on their hands, and go home without setting foot in the bar.

That said, even the sort of people who go to such events probably have some limits.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-13T06:33:13.669Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

That said, even the sort of people who go to such events probably have some limits.

Yes. It sounds like it takes them twenty minutes to start making the best of things.

comment by kilobug · 2012-04-12T16:12:57.552Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The Horrible Humming was great in itself, but it felt a bit artificial to me : why didn't the Auror just cast a Quietus charm ? Silencing prisoners with a gag is not that unusual in the Muggle world, and I would definitely except the wizards to use a Quietus charm or equivalent if a prisoner started to bother the Aurors with sound. It's not like Wizard Britain is very respectful of human rights of prisoners and that gags (mundane or magical ones) would be felt a non-acceptable behavior.

Replies from: loserthree, buybuydandavis, Velorien, gwern
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-12T16:18:24.537Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Quirrell would probably have sneezed it away, again.

Replies from: kilobug
comment by kilobug · 2012-04-12T16:38:44.138Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I also really doubt that any police force would let a prisoner resist them that way again and again, they would call reinforcement and break him. Even if he didn't do anything before, just resisting police forces is a criminal in many places, and it would really surprise me if Wizard Britain, with its awful human rights record, would let that go.

Edit : unless there is something much, much deeper at work here. Like Quirrel imperiusing or controlling in another way some high-ranking officers.

Replies from: pedanterrific, loserthree
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-12T17:01:02.203Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Wizarding police have to allow for the fact that some possible prisoners (Dumbledore, Grindelwald, Voldemort) are capable of beating up the whole police department put together. When someone displays surprising power, it makes sense to back off, at least until you're sure you can take him.

Replies from: kilobug
comment by kilobug · 2012-04-12T18:01:17.845Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Hum, in canon at least, when they try to arrest Dumbledore at the end of tome 5 (HP and the Order of the Phoenix) they don't seem that hesitant to arrest him, as soon as they have proof he's doing something illegal, and they seem quite surprised he escaped.

But that could be a point of divergence between canon and HP:MoR, especially if the head of the Auror is very intelligent in HP:MoR, she could know about not escalating conflicts too easily.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-12T18:16:47.027Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yeah, MoR has a much more well-thought-through concept of what it means to be a powerful wizard, and the difference between that and a normal wizard.

And even in canon, I'm not sure it makes sense for them to be surprised he could escape- everyone thinks of Dumbledore as the most powerful wizard alive- but they could have conceivably been expecting him not to attempt to resist arrest, because he's generally more law-abiding than that.

comment by loserthree · 2012-04-12T17:03:35.690Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I also really doubt that any police force would let a prisoner resist them that way again and again, they would call reinforcement and break him.

It happens they did not. We know that, because he isn't broken and there's no sign they tried, other than the mention that he has apparently sneezed more than once. Also, he's not under arrest.

The Defense Professor of Hogwarts was being detained, not arrested, not even intimidated.

Magical Britain has a history of exceedingly powerful individuals that the muggle world just doesn't. It is not unreasonable that law enforcement developed differently as a result.

comment by buybuydandavis · 2012-04-12T20:10:54.578Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Listening and watching - monitoring - appears to be part of the job.

Because of the humor, I'm willing to suspend belief a little on realism. It's not a fundamental plot point. But it is funny.

comment by Velorien · 2012-04-12T16:55:24.089Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

To cast the charm would be effectively to admit defeat before an unarmed prisoner (in a way that calling in a replacement according to standard procedure wouldn't), and also to be roundly mocked by other Aurors if they found out. Or so the Auror in question presumably thought.

comment by gwern · 2012-04-12T20:06:08.005Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Casting the charm is also an admission of defeat.

comment by q4-g03olf · 2012-04-12T02:35:39.545Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You might check out a program called Max/MSP if you want to get really deep into this stuff. It handles conversions between MIDI and audio signal pretty elegantly. Other ideas..

You might try making notes that change pitch continuously You might try putting the breaks in parts of the music where we expect it to continue. MIDI "doo" or other synth voice instruments tend to sound pretty maddening on their own without much special effort. Maybe layer in helicopter sounds or applause to simulate breathiness?

Replies from: David_Gerard
comment by David_Gerard · 2012-04-12T21:03:49.053Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The FluidSynth sound fonts are quite nice within their instruments' usual range, but do try going up or down a bit far for great lulz.

Replies from: enoonsti
comment by enoonsti · 2012-04-13T05:21:03.365Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Just out of curiosity, what's your set-up (MIDI controller, software, etc)? I have an old Oxygen 8, Ableton Live 8, and some VSTs. My music sucks.

Replies from: David_Gerard
comment by David_Gerard · 2012-04-13T07:50:10.380Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

LMMS, a cheap'n'cheerful open source knockoff of FruityLoops. It's basically a toy (e.g., it has no undo. Seriously). But fun.

comment by Bill_McGrath · 2012-04-16T14:29:37.974Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

This is might be my favourite comment thread on all of Less Wrong. Terrible pity that the poster left!

EDIT: Semi-relevant.

EDIT 2: I have a great love for some technically awful music that I find still entertains me loads. I inflict The Shaggs on my friends in college every excuse I get.

comment by Bill_McGrath · 2012-04-12T06:00:55.117Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

When I was reading that part, all I could think was "Man, I have to try do that..."

I'm using MIDI sounds, which are the simplest to set up, but also have the drawback that every pitch must correspond to an integral semitone, which limits how horrible things can sound.

There are ways around this: a program called Scalar allows you to build microtonally tuned scales and set them up to be controlled by MIDI. Also, Native Instruments' Kontakt allows you to change the tuning of instruments and map the new tuning to a keyboard.

Scalar is free but hard to use: I was never actually able to figure out how to set it up to hear the scales I'd built - but my laptop seems to have a grudge against MIDI devices anyway. Kontakt is a lot easier to use but costs a couple of hundred euro.

Replies from: Bill_McGrath
comment by Bill_McGrath · 2012-04-12T10:00:21.970Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Also: Most decent DAWs will have a pitch bend function, that might be an easier way again to get around it. I'll check if Reaper can do it, and get back to you. (Also, I might do this myself once the semester is over.)

comment by Eneasz · 2012-04-11T18:43:49.977Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I've always had a soft spot for Quirrell. It's made me blind to a lot of his flaws, so I've tried to actively focus on his evil actions and how much I would hate someone doing that to me. But this latest chapter made me love him all over again. Even though I realize it probably contains huge amounts of misrepresentation if not outright lies.

I'm worried I may be turning Bad.

OTOH, this may just be superb writing, to make the villain so completely relate-able. Either way, every time a chapter goes Quirrell-heavy I swoon. Glad we got one in the current arc so I don't have to wait longer.

Replies from: anotherblackhat, NancyLebovitz, loserthree
comment by anotherblackhat · 2012-04-12T02:56:09.325Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I'm worried I may be turning Bad.

You need not trouble yourself. Examining Quirrell's actions has merely made you realize how much you would like to have his power. "Bad" is just a label applied by those too weak to seize that power.

Do not fear the dark side - we have cookies!

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-12T15:33:23.131Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

"Bad" is just a label applied by those too weak to seize that power.

Um, no. Just because we're evil doesn't mean we have to lie carelessly. Let's leave the Captain Planet villainy to Ferris Bueller (that asshole).

"Bad" in the sense you mean is a label placed on behaviors by individuals or groups who wish to discourage those behaviors, usually because it is beneficial to themselves to suppress those behaviors without regard to the benefit or detriment of others who may engage in those behaviors.. I have to say 'usually' because sometimes they do so for stupid reasons instead of self-interest.

Recognize the behaviors to which labels like 'bad' or 'evil' are likely to be applied, and practice them judiciously. A life well lived is a lift filled with risk, but weigh each carefully, determine to the best of your ability if your 'evil' behaviors are worth the risk and act accordingly. And for the sake of all that is unholy, learn for your damned mistakes.

Replies from: pedanterrific, Vladimir_Nesov
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-12T16:55:34.147Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

“There is no good and evil, there is only power, and those too weak to seek it."

-Lord Voldemort

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-12T17:12:37.821Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yes, and look where that got him, eh? Someone's out there arguing that no one could sincerely be that evil, that he's got to be faking it. And that argument got over fifty karma.

comment by Vladimir_Nesov · 2012-04-12T20:15:26.316Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

"Bad" in the sense you mean is a label placed on behaviors by individuals or groups who wish to discourage those behaviors, usually for selfish reasons. I have to say 'usually' because sometimes they do so for stupid reasons instead of self-interest.

"Selfish" is a wrong word in this context, for what you mean is person's (idealized) goals/values, which are probably not purely selfish.

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-13T01:39:19.711Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I am unsure that I understand your objection to the word, but I will replace it with a complicated phrase to try and be more clear.

And thank you for that link; that is an interesting article. The choice between stubbing my toe and a complete stranger being tortured for fifty years without my knowledge is especially interesting. I experience empathy, so I expect that amount of suffering by another when linked by the petty intimacy of being the person to allow/make it happen will create more suffering for me than would stubbing my toe.

If I would never know, though, if it were wiped from my mind that it happened or that I played a part, then the right choice is the other's torture, not stubbing my own toe. But it is difficult to say so, it is difficult to separate myself-deciding from myself-living-with-it.

Or maybe the suffering-by-empathy at the very point of deciding to sentence the other to the fifty-year oubliette of torture is greater than the direct suffering of stubbing my toe. Curious.

Replies from: Eliezer_Yudkowsky
comment by Eliezer Yudkowsky (Eliezer_Yudkowsky) · 2012-04-14T08:50:31.981Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The right choice? Who is it telling you that you've got to have the other person tortured, if you just happen not to feel like it?

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-14T16:14:38.023Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Who is it telling you that you've got to have the other person tortured, if you just happen not to feel like it?

I may not understand what you're asking. Is this an internal family thing? There is only me in here, even if I talk to myself in thought.

The problem I have with the dilemma is that it expects me to separate myself-as-I-answer from myself-as-I-live-with-my-choice. If I had a realistic example, that might help

Scenario 1

me-who-answers : "I empathize with the fifty years of as yet hypothetical suffering of a stranger, and choosing that causes me more pain than I expect to feel from stubbing my toe, so I will choose to stub my toe."

me-who-lives-with-my-choice : "Ow! What the fuck did you do that for?"

me-who-answers : "So a stranger wouldn't suffer torture for fifty years."

stranger : "Yeah, thanks for that. You don't know how much that means to me."

me-who-lives-with-my-choice : "Yeah, you're right. I do not and cannot ever know, so he did not decide that for my sake. He decided it for himself. So, me-who-answers, how's that working out for you?"

me-who-answers : "Oh, I don't exist anymore."

me-who-lives-with-my-choice : "Well fuck you, toe-stubber!"

Scenario 2

me-who-answers : "Despite empathizing with the fifty years of as yet hypothetical suffering of a stranger, I recognize that I am ephemeral and my discomfort with this decision is less important than lasting effects on my successor."

me-who-lives-with-my-choice : whistles ignorantly

stranger : "AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH!"

Replies from: NihilCredo
comment by NihilCredo · 2012-04-15T04:54:28.262Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Just because your memory is going to get wiped afterwards does not mean that your on-the-spot preference is worth any less than post-memory-wipe-You's. If you had a choice between being memory wiped, then stubbing your toe; versus taking a powerful kick to the balls now, then being memory wiped, I doubt you would sigh and spread your legs.

If you are gifted (or, in this particular case, cursed) with enough empathy that the very act of deciding to condemn a stranger to torture causes you pain, then I'm not sure you can concoct a hypothetical scenario wherein you can ignore said empathy while retaining your agency and/or identity.

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-15T17:24:18.523Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Just because your memory is going to get wiped afterwards does not mean that your on-the-spot preference is worth any less than post-memory-wipe-You's.

It really does, though. post-memory-wipe me lasts a lot longer. On-the-spot-me only exists until he decides.

If you had a choice between being memory wiped, then stubbing your toe; versus taking a powerful kick to the balls now, then being memory wiped, I doubt you would sigh and spread your legs.

Whoa, hey now. That's not just pain, that's an indignity. But you're right.

(Apples-to-apples I'd take the worst headache I've ever had if I wouldn't remember it and knew there'd be no long term damage over stubbing my toe in a conventional fashion.)

If you are gifted (or, in this particular case, cursed) with enough empathy that the very act of deciding to condemn a stranger to torture causes you pain, then I'm not sure you can concoct a hypothetical scenario wherein you can ignore said empathy while retaining your agency and/or identity.

I wouldn't call it "pain," but it is an unwelcome experience. Beyond a the risk of retribution or similar consequences, isn't that why you don't hurt the people you can hurt? Aren't there experiences you would not call pain that you'd choose pain over? I get the feeling that I'm missing something obvious, here.

I've got an idea why I was hesitating instead of taking the easy answer in the first place. I think it felt like a trick question and I fixed on the not-remembering part. It was so out of place, so wild that it just had to determine the answer. Like, why would you put that in the question if it wasn't what the question was about?

Acting without remembering has to be irrelevant, it's just too damn far out of scope. I'm never going to appreciate it on a meat level and don't need to plan for making decisions with that caveat. Fuck that noise.

Some skills aren't especially useful outside of the environment that spawned them.

Replies from: loserthree, NihilCredo
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-17T11:51:01.403Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I would like to learn why this comment has been penalized..

comment by NihilCredo · 2012-04-15T18:49:19.103Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Upon further reflection, I think the question of "how much of the pain/suffering/unpleasantness/etc. from a given even happens on the spot, and how much lingers on in the memory?" has an answer that wildly varies, even for the same individual.

The worst physical pain I ever felt involved a certain surgical operation, but it causes me no discomfort whatsoever to remember it; conversely, I once got stung by an unknown insect while still half-asleep, and the thought still makes me twitch and clutch at my neck. On a more mental level, there are a few seemingly random subjects that make me flinch and feel burning shame whenever brought up, because almost a decade ago I happened to make a fool of myself in conversations that involved them; yet those were by no means the most sorrowful moments of my life, or even the most embarrassing.

So I would consider the question "would you take X pre-memory wipe, or Y post-wipe?" highly dependant on X and Y. And yes, I find myself agreeing that X='condemn a stranger to torture' would be exactly the kind of event that inflicts the majority of its suffering through memory and regret.

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-16T01:46:14.301Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

On a more mental level, there are a few seemingly random subjects that make me flinch and feel burning shame whenever brought up, because almost a decade ago I happened to make a fool of myself in conversations that involved them; yet those were by no means the most sorrowful moments of my life, or even the most embarrassing.

Regret management seems to get more important with age. The fuckers accumulate.

One thing I do is remind myself, "I want to be the kind of guy who's cool with having done that." And, if possible, "It was an inexpensive lesson that it was good to learn." Do affirmations like that have any impact on your regrets?

comment by NancyLebovitz · 2012-04-11T22:21:12.740Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Is he actually loyal to his students or Up To Something?.

Replies from: gjm, buybuydandavis, ChrisHallquist
comment by gjm · 2012-04-12T09:59:57.610Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Could be both. In any case I think it's a fair assumption that Quirrell is always up to something.

Replies from: Paulovsk
comment by Paulovsk · 2012-04-12T18:25:48.972Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

This is driving me crazy.

I never know when he's doing evil or not. This chapter, for example, led me to believe he was doing good at some point of his life. Although my rationalist-beginner-side is screaming at me he is Voldemort or something, I can't help but sympathize with that point.

Replies from: Eugine_Nier
comment by Eugine_Nier · 2012-04-13T05:30:24.369Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

This chapter, for example, led me to believe he was doing good at some point of his life.

Um, his "good" deed consisted of attempting to set up a fake ultimate hero and getting really pissed of when people didn't fall for it.

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-13T12:44:03.231Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

We don't actually know that yet. It's only a popular fan theory.

Replies from: Sheaman3773
comment by Sheaman3773 · 2012-06-26T06:16:57.635Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Velorien should not be downvoted. He asked himself the fundamental question of rationality:

What do I think I know and how do I think I know it?

and the fact of the matter is, we don't know that that's true, it is a falsifiable theory with supporting evidence and multiple proponents but we don't know yet.

Upvoted.

comment by buybuydandavis · 2012-04-12T08:26:46.721Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I think he takes his responsibilities seriously. His evil comes from his condemnation of the weakness, stupidity, cowardice, and irresponsibility of others. He lives up to his standards, but others don't.

Replies from: loserthree, ChrisHallquist
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-12T15:35:37.821Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I'm confident that is how Quirrell is meant to appear. But the villain's real face may be a bit of a riddle.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T03:28:17.783Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Groan.

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-13T17:12:03.856Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You know you love it.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T19:39:06.658Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I do, that's the worst part.

comment by ChrisHallquist · 2012-04-15T03:00:37.923Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I agree that he takes his responsibilities seriously. But I think his evil comes more from the fact that he almost certainly had some plot in mind when he freed Bellatrix, and the fact that he tried to get Hermione fed to Dementors because he didn't like the influence she was having on Harry.

Replies from: buybuydandavis
comment by buybuydandavis · 2012-04-15T03:24:49.091Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Who doesn't have plots in this book? I hardly think that's a test for evil in this book - more like a test for intelligence.

And we don't know that he tried to get Hermione fed to the Dementors. When I try to read his mind on that point, I think his main goal was to get Harry to turn against the government of magical Britain - and it seemed like a fine success in those terms, at least in the moment.

See previous comment http://lesswrong.com/lw/bfo/harry_potter_and_the_methods_of_rationality/68tv

Assuming that it was all a Quirrell plot - which I do at this point - he could also have redeemed Hermione at the last minute with some evidence after she was condemned, and his point with magical Britain had been made. And he could get some Good Guy points with Harry for saving Hermione. Maybe not too, but it's hardly certain he would have allowed her to die.

Replies from: Normal_Anomaly, Percent_Carbon
comment by Normal_Anomaly · 2012-04-17T13:22:17.690Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I don't think Hermione plots, at least not outside the wargame.

Also, Quirrell would want her influence to be removed from Harry. Much as I hate to admit it, this would probably have extended to allowing her to die.

comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-15T05:06:48.768Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Who doesn't have plots in this book? I hardly think that's a test for evil in this book - more like a test for intelligence.

Not the best test. Ron is intelligent. Ron does not appear to plot, only form and employ strategy.

Assuming that it was all a Quirrell plot - which I do at this point - he could also have redeemed Hermione at the last minute with some evidence after she was condemned, and his point with magical Britain had been made.

Like he did with Harry against the Dementor.

Like he claimed he intended to do with the auror he threw an AK at.

Like he did in the Draco the Drop Lord Theatre incident. We should be suspicious of that one, as well.

Like he did as Voldemort when he set his Forces of Evil up to self destruct after he left the game, thereby sparing the rest of the world.

comment by ChrisHallquist · 2012-04-15T02:57:58.536Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Remember: Quirrell can care about his students any time he likes, because he's not Good.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-15T15:16:01.653Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Or perhaps it's more accurately phrased as "I can show up the good guys any time I want to make them look bad, because I'm not constrained by the same fear of ill consequences that they are".

comment by loserthree · 2012-04-12T01:40:51.164Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Upvoted for letting me know I'm not the only one.

comment by FAWS · 2012-04-11T15:13:43.060Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

"But I -" Her excellent memory helpfully replayed it for the thousandth time, Draco Malfoy telling her with a sneer that she'd never beat him when he wasn't tired, and then proceeding to prove just that, dancing like a duelist between the warded trophies while she frantically scrambled, and dealing the ending blow with a hex that sent her crashing against the wall and drew blood from her cheek - and then - then she'd -

This seems to suggest that her memories of the duel are a fabrication (or the "Draco" she was fighting was someone else under the influence of polyjuice). Draco has no particular reason to further provoke her and was genuinely unsure whether he could beat her. It doesn't seem obvious why anyone would do that if there was going to be a genuine duel anyway, though. Maybe the the genuine memories were just touched up a bit? Alternatively, why might Draco behave as in that memory when there's no one else around? (the behavior would have made more sense for the second, public duel)

Replies from: pedanterrific, Alsadius, Desrtopa
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-12T00:20:55.017Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I notice that the only thing we're told about Hermione's appearance in Chapter 78 is that she has bags under her eyes, no mention of a cut on her cheek.

Replies from: Vaniver
comment by Vaniver · 2012-04-12T02:45:56.918Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

That seems like the sort of thing wizards would heal as a matter of course.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-12T02:58:26.180Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Not first-years.

[...] even the most trivial healing Charms, if you tried to cast them with wand and incantation, were at least fourth-year spells.

(I'm referring to the scene at breakfast before the arrest.)

Replies from: Vaniver
comment by Vaniver · 2012-04-12T04:41:11.593Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

(I'm referring to the scene at breakfast before the arrest.)

Ah, okay. I was thinking at the trial. A slight cut could heal up in the ~eight hours between the fight and breakfast, especially if she managed to sleep, but that does seem like a clue that the memory is fake.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-12T13:17:17.761Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

A slight cut could heal up in the ~eight hours between the fight and breakfast

Really? Papercuts bother me for a couple days at least.

Something about a witch's constitution, perhaps.

Replies from: SkyDK
comment by SkyDK · 2012-04-12T21:01:36.359Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I suggest you reroll. I heal paper cuts in a couple of hours.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon, thomblake
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-13T06:47:26.678Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I suggest you reroll.

Thanks, but nah. I'm a healthy white male American with a middle class background and an intelligence greater than one standard deviation above the mean. Slow healing wounds are not enough to reroll in the face of the great risk of a less privileged life.

Replies from: None
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-13T13:35:53.597Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Well, you get to pick your race and your class (middle), and assuming you roll 3d6 for stats the odds are at least one of your results will be 14 or better, so none of those attributes are at risk.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-14T03:31:16.982Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Well, you get to pick your race and your class (middle)

Pfft

I'd stick with the Human race. I don't like the lack of supplemental material for the others. They're really under developed.

I have serious doubts that class in the sense you use it in could possibly be elective. The spread just doesn't match any decision making process I'd want to relate to.

comment by thomblake · 2012-04-12T23:21:05.875Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Papercuts bother me for a couple days at least.

I heal paper cuts in a couple of hours.

Both statements are true of me, depending on what's meant by "heal". Depending on where the papercut is (sensitive place, callus, etc) it might stop bothering me long after it's any risk of bleeding.

I suggest you reroll.

Upvoted for this suggestion.

comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T03:16:04.207Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You don't think a pissed-off 12 year old who's fighting a duel for vengeance might be inclined to rub a little salt in the wounds?

comment by Desrtopa · 2012-04-12T00:29:10.895Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

This seems to suggest that her memories of the duel are a fabrication (or the "Draco" she was fighting was someone else under the influence of polyjuice). Draco has no particular reason to further provoke her and was genuinely unsure whether he could beat her. It doesn't seem obvious why anyone would do that if there was going to be a genuine duel anyway, though.

Well, the whole obliviate cycle on Hermione took place at a time when the events that led to Draco willingly challenging Hermione to a duel probably could not have been predicted, unless someone caused them deliberately. Draco had no intention of challenging Hermione until his hand was forced by some apparently chance events in a battle that did not have to go that way. So if a third party was planning a duel, that turn of events might not have been in their plans.

Although it raises the question of what they would have done if the battle had not turned out that way, since Hermione probably would not have challenged Draco.

Replies from: loup-vaillant, Alsadius
comment by loup-vaillant · 2012-04-12T13:27:30.207Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Although it raises the question of what they would have done if the battle had not turned out that way, since Hermione probably would not have challenged Draco.

Possibly nothing, if Quirrell is to blame. That would sound just like him:

"Usse ssensse, boy! Ssupposse I am evil. To end usse of you here iss obvioussly not what I planned. Misssion iss target of opportunity, invented after ssaw your guardian Charm, whole affair meant to be unnoticed, hid when left eating-place. Obvioussly you will ssee persson pretending to be healer on arrival! Go back to eating-place afterward, original plan carriess on undissturbed!"

Although he may have waited for this kind of opportunity to occur. He could also have arranged to increase its daily probability (Hat and Cloak making Hermione paranoid, for instance), without triggering it more directly.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-12T16:37:42.852Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Obvioussly you will ssee persson pretending to be healer on arrival!

Is... is it not possible to lie in Parseltongue? I mean, we have

"I am not regisstered," hissed the snake. The dark pits of its eyes stared at Harry. "Animaguss musst be regisstered. Penalty is two yearss imprissonment. Will you keep my ssecret, boy?"

"Yess," hissed Harry. "Would never break promisse."

The snake seemed to hold still, as though in shock, and then began to sway again.

and

You ssay nothing, to no one. Give no ssign of expectancy, none. Undersstand?"

Harry nodded.

"Ansswer in sspeech."

"Yess."

"Will do as I ssaid?"

"Yess.

Replies from: loup-vaillant, Alsadius
comment by loup-vaillant · 2012-04-12T22:20:57.813Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I didn't think of that. Sounds worth considering. But it doesn't change the fact that pretending to be a healer doesn't prevent being a healer. Quirrell knows that Harry knows it, so to me, "pretending to be healer" doesn't provide meaningful evidence in any direction.

Plus, Quirrell is exploring a hypothetical, here. And the healer could be genuine, and somehow tricked, seduced, or bribed. Now that I think of it, this is even more probable than the false healer hypothesis: a real healer genuinely convinced of doing good is probably both easier to find and more reliable than an actual minion.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-12T22:34:39.912Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I guess for me the thing that tips the scales between 'real healer' and 'minion pretending to be a healer' is that I don't think it's actually in Quirrell's interests to deprogram Bellatrix of her loyalty to Voldemort.

Though presumably she is at least competent in regular healing, of the sort needed to get Bella back in fighting trim.

comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T03:20:52.695Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

1) Harry explicitly says earlier that he'd say he could be trusted with a secret, even if he couldn't be, because it was never helpful to be ignorant of it. I think his statement there is actually a known lie(albeit not by much, given that he seems to consider Quirrell his third father). 2) I think he was just trying to make things very clear - forcing people to actively say something instead of just passively accepting is an effective way of gauging them.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T03:27:24.208Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Harry explicitly says earlier that he'd say he could be trusted with a secret, even if he couldn't be, because it was never helpful to be ignorant of it.

I'm going to need a direct quote. The only thing I can think of similar to this is

"All right," Harry said slowly. It was hard to see how having a conversation and being unable to tell anyone could be more constraining than not having it, in which case you also couldn't tell anyone the contents. "I promise."

Not to mention

A secret whose revelation could prove so disastrous that I must ask you to swear - and I do require you to swear it seriously, Harry, whatever you may think of all this - never to tell anyone or anything else."

Harry considered his mother's fifth-year Potions textbook, which, apparently, held a terrible secret.

The problem was that Harry did take that oaths like that very seriously. Any vow was an Unbreakable Vow if made by the right sort of person.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T04:02:03.236Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The first of those was what I was referring to. Apparently it's phrased a bit more softly than I remember, though it certainly displays that mindset. And all the second one says is that honest people keep their word. There's things in the world more important than honesty, Kant be damned.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T04:18:38.646Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

...I don't think it does. I think what we're supposed to take from those passages, plus every other time Harry has made a promise, is that he doesn't make promises with the intent to break them.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T05:16:19.629Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The latter, yes. The former, no. I think he's basically honest, and as such the statement made in Parselmouth is not a lie, but he's not going to feel himself bound by that promise in extremis.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T05:24:20.024Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

(Unless Parseltongue is magically binding.) But yeah, of course I agree that Harry doesn't consider keeping his word to be the be-all end-all. For instance, in the course of TSPE there were several times that Harry considered breaking that specific promise and confessing all, and I don't think the fact that he promised not to was ever even brought up in his internal narration- the decisive factor was always the consequences to Quirrell if he did.

But I still disagree quite strongly with

Harry explicitly says earlier that he'd say he could be trusted with a secret, even if he couldn't be, because it was never helpful to be ignorant of it. I think his statement there is actually a known lie

comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T03:18:21.205Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Create enough tension and it'll spring loose somewhere, and I doubt Quirrel much cared where. There's no way that those two(Hermione in particular, given the lack of political training) have enough self-control to hate each other, think that they're scheming at each other, and then do absolutely nothing about it for an extended period.

comment by Nominull · 2012-04-11T03:54:56.191Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I needed chocolate to recover from reading this chapter. ;_;

Replies from: Eliezer_Yudkowsky
comment by Eliezer Yudkowsky (Eliezer_Yudkowsky) · 2012-04-11T04:13:30.168Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You warm my terrible heart.

comment by DavidAgain · 2012-04-11T07:43:23.977Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

No one seems to be commenting on the way that dumbledore identified quirrel to the wards. It seemed to me to be a very clear hint that someone else was somehow within that circle and so is also recognised as the defence professor, has top level Hogwarts permissions etc. Possibly Mr hat and cloak?

Replies from: Nominull
comment by Nominull · 2012-04-11T07:58:51.888Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's possible, but not everything that's possible is true. You'd think there'd only be able to be one Defense Professor, especially if that position was referred to with the definite article, and so properly coded wards would throw an exception if his identifier did not uniquely pick out an individual.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-11T08:22:59.742Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It means that he won't show up as Tom Riddle or Voldemort or Quinirius Quirrell or Jeffe Japes or Scion of X on the Marauder Map. He'll show up as The Defense Professor.

Replies from: MarkusRamikin
comment by MarkusRamikin · 2012-04-11T08:57:57.303Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

That doesn't seem to follow.

Replies from: gwern, Percent_Carbon
comment by gwern · 2012-04-11T14:05:22.724Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Actually, maybe this is the glitch in the Marauder's Map? 'the Defense Professor' is a little unusual a tag opposed to 'Minerva McGonagall' or ordinary names. (Although yes, it could also be reading 'Tom Riddle' or whatever, and Dumbledore wouldn't notice because IIRC he only grabs the Map from the twins to check for Riddle in Hogwarts after Quirrel goes to the Ministry.)

Replies from: RobertLumley
comment by RobertLumley · 2012-04-11T14:40:16.539Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yeah. p > 0.6 that this is the constant error in the marauders map for me. That's exactly what I thought when I was reading this.

Replies from: gwern
comment by gwern · 2012-04-11T15:02:31.277Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The glitch in the Marauder's Map is

Replies from: RobertLumley, hairyfigment
comment by RobertLumley · 2012-04-11T15:13:34.642Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You might want to edit those to clarify the constant glitch as opposed to the intermittent.

Since I made it, I'll estimate this, but I'm really hesitant to flood my predictionbook with HPMOR predictions. We really need categories there.

Replies from: gwern
comment by gwern · 2012-04-11T15:28:19.215Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Done.

comment by hairyfigment · 2012-04-13T23:17:48.226Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The intermittent error could also be a pet snake, though I don't know if that would count as "standing" in the circle. Does Voldemort have a house-elf?

comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-11T09:09:11.895Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

That doesn't seem to follow.

Doesn't it?

The old witch sighed. "What does Dumbledore think of this?"

The man in the detention cell shook his head. "He does not know who I am, and promised not to inquire."

The old witch's eyebrows rose. "How did he identify you to the Hogwarts wards, then?"

A slight smile. "The Headmaster drew a circle, and told Hogwarts that he who stood within was the Defense Professor. Speaking of which -" The tone went lower, flatter. "I am missing my classes, Director Bones."

Replies from: MarkusRamikin
comment by MarkusRamikin · 2012-04-11T09:12:28.836Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Correct me if I'm misremembering, but can't the Marauder's map show all people people in Hogwards? Regardless of them getting explicitely identified to the wards, so it must get its names independently.

I mean, what makes you think the Map is affected by this?

Replies from: DavidAgain, Percent_Carbon, None, Alex_Altair
comment by DavidAgain · 2012-04-11T10:16:41.692Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Given that places can be made unplottable, I'd guess identities can be made unknowable. Uncertainty in potterverse can be a quality of the thing itself...

comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-11T09:18:37.114Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Regardless of them getting explicitely identified to the wards, so it must get its names independently.

If it must, then Dumbledore overrode it.

He did so specifically to prevent himself from learning the Defense Professor's identity, because that was the term stipulated by Quirrell.

Those lines were specifically included to keep the story from prematurely reaching its climax as soon as Quirrell returns to Hogwarts. I think you will enjoy stories more if you accept that sometimes things happen for story reasons.

Replies from: MarkusRamikin
comment by MarkusRamikin · 2012-04-11T10:22:57.753Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

actually, never mind

comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-11T21:36:03.165Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

In Methods of Rationality, the Weasley twins refer to the Map as being part of the Hogwarts security system. So it probably gets the information from the wards.

My interpretation of the quote is that the Headmaster overrode the usual process of identification (which is automatic) in order to protect Quirrell's privacy; in that case, the Map would also know nothing beyond "The Defense Professor".

An alternative interpretation, however, is that the circle-drawing bit was only meant to key Quirrell into the wards as a professor. Normally, I suppose, this would be done by something like "I, Headmaster of Hogwarts, declare Quirinus Quirrell to be the Professor of Defense Against the Dark Arts! So mote it be!" In this case, Quirinus Quirrell was a false name, and Dumbledore knew this, so he used an alternative process that doesn't require a name.

Replies from: fubarobfusco, gwern
comment by fubarobfusco · 2012-04-12T07:30:19.765Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

In Methods of Rationality, the Weasley twins refer to the Map as being part of the Hogwarts security system. So it probably gets the information from the wards.

Yes, but how do the wards get people's names? It's not like the name "Ron Weasley" is tattooed on every molecule of the boy's body.

True Names are a feature of some systems of magic — Earthsea comes to mind — but not of the canon Potterverse, nor of MoR as far as I can recall. In canon, the name "Voldemort" has unusual power because of specific spells keyed on it, and it's an adopted name.

Real-time Legilimency? If so, we would expect the map to display whatever name matched a person's self-image; and a sufficiently potent Occlumens could be expected to fool it by sufficiently good Method acting.

On the other hand, there's a subsystem of Hogwarts Castle that does get told the name of every student on their first day, and has a close-up chance to read it from them by what resembles Legilimency: the Sorting Hat. Possibly a similar system is in place for professors and others ... which involves the Headmaster drawing a circle ...

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-12T07:38:06.901Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

This was recently discussed here. I came up with this specific idea here.

The 'drawing a circle' thing: Dumbledore expects Riddle to show up on the Map as Riddle forty-five years after he graduated. Apparently student records are preserved; professors wouldn't need to be named to the wards unless they weren't alumni.

Replies from: None
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-13T04:23:12.136Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It seems like an important feature of a security system would be to detect outsiders as well as students.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T04:24:58.455Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Who says it doesn't? The problem would be coming up with a way to get their names.

comment by gwern · 2012-04-11T23:30:43.025Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

In Methods of Rationality, the Weasley twins refer to the Map as being part of the Hogwarts security system. So it probably gets the information from the wards.

Yes; remember that they speculate it was made by Salazar himself, and remember in ch43 Quirrel independently says:

Professor Quirrell sipped from his own waterglass again. "Well then, Mr. Potter, I shall freely tell you what I know or suspect. First, I believe the Chamber of Secrets is real, as is Slytherin's Monster. Miss Myrtle's death was not discovered until hours after her demise, even though the wards should have alerted the Headmaster instantly. Therefore her murder was performed either by Headmaster Dippet, which is unlikely, or by some entity which Salazar Slytherin keyed into his wards at a higher level than the Headmaster himself.

The twins never mention in canon seeing the Basilisk on the map.

(Salazar seems to have specialized in security - one of his other talents was being a Legilimens.)

Replies from: Desrtopa
comment by Desrtopa · 2012-04-12T01:22:24.673Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The twins never mention in canon seeing the Basilisk on the map.

That would have borked the plot, and it's entirely probable that Rowling hadn't even come up with the Marauder's Map by then.

In MoR canon it probably makes more sense if it doesn't show up on it though; the whole Chamber of Secrets certainly doesn't.

comment by Alex_Altair · 2012-04-11T19:53:55.107Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

In canon, the map was made by "Moony, Wormtail, Padfoot and Prongs". I'm pretty sure Voldemort could override an artifact made my four teenagers.

Replies from: bogdanb
comment by bogdanb · 2012-04-11T21:37:34.876Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It was labeled as made by them, which isn’t necessarily reliable information, considering the incantation you use to activate it. And at one point it’s shown to locate and identify people under the True Cloak of Invisibility, which seems like powerful magic. (It could also be “made” in the sense that they found some sort of magical ingredient or component, ancient and much more powerful than they could make, which the integrated into the map, or even just that they customized an existing map with their silly “access code”.)

And in MoR, Dumbledore himself needed to use the map. Which suggests it was much more powerful than what four of his students could have made.

Replies from: Desrtopa, taelor
comment by Desrtopa · 2012-04-12T01:23:26.391Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

And at one point it’s shown to locate and identify people under the True Cloak of Invisibility, which seems like powerful magic.

Rowling probably hadn't even decided that Harry had the True Cloak of Invisibility yet.

comment by taelor · 2012-04-12T04:18:14.870Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Alternately, they found some way to tap into the castle's existing security systems.

comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-12T08:02:36.804Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I wonder how long it'll be till everyone in Hogwarts realizes that the whole recent attempted-murder plot was designed by Quirrel for the sole purpose of having both Slytherin and Ravenclaw win the House Cup at the same time (because when Slytherin and Ravenclaw lose students mid-terms, the school rules are ambiguous about whether the points earned by those students should be counted towards winning the House Cup)

I'm expecting the plot to have also contained as a crucial component a Golden Snitch with a delayed-action memory charm, which will cause the Ministry to overreact by banning Golden Snitches on school grounds, thus fullfilling Harry's wish of Snitch-less Quidditch as well.

I'm only half-joking with the above.

Replies from: Lavode
comment by Lavode · 2012-04-12T08:21:20.768Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Quidditch really nags me, because the team you are playing with has nearly zero relevance. And it is so unnessesary, even if Rowling desired a position on the team of key importance, the way the snitch works is still wrong - If it was worth zero points, but catching it ended the game, then seekers are still key, they just cannot win entirely on their own anymore, and the job would require more than just "flies fast",

Replies from: None, kilobug
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-12T13:25:11.600Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Or if catching the snitch gave you the option of ending the game or of having it re-released after a short random time. That way a seeker of the losing team could still engage in snitch denial other than trying to crash his counterpart into the ground.

comment by kilobug · 2012-04-12T12:20:49.044Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

To be honest there is still a small impact of the rest of the team on the game : the Beaters can use the Bludgers against the seekers (so they do interact with seekers and affect their chance of catching the Snitch), and there are occasional cases in which the Quaffle point difference is high enough so the Snitch doesn't decide the game (the final of the World Cup in cannon).

But yes, since the first time I heard about the rules of Quidditch, I was "gah, that just doesn't make sense - make the Snitch worth much less, like 30, at the very least".

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-12T15:02:10.509Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Hypothesis: Once upon a time, the wizarding world had no popular sport of its own, and Quidditch was more akin to aerial dueling, a one-on-one contest of skill. Then, someone realised all the various benefits/opportunities offered by popular sports (perhaps by watching the Muggle world), and added extra rules and a team element to give the crowds something to watch while the Seekers continued their long periods of boredom interspersed with sharp bursts of activity.

Quidditch today generates a massive market in terms of matches, merchandise, contracts, celebrity culture etc. - a market that benefits the economy as a whole and certain key segments of it especially. It also serves various other purposes common to team sports, such as channeling the volatile energy of young people, and creating a harmless outlet for tension between countries (harmless in theory, anyway - we don't have riot statistics for the wizarding workl).

Whoever shaped Quidditch into its modern form didn't need a balanced game - they just needed something to fill the sport-shaped gap in wizard society. Such a hypothesis would explain why Quidditch is so poor in game design terms - unbalanced scoring, disproportionately high risk of injury and matches of unpredictable length don't matter quite so much if your goal is to pander to the audience rather than make a fair test of the competitors' skills.

Replies from: mjr
comment by mjr · 2012-04-12T16:38:02.777Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Canonically the situation was quite reversed, the Snitch (or rather it's predecessor, the Snidget) having been introduced to the already existing Quidditch game by a noble's quirk. I doubt this is different for MoR.

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-12T16:51:48.614Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Alas. I have not read any of the follow-up works, and did not realise that they would persist in demolishing any attempt to inject credibility into the Potterverse.

Replies from: Normal_Anomaly
comment by Normal_Anomaly · 2012-04-17T13:05:56.036Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I think the canon explanation is about as credible as yours, and they're both pretty good. "A typical competitive ballgame got merged with competitive bird-hunting" is a decent way it could have happened.

comment by buybuydandavis · 2012-04-11T03:48:51.391Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yay!

"Not this again!" Minerva said. "Albus, it was You-Know-Who, not you, who marked Harry as his equal. There is no possible way that the prophecy could be talking about you!"

The old wizard nodded, but his eyes still seemed distant, fixed only on the road head.

This is another brick in the wall of the Prophecy and Potter massacre being a setup by Dumbledore.

Replies from: None, loserthree
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-12T02:56:29.656Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Not a nail in the coffin? Evidence for and against Dumbledore and Voldemort as authors of the prophecy:

+Dumbledore

  • Was the apparent beneficiary of the prophecy

-Dumbledore

  • Seems to have a world model that includes such entities as "heroes" and "evil", and is ripe for exploitation
  • Gives every outward sign of believing the prophecy is genuine
  • Gave Trelawney a magical clock that's probably a listening device

+Voldemort

  • Was the actual beneficiary of the prophecy, if he pretended to lose
  • Suddenly has a history of setting up both sides of a conflict (My reaction to Ch. 84 was: ...really? You waited until you were half a million words into the fic before introducing this? Really?)
  • Has a history of creating orphaned heroes of destiny
  • Would have been the one who sent Snape to overhear the prophecy
  • Chose Harry and not Neville as his target, then allowed Snape to learn the meaning of the prophecy and that he intended to attack the Potters

-Voldemort

  • Reacted strongly to a mention of prophecy once, possibly because he takes prophecies seriously
  • Could have defeated Dumbledore by conventional means
  • Should not be trying plots as complicated as this one

Quirrell has indicated that he plans to go to war with the Muggles and rule the entire world. If Percent_Carbon is right, and "Tom didn't want to be Hitler. Tom wanted to actually win", he may think that conquering Britain as Voldemort would cost him the larger war. He needs a hero, and his first hero failed. So for eight years afterward, he continued to build up the legend of Voldemort, slowly grinding down the opposition, and then, when all hope seemed lost, a prophecy struck like a bolt of lightning and Voldemort was defeated by a baby in his crib.

On the evidence so far, I've switched to Team Voldemort. You were right the first time. Dumbledore could still be responsible for the Potters being betrayed, because he expected Voldemort to be blindsided by Lily's sacrifice, since "evil cannot ever understand love". The prophecy itself came from Tom. Harry is the Last Scion Redux, but this time his storybook hero status is even more blatant, and he'll rise to power with the insights into rulership that Tom learned as Voldemort. Like creating a "Light Mark".

That's what I think today, anyway. Updating is fun.

Replies from: see, buybuydandavis
comment by see · 2012-04-12T18:12:08.021Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Suddenly has a history of setting up both sides of a conflict

Hmm? We have no good evidence to distinguish between the following two hypotheses:

  • Voldemort was playing both sides of things up until 1973, when he dropped one side for some reason
  • When Voldemort embarked on the Quirrell deception, he knew investigation would reveal that he wasn't actually Quirrell, so he deliberately dropped hints that would deceive investigators into believing he was a hero who, in reality, died back in 1973.

All we know is Quirrell has let hints drop that he was the hero who disappeared. There is no reason to expect that any of his hints are anything other than deliberate lies. If a competent investigation would discover that Qurrell's not really Qurrell, then the deception absolutely requires a second layer to last the year, so people like Bones can feel satisfied that they've discovered "the truth" about Quirrell without suspecting he's Voldemort. The existence of this second-layer deception now does not provide any evidence that the same deception existed eighteen years earlier.

Replies from: None, Percent_Carbon, loserthree
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-13T08:54:54.728Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

There is no reason to expect that any of his hints are anything other than deliberate lies.

Quirrell certainly talks about the need to act exactly as the person you're impersonating would act. His speech to Hermione would be no evidence at all if it were delivered by someone who practised what Quirrell preaches.

But that isn't Quirrell. Far from putting up a perfect facade, Quirrell's mask is constantly slipping. He "makes a game of lying with truths, playing with words to conceal his meanings in plain sight." His dialogue is peppered with hints to his identity, his past, and his intentions. Almost everything he says about himself is a clue.

His love of the killing curse and his intent to kill. His childhood ambition to become a Dark Lord. The Muggle dojo. The Pioneer plaque. His intention to crush Rita Skeeter. Repeated use of the word 'Riddle'. His willingness to be identified as having eaten 'death'. His wish for Britain to grow strong under a strong leader. The story of Merope's enslavement of Tom Riddle Sr. His theft of Quirrell's body using incredibly dark magic.

I think you've confused the actual character of Quirrell with the master of deception that he claims to be. When he tells Hermione about the time he spent as a hero, that is evidence that what he's relating is a twisted version of the truth. Because it usually is.

Incidentally, while I was collecting links, I discovered that Quirrell foreshadowed this after all.

"It has sometimes amused me to play the part of a hero. Who knows but that You-Know-Who would say the same."

I read this as his saying Voldemort has previously played the part of a hero. And, as above, I think it's probably true. What's your take?

comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-13T07:40:57.192Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Hmm? We have no good evidence to distinguish between the following two hypotheses...

Yeah we do. When EY writes that the heroic Scion of X vanished while traveling Ablania in 45 he is telling the readers that Voldemort took him by making a shout out to what happened to Quirrell in canon.

The Ablanian Shuffle is good evidence.

Replies from: see
comment by see · 2012-04-13T19:59:43.953Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I guess it depends on your definition of "good". Care to quantify yours?

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-14T04:37:36.899Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I guess it depends on your definition of "good". Care to quantify yours?

I guess you should quantify your own definition of the word, perhaps in the same post in which you ask someone else to quantify theirs, since you used it first.

I'd say p>0.95 that "Went on a graduation tour abroad and disappeared while visiting Albania." is meant to communicate something to the readers that it does not communicate to the characters.

I'd say p>0.75 that the thing it is meant to communicate is that the hero was compromised by Riddle, like Quirrell was in canon.

I don't expect it to be the same. Voldemort's shade in canon may have had possession capacity that young Tom Riddle did not.

I'd say p>0.5 that the hero was replaced, that Tom Riddle physically played both roles in his own flesh.

Your turn.

Replies from: see
comment by see · 2012-04-14T06:36:35.396Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

(I asked you to quantify what you meant by "good" because I was suspecting you were treating a probability of, say, 30% as "good", and we were getting our terms crossed. Obviously not.)

I'd say p>0.75 that the thing it is meant to communicate is that the hero was compromised by Riddle, like Quirrell was in canon.

Whereas I'd put that at roughly p=0.25.

I mean, sure, it might be trying to communicate that, but, I've got:

"Reader! She's about to undercover the Defense Professor is Voldemort!" as a message intended to be sent to the reader but not the characters at about p=0.25.

"The heroic Slytherin discovered something about Riddle in Albania in 1945, and spent his time trying to follow up on it. When Voldemort came back openly to Britain, so did he. What the hero learned in 1945, or in the years between 1945-1970, is going to be important to Harry's defeat of Voldemort, and here's the hint that keeps it from coming entirely out of the blue" (or variations of the theme) as about p=0.15

"The 'heroic' Slytherin died in 1945 in a confrontation with Riddle/Voldemort. In 1970, an ambitious person unconnected to Voldemort then tried to exploit the Voldemort's rise as a chance to make himself leader of Britain under the dead man's name, and died or quit in 1973. Voldemort then found it useful to try the same con as a backup for Quirrel." at roughly p=0.15

And, "Eilizer is planning to do something else with it, that I haven't thought of" at about p=0.2

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-14T07:12:49.703Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Fantastic.

I dismiss the bait and switch because the passage does not seem to lay down that tease; p0.8 he would clean out other things that only exist to support his ill conceived tease. There isn't a WHAM paragraph with few words surrounded by white space. It's just not built like a bait and switch shocker.

While reading, I thought that Scion of X did fight Riddle and did as Hermione suggested:

"You left your friends behind where they'd be safe, and tried to attack the Dark Wizard all by yourself?"

And after Voldemort killed him he kept the identity close because things like that can be useful. But I know that I am gullible and literal (p>0.2 that I under value literal interpretations after an alternative is available), so I dismissed that as soon as I thought up an explanation that worked on a more in character plot. p<0.01

I dismiss the unknown, unrelated, unremarked third party because of Conservation of Detail. p<0.01

I don't have any other speculation worth mentioning, so "something else" gets p<0.25.

Replies from: see, pedanterrific
comment by see · 2012-04-14T07:30:54.142Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

If 1970-1973 was a con by Voldemort, why was it given up in 1973? Surely he expected it to take longer than a couple of years to begin with, didn't he?

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-14T08:13:33.520Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

"In all honesty," said Professor Quirrell, looking up at the stars, "I still don't understand it. They should have known that their lives depended on that man's success. And yet it was as if they tried to do everything they could to make his life unpleasant. To throw every possible obstacle into his way. I was not naive, Miss Granger, I did not expect the power-holders to align themselves with me so quickly - not without something in it for themselves. But their power, too, was threatened; and so I was shocked how they seemed content to step back, and leave to that man all burdens of responsibility. They sneered at his performance, remarking among themselves how they would do better in his place, though they did not condescend to step forward." Professor Quirrell shook his head as though in bemusement. "And it was the strangest thing - the Dark Wizard, that man's dread nemesis - why, those who served him leapt eagerly to their tasks. The Dark Wizard grew crueler toward his followers, and they followed him all the more. Men fought for the chance to serve him, even as those whose lives depended on that other man made free to render his life difficult... I could not understand it, Miss Granger." Professor Quirrell's face was in shadow, as he looked upward. "Perhaps, by taking on himself the curse of action, that man removed it from all others? Was that why they felt free to hinder his battle against the Dark Wizard who would have enslaved them all? Believing men would act in their own interest was not cynicism, it turned out, but sheerest optimism; in reality men do not meet so high a standard. And so in time that one realized he might do better fighting the Dark Wizard alone, than with such followers at his back."

I don't know how long he thought it would take, but it sounds like he had no idea how hard it would suck.

comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-14T07:25:00.862Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

If EY originally intended the bait and switch, then regretted it, p>0.8 he would clean out other things that only exist to support his ill conceived tease.

What other things?

That is, if the bait-and-switch was intended, he would've had to come up with an actual character that fit all those facts as well, and it seems like "he spent seven years sleeping in the same room as Voldemort" is a non-trivial detail to change.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon, FAWS
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-14T08:22:49.466Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

If EY originally intended the bait and switch, then regretted it, p>0.8 he would clean out other things that only exist to support his ill conceived tease.

What other things?

The Albanian Shuffle. See says there is a real chance that it is mentioned just to string the reader along and make us think Bones is about to say that Quirrell is Riddle.

"Reader! She's about to undercover the Defense Professor is Voldemort!" as a message intended to be sent to the reader but not the characters at about p=0.25.

I dismiss this because EY changed the date, which comes at the top of the passage, just so readers wouldn't jump to think Bones is talking about Riddle. If EY took such a step to prevent the tease that Bones was about to name Riddle, then I would expect EY would not leave things in that were only there to build up that tease.

So the Albanian Shuffle is dismissively unlikely to be referenced for the sake of making the reader think Bones was about to name Riddle. I really don't know how you could think that in the first place unless you first read that paragraph after already thinking that Bones was going to name Riddle.

Replies from: Random832
comment by Random832 · 2012-04-14T09:01:27.937Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Before the date change, there was a legitimate chance that the reader would come away from the discussion thinking that the person Bones was describing actually was Riddle, and that both Bones and Quirrell understood her to have been talking about Riddle. Which if unintended is a far greater problem than "thinking Bones was about to name Riddle, then it turns out no". This was, in fact, my reading when I was actually going through the chapter.

(tl;dr: It's not a "tease" that Bones was about to name Riddle that's the problem, the problem is that it wasn't resolved with a clear indication that they're not talking about Riddle)

Changing the date fixes this because the reader can go look it up and realize that it can't be Riddle after all.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-14T09:18:31.377Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Changing the date fixes this because the reader can go look it up and realize that it can't be Riddle after all.

"OhmygodohmygodOHMYGOD! Bones is going to figure out Quirrell is Voldemort! OHMYGOD! What's he going to do?!?! He's surrounded by aurors, he's in DMLE headquarters!... Oh my GOD! Those aurors are so screwed!!"

looks up Tom Riddle online because that's totally what all readers would do

"Oh, hm. That's not Riddle then. I wonder who it is?"

...

Are you really suggesting that EY means the reader to do this? He said he wasn't going to lie to us anymore. See's low-probability theory of tease and WHAM involves EY lying to his readers, but your take on it that they were supposed to be totally tricked until the look it up online (?!?!) is turns that up to ridiculous levels.

Replies from: Random832
comment by Random832 · 2012-04-14T09:44:11.848Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The fact that the conversation doesn't end with her actually saying Riddle is what would prompt readers to look it up. Are you saying that readers that are still with the fic after eighty chapters haven't learned enough about rationality to take two minutes to verify an assumption after noticing they are confused?

He said he wasn't going to lie to us anymore.

If that meant he couldn't ever make a conversation that seems to be going one way but turns out to be different a few paragraphs later, it would lead to a VERY boring story.

P.S. My point was that the problem that EY fixed was that the obvious thing to check (looking up canon!Riddle's biography) leads to an apparent confirmation.

comment by FAWS · 2012-04-14T07:47:03.485Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

That would only have changed if the year he started Hogwarts changed, which it did not. The birth date didn't change by a whole year, just from late enough in 1926 to enter Hogwarts in 1938 to early enough in 1927 to enter Hogwarts in that same year.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-14T07:56:34.602Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yes. Exactly. That's my point.

(Not sure why you said this.)

Replies from: FAWS
comment by FAWS · 2012-04-14T08:37:30.971Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

(I lost track of what you were trying to argue, and the comment in isolation seemed to suggest that the non-trivial change had happened. A clause like "so the fact that this was carefully kept constant is evidence in favor of ..." would have helped. )

comment by loserthree · 2012-04-13T01:59:55.190Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

There is no reason to expect that any of his hints are anything other than deliberate lies.

On the contrary, the reference to Albania is almost certainly a clue to the reader that the hero was replaced.

Replies from: see
comment by see · 2012-04-13T04:01:30.468Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Almost certainly?

It's suggestive, sure, that he showed up from a long disappearance at about the same time as the "First Wizarding War" began. But the year could just be the one he returned at for some other reason, like, say, his Muggle Albanian wife dying.

In the latter case, why 1970? Because, like the original coincidental 1926 birth year, Eliezer was trying to make people go, "'Oh no, is she about to identify Voldemort?' . . . to be contradicted soon after by the Gaunts not exactly being on the Wizengamot or having a patroness grandmother."

Anyway, if you really think it's "almost certain", I'd like to arrange a bet on that. Say, my $5 against your $100?

Replies from: pedanterrific, loserthree
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T04:21:04.530Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You'd lose. Canon!Quirrell was possessed by Voldemort in Albania.

Replies from: see
comment by see · 2012-04-13T05:34:44.523Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Canon!Riddle got Ravenclaw's diadem out of a hiding place in Albania circa 1945. Thus the inclusion of all four details — 1926, 1945, Albania, and 1970 — can all be explained as part of the same "Oh no, is she about to identify Riddle/Voldemort?" fake-out that was then deliberately blown up by the inconsistency with the Gaunts.

None of them need a separate cause to explain why Eliezer included them; all of them are explained sufficiently by the author-confirmed fake-out without adding the hypothesis "The hero who showed up in 1970 was a trick by Voldemort."

But if you're so sure I'm wrong, how about I put up my $5 against, say, your $500?

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T05:46:52.005Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It would be more like your 1¢ against my empty instant ramen packaging, so no.

If you're that eager to lose money, loserthree can have it.

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-13T17:10:25.515Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Thank you, Pedant One.

I will make three excuses for not taking the gracious offer of $5.00 (pre-tax) from the Holy See of Whereever, then I will give you a real answer.

  • I'm acclimating to your subculture too fast for my taste and don't care to speed things along by participating in your quaint rituals of sacrifice.
  • Five bucks is sufficiently low status that winning would set me back from taking the offer.
  • I have butter on my face.

I kind of lied: the status matter is totally part of the issue. But the real reason is that I have been conditioned to overvalue losses to gambling. I can only play poker by convincing myself it isn't gambling.

Really, though, isn't that gauche? Does it feel right to taunt a stranger with two-thirds of a fast food meal?

Replies from: see, thomblake
comment by see · 2012-04-14T07:10:50.330Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Really, though, isn't that gauche? Does it feel right to taunt a stranger with two-thirds of a fast food meal?

Is that really it? Would you have been happier with, say, $20 against $400? I generally think of "almost certain" as indicating p≥0.95; the $5 was driven by the math of keeping your potential loss down.

And, not that I'm asking for you to actually answer, but ask yourself - is it really that you overvalue losses from gambling? If I were offering to put $2,000 up against your $100, would you still refuse because of the exact same chance you'd lose that exact same $100?

(I raised the odds to reflect p≥0.99 for pedanterrific because he implied that I was being a sucker for offering 1-for-20 odds.)

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-14T15:48:17.518Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

If I understand you correctly, you're saying that unless I am willing to tie significant amounts of money up for the sake of winning tiny amounts of money, I lack the confidence I claim.

It that didn't have the sound, the feel of a scam with it's a-sure-thing-isn't vibe it'd be a passable bullying tactic for the mathematically adept sort with something to prove. I've pushed people around for a living, so I like to think can appreciate a good push.

Or maybe that scamishness is part of the push?

The mark thinks himself a rational fellow, so he's unlikely to bolt. Bringing money into it makes the mark nervous. The mark mistakes his nervousness about money for doubt about his claim. You capitalize when the mark starts backing down, and claim some petty victory.

Seems like an awful lot of work for a small show, but thanks for the trick. Maybe I'll make something of it.

Replies from: see, pedanterrific, David_Gerard
comment by see · 2012-04-14T20:35:45.977Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

you're saying that unless I am willing to tie significant amounts of money up for the sake of winning tiny amounts of money, I lack the confidence I claim.

No, not at all. Not being willing to tie up the money is a perfectly sensible reason to refuse the bet. Opportunity cost isn't remotely connected to confidence levels; that I quite confidently expect a Treasury bond to pay me the promised interest doesn't mean I'd rather spend the money on something else that I value more.

And you certainly don't owe me an explanation of any kind as to why you refuse a bet. You merely owe yourself a good one instead of a bad one.

Seems like an awful lot of work for a small show,

Then it would seem improbable that I'm putting the work in for the small show you identified, no? Not impossible, of course, but maybe you need a better theory of what I was trying to do.

comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-14T16:12:33.238Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I'm not saying it can't be used as a status attack the way you're suggesting, but this is a thing people do here. Something about calibrating confidence levels.

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-14T16:31:25.638Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Huh.

Doesn't actually look like fun.

Good for them, though. I'll stick to poker and "status attacks," thanks.

Is there much here on status attacks?

Replies from: ArisKatsaris
comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-14T17:20:13.990Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

When I accepted the bet by ITakeBets, it didn't feel like a status attack -- just that he/she was honestly evaluating the likelihood of the event differently than I was, and so we both had a positive-return expectation given our different models. And I had the odds enough tilted enough away from my confidence levels, so that it worth the bother of betting.

I'd most likely not have accepted a bet from someone that offered it in the way that "see" did though. And I'd not feel the need to offer any excuse other than "No, I don't feel like making a bet with you".

If anyone makes you feel like you're obliged to bet money, just refuse to bet -- you don't have to offer any excuses.

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-14T17:36:13.138Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Thanks. Your reassurance isn't unappreciated.

When the Pedant One used the term 'status attack' instead of push or bully or buffalo, I thought maybe that indicated there were resources on the topic. I love the feeling when I find there is a developed system and language for describing and expanding on something I thought I was familiar with. It's almost always a game-changer.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-14T18:19:30.567Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

This is a good resource. Actual 'attacks' are a little too Dark Arts-y to get much discussion on LessWrong, though.

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-14T19:31:08.709Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Thanks. It's a nice list.

No DADA, eh?

Is rationality and a desire for self-improvement supposed to provide defense against Dark Arts as a side effect?

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-14T19:39:09.615Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Here's something, but it would be good if there were more discussion of the topic, yeah.

comment by David_Gerard · 2012-04-14T16:13:44.552Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's better than that - the classic con is to make the mark feel like he's putting one over on you.

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-14T16:34:46.391Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

That is what I meant when I mentioned that a sure thing isn't.

comment by thomblake · 2012-04-13T18:02:17.843Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I have butter on my face.

Even Urban Dictionary is no help with this one. What?

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-13T18:15:00.070Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It was totally non sequitur. Also very old. Maybe obscure.

http://www.bash.org/?10739

I think it's still in the top 200 quotes on the site.

Replies from: thomblake
comment by thomblake · 2012-04-13T18:18:27.962Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Oh, first google result if I hadn't used quotes. Duh.

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-13T18:22:47.247Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Without confirmation bias, would that actually have helped? I'm certain I don't know what that would look to someone who didn't know what I was going for. But I have the Illusion of Transparency on my mind since I saw someone catch it while trying to help someone with it.

Replies from: thomblake
comment by thomblake · 2012-04-13T18:27:14.762Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yes - I'd suspect that the phrase as used in the top search result was the canonical version, then search for that instead, and find it had a lot more hits than the quoted original search and the first reference is repeated several times.

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-13T18:33:44.207Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I meant, would that have told you what you originally meant to find out.

Did you only want to know where it came from?

Replies from: thomblake
comment by thomblake · 2012-04-13T18:58:53.945Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

No, I didn't only want to know where it came from.

Yes, it's clear from context in the link that it doesn't mean anything.

comment by loserthree · 2012-04-13T17:11:32.425Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The author has suggested we pay attention to the Conservation of Detail. With that in mind, the involvement of Albania is enough for almost certainty.

Replies from: see
comment by see · 2012-04-13T19:58:46.176Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The detail is already conserved by its known use to try to make the reader suspect Bones is going to discover Quirrell is Riddle/Voldemort. Now the question left is whether Albania is a Chekhov's Boomerang, or whether theories based on it are an example of Epileptic Trees. I know I'm not "almost certain" either way.

comment by buybuydandavis · 2012-04-12T08:03:07.691Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The prophecy itself came from Tom.

So let me follow along. It seems like one extra level to what I've been thinking in terms of plotting.

The whole Voldemort Dark Lord war is just part of a bigger plot. First he creates the Villain of Voldemort. Then he creates a prophecy about a child destined to kill him - the eventual Hero. Dumbledore walks right into it by trying to use the prophecy as a trap to kill Tom, with Lily sacrificing herself in a dark ritual as the trap. So Tom gleefully takes the bait to create his Hero, and either is really diminished, or just goes on vacation for a few years waiting for Harry to get older. But clearly he also does something to Harry - creating the ultra resourceful Dark Side which itself contributes to the Harry Legend. And then Dumbledore grooms his hero as well, because he believes that he is destined to be the Hero because of what Voldemort has done to him.

IN the end, he'll lose to Harry again, once Harry is well on his way to being the Light Lord, but he'll upload into Harry and become the Hero ruler instead of the Dark Lord, until he uses up Harry's body. The end.

Another point in favor of this is Quirrell's talk with Harry after the bully climax, where he said Harry has everything Quirrell had ever wanted - the love, fear, respect, and admiration of everyone in school. This is exactly what he is after again - to rule and be feared, loved, respected, and admired.

You may or may not be going for the Upload bit.

That's a little bit of an evolution for me. I considered taking over Good Harry as a target of opportunity for Voldemort. That even the Voldemort persona is part of the scheme is new.

But I've got a new shiny toy. Evil for the Sake of Evil. In his contempt for the stupidity and weakness of people, I have a hard time seeing him even wanting to be the Hero anymore. He's now the Joker. He's Lord Foul - Corruption. He wants to corrupt Good. Corrupt Dumbledore into things like killing Narcissa. Corrupt Harry into being a Dark Lord. Corrupt Hermione and turn her away from Good. He wants Evil to be taken as Good. Then maybe he takes over.

Replies from: Viliam_Bur
comment by Viliam_Bur · 2012-04-12T10:48:11.003Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

He wants Evil to be taken as Good.

I think it's the other way: he wants good people to be seen as fallible and fallen.

My model of him is like: "So when I tried to be the hero, people disrespected me, but for some reason the same people respect Dumbledore, Hermione, Harry. Why?! Oh, they are probably better at signalling. So let's manipulate them into difficult situations where even if they choose good, it will either ruin them or send bad signals."

He does not want to redefine the words with capital letters. That's a fool's game. He is just jealous that other people succeeded in having a good image, where he failed despite his cool plans. He wants good people to have bad image, so that he can become a person with the best image, which is his preferred way to rule the world; probably because it seems safer in long run than being an evil overlord.

I believe his frustration at his inability to become a credible hero. But at least he is learning. He has learned that "a single super-heroic action" is not a good plan, so now he is trying "a child with magical destiny" plan. He cynically believed that he could fool all people; now he is even more cynical, because he believes that he cannot fool them by something that makes sense (killing a few Death Eaters and saving a princess? meh.), but could do it by a superstition (to kill Voldemort while being a baby? cool, and nobody suspects anything!).

comment by loserthree · 2012-04-11T15:42:22.194Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Some time after Chapter 38 showed us that Lucius thinks HJPEV is Voldemort, I took his position seriously and looked over the rest of the story.

If Voldemort is the hero, what is Quirrell? I figured he was the Basilisk. And if Quirrell was not the antagonist, who was? I figured it was Dumbledore because the opposite of rational is insane, not stupid.

I now think Quirrell is Voldemort and Dumbledore is not especially insane, but I wish I had thought to reinterpret the prophesy without Voldemort as the obvious bad guy back then. There is so much potential there.

comment by mstevens · 2012-04-11T13:46:49.248Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I don't actually go to meetups, but Harry's comments about anti-conformity training made me wonder if it'd be worth trying.

You could retest the original experiment, see if lesswrongians can avoid it through knowledge of the effect.

You could mock obviously true statements to practice withstanding opposition.

You could practice the ability to do harmless but nonconformist things to gain the ability to do so if the situation called for something unusual, but you might otherwise be too conformist or embarassed. (each meeting attendee shall order a coffee whilst wearing the ceremonial tea-cosy!). I suspect some of this overlaps with PUA a little and easily veers into general confidence building.

I don't know if rehearsals would do any good, but you could go through the motions of not complying with the Milgram experiment, making people handle little fake emergencies...

You could wonder if EY is planning things like this for the Center for Modern Rationality.

Replies from: Spurlock, Desrtopa, pedanterrific, TrE
comment by Spurlock · 2012-04-11T17:23:08.261Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I don't know if rehearsals would do any good

Really, this is how I feel. I'd be really surprised if a setup like that actually worked. I'm not sure Harry is supposed to actually believe (with any confidence) that it works for Chaos. Ultimately you know and everyone else knows that it's just a charade, and that really your "nonconforming" is just conforming one level below surface: You stand there and take abuse that you know to be insincere, and then get a pat on the back about it later, just like everyone else did on their turn.

Hopefully CMR has a better exercise in mind. A really good anti-Asch training tool seems like a great thing to have.

You could mock obviously true statements to practice withstanding opposition.

The danger with this seems to be that you'll also be developing skills for attacking correct positions. It's training you to develop tactics for entrenching yourself in incorrect beliefs. Also it seems to lend itself to the view of arguments as status conflicts rather than group truth-investigation (though I suppose we do need to at least practice how to handle arguments with people who do perceive them this way).

Replies from: Xachariah, NancyLebovitz, Brickman, fubarobfusco, mstevens
comment by Xachariah · 2012-04-12T05:56:22.765Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I disagree. I think it would have a very good chance to work.

To a perfect Bayesian, the importance of an act is not what it looks like on the surface, but the state of the world that makes such an act possible. Unfortunately (or fortunately in this case), human minds are not perfectly Bayesian.

To the human mind, merely resembling another thing is enough for the mind to form connections and associations between the two. This is why public speaking courses can improve people's abilities and lessen their fears of public speech. Even though people know they're just speaking in front of a class who is obligated to receive the speech well, their mind naturally reduces the anxiety they feel for any future speaking engagements. The mind says "eh, it's close enough. I can do this," just like how anti-conformity training should fool the mind into considering it 'close enough' to real disagreement. Speech classes don't not work perfectly, just like chaos training (I assume) doesn't work perfectly, but it's pretty good.

Anti-conformity training seems practically identical to a proven training method, and thus I rate it highly likely to work.

Replies from: Spurlock, None
comment by Spurlock · 2012-04-12T14:10:04.427Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Well, I guess it's just an empirical question where we differ in predictions. Personally I don't think the analogy with public speaking is very strong, because public speaking classes are actually public speaking. People stand up and speak in front of lots of people, that's just what it is.

Upon reflection though, it does seem like there's one way that it might help, which is that it might help you figure out how to go about non-conformity, what exactly you can do or say in such a situation. So even if your mind doesn't buy into the charade, roleplaying with good partners might help you figure out ways to navigate a non-conformity situation. Having those methods worked out in advance might make you less hesitant to speak out in real world situations, but only to the extent that your hesitation is about not knowing what exactly to say or do (as opposed to fear of social punishment, the usual explanation for Asch's results).

What I've always wondered about with Asch's experiment is how much of a difference a small monetary incentive (say, $1 per correct answer) would make. It seems like the experiment is odd in that there is no incentive to give correct answers, but at least a potential or perceived social incentive to give conforming ones. This seems like it would be relevant to our disagreement because it's a question of whether the situation becomes different when something is actually on the line. Unfortunately I can't seem to google up any examples of variations like this.

Replies from: Solvent
comment by Solvent · 2012-04-13T01:57:45.862Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

What I've always wondered about with Asch's experiment is how much of a difference a small monetary incentive (say, $1 per correct answer) would make.

I would be really interested in the result of this experiment.

comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-12T16:45:48.698Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Anti-conformity training seems practically identical to a proven training method, and thus I rate it highly likely to work.

There is a difference. Even if the class (during a public speaking course) is obligated to receive the speech well, you know that their approval might be insincere and that's still scary. In the proposed nonconformity exercise you would be sure that the other participants don't really disapprove.

comment by NancyLebovitz · 2012-04-11T22:19:08.987Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I think that if you've got a deeply habitual inhibition against firmly disagreeing with people, even a known-to-be-simulated experience of breaking the inhibition can help quite a bit.

Replies from: Viliam_Bur
comment by Viliam_Bur · 2012-04-12T09:30:17.847Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Putting it in another perspective: if you have an inhibition against doing something, you will also have an inhibition against simulating it. But the latter is easier to break by reminding you that it is not real.

comment by Brickman · 2012-04-13T02:18:29.599Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Personally, to me it struck me as something I would try on a group of first graders (provided I knew I wouldn't be sued) but not on a group of adults. They know it's just a game, and treat it as such, but nobody's going to refuse because to me that sounds like a very fun game (approached from the right mindset, anyways, and provided you make sure the audience doesn't take it too far. I'd probably hand pick people to "criticize" and make myself a member of that group so I could step in if another was being problematic). So they all do it, and they all think it doesn't matter outside the game, except that since it was so unusual a thing to ask them to do they're going to remember when you tell them why they did it at the end of the lesson, and they're not going to forget it anytime soon. Preferably do it when they would normally be having a "normal" lesson.

Harry's army is about four years too old for that angle to work, so I wouldn't expect much of the "training". I'd expect more from the entirely conscious chain of reasoning that they respect General Potter, and that he has them do all kinds of weird "training" things and an awful lot of them turn out to be good ideas, and that he told you outright that he thinks this is an important thing for you to try to do. But then, that's a conscious chain of thought, and by the time an issue like this hits conscious thought it's already passed all the lines of defense that matter. So I wouldn't expect much of it. But hey, he's already employing a scatter shot approach towards their weirdness training so if this one idea doesn't work out it doesn't cost him much more than the time it took him to plan the exercise.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T02:33:08.877Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

But hey, he's already employing a scatter shot approach towards their weirdness training so if this one idea doesn't work out it doesn't cost him much more than the time it took him to plan the exercise.

There's almost certainly a way to do this sort of thing that would function quite well as a morale and team-building exercise even if it didn't work at all on the conformity level.

Not that the Chaos Legion needs more morale.

comment by fubarobfusco · 2012-04-12T06:58:54.807Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Ultimately you know and everyone else knows that it's just a charade, and that really your "nonconforming" is just conforming one level below surface: You stand there and take abuse that you know to be insincere, and then get a pat on the back about it later, just like everyone else did on their turn.

Indeed ... This sounds like an initiation, not a rationality exercise.

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-12T15:42:48.064Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You meant this one, right?

comment by mstevens · 2012-04-12T10:26:23.933Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

In one sense, yes I agree it's a charade, but people are non-rational and often very sensitive to the form of things. To me it sounds at least worth trying.

Pondering this further, I think the biggest problem is finding a way to measure conformity even in the face of people knowing they're being tested for conformity.

Replies from: raptortech97, raptortech97
comment by raptortech97 · 2012-04-14T23:45:54.474Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Do not have the audience be part of the group being tested. Pull in confederates off the street, and tell them about the test. Do not allow subjects to see each other's testing. Let's say now that the current subject is Alex. Alex prefers vanilla ice cream to chocolate ice cream. Now go through the anti-conformity training.

After the training, hold a break (still with just Alex and the confederates). Offer ice cream in chocolate, vanilla, and, say, mango. Have most (maybe about 80%) of the confederates go for the chocolate, 10% for the vanilla, and 10% for the mango.

The mango should help to decrease the suspicion, as should having not everybody go for the chocolate. It may help to have the confederates go through the training as well, to decrease suspicion.

The problems I see with this are a) Cost. This one I'll ignore, because that is a matter of practicality. b) The subject group is not the group conforming. This will decrease the likelihood of conforming.

The problem with having the subject group be the confederates, is that then the subject group knows how the test is being done.

comment by raptortech97 · 2012-04-14T23:35:21.400Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Do not have the audience be part of the group being tested. Pull in confederates off the street, and tell them about the test. Do not allow subjects to see each other's testing. Let's say now that the current subject is Alex. Alex prefers vanilla ice cream to chocolate ice cream. Now go through the anti-conformity training.

After the training, hold a break (still with just Alex and the confederates). Offer ice cream in chocolate, vanilla, and, say, mango. Have most (maybe about 80%) of the confederates go for the chocolate, 10% for the vanilla, and 10% for the mango.

The mango should help to decrease the suspicion, as should having not everybody go for the chocolate. It may help to have the confederates go through the training as well, to decrease suspicion.

The problems I see with this are a) Cost. This one I'll ignore, because that is a matter of practicality. b) The subject group is not the group conforming. This will decrease the likelihood of conforming.

The problem with having the subject group be the confederates, is that then the subject group knows how the test is being done.

comment by Desrtopa · 2012-04-12T00:58:31.458Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Based on my own experiences being a lone dissenter, the main thing that has allowed me to stand up and maintain my position consistently in the face of uniform opposition and derision, was not expecting much of everyone else in the first place.

For example, in an introductory logic course, when the professor made a mistake, which everyone else in the class agreed with, and I was the sole person to disagree, and attempt to explain it in the face of the entire class brushing me off and laughing about how I thought I knew better when the answer was so obvious to everyone else, it didn't seem weird to me at all that every other person would make the same mistake and I would be the only one to notice it. It wasn't confusing to me, and my success in showing the professor in a couple minutes after class that she had been mistaken after all confirmed for me that my expectations were on track.

Conforming to the beliefs of the crowd is perfectly sensible behavior, in domains where you have no reason to expect yourself to be more accurate than anyone else. Learning to disregard conforming instincts completely is a bad idea, because a lot of the time, it really will be everyone else who's right, and you who's making a stupid mistake which will make you feel like an idiot when you finally realize it. Refusing to conform is both achievable and proper when you have a palpable expectation that other people are going to be stupid.

Unfortunately, it's rather easy for one's expectations of other people's intelligence and rationality to become poorly calibrated.

Replies from: Viliam_Bur, Percent_Carbon
comment by Viliam_Bur · 2012-04-12T09:43:22.178Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Having an experience of being right where everyone else is wrong, is good for breaking the fear of nonconformity.

When I was a child, I participated on a science olympiad and on one question I gave an answer that seemed trivially wrong, but in fact it was correct. (There were two objects of different size, made of same material, balanced on a lever, then both immersed in water. How will the balance chance?) Everyone thought I was wrong, and the official solution confirmed it. Then the organizers realized they made a mistake, and confirmed my solution.

Since then I knew (also on emotional level) that it is possible to be right, even if everyone else disagrees. Sometimes it is wise to keep quiet, because the social consequences of nonconformity are real, but being alone does not make one automatically wrong. It was a good lesson.

comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-12T07:08:22.357Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

On the other hand, the fact that you were comfortable being the lone dissenter while untrained in resisting conformity may indicate that your social wiring is atypical. Some people in some situations may interpret that difference as a socioemotional flaw.

Replies from: Desrtopa
comment by Desrtopa · 2012-04-12T12:35:27.294Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It might be that my own experiences won't generalize to other people, but in domains where I haven't developed an expectation that everyone else really will make mistakes that I didn't, if everyone else is saying I'm wrong, I'll tend to conclude that I'm probably wrong.

I wouldn't exactly say I was untrained though. We learn from our life experiences. I was smarter than the great majority of my peers growing up, and fairly precocious, a stage ahead through my childhood, so seeing people around me believing things that seemed head-in-sand stupid, because the things they believed were actually stupid, as the products of less developed minds, was simply the way of the world as I grew up.

The hard part, which I see reflected among many other people who grew up ahead of their peers, was developing a sense of when you really should expect other people not to be any less sensible than you are.

comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-12T00:03:34.244Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

From www.hpmor.com/notes/82/:

The Center for Modern Rationality is offering $50 prizes for any suggested rationality training exercises that look good enough to test, and $500 prizes for any suggested exercises that we actually adopt into a unit. Specific descriptions of mental skills, accompanied by the request for exercises to teach them, have been posted for the units Be Specific and Check Consequentialism. (Think of this as trying to invent the actual content of the bizarre exercises that Harry has been inflicting on the Chaos Legion since Ch. 29… oh, wait, I haven’t mentioned those in the text yet, have I?)

Replies from: mstevens
comment by mstevens · 2012-04-12T10:18:37.910Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Hmm, interesting.

I may well have read that and forgotten the Harry reference, I knew he was working on exercises.

comment by TrE · 2012-04-12T17:02:28.991Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I doubt whether it's good to do actual anti-conformity training because it might make you too non-conforming (i.e. sticking to wrong positions). Instead, maybe it'd be better to do training on how to use others' opinions as evidence, similar to calibration training. The approach of anti-conformity training sounds good, but I'd stray in some statements which are actually false, the goal here is to actually get to the right conclusions whether the rest of society is right or wrong.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T03:09:51.773Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It seems unlikely to be the sort of field where people will overcorrect - the causes of conformity(both psychologically and sociologically) are immense, and a bit of training will not overbalance the scales.

comment by FAWS · 2012-04-11T08:35:13.459Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Harry nodded. " At least nobody's going to try hexing you, not after what the Headmaster said at dinner tonight. Oh, and Ron Weasley came up to me, looking very serious, and told me that if I saw you first, I should tell you that he's sorry for having thought badly of you, and he'll never speak ill of you again."

"Ron believes I'm innocent?" said Hermione.

"Well... he doesn't think you're innocent, per se..."

Ron approves of trying to murder Draco Malfoy?

Replies from: thomblake, trlkly, Bugmaster, cultureulterior, MarkusRamikin, Lachann
comment by thomblake · 2012-04-11T14:59:35.424Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Ron approves of trying to murder Draco Malfoy?

I'm pretty sure even canon Ron would at least say he approves of killing Draco.

Replies from: taelor
comment by taelor · 2012-04-12T03:57:28.238Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

If I recall correctly, canon!Ron has admitted to fantasizing about murdering Draco on several occasions. The one that comes most readily to mind was in book 4, when they were discussing Durmstrang's location in the far north, and Ron comments wistfully about how easy it would be to push Draco off a glacier and make it look like an accident.

comment by trlkly · 2012-04-24T07:47:12.070Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

He does hate him very much, remember.

And your idea makes a lot more sense than min: Ron alone was smart enough to be scared of Hermione-the-murderer that he wanted to get on her good side.

comment by Bugmaster · 2012-04-24T08:10:06.861Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Either that, or he's just in love with Hermione, and wants to support her in any way he can.

comment by cultureulterior · 2012-04-11T10:36:22.444Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Hat and Cloak might have tried the algorithm on Ron first.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-11T12:43:30.759Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Ron was not a target of interest. Hat and Cloak wanted both Hermione and Draco out of the picture.

comment by MarkusRamikin · 2012-04-11T09:08:50.616Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

That's what I thought at first, but that explanation still leaves me confused. Canon!Ron was a good guy, more or less, I can't see EY flattening the character into a mere Malfoy-hater.

I'm sure the anti-Malfoy sentiment helped, but additionally he probably believes one of those poor explanations of what "really happened".

Replies from: knb, DavidAgain, Paulovsk
comment by knb · 2012-04-11T10:00:00.102Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I took it as Ron approving of killing Malfoys. That doesn't seem unreasonable considering their families were on opposite sides of an extremely bloody war within recent memory.

Replies from: Eliezer_Yudkowsky
comment by DavidAgain · 2012-04-11T10:11:13.036Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I'm not sure canon Ron was good in the sense of regarding slytherins as people. Harry potter has a rather jolly tendency to rank getting people into detention on a simular scale to getting thwm savaged by a hippogriff, particularly in the early books.

Replies from: Velorien, wedrifid
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-11T13:52:00.778Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I recall that when Harry discovers curses of unknown effect in the Half-Blood Prince's book, the first thing he does is go and try them out on Slytherins to see what they do. In fact, Eliezer references this.

Replies from: DavidAgain, kilobug
comment by DavidAgain · 2012-04-11T19:13:55.331Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yup. One of several stabs at canon!Harry. And Ron is probably even more extremist anti-Malfoy than Harry. Trying to remember what he says at the point when they end up having to try to save Malfoy, Crabbe and Goyle in the Deathly Hallows.

Replies from: Normal_Anomaly
comment by Normal_Anomaly · 2012-04-11T21:29:51.117Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

If memory serves, it was, "If we die for them, I'll kill you, Harry!" Said while fleeing fiendfyre on broomsticks.

comment by kilobug · 2012-04-11T19:13:53.952Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Not exactly like that. It only happens once (not a plural "curses", "Slytherins", ... as you said), against Draco, and it's not Harry cold-bloodly going to try it on Draco, but he does it under anger in a time at which Draco provokes Harry. That was a very unethical and stupid move of Harry, but it was a burst of uncontrolled anger that happened once, not a cold-blood tendency to do it.

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-11T20:30:12.577Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Actually, he also tests a toenail-growing curse on either Crabbe or Goyle, and at least one other on a different Slytherin.

Replies from: thomblake, kilobug
comment by thomblake · 2012-04-11T20:53:24.811Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It was on Crabbe, and I believe the only other experiment was Harry accidentally casting Levicorpus on Ron in the bedroom.

comment by kilobug · 2012-04-12T16:20:18.843Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

He did cast curses on other Slytherin during various fights, but I don't think any of those was a test.

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-12T16:40:03.008Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Harry had already attempted a few of the Prince's self-invented spells. There had been a hex that caused toenails to grow alarmingly fast (he had tried this on Crabbe in the corridor, with very entertaining results); a jinx that glued the tongue to the roof of the mouth (which he had twice used, to general applause, on an unsuspecting Argus Filch); and, perhaps most useful of all, Muffliato, a spell that filled the ears of anyone nearby with an unidentifiable buzzing, so that lengthy conversations could be held in class with out being overheard.

Replies from: Eliezer_Yudkowsky
comment by Eliezer Yudkowsky (Eliezer_Yudkowsky) · 2012-04-14T08:48:27.745Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

And people go around complaining about HJPEV being a bastard.

Replies from: Eugine_Nier, Percent_Carbon
comment by Eugine_Nier · 2012-04-14T20:32:45.114Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The difference being that in cannon Harry acts and thinks his age and thus acts immature. In MoR Harry mostly thinks like an adult except he still acts immature.

comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-14T09:23:17.314Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

And people go around complaining about HPJEV being a bastard.

Why do people use this?

Also, why Harry Potter James Evans Veras?

Replies from: pedanterrific, loserthree, pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-14T10:01:42.771Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Wait. Wait just one minute.

Can Eliezer edit his posts without leaving an asterisk?

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-14T10:25:37.071Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Wait. Wait just one minute.

Can Eliezer edit his posts without leaving an asterisk?

Yes. Yes he can. Must be an administrator thing.

I expect he could edit mine, too, if he wanted.

Replies from: wedrifid
comment by wedrifid · 2012-04-14T12:25:41.248Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Wait. Wait just one minute.

Can Eliezer edit his posts without leaving an asterisk?

Yes. Yes he can. Must be an administrator thing.

Do you mean he both can and has done so at least once in the past? That is in poor taste if he has. (And I think I recall the comment in question having the wrong name order the first time I read it.)

Note to self (and others): Assume all Eliezer comments have an asterisk.

(If it is the case that Eliezer can't leave an asterisk even if he chooses to then the fault is of course not his and it should be filed as a bug and change request.)

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-14T12:50:40.089Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Wait. Wait just one minute.

Can Eliezer edit his posts without leaving an asterisk?

Yes. Yes he can. Must be an administrator thing.

Do you mean he both can and has done so at least once in the past?

Yes. I am positive that I pasted that line and did not rearrange it.

Note to self (and others): Assume all Eliezer comments have an asterisk.

Either he or someone he strongly influences has administrator access to the site and can change any comment at any time. You either have to trust him or assume that all comments have an asterisk.

Is there supposed to be something especially secure about this place?

Replies from: wedrifid
comment by wedrifid · 2012-04-14T13:08:34.699Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Either he or someone he strongly influences has administrator access to the site and can change any comment at any time. You either have to trust him or assume that all comments have an asterisk.

No, I don't - there is no such dichotomy. I really could (and do) expect Eliezer to not edit other people's comments without it being apparent to anyone but at the same time to edit his own comments without leaving an asterisk - because he just did. So instead of taking a small amount of information from the convenience of an asterisk on a given comment I take zero information.

Is there supposed to be something especially secure about this place?

No. If I really (really) wanted to I could hack it myself I expect. I already live in Melbourne (where the Trike developers who work on lesswrong reside). Even discounting my actual computer security knowledge all I'd need is a gun and a ninja outfit. But the expected cost/expected benefit ratio suggests I'm not likely to do that. I similarly don't expect Eliezer to go around editing other people's comments behind our backs. Not because he couldn't if he really wanted to - just because it doesn't seem likely that he'd bother. (He has done so at least once - changed a post title while he was promoting it. He did it without thinking and with good intentions but realized later that it was a total brain fart. A lapse into naivety, not a corruption of power.)

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-14T13:36:42.948Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

No, I don't - there is no such dichotomy.

Right, sorry. You either have to trust him to some degree or assume that any content may be compromised.

I don't understand all the interest in this. Is there a section of the site where unedited comments carry special weight?

Replies from: wedrifid
comment by wedrifid · 2012-04-14T13:40:02.327Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I don't understand all the interest in this. Is there a section of the site where unedited comments carry special weight?

I saw your comment in the recent comments page and thought the technical question was mildly curious. It's more fun than arguing with people who spam "You're a cult, I'm right!" or "Science doesn't make any sense unless I say it does!" which were the only other things that were going on at the time.

comment by loserthree · 2012-04-14T17:11:00.523Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I started using it because I believed the protagonist is not just an alternate Harry Potter but a truly different person.

(I don't believe that quite as strongly, anymore.)

comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-14T09:35:00.631Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's shorter than "MoR!Harry".

Replies from: Random832
comment by Random832 · 2012-04-14T09:52:59.184Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

But harder to spell. HPJEV.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-14T09:55:39.679Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yes, and it's Verres, not Veras. What's your point?

I noticed that, I was just answering a different question.

Replies from: Random832
comment by Random832 · 2012-04-14T09:57:30.138Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Well, if I were comparing it to spelling out the whole name, you'd be right. But I was comparing it to "MoR!Harry". EDIT: Which makes my response relevant to yours.

comment by wedrifid · 2012-04-14T13:26:59.768Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I'm not sure canon Ron was good

Couldn't agree more.

comment by Paulovsk · 2012-04-11T10:09:19.098Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

And it is likely that he likes her, just as in canon.

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-11T13:49:45.808Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Canon!Ron had a lot of time and personal interaction in which to grow to like Hermione. MoR!Ron is in a different house, and much of his interaction with her is informed by her close friendship with Harry, whom he considers Evil. And according to Ron, being friends with Evil is extremely damning in and of itself.

Replies from: Vaniver
comment by Vaniver · 2012-04-12T03:01:55.801Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Also, Canon!Ron and Canon!Harry both thought Hermione was a twat until the troll incident.

comment by Lachann · 2012-04-11T12:07:25.164Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Maybe he's afraid she'll come after him next.

comment by FAWS · 2012-04-11T03:47:33.392Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Why wasn't one of the first things Harry did when returning from the trial exposing Hermione to the light of the True Patronus while she was still unconscious (it looks like it didn't happen at least)? He already knows it restores recent Dementor damage, has a plausible reason to know in that he experienced it himself under Dumbledore's eyes and could have told Dumbledore to secure his cooperation. Is his anger at Dumbledore getting in the way?

Replies from: Eliezer_Yudkowsky, buybuydandavis
comment by Eliezer Yudkowsky (Eliezer_Yudkowsky) · 2012-04-11T03:52:15.162Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Since I don't anticipate getting a chance to point it out inside the fic itself, and the hint is unreasonably subtle:

When Hermione woke the third time (though it felt like she'd only closed her eyes for a moment) the Sun was even lower in the sky, almost fully set. She felt a little more alive and, strangely, even more exhausted. This time it was Professor Flitwick who was standing next to her bed and shaking her shoulder, a tray of steaming food floating next to him. For some reason she'd thought Harry Potter ought to be leaning over her bedside, but he wasn't there. Had she dreamed that? She couldn't remember dreaming.

Harry didn't think of it instantly, but given a little time...

Replies from: Merdinus, MixedNuts, purpleposeidon
comment by Merdinus · 2012-04-12T03:04:01.781Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Possibly a rubbish first post, but this highlight draws attention to something rather misleading: she was more exhausted? Reading that originally rang bells in my head at the same pitch as Hermione being memory-charmed. Then, I played with the idea that Harry taught her the True Patronus then obliviated her, for all of two seconds. Mind circles.

comment by MixedNuts · 2012-04-20T14:57:45.395Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Seeing this before the parent, I thought you meant kissing, which worked on Harry when he was demented, and references fairy tales.

comment by purpleposeidon · 2012-04-11T07:11:31.040Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Disclaimer: Terrible omake ahead.

She felt a little more alive and, strangely, even more exhausted.

Isn't Hermione a little young for that? And how could she manage to obliviate Harry's patronus afterwards?

Replies from: Anubhav
comment by Anubhav · 2012-04-11T11:47:54.704Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Why on earth is this in the negative? We downvote bad jokes now?

Replies from: ArisKatsaris
comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-11T12:01:01.393Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

We downvote bad jokes now?

As one of the downvoters, haven't we always downvoted bad jokes?

This was a bad joke, not in the sense of inappropriateness (a similar but better joke at http://lesswrong.com/lw/ams/harry_potter_and_the_methods_of_rationality/61ew was heavily upvoted), but in the sense of being strained, weak, and largely unfunny.

Replies from: pedanterrific, Anubhav
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-11T23:52:14.121Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Thank you, by the way.

comment by Anubhav · 2012-04-11T12:18:25.148Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

As one of the downvoters, haven't we always downvoted bad jokes?

Somehow I haven't seen that happen in the ~3 months I've been here.

I'll take your word for it, though.

Replies from: thomblake, faul_sname
comment by thomblake · 2012-04-11T13:38:27.809Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I've been here since the beginning, and yes, good jokes get upvoted, bad jokes get downvoted. 'good' and 'bad' are of course highly subjective.

comment by faul_sname · 2012-04-11T23:58:07.347Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Things with negative karma get downvoted even more. You hadn't noticed?

Edit: perhaps not. It actually took longer to go from -2 to -3 than 0 to -2. I think we need more data points.

comment by buybuydandavis · 2012-04-11T06:29:10.324Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

And I hope the next thing he does is to teach her how to cast the True Patronus.

Replies from: MarkusRamikin
comment by MarkusRamikin · 2012-04-11T08:05:12.755Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

How confident are we that it's even teachable?

Perhaps the thing she should be taught is Occlumency, for both her own sake and so that she can keep secrets. Though I'm not sure that would be possible at her age and with her disposition...

Replies from: buybuydandavis
comment by buybuydandavis · 2012-04-11T21:01:32.970Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Harry's sure.

“Hah,” said the boy; his smile seemed realer now, warmer. “She’s having trouble for exactly the same reason I did. There’s enough light in her to destroy Dementors, I’m sure. She wouldn’t be able to stop herself from destroying Dementors, even at the cost of her own life...”

EDIT: I think he also believed he could teach Malfoy.

Replies from: MarkusRamikin
comment by MarkusRamikin · 2012-04-11T21:25:35.270Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Oh I know he thinks she has the potential and I'm in no doubt myself either.

My point is it doesn't necessarily mean it can be transmitted; how come Godric never trained a whole cadre of True Patronus users? Perhaps everyone needs to figure it out themselves, like Harry (and presumably Godric) did.

Replies from: Alsadius, tadrinth, buybuydandavis
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-12T22:31:28.136Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I see no reason to believe that Godric could cast the True Patronus. Even if he knew enough to ruin his ability to cast the traditional one(and knowing that it was literally hiding from death would likely be enough to make him disdain it), that doesn't mean that he could take the necessary leap to using the True Patronus.

comment by tadrinth · 2012-04-12T00:08:27.582Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Wizarding society likes to let people figure out the dangerous secrets for themselves. You don't tell people the dangerous secrets until they have proven themselves on the easier ones, you don't tell people the secret of potion invention because they might get turned into cats, etc.

Of course, Harry can violate that as he pleases if it is just a social convention, and Harry's guesses at principles seem\ to hold up far better than it seems like it should.

comment by buybuydandavis · 2012-04-12T08:14:18.752Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

How do we know that Godric could do it? I recall Harry musing on Godric and Rowena knowing that Dementors were Death (pg 742, pdf) - but would that automatically imply that they could also cast the True Patronus?

Harry can because he rejects Death as part of the natural order. Is there any evidence that they did? I don't remember any evidence that anyone but Harry has ever done it.

Replies from: MarkusRamikin
comment by MarkusRamikin · 2012-04-12T08:18:54.676Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Harry opened his mouth, and then, as realization hit him, rapidly snapped his mouth shut again. Godric hadn't told anyone, nor had Rowena if she'd known; there might have been any number of wizards who'd figured it out and kept their mouths shut. You couldn't forget if you knew that was what you were trying to do; once you realized how it worked, the animal form of the Patronus Charm would never work for you again - and most wizards didn't have the right upbringing to turn on Dementors and destroy them -

I read this as meaning that Harry believes Godric could do it. Maybe I'm assuming too much, though, because I really like that idea.

Replies from: buybuydandavis
comment by buybuydandavis · 2012-04-12T09:09:17.556Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I think he's just describing what happens when you tell people Dementor's are Death. He considered that a tactic in the WIzengamut to prevent them from being able to cast a patronus, and gives no thought to the possibility that knowing that would enable them to cast the True Patronus.

Replies from: MarkusRamikin, oliverbeatson
comment by MarkusRamikin · 2012-04-12T09:12:59.428Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yeah, makes sense. There goes that theory of mine...

(Hm. This "changing your mind" business is strangely unpleasant.)

Replies from: loup-vaillant
comment by loup-vaillant · 2012-04-12T14:10:12.161Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I wouldn't be surprised if changing one's mind requires the same kind of mental effort required to change habits. Spending willpower is not very pleasant.

comment by oliverbeatson · 2012-04-12T12:53:14.797Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I thought that was odd: that they would actually have to understand, and not just be told that Dementors are death. Like in the same way that under-confidence in your ability to perform a physical action actually undermines your ability to do it, which should be relatable if you've ever tried to back-flip on a trampoline or forced yourself to perform an action in spite of an anticipation of pain or great displeasure -- but so long as you expect being able to do it, you can still do it. But if someone just said 'Dementors are death', you'd cast your animal patronus just fine so long as you didn't grok it. Which made me suspicious of Harry's possible tactic in the Wizengamot.

Replies from: buybuydandavis, loup-vaillant
comment by buybuydandavis · 2012-04-12T16:35:43.076Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I think the problem is the lack of a Happy Thought to confront Death. Harry has one - his absolute rejection of Death as the natural order, and his belief that we shall overcome some day.

As long as you still believe that death is inevitable, that everyone will die - there is nothing happy about that to comfort you.

I believe that Harry internally discusses this point.

comment by loup-vaillant · 2012-04-12T14:16:43.132Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

If you tell them the whole riddle ("what is most scary, unkillable etc"), then give the answer, I'd say there's a good chance that it would cast enough doubt for the animal patronuses to fail, at least temporarily. Also, Harry could improve his credibility by casting his human patronus.

Replies from: oliverbeatson
comment by oliverbeatson · 2012-04-12T14:30:21.509Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

True, especially on the last point. It still feels like there's a large philosophical knowledge-set to convey before their Patronus fails reliably for the right reason. I see what you mean though. Maybe the habit (mental) necessarily built into the Patronus charm would be harder to override more than temporarily due to the strength in habit, or at least without genuinely shifting how that person conceptualises all the relevant stuff.

comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-11T04:12:08.338Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

This chapter significantly increased my probability estimate that Quirrell was entirely behind the plot to > 90%. Also, the humming torture was awesome, but not helping his case.

Also, who the hell was Bones' story referring to? That whole section heavily confused me.

Replies from: Bugmaster, NihilCredo, Randaly, Will_Newsome
comment by Bugmaster · 2012-04-11T05:13:53.830Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The humming torture sounds similar to Vetinari's clock, only taken to the next level. I liked it too.

EDIT: Now that I think about it, the memetic attack is also similar to "The Book" in Anathem, though the delivery vector is different.

Replies from: NancyLebovitz
comment by NancyLebovitz · 2012-04-11T06:48:30.972Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I tried looking up Vetinari's clock, but I only found a bunch of people building them. Which book is it from?

Replies from: JacekLach
comment by JacekLach · 2012-04-11T09:30:50.032Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's from Terry Pratchett's Discworld series. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Havelock_Vetinari

Lord Vetinari also has a strange clock in his waiting-room. While it does keep completely accurate time overall, it sometimes ticks and tocks out of sync (example: "tick, tock... ticktocktick, tock...") and occasionally misses a tick or tock altogether, which has the net effect of turning one's brain "into a sort of porridge". (Feet of Clay, Going Postal).

Replies from: NancyLebovitz
comment by NancyLebovitz · 2012-04-11T10:39:22.160Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Thank you.

I wonder how hard it would have been to build such a clock at Discworld's tech level. It might require magic.

Replies from: Bugmaster
comment by Bugmaster · 2012-04-11T16:55:47.328Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Fortunately, magic is widely available. That said, it should be possible to build such a clock using perfectly mundane means; after all, Discworld denizens do have perfectly ordinary mechanical clocks, AFAIK.

Replies from: NancyLebovitz
comment by NancyLebovitz · 2012-04-11T17:20:09.066Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It would have to have its own tick completely muffled while just producing the fake tick. Perhaps the accurate time is produced by a clock on the other side of the wall.

Replies from: Bugmaster
comment by Bugmaster · 2012-04-11T18:57:02.585Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Assuming, of course, that the clock does keep accurate time :-)

Replies from: NancyLebovitz
comment by NancyLebovitz · 2012-04-11T22:07:54.637Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

While it does keep completely accurate time overall

Pratchett quote a few posts upstream.

comment by NihilCredo · 2012-04-11T04:30:27.660Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Same. The part about disappearing in Albania is from canon-Quirrell's backstory - that's where he ran into Voldemort's wandering ghost, so it's interesting that in MoR he supposedly went there before the war. The rest of the background recounted by Bones and by Quirrell himself don't really ring a bell with me, the closest thing I can think of is him needing "reconciliation" with the Lady of the House being reminiscent of Sirius Black and his spat with his family, but Sirius already exists in MoR and had a different history.

It might be possible that in MoR the house of Gaunt (the one canon!Voldemort is from) did not fall into poverty and retained their household and Wizengamot influence? If the general 'powering up' of characters can go that far back it would be plausible. And now that I think of it, Quirrell initiated talk about witch-on-Muggle magical seduction during the SPHEW arc, which could suggest that that part of his family background was carried over from canon.

(One of the things that annoy me about HPMoR is that when I can't quickly figure out what a certain passage might be hinting to, I have to assign a frustratingly high probability to the event that it's simply a reference/homage/in-joke to one of the myriad HP fanfictions.)

Replies from: None
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-11T04:57:23.799Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

My concern is largely that Bones seems to be hinting that Quirrelmort is someone else, who was believed to be dead, someone who was thought to be a powerful enemy of Voldemort who went missing, which meshes with his spiel to Hermione. Presumably the person Bones thinks he is isn't Quirrel, since he's publicly known to be that person. Who on Earth is she referring to?

Replies from: FAWS, Alsadius, pedanterrific
comment by FAWS · 2012-04-11T05:08:55.389Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Thomas Marvolo Gaunt-Riddle, hero of wizarding Britain? Though since Dumbledore knows that Tom Riddle is Voldemort that seems like quite the narrow escape; his game would be up if Bones and Dumbledore talked openly to each other.

Replies from: Anubhav, FAWS
comment by Anubhav · 2012-04-11T11:36:04.122Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I didn't foresee this being a plausible interpretation, and have just now edited the birthdate to 1927 to avoid further confusion. It was intended as a bit of an, "Oh no, is she about to identify Voldemort?" moment, to be contradicted soon after by the Gaunts not exactly being on the Wizengamot or having a patroness grandmother. But as it's plausible-to-the-reader that the Gaunts are different in this fic, I feel like I need to do something to cut down plausible misunderstandings I didn't foresee. (I've also edited Ch. 53, fyi.)

Eliezer S. Yudkowsky

comment by FAWS · 2012-04-11T07:10:43.686Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Wait, that doesn't work, for Voldemort being a known parselmouth to allow Hagrid a retrial after discovering the charm on the Sorting Hat Tom Riddle and Voldemort have to be known to be the same person.

EDIT: Eliezer jossed heroic Riddle in the mean time anyway.

comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-12T23:26:51.512Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Remember, his spiel to Hermione happened after Bones fingered him as the dead hero. It's possible that he decided to just jump into the persona with both feet.

comment by Randaly · 2012-04-11T16:16:37.586Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I don't attach very high probability to this, but: Yermy Wibble? (The guy who proposed a magical draft and was killed for it.)

ETA: To clarify, the reason I think it's a bit improbable is that the mysterious guy's family was dead when he returned, whereas Yermy's family was killed at the same time he was.

Double edit: Forgot that Wibble was first introduced in Chapter 3, in a way that made it clear he's not this guy. This is clearly wrong, forget it.

Replies from: GeorgieChaos, pedanterrific
comment by GeorgieChaos · 2012-04-12T03:12:02.125Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

No. Madam Bones said that the man she suspects Quirrell of being just disappeared (and, indeed, was the last of his family before he did so). Granted we don't know where most of Wibble went, but 1) he had a family, and they were peeled as well, and 2) I don't think having your skin found flapping loose in your office counts as a mysterious disappearance.

comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-11T23:43:46.539Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

A bit improbable? Another difference would be that Wibble was killed, rather than disappeared.

comment by Will_Newsome · 2012-04-11T04:23:21.231Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Riddle.

comment by LKtheGreat · 2012-04-16T16:21:02.349Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

How many instances can y'all remember where Eliezer has repeated himself in an oddly specific way?

  • Chapter 17, when Harry picks up Neville's Remembrall: "The Remembrall was glowing bright red in his hand, blazing like a miniature sun that cast shadows on the ground in broad daylight."

  • Chapter 43, when Harry has a Dementor-induced flashback of the night... something happened in Godric's Hollow: "And the boy in the crib saw it, the eyes, those two crimson eyes, seeming to glow bright red, to blaze like miniature suns, filling Harry's whole vision as they locked to his own -"

That really sets off my deliberate-hint senses - so much is repeated that it's got to be intentional. (My apologies if this was already discussed to death in the considerable time since #43 was posted.)

Likewise the basilisk, which I know was discussed at some point:

  • Chapter 35, H&C speaking: "Salazar Slytherin would have keyed his monster into the ancient wards at a higher level than the Headmaster himself."

  • Chapter 49, the Defense Professor speaking: "or by some entity which Salazar Slytherin keyed into his wards at a higher level than the Headmaster himself."

I'm sure I could find more if I put my mind to it, but that's all I've got for now.

Replies from: Benquo
comment by Benquo · 2012-04-16T18:13:24.971Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I have no idea how to interpret the first clue. Are Voldemort's eyes Remembralls?

Replies from: LKtheGreat
comment by LKtheGreat · 2012-04-16T18:23:47.772Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

My interpretation was that we're meant to connect the two incidents and conclude that Harry's (seemingly numerous) forgotten memories are something to do with Voldemort, whether specifically memories of that night or something wider.

Replies from: bogdanb, ArisKatsaris
comment by bogdanb · 2012-04-16T21:59:05.465Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Well, the fact that he remembered the night of Voldemort’s attack (I have 80%+ confidence it was a real memory, though I’m not sure of what), it’s clear that there was at least one thing that he had forgotten at the time he held the Remembrall. I hadn’t made the connection until now. Previously I thought the crimson eyes were a hint pointing to Moaning Myrtle’s recounting of her encounter with the basilisk. Now I wonder if it’s just a coincidence because the “blazing sun” simile works well for a bright Remembrall, or if Eliezer is giving us a three-way hint. A basilisk being present at Godric’s Hollow had a lot of awesomeness potential, but it does seem like the less likely hypothesis.

On the other hand, pretty much everyone has forgotten most of their infancy—presumably, Dementors don’t bring such memories back because they’re almost never as traumatic as Harry’s—and Remembralls don’t start glowing like mad in everybody’s hands, so something is still missing there.

Replies from: gwern, Normal_Anomaly
comment by gwern · 2012-04-16T22:26:07.975Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

On the other hand, pretty much everyone has forgotten most of their infancy—presumably, Dementors don’t bring such memories back because they’re almost never as traumatic as Harry’s—and Remembralls don’t start glowing like mad in everybody’s hands, so something is still missing there.

Much more than infancy - apparently everything before 10 is suspect, and everything before 4 especially so according to Wikipedia on childhood amnesia.

comment by Normal_Anomaly · 2012-04-17T12:36:18.817Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Previously I thought the crimson eyes were a hint pointing to Moaning Myrtle’s recounting of her encounter with the basilisk.

The basilisk has yellow eyes in the movies, and probably in book-canon as well. Are they explicitly stated to be red in MOR?

Replies from: thomblake, bogdanb
comment by thomblake · 2012-04-17T13:06:09.354Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The basilisk has yellow eyes in the movies, and probably in book-canon as well.

Yes.

Are they explicitly stated to be red in MOR?

The basilisk hasn't been mentioned by name in MOR, aside from Moody suggesting it as a poison. Slytherin's Monster was mentioned as possibly-not-real in Chapter 49, but without physical description. So no, there's no reason to think it has red eyes.

comment by bogdanb · 2012-04-20T06:08:34.015Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yes, you’re right. Turns out my memory over-dramatized a bit Myrtle’s words. She said only “I just remember seeing a pair of great, big, yellow eyes.” For some reason I thought she had also said something like “blazing suns”.

comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-16T23:46:52.108Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

After the escape from Azkaban, I thought that the most likely thing for the Remembrall to have been referring to, must have been the Newtonian physics that Harry was mentioned to have forgotten about in regards to broomstick flying -- but am not quite sure that makes sense anymore. At the time the Remembrall lit up, Harry hadn't spent any time steering/accelerating the broomstick, and had barely seen anyone else fly at all.

Replies from: thomblake
comment by thomblake · 2012-04-17T12:22:33.665Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I prefer "Time turners are supposed to be a secret, don't flaunt it".

Replies from: chaosmosis
comment by chaosmosis · 2012-04-17T23:40:27.197Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

That was my interpretation also.

comment by NihilCredo · 2012-04-11T17:54:40.172Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Incidentally, are there no Author's Notes for chapter 84?

comment by thomblake · 2012-04-11T15:16:36.910Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

An interpretation of the revelations of Chapter 84 that is almost surely wrong, but was first to rise to my attention:

Quirrell's description of the War to Hermione was an honest description of the conflict between Voldemort and Dumbledore from Voldemort's point of view. Voldemort, like Draco's father and his friends, thought Dumbledore was an evil wizard who needed to be stopped at all cost. But even as people shored up support for Dumbledore, they reviled Voldemort.

And Dumbledore has realized he was the bad guy. When he says:

There is evil in this world which knows itself for evil, and hates the good with all its strength. All fair things does it desire to destroy.

he's referring to the darkness he saw in himself, when he began to "resent Harry's innocence", and looking back on the way he's lived his life.

As I said, this interpretation is almost certainly not true; Amelia was clearly talking about someone the public would think of as a hero, so didn't mean Voldemort (and it's not supposed to be Tom Riddle's story).

Replies from: thescoundrel
comment by thescoundrel · 2012-04-11T15:31:15.178Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Just for fun, consider this: Quirrelmort is more likely to be able to produce a true patronus than Dumbledore, as Quirrelmort understands that death should be avoided. Patronus 2.0 as the power the Dark Lord Knows not?

Replies from: thomblake
comment by thomblake · 2012-04-11T15:38:27.650Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Obviously all the good guys are anti-death and bad guys are pro-death.

Replies from: thescoundrel
comment by thescoundrel · 2012-04-11T15:41:03.909Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

“People aren't either wicked or noble. They're like chef's salads, with good things and bad things chopped and mixed together in a vinaigrette of confusion and conflict.” -- The Grim Grotto

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-11T17:29:05.202Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I suspect Voldemort is less likely to produce a true Patronus. The Patronus 2.0 comes from facing death and rejecting it. Voldemort certainly rejects death, but it doesn't seem like he's faced it the way Harry has.

Voldemort: "This 'death' thing is horrible, get it away from me! I'll tear apart my very soul if that's what it takes to escape death!"

Harry: "You dare threaten me and the people I feel responsible for, you pitiful little leftover of the evolutionary process? I will end you if it's the last thing I do."

Admittedly, this is based more on a canon portrayal of Voldemort, since MoR!Voldemort's views on the subject have yet to be made explicit (and he seems altogether more emotionally healthy than the canon version).

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-12T00:34:53.869Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I thought this bit was interesting:

And felt a distant, hollow echo of emptiness radiating from where Death waited, washing over Harry's mind and parting around it, like a wave breaking on stone. Harry knew his enemy this time, and his will was steel and all of the light.

"I can already feel the Dementors," said the gravelly voice of the Polyjuiced Quirrell. "I did not expect that, not this soon."

"Think of the stars," Harry said, over a distant rumble of thunder. "Don't allow any anger in you, nothing negative, just think of the stars, what it feels like to forget yourself and fall bodilessly through space. Hold to that thought like an Occlumency barrier across your entire mind. The Dementors will have some trouble reaching past that."

There was silence for a moment, then, "Interesting."

Replies from: thomblake
comment by thomblake · 2012-04-13T14:51:22.872Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Scary. I wonder if that's him actually figuring out the trick.

comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-16T08:26:18.187Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I'm wondering if EY is going to come through on this whole "Dumbledore is the Dark Lord and Quirrelmort was in the right all along" approach that he has hinted at recently. There's a precedent here which raises my probability estimate of this slightly, [rot13 for spoilers from another EY story] va uvf fgbel "Gur Fjbeq bs Tbbq" gur gjvfg jnf gung gur ureb'f pubvpr orgjrra tbbq naq rivy jnfa'g n pubvpr bs juvpu bar gb sbyybj (gung jbhyq or boivbhf, pyrneyl) vg jnf gur zhpu uneqre pubvpr bs juvpu jnf juvpu. Gur "tbbq thlf" ghearq bhg gb or rivy naq gur "onq thlf" ghearq bhg gb or tbbq.

So from recent chapters it seems like we're supposed to at least be considering the possibility of that Quirrelmort has been playing some colossal super-villain gambit this whole time in order to set up the rise of Light Lord Harry and defeat death once and for all, and that the Dark Lord prophesied to oppose all this is Dumbledore, who has marked Harry for his equal by nominating him as the future leader of the people he mistakenly believes to be The Good Guys and who wants us all to embrace death when it comes.

This concerns me a little bit, not because I don't like the idea of Voldemort being secretly good but because it would be tragic for Dumbledore to turn out to be so evil. Don't get me wrong, Dumbledore is greatly mistaken on many points but on the surface it doesn't seem fair to call him a Dark Lord. His intentions seem to be better than almost every other person in the wizarding world, and it seems a bit rich to brand him with that label just because he opposed someone who was doing a very good job of pretending to be EVIL with a capital everything.

This, of course, is WORSE because it means that EY won't do it like that - if Quirrel turns out to be good it will mean that Dumbledore has known the Voldemort gambit was a ploy all along, and has been actively opposing Quirrel's attempt to reform the world because he doesn't think the end justifies the means. And now he's been broken further and further, forced to do more and more horrible things and turned into a monster just because he didn't want monstrous things to happen! I just can't help but think that it would have been better for Quirrel to sit down and talk this all out with Dumbles, but even if for some reason he couldn't, I dunno if it's fair to Dumbles to call him a Dark Lord since he was trying hard but got it wrong.

Of course there's always the possibility that Dumbledore doesn't care about the means and is just opposed to Quirrel because Quirrel wants to kill death. That would make Dumbledore more evil but be less tragic. It also seems a bit less believable that Dumbledore could be so smart but so intractable in his wrongness on this one point, though.

What do you guys think?

Replies from: Jonathan_Elmer, None, chaosmosis, Xachariah
comment by Jonathan_Elmer · 2012-04-18T00:42:36.240Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I don't think the guy who doesn't think twice about torturing or murdering anyone who slights him will turn out to be in the right all along.

comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-16T13:46:37.891Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

That the only death Tom is opposed to is his own.

comment by chaosmosis · 2012-04-17T13:41:22.841Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

My viewpoint is essentially opposite yours, lolz.

I don't really think it's probable that Dumbledore will become the next Dark Lord. The only thing that has happened so far to suggest this is the one line by Dumbledore in Chapter 84 (there might be other evidence but it would help if you would explicitly point it out). And I suppose there's an argument to be made that Voldemort couldn't have "marked Harry as an equal" since Harry was a baby who Voldemort expected to easily kill (which is why Voldemort didn't bring reinforcements). And there's probably some people on here who think Narcissa was burned alive (but I am almost certain that Dumbledore faked her death and that she is living in a secret OOTP base somewhere).

But I think the counter evidence is stronger. It's too late in the story to suddenly change the villain, and Dumbledore probably wouldn't have the opportunity or motive to cause mass death. Those points seem simpler and like stronger arguments than the above. Consider that, in canon, Voldemort attacking a baby was apparently enough to mark Harry as an equal. Also consider that Dumbledore was completely hysterical when he mentioned the possibility that he would become the next Dark Lord.

It would help if we actually knew what some of the unheard prophecies say. Maybe Dumbledore was misinterpreting one of them, and he doesn't have to be a Dark Lord at all, but Harry would still fight him. That's not a great solution and it's actually less probable than anything above, but it does represent a kind of middle ground based on details and possibilities not yet made known to us.

And, I actually like the idea of Dumbledore being a Dark Lord who was corrupted by his power. I really don't think it would be sad, because I'm not attached to canon Dumbledore very much. I actually don't really care about any of the Canon!Harry Potter main characters, I just realized that. I only care about the minor characters, and thus far HPMOR has only improved those characters.

Dumbledore as Dark Lord just would be really cool. Maybe the rule of cool will outweigh my above probability based assessments, and he'll end up being a Dark Lord. I hope so, at least, unless EY figures out something even cooler to do.

Replies from: None, Strange7
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-17T16:29:38.913Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

As far as evidence in the form of plot hints, I'll have to go do a proper search when I'm not about to go to bed, but in the mean time... IMHumbleO, there's a strong case that Quirrel could be trying a supervillain gambit in order to make the world a better place. We know that there's a Dark Lord >somewhere<, and if it's not Quirrelmort then I think it can only be Dumbledore. Of course there is a whole spectrum of possibility here - maybe Quirrel is supervillain gambitting but is STILL the Dark Lord, maybe he isn't but Dumbles is the Dark Lord anyway, &c, &c. Also relevant is the fact that Dumbledore seems to have access to the Philosopher's stone but is not using it to save lives. I don't understand why that is, and as a result it feels like there's some major aspect of the Dumbledore-Voldemort dynamic that we're in the dark about.

Anyway, without going through and marshaling all the evidence I'm not prepared to make a bet either way on how it's all going to pan out. I do think the Dark Lord Dumbledore scenario is one that would have to be weighed in order to make such a bet, though, which is why I brought it up for discussion. I agree that that sort of ending could be done cool-ly. Whatever happens, I have a baaaaad feeling that Harry is going to find out that the world is a very, very ugly place pretty soon and I hope he comes through that without being irredeemably darkened.

comment by Strange7 · 2012-06-23T22:26:44.922Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

(there might be other evidence but it would help if you would explicitly point it out)

There's this, from chapter 80:

You would expect that chain of light to miss a step, sometime down through the centuries; that it would go astray at least once, and then never return. But it has not. The Line of Merlin continues, unbroken.

(Or so say those of Dumbledore's faction. Lord Malfoy would tell you otherwise. And in Asia they tell other tales entirely, which may not make Britain's version wrong.)

comment by Xachariah · 2012-04-16T21:44:13.510Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I think you're confused about the meaning of Sword of Good. Without giving away too much, that is not the meaning I came up with. Instead I came away with the idea that everyone is the hero of their own story. Nobody is born innately evil

Dumbledore is good. Quirrell is good. Harry is good. Malfoy is good. But they're each only playing out the morality they've learned. Malfoy's morality about maintaining 1600s era stability and order and bringing prestige to the family. Dumbledore's is a conservative evolution of his imperial/nationalist era morality that turned sour. Quirrel's morality is difficult to discern, but I'd guess he was based on Randian Objectivism or Nietzschean philosophy. Harry's morality is rationalist and singularitarian. It's obvious to me that Harry's morality is the only one that's truly good. But then again I'm a rationalist singularitarian, and I bet people from other eras would look at the moralities differently.

I think the story is set up like this because that's the way the world works. Everyone thinks they're doing the good-and-right thing, but everyone has different starting points for their moralities. Wars occur because people have different ideas about what good-and-right is and how to achieve it. In real life, two good people sit down and talk to each other and neither one changes their mind, and the wars still happen. And the wars are not between good guys and bad guys, they're between good guys and good guys.

But that's the world we live in.

Replies from: wedrifid
comment by wedrifid · 2012-04-17T00:36:35.086Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I think you're confused about the meaning of Sword of Good.

No, Argency summarized it well. It isn't a treatise on moral relativism.

Replies from: None
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-17T03:08:21.789Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yeah, I'm pretty sure that one of the premises behind both of these stories is that there is one objectively correct morality, given that a few basic definitions are shared. "If we agree that suffering is bad and that ~suffering is good then humanist, rational utilitarianism should follow directly," or something.

I can definitely agree that acting in a way that fails to optimally minimise suffering is >bad<. I can even agree that in a lot of cases, punishing bad people will minimise further suffering. The problem is (and this is the message that I got from The Sword of Good) no one sane actually thinks of themselves as the bad guy of the story, and it takes an Act of Rational Intellect to make a justified choice about which side is actually right about being right.

The upshot is that I balk at the "evil" label. People are bad and good, only cartoon characters are evil because they do bad for bad's sake. I guess in my head I think that to be a Dark Lord requires being Evil and not just bad. That might be a silly definition, since it means I'm essentially defining Dark Lords not to exist, but then again we only hear about them in children's stories and HPMoR.

Sometimes (not every time) I get a twinge of subconscious worry when EY primes his argument-cannon with rational powder but emotional wadding. It makes for incredible chapters - I get fully body pins and needles whenever Harry does something amazing with a dementor - and when the emotion is humanist triumphal awe then it's probably safe. I know the argument: there's no reason why rationality and emotion have to weaken one another; emotion aimed by rationality can work to good ends. I just don't want to confront a situation where Dumbledore ends up being the Dark Lord despite wanting to be a good guy and trying very, very hard - because there's the risk there of sending the message that we should not only fight against powerful bad people, but hate them because they are Evil for not quite being smart enough. I don't think that would be emotion aimed by rationality.

I know that's not the sort of ending EY would craft, I only wonder how we >would< write a Dark Lord Dumbledore ending, and how likely it is that he will.

EDIT: I just re-read the "Are you enemies innately evil" article that Xachariah referenced, only this time I read it from the point of view of a moral relativist. I have gained an insight into how the other side thinks. I have also found even more motivation to make hard relativism extinct.

Replies from: chaosmosis
comment by chaosmosis · 2012-04-17T13:56:26.107Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

A form of relativism does follow from naturalism, as does a moral system which favors ones own gains above the gains of others. See: the babykillers story.

Egoism and relativism are actually pretty powerful arguments. "Good" does not exist external to perception or experience. I cannot experience the "good" of anyone else's experience, except in an extremely diluted way through empathic networks, so in order to maximize the amount of good that exists I must try to maximize my own pleasure and achieve my own values. This doesn't preclude helping others, we can be helpful to others if we enjoy or value being helpful, etc.

Everyone accepts relativism on a small scale, like with favorite colors. It's not very different on a large scale, either. If someone is genetically modified to have a passionate drive to eat children, and has a burning desire to do so and sees nothing wrong with doing so, I think they should eat children. It's not justifiable to hold people to obligations that they don't internally recognize as correct, for the same reasons that "because God said so" is not an actual moral argument.

There's an important difference between this kind of relativism and other kinds, though. The kind of relativism I'm trying to defend here doesn't say that nothing is wrong and that all paths lead up the same mountain, or whatever. I'm trying to say that because morality is derived from inherent values, where those inherent values change we will get different moral answers for different people. But most humans share a lot of values, so this kind of relativism really doesn't open itself up to the kind of gut-level criticism that most people throw at it, like the argumentum ad consequentum "but then everyone would murder everyone!" which is so popular.

I personally don't follow any form of relativism, although I'm fairly selfish and egoist (yay rationality!), but that's because my ethics are totally ad hoc and disorganized. I personally use a sort of story based virtue ethics to justify my actions ("what would a hero do?"; "what kind of hero am I?"). Stories are important to humans, so there's probably a naturalistic or cultural justification somewhere in there, but I don't really know what it is specifically.

Replies from: None
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-17T16:16:17.435Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Well, that's the difference between hard relativism and soft relativism. Hard relativism holds that there is no "right", and that's the one I think has to go. Mind you, I think the relativism you describe is still a bit hard for me - I'd argue that whilst what is right is relative in the sense that it's contingent on the situation at hand, within a given situation rightness is fixed and not at all dependent on one's viewpoint. I certainly don't agree that a relativism with any hardness to it follows from naturalism. I say this only to identify my position relative to your own, since this probably isn't the right place for me to start trying to debate against your ethics. Plus it's 2am and I spent all day at uni arguing ethics. I'm burnt out.

I read the baby-eaters story a while ago - I think I disagree with EY on that one, although it's possible I misread it. I share his apparent belief that the baby-eaters had to be stopped: the babies were suffering and suffering=bad. I don't see why the first, "fake" ending was the sad one, though - to me the second, "real" ending was the horrible one and the fake one was close enough to what I would have tried for if I'd been there. I am warning you now, if I ever meet super-intelligent aliens who want to raise the human race up from perdition and erase the need for suffering, I'm going to be on the side of the angels until humanity sorts it's shit out.

Replies from: chaosmosis
comment by chaosmosis · 2012-04-17T20:00:43.196Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

If you think the humans should have stopped the Babyeaters, but you don't think the Babyeaters were evil for pursuing the values that evolution gave them, then you agree that naturalism leads to the form of relativism I am defending and that this form of relativism is okay.

An equivalent: the homosexuality "debate".

Replies from: None
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-18T00:46:31.493Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Well as I've said somewhere in this tree, I don't like the "evil" label, so I'll stick to "bad". But I do think that the baby-eaters were bad, regardless of what they were evolved to do. There are a whole bunch of things that humans are evolved to do that I also think are morally wrong - I think that humans who do those things are bad. If we didn't have a drive to do bad things, no one would ever do them and morality would be pointless. The baby-eaters perhaps shouldn't be hated too much for being bad (in the story they weren't as intelligent as humans and they thought slower) but in my books they definitely were bad, and had to be stopped.

So I don't need to admit relativism for the sake of consistency. I think the homosexuality thing is probably a huge can of worms that would trap me in this thread for weeks if I opened it, so with your permission I'm going to let that one pass.

I also, by the way, think that the baby-eaters' psychology was probably impossible, and their evolutionary path extremely contrived and unlikely. I know baby-eaters aren't necessary to argue for relativism, but if they were then I would think that relativism was outlandish and absurd. On the other hand, I think my ethics still extends to this crazy borderline case, so I'm willing to allow it for discussion, but that's a reflection of my confidence in my ethics, not the fitness of the thought experiment.

Anyway, I'm not trying to convince you - I only spoke out against relativism above to register my disapproval of extreme hard relativism, which you don't appear to espouse. I look forward to your reply if you choose to make one, but I won't rebut it because we are waaay off topic for the thread. :)

Replies from: chaosmosis
comment by chaosmosis · 2012-04-18T05:24:55.298Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Sure thing, that all means that you don't support (pure) naturalism, which is okay with me even if I like naturalism.

Replies from: None
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-18T05:31:55.942Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I agree. What a pleasant conversation. This is why I love Less Wrong.

comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-15T18:07:54.795Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

A very minor mistake at ch.84

It was only expected that you should save bullies.

This of course should be something like "save them from bullies" or "save people from bullies".

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-15T22:09:31.670Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's disturbing that I read that like three or four times without once noticing.

comment by gwern · 2012-04-13T17:03:31.769Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

A question not on the latest chapter but ch4:

McGonagall shook her head. "Your father was the last heir of an old family, Mr. Potter. It's also possible..." McGonagall hesitated. "Some of this money may be from bounties that had been placed on You-Know-Who, payable to his ki-" McGonagall swallowed the word. "To whoever might defeat him. Or those bounties might not have been collected yet. I'm not sure."

Did we ever find out whether the bounties were collected? I was wondering whether 40k Galleons was a reasonable sum for last heir of ancient family + entire wizarding world's bounties on Voldemort, but I can't remember the question ever being answered in the first place.

Replies from: Velorien, thomblake
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-13T17:52:09.410Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The Davises have 300 Galleons in their vault, and they do not seem to be especially poor or especially wealthy. If Harry has 130 times the wealth of an average family, that sounds like a reasonable sum for the circumstances stated.

It's worth noting that we don't really know to what extent bounties would have been placed on Voldemort. For one thing, it seems like the international community couldn't give a toss about the fate of Britain, and British wizards seem to have spent their time cowering in terror and believing that Voldemort was invincible, rather than financing mercenary warfare.

Replies from: gwern, Desrtopa
comment by gwern · 2012-04-13T18:01:25.552Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The Davises have 300 Galleons in their vault, and they do not seem to be especially poor or especially wealthy. If Harry has 130 times the wealth of an average family, that sounds like a reasonable sum for the circumstances stated.

It's hard to compare, yes. But if you want to compare with the Davises and Potter fortunes, it doesn't sound like 40k is all that much.

For example, if we wanted to compare bounties, we could compare Voldemort to Osama bin Laden's federal bounty of $25 million; googling, the median net worth of an American household is something like $90,000, which gives us a Muggle multiplier of not 130x but 277x. If the Davises really are average (median) then with a Muggle multiplier the bounty on Voldemort might be as high as 113k galleons*. Then presumably you'd have the Potter family fortune of unknown thousands but let's round to 7k and then 120k total - that's 3 times what Harry actually has.

Of course, one can make assumptions which would erase a difference of 300% but you see why I might wonder if Harry did actually receive the bounties.

* Which if anything sounds low to me - Lucius shocks people by demanding 100k for Hermione just for attempting to kill Draco, but it seems plausible they would not be shocked by something like 10k - and Voldemort doesn't just attempt to kill one person, he kills dozens, hundreds, thousands, and multiple Noble House members. The Order, a subaltern organization unapproved of by Magical England, is able to raise 100k all on its own for its own operations. And so on.

Replies from: Alsadius, loserthree, thomblake
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-14T04:38:57.433Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Muggle America is also some hundreds of thousands of times more populous than wizarding Britain. That does change some things when it comes to ratios of that sort.

Replies from: Rejoyce
comment by Rejoyce · 2012-04-14T09:47:42.809Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Also, is that $25 million in 1991 dollars (year the book's taking place) or 2011?

Replies from: Alsadius, gwern
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-14T14:45:19.639Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The reward was posted in 2001, and was unmodified for inflation until it was taken down in 2011.

comment by gwern · 2012-04-15T01:57:49.505Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

My median income figure was from ~2009; combined with the bounty not being inflation-adjusted, this implies this nominal ratio is an underestimate of the real ratio.

comment by loserthree · 2012-04-13T18:25:58.119Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

That muggle net worth includes property values that would not be reflected in the Davis vault.

Replies from: gwern
comment by gwern · 2012-04-13T18:35:22.772Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Wizards are specifically described as not engaging fractional-reserve banking, which implies that any real estate is bought without debt with saved-up funds; hence, we would also expect to see savings reflected in wizard vaults and the Davises in particular unless we think they already bought a property (in which case the 300 galleons would then become a massive underestimate, yes).

Replies from: Random832
comment by Random832 · 2012-04-13T18:52:41.032Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

No fractional-reserve banking does not imply this - there could be lenders (whether goblins or wizards) with a large supply of their own gold which they use to make loans. Or landowners could sell property with a "rent to own" payment plan. Fractional-reserve banking is only necessary if you want to lend someone else's gold.

Replies from: gwern
comment by gwern · 2012-04-13T19:06:13.653Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I was not using implies in the logical deduction sense. Not having fractional-reserve banking eliminates a massive source of capital which could be used for mortgage lending and ceteris paribus will reduce such lending, does it not?

comment by thomblake · 2012-04-13T18:06:21.506Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's probably worth comparing it to "the entire war chest" of the OOTP, 100k galleons.

Edit: ah, you did that.

comment by Desrtopa · 2012-04-14T23:09:11.583Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's worth noting that we don't really know to what extent bounties would have been placed on Voldemort. For one thing, it seems like the international community couldn't give a toss about the fate of Britain

Well, so far as the international community consists of other governments. There may have been plenty of concerned foreign citizens.

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-15T12:26:20.750Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

True, but we see not a single foreign finger being lifted to help magical Britain - and with wizards, individuals can be as influential as governments. Compare Dumbledore and magical Germany (though admittedly he had a clear personal stake in stopping Grindelwald). Absence of evidence is evidence of absence, and all that.

comment by thomblake · 2012-04-13T18:06:06.366Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Did we ever find out whether the bounties were collected?

No.

It's still possible he's got some money down the pipe.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-14T04:40:39.435Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Or that the unpaid bounties were put up by people who now believe Voldemort to have returned.

comment by MarkusRamikin · 2012-04-11T12:43:55.401Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

But at least I know now what true evil would say for itself, if we could speak to it and ask why it was evil. It would say, Why not?"

A brief flare of indignation inside her. "There's got to be a million reasons why not!"

"Indeed," said Dumbledore's voice. "A million reasons and more. We will always know those reasons, you and I.

Anyone care to name three?

Replies from: Percent_Carbon, ArisKatsaris, Eliezer_Yudkowsky, faul_sname, Incorrect, thescoundrel, buybuydandavis, None, ciphergoth
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-11T12:56:06.832Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
  1. you will be scolded
  2. your parents would be so very disappointed with you
  3. this is certain to go on your permanent record
Replies from: thomblake, loserthree, Percent_Carbon, None
comment by thomblake · 2012-04-11T15:05:06.664Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Surely "You've broken at least 3 school rules" belongs at the top of Hermione's list.

comment by loserthree · 2012-04-12T15:54:58.378Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I thought you were being an ass. And I thought what you said was funny.

comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-12T07:15:42.117Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I can't tell if I'm being upvoted for my sarcasm or for mistaken impressions of sincerity, but 18 seems like a lot of points for snark. Either is okay, I guess, but there is some conflict.

Until thescoundrel's reply I didn't take the question seriously. It seemed to me that Dumbledore and Hermione were self righteously congratulating themselves for how not evil they were, and that MarkusRamikin was fishing for participation only for the sake of socializing.

Replies from: thomblake, wedrifid, None, Alsadius, MarkusRamikin, pedanterrific
comment by thomblake · 2012-04-12T16:43:01.474Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I took ArisKatsaris's and yours to be Dumbledore's and Hermione's answers to that question, respectively, and was amused.

Humor gets highly upvoted. 18 upvotes doesn't mean person X thinks your comment is better than a comment with 10 upvotes; it means that on net 18 people thought to upvote it. And lots of people upvote for humor.

comment by wedrifid · 2012-04-12T08:38:50.553Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I can't tell if I'm being upvoted for my sarcasm or for mistaken impressions of sincerity, but 18 seems like a lot of points for snark. Either is okay, I guess, but there is some conflict.

I evaluated your response relative to the question, not your intent (and would have put the intent down as 'satire').

Those are actually two of the most powerful reasons real people don't 'be evil' and would even serve as a non-trivial component of what a description of 'evil' would reduce to if we wanted to break down how the cognitive algorithm works.

comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-12T09:45:52.222Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Your response basically is why I'm not "evil". I up voted because of that.

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-12T15:53:07.044Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

People like you worry me.

I identify as 'evil' when it's safe to do so, because it's apt. I worry about people who think they're not evil but act evil when they think no one could ever know, or who think they're outright good but may one day be faced with a traumatically delivered realization of the fiction that is the ordered, punishment-delivering universe their parents conditioned them to act as though they believed in, or who surrender their judgement of right and wrong to the mob.

Those sorts of people tend to not be very good at being good, and to be even worse at being bad. They can't be depended on to either follow a system of laws or their own self-interest to the best of their ability. They are difficult to model and surprisingly volatile.

Of course, my problem with this might be my fault. I'm not sayin'; I'm just sayin'.

Replies from: None, Alsadius
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-12T16:30:32.754Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I don't think I ever claimed to be "good".

surrender their judgement of right and wrong to the mob.

Most people do.

They are difficult to model and surprisingly volatile.

Feature. Not bug.

Replies from: Multiheaded, loserthree
comment by Multiheaded · 2012-04-13T06:05:22.263Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I don't think I ever claimed to be "good".

Now, now. Your preferences might not always reveal you wanting "good" things to the exclusion of "evil" ones, but I guess that you're socialized and "brainwashed" well enough to value valuing "good" things above the vast majority of selfish or neutral ones.
You've said before that you'd be scared to self-modify to want what you now want to want... but your moral intuition is fairly ever-present even when you aren't listening to it, right? Or am I just projecting myself?

Replies from: None
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-13T06:10:02.880Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Well yes but there is quite a big difference between having moral standards and actually living up to them enough to think of oneself as "good". At least in my brain truly "good" people are very rare.

Replies from: Multiheaded
comment by Multiheaded · 2012-04-13T06:31:05.390Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Haha, the thing is, I was raised partly on D&D, which was my first source of a metaethical theory, and there, at least in theory, much of alignment is defined by intentions (at least, that's how I read it in my teenage years). Then again, I might have twisted that a bit to conform to my own beliefs. Either way, I grew up believing that e.g. a witch who has never actually hurt anyone personally but helps an evil tribe and would betray marauding "heroes" to them can indeed be "Lawful Evil", and, consequentially, a con artist who's sensitive, guilt-ridden and helps the poor sometimes can indeed be "Chaotic Good" (Oskar Schindler - the real one, not Spielberg's flat copy - is a hero for me, his case feels incredibly heart-warming). It's a carticature of my actual feelings, of course, but nonetheless I'm attracted to what is derisively called comic-book morality; I find it, at the very least, better for society than e.g. "rational egoism" informed with Hansonian theory.

comment by loserthree · 2012-04-12T17:10:38.969Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I don't think I ever claimed to be "good".

That's a very fair complaint. I'll edit my previous post.

They are difficult to model and surprisingly volatile.

Feature. Not bug.

I suppose. Objectivists are less worrisome, but admittedly inferior company. And the rare few who by every appearance are as good for goodness sake as you could ask may not cause worry, but there's always something disquieting about them.

comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T02:39:34.708Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Speaking practically, I suspect that indoctrination is responsible for a surprising percentage of the good attitudes people have. Society putting up a giant wall of opprobrium to bad acts in children is in all likelihood a major factor in why we are good - habits are wonderful things.

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-13T17:20:20.829Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Is there an amount of external modification of behavior that you'd allow as child-rearing without calling it indoctrination?

Or can you tell me precisely what you mean by that word?

Or, for that matter, the word 'society'? Aren't 'parents' enough? Does it really take a village?

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T19:19:00.188Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's a word that's often used negatively, but it's not necessarily bad. Embedding a doctrine into a child is a pretty necessary part of parenting, I'd say.

And it doesn't "take a village", but parents are not generally the only influences a child has - school, friends, TV, extended family, and the like all exist, and most of them do a decent job of trying to pound certain important things into kids' heads.

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-14T01:05:02.079Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's a word that's often used negatively, but it's not necessarily bad. Embedding a doctrine into a child is a pretty necessary part of parenting, I'd say.

Thanks. I'd still like to know if and how you differentiate indoctrination from non-indocrtinary child-rearing.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-14T04:22:44.472Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's not a topic I've given sufficient thought to to provide a well-considered answer. But at first blush, I'd say that "indoctrination" only refers to subjective things - morality, ideology, religion, and that sort. Objective things - letters, numbers, etc. - are simply education.

Replies from: TheOtherDave
comment by TheOtherDave · 2012-04-14T04:31:50.421Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Hm.
I'm not quite sure in what sense a choice of language is objective but a choice of religion is subjective. They both strike me as aspects of a culture... though it is admittedly easier to raise a child without a religion at all than to raise one without a language.
Then again, I'm content to say that human parenting pretty-much-universally involves indoctrination. As does education, for that matter, although not all indoctrination is educational and not all education is indoctrination.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-14T14:40:42.777Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

But you're not teaching the kid to believe in English, just how to speak it. Saying to your kid "This is what Christians believe" would be education, saying "This is what we believe" is indoctrination. It's the difference between creating knowledge and creating belief(as fuzzy as that line can be sometimes).

Replies from: TheOtherDave
comment by TheOtherDave · 2012-04-14T15:04:38.313Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

(nods) Similarly, you aren't saying "this is what English-speakers speak," you are saying "this is what we speak."

I'm not suggesting that indoctrinating someone in a language is the same thing as indoctrinating them in a religion, or that it's morally equivalent, or that they are equally useful, or anything of the sort. But they are both indoctrination (as well as both being education).

comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T02:37:51.258Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You spend way too much time worrying about how you're getting too much karma, man :p

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-13T07:07:26.567Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Curiosity is a virtue.

These two posts make up about a quarter of the total karma points I have. They are outliers beyond my outliers. The reasons people give for upvoting them are entirely worth investigation.

comment by MarkusRamikin · 2012-04-12T08:02:16.959Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I asked seriously, but I upvoted you for making me smile.

comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-12T07:22:06.259Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

thescoundrel's list seems more like things Quirrell or Harry would come up with than Dumbledore or Hermione.

Also, I thought your comment was hilarious, so there's that. Maybe it's because I read it in 11-year-old Emma Watson's voice.

comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-12T09:44:09.647Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

you will be scolded

By people who are in my ingroup? Certainly. People who I see as "them" (outgroup) can rage at me all they want. Overall this one seems weak.

your parents would be so very disappointed with you

It is very interesting how powerful this one still seems to be in my mind. I suspect I would have major psychological difficulties dealing with immortality for all or the abolishment of privacy.

this is certain to go on your permanent record

This one is very strong too.

Replies from: Multiheaded
comment by Multiheaded · 2012-04-13T05:55:28.376Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

your parents would be so very disappointed with you

Yes. Don't know about the other two, but seeking the approval of various authority figures as they appear in my mind, consciously or not, is definitely one of my most frequent motivations when I act altruistically.
Not too troubled about privacy or immortality, though; I view both as more or less inevitable if a half-decent singularity does come, unless it's incredibly weird, not just Eliezer-level weird. That is, I want to want both, and don't currently worry too much as to whether I want either one in my heart of hearts.

Replies from: None, Eliezer_Yudkowsky
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-13T06:14:41.081Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Not too troubled about privacy or immortality, though; I view both as more or less inevitable if a half-decent singularity does come, unless it's incredibly weird, not just Eliezer-level weird. That is, I want to want both, and don't currently worry too much as to whether I want either one in my heart of hearts.

The thing is that as awful as this sounds authority figures you care about dying is a source of freedom for people. I would never want my parents to die so I have say more "freedom" in defining my morality (or perhaps in ways my model of them in my head would disapprove of), but we would be locked into our socially defined roles much more than we are today.

Also an erosion of privacy makes normative feedback from your social group basically instant, people are pretty conformist, so a reduction of privacy means society wide greater conforming to social norms.

Which obviously can be a good thing by say much reducing murder or rape, but again is pretty much a big step towards say political totalitarianism and the domination of one human value system (that happens to be favoured by such an envrionment or happens by pure chance to be the dominant one when the transition happens) over others.

comment by Eliezer Yudkowsky (Eliezer_Yudkowsky) · 2012-04-14T09:18:13.353Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

...thanks. I think.

comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-11T12:47:33.081Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Anyone care to name three?

  1. Because evil causes people to feel pain.
  2. Because evil causes people to feel grief.
  3. Because evil causes people to feel fear.
Replies from: Baughn
comment by Baughn · 2012-04-11T13:41:49.653Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Of course they do.

Why is this a problem?

Assuming evil people will be susceptible to such arguments is similar to assuming a sufficiently smart AI will automatically become good.. well, you didn't say otherwise.

Replies from: ArisKatsaris
comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-11T13:47:26.246Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Assuming evil people will be susceptible to such arguments

I didn't say evil people will be susceptible to such arguments.

I was naming three reasons that good people have to not be evil, not three arguments that would cause evil people to stop being evil.

Replies from: Baughn
comment by Baughn · 2012-04-12T09:51:53.215Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I think Dumbledore was looking for the latter, though.

He isn't going to find any, but that's beside the point.

comment by Eliezer Yudkowsky (Eliezer_Yudkowsky) · 2012-04-14T09:24:12.805Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
  1. Because I grew up watching Thundercats as a kid and it's not what Liono would do.
  2. Because it would look terrible on my TV Tropes page.
  3. Because the part of me that handles abstract reasoning vetos producing negative utilons and this part actually gets quite a lot of voting power over anything I have time to think about - it's even the part I call "me".

There are many parts of Eliezer that are casting votes for good and against evil, for quite widely separated reasons ranging from the silly to the extremely approvable, and once I realized that instead of thinking that there had to be "the" reason, I understood myself a lot better.

But not a million reasons, though. Hermione is severely exaggerating.

comment by faul_sname · 2012-04-12T07:46:47.395Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

1) In most situations, it is not the most efficient means to an end (interestingly, in Voldemort's case, it may have come close).

2) A reputation for defection in PD-like situations means nobody will ally with you. Unless you are in an undisputed leadership position, this is a very bad thing.

3) People are likely to try to kill you.

comment by Incorrect · 2012-04-11T22:44:11.220Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
  1. Because it's boring if you aren't a sadist
  2. Because there's more fun stuff to do
  3. Because you may prefer to think of yourself as a sort of person who is not evil.
Replies from: MixedNuts
comment by MixedNuts · 2012-04-20T13:44:01.596Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Self-modify to be a sadist. Actually, do that regardless, it's fun and non-evil sadism is easy to come by.

Replies from: khafra
comment by khafra · 2012-04-20T17:43:16.198Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It does seem like a good idea. One of the big surprises for me, when I was first exposed to people of alternative practices, was how much easier it was for the dom/sadist types to find a partner than the sub/masochist ones.

comment by thescoundrel · 2012-04-11T14:12:18.336Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

1.Unless you have supreme power over everyone, you are very likely to need help from other people, and evil inhibits your ability to gain that help.

  1. Evil causes cascade ripples with consequences that are very hard to see- large numbers of people you don't know about having personal vendettas against you, etc.

  2. It is hard to inspire people to your cause with evil- they people you are using must at least think they are acting in accordance with good, and at some level have what we would consider a "good" set of rules for how they deal with each other.

comment by buybuydandavis · 2012-04-12T08:52:36.449Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
  • Why bother?
  • Idiots and cowards are sure to take care of it for you.
  • Akrasia.
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-11T18:49:39.381Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
  • Because evil must be alone, as it cannot be trusted.
  • Because your plans will not all succeed, and it is more harmful to be revealed as everyone's enemy than as someone's friend.
  • Because caring about other people provides an additional source of motivation.

(I know ego depletion causes a reduction in acts of altruism, but I thought I remembered that engaging in acts of altruism could counter ego depletion. Now I can't seem to find any research supporting this, so perhaps not.)

comment by Paul Crowley (ciphergoth) · 2012-04-14T19:33:14.023Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Her, him, and me.

comment by jaimeastorga2000 · 2012-04-15T02:14:24.995Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Can somebody explain to me why Harry was so into House points before Azkaban recalibrated his sense of perspective? It makes sense why most people seek them; you take several dozen kids, split them up into different groups, and soon enough you hear them talking about how they can't let those Gryffindor jerkasses win the House Cup and so on. But it seems to me like you need to identify with your House to an unhealthy degree to take so much pleasure in earning points for it. Hermione obviously has that problem (cf. her speech about House Ravenclaw in ch. 34), but I would have expected Harry to avoid falling into such an obvious trap.

Note that Draco never seems interested in getting house points (as far as I can remember, anyways), so I guess his Slytherin education allowed him to see what the Ravenclaws missed: House Points are just one of those totally useless things you use to incentivize people into desired behaviors without having to give them any real, costly rewards. Like employee of the month awards, and military medals, and lesswrong kar-

...

Nevermind, I think I get it now.

(But seriously, karma at least has an individual tracking component that allows one to gain status in the community; is there anything about house points that would win Hermione or Harry more status than they would if they just kept getting good grades in class, answering questions correctly, and saving victims from bullies?)

Replies from: Xachariah, ArisKatsaris, Nornagest, ArisKatsaris
comment by Xachariah · 2012-04-15T03:19:40.263Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

But seriously, karma at least has an individual tracking component that allows one to gain status in the community

In order to be an effective incentive system, house points would necessarily need to be awarded in social circumstances were other students can track them. And in practice that's usually how they're awarded. Points are given out in front of the class so all of the student's classmates can see them instead of privately. Some of this may be because teachers primarily interact with students in classes, but even private events which earn house points are announced publicly later.

Functionally, in canon, the house point system physically updates as soon as anyone authorized says "10 points to Gryffindor." Since it's auto-updating I'd be surprised if they don't track the reasons why as well in a magic ledger or something. When teachers were in strong contention for the house cup, they would give out house points on the flimsiest excuses, but they'd always have a reason for it, which implies that it's tracked. Otherwise teachers would subtract 50 points because 'potter looks stupid' when they're alone in the lavatory instead of taking 10 points for backchat while in class to unfairly win the house cup.

comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-16T00:20:45.957Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Who's the person who've deleted their account, and may I ask why? It's always sad/confusing when we lose someone and we can't even know the reason.

Replies from: pedanterrific, Nornagest
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-16T00:35:09.934Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

This was jaimeastorga2000. I think Misha deleted their account today too.

Replies from: cousin_it, Eliezer_Yudkowsky
comment by cousin_it · 2012-04-16T15:05:48.146Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I regret that Misha is gone, he was one of the smarter commenters on mathy decision theory posts.

comment by Eliezer Yudkowsky (Eliezer_Yudkowsky) · 2012-04-16T11:13:31.945Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

(blinks in surprise)

How odd and sad...

comment by Nornagest · 2012-04-16T00:36:57.217Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Well, for whatever reason he chose to unperson himself, so I'm not sure if I should be saying this, but that was jaimeastorga2000, I believe. I don't know why he decided to leave.

comment by Nornagest · 2012-04-15T02:31:37.731Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

is there anything about house points that would win Hermione or Harry more status than they would if they just kept getting good grades in class, answering questions correctly, and saving victims from bullies?

Sure. By earning house points, Harry and Hermione are essentially doing a favor for their houses independently of whatever they did to earn those points. It's a favor that's absolutely useless in functional terms (at least, I don't remember the House Cup granting any substantial perks), but that doesn't matter too much to the psychology involved; you're well above the 20 karma threshold but you still get a little spike of satisfaction when someone upvotes you, don't you? Same mechanism at play.

This is complicated slightly by the fact that House standing is zero-sum, but I still think in-house status gain would outweigh out-of-house status loss thanks to a number of considerations. Point allocations tend not to be announced to the entire school, for one thing.

comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-15T18:02:58.048Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Hermione obviously has that problem (cf. her speech about House Ravenclaw in ch. 34), but I would have expected Harry to avoid falling into such an obvious trap.

Hermione is less passionate about Ravenclaw than Harry is -- e.g. Hermione in January thinks that she should have gone to Gryffindor. Harry is very clear about wanting to go to Ravenclaw, and belonging to Ravenclaw.

Either way it's clear that it's marked how many points each student gets -- Dumbledore in Hermione's trial mentions she has earned 103 points for Ravenclaw so far, and even in canon it seems to be known who cost them/won them points (e.g. in Harry Potter & the Philosopher's stone, the protagonists are ostracized at some point for costing Gryffindor 50 points each)

comment by FAWS · 2012-04-11T14:43:32.344Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The edit to 53 recently mentioned seems to be here:

"Your wand," murmured Bellatrix, "I took it from the Potters' house and hid it, my lord... under the tombstone to the right of your father's grave... will you kill me, now, if that was all you wished of me... I think I must have always wanted you to be the one to kill me... but I can't remember now, it must have been a happy thought..."

Replies from: ArisKatsaris, Alex_Altair
comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-11T15:11:46.529Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

A very disappointing change for me. The previous version had seemingly been a very major clue -- now that clue is nullified and replaced with the standard and uninteresting "some Death Eater salvaged Voldemort's wand from the Potters' House" which is the excuse every HP fanfic out there gives to cover this obvious plot hole by Rowling...

Also does anyone think that Bellatrix could have stood over Harry's crib and not finished the task that Voldemort seemed to have wanted accomplished?

Replies from: None
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-11T16:01:03.632Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Also does anyone think that Bellatrix could have stood over Harry's crib and not finished the task that Voldemort seemed to have wanted accomplished?

We do not yet know the task Voldemort wanted accomplished that day in HPMOR. For all we know it could have already been completed when Bellatrix salvaged the wand.

Replies from: ArisKatsaris
comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-11T17:02:27.664Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yeah, yeah, but Bellatrix knew about it? But Bellatrix had been ordered to wait, retrieve the wand if anything interesting happened to Voldemort, and not interact otherwise with other enemy survivors? But Bellatrix didn't burn down the whole Muggle town when she saw Voldemort's burned body?

The fact remains that what seemed to me an intentional clue, is now replaced for all intends and purposes by what seems to me an unintentional plot-hole. I don't have to like it.

Replies from: Sheaman3773
comment by Sheaman3773 · 2012-06-26T15:56:28.623Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Firstly, if the wording was changed to nullify a clue, then it was probably a false clue to begin with, and he changed it so that it wouldn't cause confusion.

Secondly, why do people assume that whichever Death Eater took the wand showed up while Harry was still sitting in his crib? I hardly think that Hagrid spent a great deal of time--or any, really--searching through the rubble for Voldemort's wand. It's completely reasonable that he could have shown up, taken Harry, and only then was the wand retrieved.

If Bellatrix in canon refused to believe that Voldemort was dead, it's quite likely that this Bellatrix would have too, regardless of whether a "burnt hulk" of a body was there or not.

Replies from: ArisKatsaris
comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-06-26T16:25:15.057Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Firstly, if the wording was changed to nullify a clue, then it was probably a false clue to begin with, and he changed it so that it wouldn't cause confusion.

That doesn't make it less disappointing; also I think it's actually more likely that it used to be a real clue, but the author changed his mind about how the story went -- that's also disappointing.

There's the third possibility, that it used to be a real clue, and it is still relevant in how the story is going to go; but that Harry himself, the character, shouldn't have heard about it so early, or he'd wonder inappropriately over it.

Secondly, why do people assume that whichever Death Eater took the wand showed up while Harry was still sitting in his crib? I hardly think that Hagrid spent a great deal of time--or any, really--searching through the rubble for Voldemort's wand.

I'm having trouble imagining that in a HPMoRVerse with an actual competent Dumbledore, Hagrid went alone to retrieve baby Harry.

Replies from: Sheaman3773
comment by Sheaman3773 · 2012-06-28T04:18:30.476Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

That doesn't make it less disappointing; also I think it's actually more likely that it used to be a real clue, but the author changed his mind about how the story went -- that's also disappointing.

There's the third possibility, that it used to be a real clue, and it is still relevant in how the story is going to go; but that Harry himself, the character, shouldn't have heard about it so early, or he'd wonder inappropriately over it.

Alright, granted, those are possibilities. I'm not certain that you're correct, but they are valid.

I'm having trouble imagining that in a HPMoRVerse with an actual competent Dumbledore, Hagrid went alone to retrieve baby Harry.

Hm. Okay, I understand that, but I would not expect anyone, really, to spend a great deal of time searching through the rubble when Harry still needs to be taken care of. Yes, they could Summon it (assuming it was Summon-able) but only if they were looking for it specifically, if they thought it wasn't destroyed in the explosion, etc.

comment by Alex_Altair · 2012-04-11T19:36:16.203Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

What was the original wording?

Replies from: ArisKatsaris, FAWS
comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-12T03:40:56.960Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Two passages I see changed so far:

“My... Lord... I went where you said to await you, but you did not come... I looked for you but I could not find you... you are alive...”

became this:

"My... Lord... I waited for you but you did not come... I looked for you but I could not find you... you are alive..."

and this:

“Your wand,” murmured Bellatrix, “I hid it in the graveyard, my lord, before I left... under the tombstone to the right of your father’s grave...

became this:

"Your wand," murmured Bellatrix, "I took it from the Potters' house and hid it, my lord... under the tombstone to the right of your father's grave...


In short, the original passage seemed to indicate that on the night of Godric's Hollow Bellatrix had been sent to a graveyard carrying Voldemort's wand. The current passage indicates that she took Voldemort's wand from the Potters' House, and that she hadn't been given the wand nor ordered to any graveyard to await for him.

comment by FAWS · 2012-04-11T19:48:06.671Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I don't have any saved copy, but clear memory of the bolded part not being there. I think the wording is otherwise identical.

comment by Nornagest · 2012-04-11T05:46:13.300Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

If you'll all forgive me a few moments of horrible nerdiness, and the attendant fictional evidence, I've said before that MoR's construction of heroic effort makes a good deal more sense once you've played Fate/stay night. This chapter certainly hasn't given me any reason to doubt that, but after Quirrell's speech with Hermione I think I might need to add watching Revolutionary Girl Utena as another prerequisite. The early parts of that exchange could have been lifted wholesale from Utena's princes and witches, and the world's expectations of them.

Replies from: V2Blast, Eliezer_Yudkowsky
comment by V2Blast · 2012-04-11T06:01:04.400Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You are certainly not the only one who was reminded (eerily so) of a part of Fate/stay night that I won't discuss here for fear of spoiling the visual novel for anyone who hasn't yet played it. Quirrell's talk with Hermione made me think of a certain character from FSN immediately as I was reading.

Replies from: Nominull
comment by Nominull · 2012-04-11T06:15:31.748Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I was reminded of it, but I'm reminded of it when I read basically any work that has heroes paying a price for their heroism, so I didn't find it quite so eerie.

Replies from: V2Blast
comment by V2Blast · 2012-04-11T06:24:16.118Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Guess I just haven't read enough.

comment by Eliezer Yudkowsky (Eliezer_Yudkowsky) · 2012-04-11T05:50:25.994Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

...I don't know if I can back you on that one, I mean, I've seen Utena, but it wasn't my primary source material for Quirrell's bitterness (and neither was Atlas Shrugged). I don't suppose you have the FSN comment handy? That sounds a lot more plausible (w/r/t heroism).

Replies from: Nornagest
comment by Nornagest · 2012-04-11T05:52:18.393Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Unfortunately, no. I'm not even sure it was here; it may have been over at TV Tropes when I still posted there.

I'm not accusing you of deliberately riffing on either work, though. It's just that FSN is all about a certain way of thinking about heroes -- you wouldn't be far wrong if you called it a character study of the "hero" role -- and Utena is largely (it's a more thematically complicated work) about the way non-heroes respond to heroic effort, and I'm seeing reflections of both here.

Although there's more than a bit of the latter in the Unlimited Blade Works route and in Fate/zero, too. I watched Utena first, though, so it has the benefit of primacy effects in my head.

comment by NancyLebovitz · 2012-04-11T15:42:07.110Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

My comment from fanfic.net:

I loved the chapter- there was nothing wrong with the previous two, but this the mixed bag of very good stuff pointing in multiple directions that I hadn't realized I was missing. I'm talking about psychological/philosophical/emotional material more than the potential plot twists.

I've suddenly realized that this is a chapter in which almost nothing happens in terms of physical action- it's all talk and thought and emotion (and a bit of humming), and it's incredibly engrossing.

Is Hermione's inability to think that she might have been bespelled part of the spell, or normal psychological reaction?

Would fake memories have the same kind and amount of detail as real memories?

Harry saying that the first year girls should put their reputations on the line about Hermione is so perfectly Harry...

Replies from: Velorien, loserthree
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-11T17:16:33.229Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Is Hermione's inability to think that she might have been bespelled part of the spell, or normal psychological reaction? Would fake memories have the same kind and amount of detail as real memories?

I would hypothesise that, to an ordinary person who has not learned about the fallibility of memory in general, the idea that something that feels like a completely real memory would be false is a very challenging one. Thinking "have I been memory-charmed?" is like thinking "I could be wrong about absolutely anything I remember" for the first time. It would be very difficult, and exactly the kind of thought one flinches away from.

From personal experience, I remember recalling a very emotionally charged MSN conversation months later, and thinking about an agreement I'd made with someone in it. But searching through the logs (and I logged everything), I could find no mention of any such agreement ever. It was pretty traumatic to discover that my memory was so fallible on something so important, and I'm not sure I could have accepted it without such firm evidence.

In regard to detail, I'm not sure people ever go through their memories and say "huh, this memory lacks detail so something must be off". Unless some key feature is missing (say, Hermione being unable to recall the words of the curse she used), I imagine any given detail's absence could be easily rationalised.

Replies from: fubarobfusco, Alex_Altair, tadrinth
comment by fubarobfusco · 2012-04-12T06:45:54.789Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Thinking "have I been memory-charmed?" is like thinking "I could be wrong about absolutely anything I remember" for the first time. It would be very difficult, and exactly the kind of thought one flinches away from.

Beliefs don't feel like beliefs. They feel like how the world is.

comment by Alex_Altair · 2012-04-11T19:19:21.899Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

And it's especially surreal to Hermione, because she has eidetic memory.

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-11T20:07:06.679Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I don't think it's quite eidetic - she says as much herself. It's just ridiculously good. I think if she had literally perfect recall of all her experiences, rather than merely amazing recall of information she consciously tried to absorb, she would be less of a normal 11-year old girl. For example, she'd have perfect recall of every mistake she'd ever made, and every time anyone had ever hurt her. I imagine she would be much warier of doing anything with the potential to leave traumatic memories.

With that said, it's worth noting that no-one has ever proved having long-term eidetic memory in repeated scientific tests, so all our speculations on the subject must rely on anecdotal evidence and fictional examples.

Replies from: tadrinth
comment by tadrinth · 2012-04-12T00:31:38.644Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It takes her a few seconds to remember the Asch Conformity Experiment and that was a long enough delay to be frightening.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-12T07:04:23.634Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Perhaps she is only ridiculously exhausted, low on brain juices.

She is not used to being low on brain juices because she has never been either undernourished or pushed so hard. It is a novel experience, which can be frightening.

Replies from: prasannak
comment by prasannak · 2012-04-12T12:41:07.564Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Or, recently created memories esp of false-memory-charm origin are likely to be in the forefront, and push everything else to the background.

comment by tadrinth · 2012-04-12T00:32:36.635Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yeah, memory is fallible as hell. This is why I love having conversation logs and why I have contemplated trying to figure out a way to log my entire life (so I could do that for real conversations as well).

Replies from: SkyDK
comment by SkyDK · 2012-04-15T21:48:43.218Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It'd be illegal in most countries, but getting very small mics is not that hard. I've used it myself for testing if I had a better idea generation state of mind while running/doing sports than when penning.

comment by loserthree · 2012-04-11T16:30:23.210Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Harry saying that the first year girls should put their reputations on the line about Hermione is so perfectly Harry...

I'm pretty sure he was inviting everyone in Ravenclaw.

comment by iceman · 2012-04-12T18:04:23.300Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I wonder if Quirrel simply had a bad model when he tried to play the hero:

"I was not naive, Miss Granger, I did not expect the power-holders to align themselves with me so quickly - not without something in it for themselves. But their power, too, was threatened; and so I was shocked how they seemed content to step back, and leave to that man all burdens of responsibility. They sneered at his performance, remarking among themselves how they would do better in his place, though they did not condescend to step forward." (84)

The theory about Quirrel creating Voldemort as a villain to vanquish is probable, especially if you ask Cui Bono?. I wonder if the opposition to his heroics was by the not-so-dumb portion of the Wizengamont:

The vast majority are thinking 'The Dementor was frightened of the Boy-Who-Lived!' [...] Almost none are thinking anything along the lines of 'I wonder how he did that.' [...] But there are a very few, seated on those wooden benches, who do not think like this.

There are a certain few of the Wizengamot who have read through half-disintegrated scrolls and listened to tales of things that happened to someone's brother's cousin, not for entertainment, but as part of a quest for power and truth. They have already marked the Night of Godric's Hollow, as reported by Albus Dumbledore, as an anomalous and potentially important event. They have wondered why it happened, if it did happen; or if not, why Dumbledore is lying. (81)

How would they react to a savior?

Replies from: gwern
comment by gwern · 2012-04-12T20:03:48.623Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Hm, so to rewrite the ending...

There were a certain few of the Wizengamot who wondered why Voldemort's lieutenant had made a attempt on the life of the Minister's daughter rather than the Minister, done so publicly rather than privately, and why a recluse was there that day. They had already marked the Miracle of Diagon Alley as an anomalous and important event; they have wondered why it happened, if it did, or if not, why Voldemort is colluding in the praise.

comment by Vaniver · 2012-04-11T04:25:54.187Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

So, it seems more likely that Quirrel was behind the plot.

The thing about there only being seven houses seems big, though, and as far I can tell isn't from canon. (The list of purebloods, for example, doesn't include Jugson, though 500 years old might not be enough to be Most Ancient. I think we have HPMOR confirmation of Malfoy, Potter, Greengrass, and Longbottom, and I think in canon the only ones that get that description are Malfoy, Black, and maybe Potter (really, Peverell).

The 1926 hint narrows it down to four canon characters (though, of course, Bones might be mistaken). Interestingly enough, all of them were sorted into Slytherin- Tom Riddle, Rosier, Avery, and Lestrange. All of them were Death Eaters, and so it seems most likely it's Tom Riddle. (He would be the last of the female line of the Gaunt family, descended from Salazar Slytherin, which seems like it qualifies for Most Ancient. But I suspect the female line doesn't count for things like the Wizengamot, in canon at least.)

(Interestingly, in canon, Morfin Gaunt was memory-charmed to believe that he was the murderer of Voldemort's parents. Riddle did that to cover up a number of his murders. Even more pieces falling into place.)

Tom Riddle as hero seems... really bizarre, though. Who was Voldemort instead? (It seems implausible that Voldemort could have been an alterego; I suspect quite a bit of his pureblood support came from his lineage.)

Replies from: Nominull, ChrisHallquist, drethelin, dspeyer, pedanterrific, Anubhav, ArisKatsaris
comment by Nominull · 2012-04-11T04:31:00.523Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

We know Dumbledore thinks Tom Riddle was Voldemort, because when he's looking for Voldemort within Hogwarts he tells the map to find Tom Riddle.

Replies from: gwern
comment by gwern · 2012-04-11T13:37:04.448Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

And all the other occasions Phoenix members speak of Tom Riddle or poison his father's grave.

comment by ChrisHallquist · 2012-04-11T06:07:10.523Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Tom Riddle wasn't a hero. He was a villain whose villainous plot was to create a fake villain named Voldemort for him to defeat. He arranged for there to be a kidnapping attempt on the daughter of the minister of magic so that he could save her and be propelled into herodom. But things did not go according to plan:

"Long ago, long before your time or Harry Potter's, there was a man who was hailed as a savior. The destined scion, such a one as anyone would recognize from tales, wielding justice and vengeance like twin wands against his dreadful nemesis." Professor Quirrell gave a soft, bitter laugh, looking up at the night sky. "Do you know, Miss Granger, at that time I thought myself already cynical, and yet... well."

The silence stretched, in the cold and the night.

"In all honesty," said Professor Quirrell, looking up at the stars, "I still don't understand it. They should have known that their lives depended on that man's success. And yet it was as if they tried to do everything they could to make his life unpleasant. To throw every possible obstacle into his way. I was not naive, Miss Granger, I did not expect the power-holders to align themselves with me so quickly - not without something in it for themselves. But their power, too, was threatened; and so I was shocked how they seemed content to step back, and leave to that man all burdens of responsibility. They sneered at his performance, remarking among themselves how they would do better in his place, though they did not condescend to step forward." Professor Quirrell shook his head as though in bemusement. "And it was the strangest thing - the Dark Wizard, that man's dread nemesis - why, those who served him leapt eagerly to their tasks. The Dark Wizard grew crueler toward his followers, and they followed him all the more. Men fought for the chance to serve him, even as those whose lives depended on that other man made free to render his life difficult... I could not understand it, Miss Granger." Professor Quirrell's face was in shadow, as he looked upward. "Perhaps, by taking on himself the curse of action, that man removed it from all others? Was that why others felt free to hinder his battle against the Dark Wizard who would have enslaved them all? I still do not understand even now. My cynicism fails me, and I am left silent. But there came a time when that man realized he might do better fighting the Dark Wizard alone, as with such followers at his back."

"So -" Hermione's voice sounded strange in the night. "You left your friends behind where they'd be safe, and tried to attack the Dark Wizard all by yourself?"

"Why, no," said Professor Quirrell. "I stopped trying to be a hero, and went off to do something else I found more pleasant."

At this point, he decided to go full-time as the fake villain persona, and did so for the next eight years, when he decided to abandon it.

Replies from: Vaniver, Alsadius
comment by Vaniver · 2012-04-11T15:48:56.913Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

He was a villain whose villainous plot was to create a fake villain named Voldemort for him to defeat.

The reason I think this is odd is because, in canon, Voldemort was a name change, not a new person. So instead of Tom Riddle getting together with his Slug Club friends and saying "hey, maybe we should run this country, and by the way I never liked my old name," Voldemort is some external actor that managed to get the loyalty of a bunch of Britain's nobility.

Replies from: ChrisHallquist
comment by ChrisHallquist · 2012-04-11T17:08:29.468Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Really? In canon I thought Voldemort = Riddle was a pretty well-kept secret. But as per Eliezer's comment elsewhere in the thread, it looks like Riddle's hero persona wasn't called "Tom Riddle," he impersonated (possessed?) a descendent of some more respectable house to create that identity.

Replies from: Vaniver
comment by Vaniver · 2012-04-11T17:56:45.419Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

That could be- I haven't read the books since the last one came out. This is what I'm seeing on the HPWiki:

Having embraced the Dark Arts he encountered in his travels, the former Tom Riddle, now known exclusively as Lord Voldemort, raised an enormous army comprised of followers he recruited both at school and afterwards,

That suggests to me that the early Death Eaters grew up with him as Tom Riddle, and it was just a name change. If the "Voldemort = Riddle" thing is poorly known, it's probably because no one has reason to know that his name was Riddle (like, for example, most people have heard of Stalin but haven't heard of Dzhugashvili).

comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T00:03:15.428Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

That seems spectacularly stupid for someone as smart as we've observed him to be.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-13T07:37:42.921Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You should say what part is stupid.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T14:39:29.217Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Creating a plan that complex and prone to failure?

Replies from: ArisKatsaris
comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-13T17:29:41.066Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It isn't a very complex plan -- it just required that he play two roles; this gave him two avenues of success (if resistance to Voldemort is strong, take over as the hero -- if resistance to Voldemort is too weak take over as Voldemort). And it fits in perfectly with the plan that he has already suggested to Harry Potter (find an actor to play Voldemort, have him cast Avada Kedavra at you, block it with Patronus, be hero), so it's perfectly consistent with Quirrel's way of thinking.

When we talk about too complex plans, we talk about plans with multiple points of possible failure. You call this complicated because it had multiple points of possible success.

comment by drethelin · 2012-04-11T04:28:29.488Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Remember that Quirrel is NOT Riddle. He's Riddle in the body of someone else. It's pretty damn voldemorty to come back in the body of one of your enemies, too.

Replies from: buybuydandavis, Vaniver
comment by buybuydandavis · 2012-04-11T06:00:18.758Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I've been peddling the scheme of uploading into Harry when Harry supposedly defeats him.

It makes sense too that he has more power through Dark Rituals. He uses up the host body through the costs born by the host, and then moves on to another.

Replies from: None
comment by Vaniver · 2012-04-11T05:04:48.412Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The only canon character that matches Bones's description is Riddle (though he only does so partially, having murdered his family before his graduation in canon). So either EY stuck in a Mary Sue who just happens to have Tom Riddle's biographical details, or Bones wants Tom Riddle to take up the Gaunt seat in the Wizengamot.

Replies from: pedanterrific, Desrtopa
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-11T05:07:54.165Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Or maybe there's a third option you haven't thought of. How confident are you?

Replies from: Vaniver
comment by Vaniver · 2012-04-11T05:13:34.011Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I thought of three other options, and dismissed all of them. Riddle gets over 98% of the 'canon character born in 1926' probability mass, and so I intend to spend a comparable amount discussing him over other options.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-11T06:21:19.050Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Hmm. It seems it was supposed to be obvious it wasn't Riddle. How odd.

Replies from: Vaniver
comment by Vaniver · 2012-04-11T15:49:44.068Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Why does it seem that way?

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-11T16:18:25.526Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Word of God.

Replies from: Vaniver
comment by Vaniver · 2012-04-11T17:50:14.355Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Okay. I still stand by my probability (after I revised it down from the Noble House conversation) but it's irrelevant because the new birthdate suggests Quirrel is supposed to be a non-canon character.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-11T23:26:22.498Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You sure? The graduation date didn't change, so it's still one of Riddle's classmates. How many boys were sorted into Slytherin in 1938?

Edit: I just realized class sizes in 1991 have been more than doubled from canon, so you may have a point.

comment by Desrtopa · 2012-04-12T02:19:24.702Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It strikes me as simply bettter writing, or at least, better fanfiction writing, if this new, extremely skilled and competent and apparently original character, can be explained by the original divergence between HPMoR and canon, and the most obvious way for that to be the case is if Voldemort controlled or impersonated him in some way, making his competence a consequence of Voldemort's competence.

comment by dspeyer · 2012-04-11T05:20:33.482Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Way back in chapter 7, Draco refers to "the Noble and Most Ancient House of Black". That's a fifth noble house.

JKR said Nott was ranked as highly as Malfoy. Doesn't necessarily apply in MOR.

Replies from: Vaniver
comment by Vaniver · 2012-04-11T05:25:26.022Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I was going to say the Blacks are all (supposedly) dead in HPMOR at this point, but then I remembered that Sirius is (supposedly) just in Azkaban, not dead yet, and if he's counting the female line (like he would have to for Riddle to count) then there's also Bellatrix.

Replies from: ygert, Percent_Carbon
comment by ygert · 2012-04-11T09:03:07.293Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

There's also Draco, Tonks, and Andromeda. (Andromeda is Tonks' mother, Bellatrix's and Narcissa's sister.) This is all assuming that the female line counts, which it more or less has to.

Replies from: thomblake
comment by thomblake · 2012-04-11T14:37:04.636Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yes, I'd assume one of Draco's children would take up the mantle of Black if it came to that.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T00:02:42.171Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Or Draco himself.

Replies from: thomblake
comment by thomblake · 2012-04-13T00:33:00.730Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I assume Draco will remain a Malfoy and that you can't have both.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T02:56:51.722Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Can't you? Multiple titles, and even personal union of crowns, are pretty common in RL nobility and royalty. It being allowed would be my default assumption, and I know of no Potterverse evidence to the contrary.

Replies from: Vaniver, thomblake
comment by Vaniver · 2012-04-13T20:55:46.696Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

There's a difference between dynasties and titles. Houses are dynasties- lots and lots of people were Habsburgs, even though only one person held a title at any particular time. For example, Philip I was, in 1505, King of Castile, Duke of Burgundy, Duke of Brabant, Duke of Limburg, Duke of Lothier, Duke of Luxemburg, Margrave of Namur, Count Palatine of Burgundy, Count of Artois, Count of Charolais, Count of Flanders, Count of Hainault, Count of Holland, and Count of Zeeland, but only a member of one House- the Habsburgs.

Also, take a look at cadet branches.

It doesn't seem likely that wizards actually have hereditary titles that are linked to locations, since their power comes from magic, not farmland. Lord Malfoy is probably only a Lord because he's on the Wizengamot- Draco doesn't seem to have a courtesy title, as would befit the son of an important position in Muggle Britain.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T22:26:06.592Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Lord Malfoy is probably only a Lord because he's on the Wizengamot

In MoR, Malfoy is a Noble and Most Ancient House, which presumably comes with a title. In canon, Lucius is neither a Lord, nor on the Wizengamot.

Also, in MoR we have

Though she was not addressed as Lady, Madam Longbottom would exercise the full rights of the Longbottom family for so long as their last scion had yet to attain his majority, and she was considered a prominent figure in a minority faction of the Wizengamot.

Replies from: Vaniver
comment by Vaniver · 2012-04-13T23:56:41.416Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

In MoR, Malfoy is a Noble and Most Ancient House, which presumably comes with a title. In canon, Lucius is neither a Lord, nor on the Wizengamot.

My presumption is that title comes from being on the Wizengamot, not that he's on the Wizengamot because he has a title. That's mostly because I don't quite see what they would use the titles for, except as a medieval version of "Senator."

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-14T00:01:43.192Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Except we have an example in MoR of a prominent member of the Wizengamot not having a title, and one- Lord Greengrass- of someone having a title without being on the Wizengamot.

Replies from: Vaniver
comment by Vaniver · 2012-04-14T00:42:51.881Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Chapter 78 suggests that Lady Greengrass has a vote on the Wizengamot, and referring to consorts as Lord or Lady is standard. Not referring to Mrs. Longbottom as Lady seems odd, but I don't know how significant it is. (If EY has done extensive worldbuilding about the politics and courtesies of Wizarding Britain, it is opaque and appears to be a significant departure from canon.)

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-14T00:56:12.207Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yes, since he married a Lady of a Noble House it would make sense for him to become a Lord. It doesn't make sense for him to become a Senator because he married a Senator, though.

It seems to me that the face value of

On the right of Mrs. Davis, one would find the comely Lady and yet handsomer Lord of the Noble and Most Ancient House of Greengrass

is that the titles come from the family.

Edit: Not to mention Amelia Bones is on the Wizengamot, and she's not Lady Bones.

If EY has done extensive worldbuilding about the politics and courtesies of Wizarding Britain, it is opaque and appears to be a significant departure from canon.

Yes. We know this to be the case because people are being addressed by "Lord" and "Lady", which no one ever was in canon. (Except Voldemort.)

Replies from: Vaniver
comment by Vaniver · 2012-04-14T01:31:56.458Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

is that the titles come from the family.

Mr. Greengrass wasn't born to a House- and even if he were married to her matrilineally, I believe he'd remain houseless (under European rules).

My guess is that the system is not internally consistent, or at least not internally consistent enough to use formal logic instead of fuzzy logic. Bones is the head of a department of the Ministry, and may have been seated with Fudge and Umbridge instead of with the voting members.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-14T01:43:51.914Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Mr. Greengrass wasn't born to a House- and even if he were married to her matrilineally, I believe he'd remain houseless (under European rules).

So, wait, is this the case or is it true that "referring to consorts as Lord or Lady is standard."? Or both, somehow? I'm confused.

Bones is the head of a department of the Ministry, and may have been seated with Fudge and Umbridge instead of with the voting members.

I looked back through, and it seems you're right that her location wasn't mentioned. I guess the fact that she was on the Wizengamot in canon isn't much evidence in this case.

Replies from: Vaniver
comment by Vaniver · 2012-04-14T02:03:08.175Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

So, wait, is this the case or is it true that "referring to consorts as Lord or Lady is standard."? I'm confused.

Again, titles and dynasties (houses) are different things.

If the appellation accompanies the dynasty, then I'm pretty sure Lady Greengrass's husband would neither use her name or have a Lord title. For example, Prince Philip is a member of the House of Schleswig-Holstein-Sonderburg-Glücksburg, not the House of Windsor, the house of his wife, Queen Elizabeth. A patrilineal marriage is one in which the children are of the husband's house, and a matrilineal marriage is one in which the children are of the wife's house. (The practice of forming a new line with each new pairing, like with 'Potter-Evans-Verres', is incredibly short-sighted and is very uncommon. I know of no society where that was the norm for an extended period of time.)

If appellations follow the title, like in the UK, you get things like John Morrison, lowborn but raised to the peerage. His appellation is now Lord because of the barony he holds, and his wife's appellation is now Lady because her husband holds a barony. Similarly, Lady Greengrass would be married to Lord Greengrass under this system. (The Morrison dynasty would be everyone who can trace their lineage back to him and has the surname of Morrison- which comes with no legal benefits.)

I guess the fact that she was on the Wizengamot in canon isn't much evidence in this case.

This is modern UK politics, so I'm not clear on it, but I think ministers get votes in parliament? But that adds another wrinkle- I guess it would be a temporary vote, where Malfoy may have a life vote, and so he gets a title and she doesn't.

Edit again: I should mention that kinship, and the etiquette surrounding it, can get really thorny. So far I've been assuming patrilineal dynasties, which fits with canon Harry Potter and most of European history, but might not fit with MoR (as Greengrass and her husband are clearly a matrilineal couple). Sophia Dorothea was born into the House of Welf but became a member of the House of Hanover after marrying George I. So if both patrilineal and matrilineal marriage are common, then it could be that the Lord and Lady follow dynasties rather than titles.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-14T02:34:26.602Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's worth noting for the patrilineal / matrilineal thing that MoR!Wizarding Britain claims to have gender equality for quite a while (in matters other than heroism).

And the Wizengamot vastly predates the Ministry; it may be the case in canon, but I would be very surprised if the WizengaMoR gave department heads a voice in the body. Unless they had the right lineage, anyway.

comment by thomblake · 2012-04-13T14:13:17.753Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

In that case I'd expect in that case there to be more people whose title is something like "Lord of Malfoy, Black, Longbottom, and Potter".

Replies from: pedanterrific, Alsadius
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T20:39:15.416Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Oh god, bad fanfiction flashbacks...

Replies from: thomblake
comment by thomblake · 2012-04-13T20:44:25.532Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I wasn't sure whether it was relevant to include a note about those there.

If only Harry realized earlier that he was a descendant of all four Hogwarts founders, Merlin, Amaterasu, and Voltron.

Replies from: Eliezer_Yudkowsky, pedanterrific, SkyDK
comment by Eliezer Yudkowsky (Eliezer_Yudkowsky) · 2012-04-14T09:33:59.376Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Don't forget Naruto!

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-14T09:44:55.272Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Or better yet, do forget Naruto.

comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T20:50:55.048Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Not to mention the Sage of the Six Paths!

Not to mention...

comment by SkyDK · 2012-04-15T21:52:04.961Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I'd throw in son of Mr. Fantastic for good measure. (nobody says Lilly was faithful)

comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T14:37:38.029Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Long-form noble titles are used very rarely, because they're so unwieldy, and we've only seen a couple of folks who would be in a position to have multiple titles at all in the sort of detail where the long form would be used. Dumbledore is the only example I know of where they actually used anything longer than a few words. You're right that we might have seen one, but Rowling would likely have found it a bit too complex, and they're not so common that the lack is significant.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T20:40:04.287Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Rowling wouldn't have done it because the only nobility in canon Harry Potter is the Black family.

Replies from: ArisKatsaris, Desrtopa, Alsadius
comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-14T12:54:33.895Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I thought this contradicted at least some of what JKR said about the later (post-Hogwarts) reformation of the wizarding world accomplished by Hermione Granger, but it seems JKR just mentioned laws favoring pure-bloods, not laws favoring an aristocracy/nobility. The relevant passage is this:

After the final battle at Hogwarts, Hermione Granger attained a high position in the Ministry of Magic, first through the Department for the Regulation and Control of Magical Creatures. There, she continued her work with SPEW, working for the rights of underprivileged non-humans such as house-elves.

She then went on to attain a high position in the Department of Magical Law Enforcement, eradicating the old laws biased in favour of pure-bloods. Along with Harry and Ron, she helped to revolutionize the Ministry and reform the wizarding world. At some point, Hermione, Harry and Ron were all featured on Chocolate Frog Cards for their accomplishments.

comment by Desrtopa · 2012-04-13T22:01:21.528Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I'm pretty sure that Lucius Malfoy was Lord Malfoy in canon.

The canon Potterverse showed no signs of being semi-feudal though. I imagine that he was a lord in much the same way that present day Lords of the Commonwealth are, ie. upper class but without meaningful rights over the rest of the population.

Edit: a google search for Lord Malfoy doesn't appear to bring up any text results from canon, but the potter wiki describes him as "aristocratic".

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T22:07:39.022Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I'm pretty sure that Lucius Malfoy was Lord Malfoy in canon.

You would be wrong.

Edit in response to your edit: He is "aristocratic". He's rich, he lives in a manor, he carries a cane, and he's a pureblood. He's just not a lord, or any other sort of noble.

comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T21:57:17.214Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Really? That doesn't seem right.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T22:04:18.635Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You're right, actually, it isn't. The Black family is just called "the Noble and Most Ancient House of Black", it doesn't actually have any members with any sort of title. So there isn't any nobility.

Sources: NaMAH search, nobility in Harry Potter

comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-11T08:58:38.204Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Maybe Andromeda Black-Tonks can to revive the house even though she was disowned if all the other members are dead or Azkabaned.

comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-11T04:30:31.186Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

My hypothesis is stated here, by the way- the thread goes on to include discussion of Noble Houses.

Replies from: Vaniver
comment by Vaniver · 2012-04-11T05:10:21.506Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

None of the canon classmates are noble, though.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-11T05:11:18.003Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The only canon Noble and Most Ancient House is Black, though.

Replies from: Vaniver
comment by Vaniver · 2012-04-11T05:22:21.661Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Hm. It looks like EY just took any pure-blood family and decided to make it a Noble House- that suggests Crouch is one too, and possibly Lestrange. (But there are way more than seven of those.)

Replies from: pedanterrific, ArisKatsaris
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-11T05:25:30.068Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Thank Donny for noticing this, but apparently there's a distinction being drawn between 'Noble' Houses like Potter and 'Noble and Most Ancient' Houses like Malfoy, Longbottom, Greengrass and Black.

Replies from: Vaniver, linkhyrule5
comment by Vaniver · 2012-04-11T05:40:34.487Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Indeed. I count 18 families 'related to' the House of Black, and if all of those are Noble or Noble and Most Ancient we could quickly round out the list.

Both Rosier and Lestrange show up on that list, so that raises my estimate that Bones thinks Quirrel is one of those classmates instead, but both of them were Death Eaters. Since so much is diverging from canon here, I suspect I should stop trying to predict based on canon and just wait to see what's changed.

(I couldn't resist, some more research: the Peverell family is extinct in the male line, suggesting that they might have been Noble and Most Ancient and the Potters, descended from them in the female line, are just Noble. That would mean that Riddle is just Noble, rather than Noble and Most Ancient, though, but who knows.)

comment by linkhyrule5 · 2012-04-11T05:44:32.470Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Presumably they're... well, at the risk of being obvious, the Most Ancient Houses?

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-11T05:48:00.629Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Then how could the destruction of one cause their numbers to fall from eight to seven? If it's just a matter of who can trace their roots back the farthest, surely the next-oldest would be bumped up.

Replies from: taelor, None
comment by taelor · 2012-04-11T09:14:28.282Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Possibly there's some cutoff point, with only houses founded before that point given the Most Ancient label; whether this comes with any official privileges beyond just being old and respected remains to be seen.

Replies from: LucasSloan
comment by LucasSloan · 2012-04-11T09:19:37.950Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It seems like the obvious cut-off point would be the original houses founded when Merlin created the Wizengamot.

comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-11T06:41:04.619Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

By now the Most Ancient label has shifted from being descriptive, to just part of the name

comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-11T10:54:03.325Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It looks like EY just took any pure-blood family and decided to make it a Noble House

This is lazy of you, downvoted.

The Crabbes and Goyles have not been declared noble. The Parkinsons and Montagues and Boles have not been declared noble.

comment by Anubhav · 2012-04-11T11:32:24.562Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Eliezer has jossed this. Page 118 or so of the TVTropes discussion.

Replies from: Vaniver
comment by Vaniver · 2012-04-11T15:50:33.308Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

A link would be very helpful.

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-12T16:10:31.867Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's elsewhere in the thread, now. But here it is, anyway.

comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-11T10:47:12.822Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I think we have HPMOR confirmation of Malfoy, Potter, Greengrass, and Longbottom, and

House Potter is not "Most Ancient".

In HPMor, we have Malfoy, Black, Greengrass and Longbottom declared explicitly as "Noble and Most Ancient".

comment by LKtheGreat · 2012-04-15T16:22:02.192Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

How likely is it that the outcome of the Defense Professor's talk with Hermione was genuinely not what he wanted? Surely he has to have realized by now that Hermione is the sort of person who'd act like that, however incomprehensible it may be to him. I am reminded of the passage in the LotR omake that reads:

"If the Enemy thought that all his foes were moved by desire for power alone - he would guess wrongly, over and over, and the Maker of this Ring would see that, he would know that somewhere he had made a mistake!"

Maybe he truly doesn't understand her psychology, especially if he doesn't have H&C's, erm, experimentation to draw on. (I rather think he is H&C, but that's another issue entirely.) But working from the supposition that he wanted Hermione to react as she did, what does he gain from that?

  • She's within easy striking distance if he wants to use her in some future action.

  • She's acquired extra suspicion of the Defense Professor, which she will communicate to Harry, and which the Defense Professor may duly disprove to Harry, strengthening the latter's trust.

  • She may, if she stays near Harry, do something unpredictably Good (c.f. SPHEW) of her own free will (inasmuch as that exists anymore) that would be useful for enacting various lessons.

  • Something else that I haven't thought of yet.

Replies from: ArisKatsaris
comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-15T17:51:09.355Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Hermione came very very close to agreeing with the Defense Professor, and we see him using all the ways and mannerisms which cause her to trust him a little bit more -- not to 'acquire extra suspicion'.

So, no, I think Quirrel made a very very good attempt at what he wanted -- getting Hermione away. He simply failed.

Replies from: gwern
comment by gwern · 2012-04-15T20:04:55.641Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

He knows Hermione is suspicious of him. Why did he not let Harry - whom IIRC we previously saw saying that Hermione ought to be sent to Beauxbatons - beg Hermione to leave, or failing that, order her? Why did he make the blatantly manipulative hard-sell tactic of 'buy now, this is a limited-time offer only!' to someone whom he knows distrusts him, has read literature on manipulative tactics, and without giving a convincing Inside View explanation for why it's genuine and not what the Outside View says it is (manipulation)? Is this all reverse-psychology?

Replies from: ArisKatsaris, LKtheGreat
comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-15T20:44:51.489Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Why did he not let Harry - whom IIRC we previously saw saying that Hermione ought to be sent to Beauxbatons - beg Hermione to leave, or failing that, order her?

"Why did he not let"? I don't see any place where Quirrel isn't "letting" Harry do these things. Perhaps your question should be better phrased why he didn't ask Harry to do these things?

I think a simple enough answer is that he feels he has a better chance of convincing Hermione to leave, than to convince Harry to force Hermione to leave against her will. Since Bellatrix, Harry has learned to inquire about what is in it for Quirrel when Quirrel asks him to do things. And he'll see that wanting Hermione to leave may be to the advantage of whomever wanted to frame her in the first place, as both events lead to a Hogwarts without Hermione in it.

Is this all reverse-psychology?

I don't understand your usage of the term. It's me who's saying he wanted her to leave (aka non-reverse psychology), it's LKtheGreat and you who seem to be saying he was applying reverse-psychology and that he really wanted her to stay.

Why did he make the blatantly manipulative hard-sell tactic of 'buy now, this is a limited-time offer only!'

The simplest explanation of why someone tries to manipulate you into doing something is because they want you to do it.

And frankly he came very close to getting her to say "Yes." We were inside Hermione's head. Quirrel came close to succeeding. If someone comes that close to succeeding, and fails just by something tiny which is outside their control, then the simplest explanation is that they wanted to succeed.

Replies from: Desrtopa
comment by Desrtopa · 2012-04-16T18:53:41.693Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's particularly worth considering that if Quirrel's last success in manipulating Hermione came at the end of a long obliviation cycle, then that was achieved when she was already in a state of mental exhaustion.

comment by LKtheGreat · 2012-04-15T21:05:06.183Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Excellent point about Harry. The Defense Professor virtually certainly knows Harry's opinions on the subject, whether by his mental model of Harry or by observing him telling anyone who'll listen that Hogwarts is dangerous.

On the other hand, I believe we've seen Harry failing to convince Hermione of something she was morally set on, much like this. (Anybody remember the specific incident, or am I imagining things?) Once Hermione had refused Harry's entreaties for her to leave, it would have been much harder for the Defense Professor to change her opinion.

And finally, there's this:

She couldn't have described it in words, what triggered the realization, unless it was the sheer pressure that the Defense Professor was exerting on her.

Which supports your argument that he's being a little too over-the-top. The Defense Professor is above all, subtle - this kind of all-out effort is not like him. Maybe there's some time constraint, though, and he doesn't have time for "subtle?" Aargh.

comment by jaimeastorga2000 · 2012-04-14T17:08:05.078Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

This attempted murder was well-planned to evade detection both by the wards of Hogwarts and the Headmaster's timely eye.

Quirrell sure loves his stealth puns. Is there any reason he is not openly telling Hermione about Dumbledore's time turner?

The Defense Professor turned his head down from the sky to regard her; and she saw, in the light of the doorway, that he was smiling - or at least half his face was smiling.

Is Quirrell's half-smile a reference to Robin Hanson's picture?

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-14T18:32:47.507Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Is there any reason he is not openly telling Hermione about Dumbledore's time turner?

Why would it benefit him for her to know about it?

and she saw, in the light of the doorway, that he was smiling - or at least half his face was smiling.

Is Quirrell's half-smile a reference to Robin Hanson's picture?

If the light's coming from the doorway, it's one side of his face that's illuminated, not the bottom.

Edit: ...that is a pretty creepy picture, isn't it?

comment by Incorrect · 2012-04-11T19:30:39.895Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It was like a glass of warm water thrown into her face.

What exactly is this supposed to evoke?

Replies from: knb, gwern, VKS
comment by knb · 2012-04-12T07:53:15.237Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It was a surprise, but a "warm" (i.e. emotionally positive) surprise.

comment by gwern · 2012-04-11T20:10:36.134Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's... um, oversteeped lukewarm tea!

Replies from: NancyLebovitz
comment by NancyLebovitz · 2012-04-11T22:21:54.734Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Kind of like a glass of cold water, but not shocking is how I interpreted it.

Replies from: Incorrect
comment by Incorrect · 2012-04-11T23:00:01.545Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Maybe it's a joke. EY could mean that her response to it is the same as our response to the simile: confusion.

comment by VKS · 2012-04-12T19:42:57.781Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Like a glass of cold water, but more unexpected.

comment by nohatmaker · 2012-04-11T17:36:18.951Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The prophecy (at least canon - I remember MOR having a slightly different one, but cannot find it offhand) could point to two identities of Tom Riddle. The hero and the villain. Neither can (truly) live while the other survives.

Replies from: Normal_Anomaly
comment by Normal_Anomaly · 2012-04-11T21:10:46.030Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Unfortunately that's one of the phrases that isn't in the MOR version. It's "either must destroy all but a remnant of the other, for those two spirits cannot exist in the same world."

Replies from: None, gjm, Slackson
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-11T21:23:27.756Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

That part could still fit. Certainly Voldemort and Noble Hero cannot (simultaneously) exist in the same world.

"The one with the power approaches" seems anachronistic, though, and "Born to those who have thrice defied him" doesn't make much sense unless we assume the defying happened after he was born (even then, it doesn't quite fit). Finally, "He will have power the Dark Lord knows not" is virtually impossible if they are the same person.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-11T22:26:37.550Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

That part could still fit. Certainly Voldemort and Noble Hero cannot (simultaneously) exist in the same world.

For more than six hours a day.

comment by gjm · 2012-04-12T10:03:33.174Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The (rather clumsy) "all but a remnant" phrasing is interesting. It seems likely that Harry's "dark side" is a Voldemort-horcrux or something very similar, and he's promised (somewhere in TSPE) to protect that. So perhaps he kills Quirrell but lets Voldie live on in his horcrux, and they go off and travel the stars together :-).

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-12T16:15:00.211Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

That's something I hadn't thought of before. When I first heard the prophecy I immediately assumed it just meant Harry didn't need to come up with a way to deal with the Pioneer, and I didn't reevaluate upon Harry's reconciliation with his dark side.

Also, I've been wondering what that means in reverse- what's stopping Voldemort from destroying all of Harry, what would his remnant be? Interesting thought- maybe Harry's dark side counts as a remnant of Harry, too.

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-12T17:58:22.431Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Interesting thought- maybe Harry's dark side counts as a remnant of Harry, too.

But how could Harry's dark side endure with Harry gone?

I am tempted to suggest Harry's legacy (the Patronus 2.0, application of rationality to magic etc.) as a remnant of Harry that Voldemort couldn't destroy. Although Voldemort has his own legacy (the Death Eaters, the impact of the war), and it would be strange to talk of anyone "destroying" that.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T03:27:51.209Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Perhaps the prophecy is saying that the only way for Voldemort to destroy Harry is to use Harry's style or powers against him? Voldemort with a Patronus 2.0 would likely count as a "remnant".

comment by Slackson · 2012-04-12T00:03:37.264Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Hmm. The "those two spirits cannot exist in the same world" part makes me think of an irresistible force and an immovable body. Not sure if that's at all relevant.

Replies from: faul_sname
comment by faul_sname · 2012-04-12T08:04:56.996Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

How so? I get the same sense, but I can't seem to pin it down.

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-12T18:01:09.878Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Perhaps it is the "cannot", rather than "must not" or "should not", with its implication of a fundamental incompatibility rather than a moral imperative. "These two things cannot exist in the same world" suggests paradox if they do.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T03:26:30.533Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Though of course, Potter and Voldemort exist in the same world for 17 years without breaching physical law in canon, so perhaps it's not entirely literal.

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-13T12:26:17.105Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Indeed. My comment was trying to account for Slackson and faul_sname's psychological reactions, rather than describe the literal meaning of the prophecy itself.

comment by NancyLebovitz · 2012-04-11T13:23:57.671Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Not that Rowling did impeccable world-building, but is it possible to put together a plausible history of muggle influences on wizarding culture?

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-11T14:49:29.227Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

In the first place, I realise that you're probably going for an understatement, but I think it's worth noting that Rowling's world-building, in terms of thinking through consequences and implications, is actually atrocious rather than merely inferior. I'll never forget the moment when I realised that DISINTEGRATING LIVE KITTENS is standard spell practice for schoolchildren in the Potterverse, and no-one bats an eyelid. I sometimes ponder whether Rowling herself places an unnaturally low value on any form of life that can't speak a human language, or whether the themes evoked in the last books (that wizards are overdue to pay for their appalling record on non-human rights) are deliberately woven into the Potterverse at an extremely deep level.

That aside, could you give some examples of what you would consider such influences? Given that senior wizards in canon need to have guns explained to them, and that Muggle expert Arthur Weasley struggles to even pronounce "electricity", wizard obliviousness to Muggle society would seem to run so deep that I struggle to imagine one much influencing the other.

Replies from: Alsadius, NancyLebovitz, NihilCredo, DanArmak, Sheaman3773
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T02:42:35.302Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

What's wrong with disintegrating kittens? They're not much different than chickens, and we slaughter a billion of those(literally) every week.

Also, if you didn't realize by book 7 that wizarding Britain is actually a pretty terrible place, you weren't paying much attention.

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-13T12:24:05.957Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Also, if you didn't realize by book 7 that wizarding Britain is actually a pretty terrible place, you weren't paying much attention.

Wizarding Britain is a pretty terrible place - my contention is that I don't think Rowling realised how terrible it was when she was writing the books.

What's wrong with disintegrating kittens? They're not much different than chickens, and we slaughter a billion of those(literally) every week.

Actually, as an ethical vegetarian, I find plenty wrong with that too. But that's besides the point. The point is that, in our world, the slaughtering is still done

  • In specialised places away from the public eye
  • By professionals who have chosen to work as farmers
  • On animals which are culturally designated as food animals

The average teenager does not kill animals unless they've been brought up on a farm or in a context in which certain species have been firmly categorised as pests/vermin in their minds. They especially do not kill animals they categorise as pets unless they are psychologically disturbed.

Here we have a classroom of average teenagers who unhesitatingly follow instructions to kill kittens, in spite of the fact that some of them have pet cats and that there is no higher purpose for doing so (the goal is apparently to be able to Vanish higher-level animals still). Not one of them is described as objecting or showing distress (which even Milgram's subjects did).

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T15:01:24.139Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

There is no way that any citizen of a modern democracy could have written the courtroom scene in Order of the Phoenix and thought well of the society that produced it. That's when I started to really see how rotten the country was. Similarly, look at the utter incompetence of the politicians - they're worse than ours, and that takes some doing. There's enough other examples scattered throughout that I cannot believe that they were placed there unconsciously.

And yes, slaughtering is done in slaughterhouses...because it's messy, smelly, and requires some pretty specialized sanitation measures. The average teenager doesn't assemble cars either, for similar reasons, but they wouldn't object to auto shop. You're right that the pet/food distinction exists, though it's not universal - horse, for example, has commonly been treated as both. The fact that they use cats is odd for the muggleborn, even if wizards put them into a different category(assuming that they do die).

And re Milgram, remember that they were zapping humans, not animals. Even most vegetarians I know feel there's a pretty important difference there.

Replies from: Velorien, TimS
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-13T15:40:14.943Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

There's enough other examples scattered throughout that I cannot believe that they were placed there unconsciously.

I agree that the politicians are deliberately incompetent/immoral, but overall my perspective on Rowling's world-building is opposite to yours. There are so many gaping flaws and inconsistencies in the Potterverse as a whole that I have trouble believing that a specific minority is deliberate while all the others are accidental.

Also, Rowling isn't exactly subtle with her villains. With the possible exceptions of Snape and very late Draco, Potterverse evil is morally unambiguous and obvious to the reader. This inclines me to believe that if an act is in no way condemned within the text, explicitly or implicitly, this is because it is not intended to be seen as wrong.

And yes, slaughtering is done in slaughterhouses...because it's messy, smelly, and requires some pretty specialized sanitation measures. The average teenager doesn't assemble cars either, for similar reasons, but they wouldn't object to auto shop.

You seem to imply that, if it could be done in a suitably clean and convenient fashion, the average teenager would happily slaughter their own cows, chickens, lambs etc. for dinner on a daily basis, without a preceding process of desensitisation (which the majority do not go through). I disagree.

And re Milgram, remember that they were zapping humans, not animals. Even most vegetarians I know feel there's a pretty important difference there.

Definitely, but I think it's quantitative rather than qualitative. A human's suffering might have 500 AU of emotional impact whereas a cat's has 50, but when an animal's pain or distress is obvious, there will still be emotional consequences for the one causing it (unless they have succeeded in fully objectifying the animal, the way a psychopath objectifies other humans).

Replies from: Alsadius, DanArmak
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T19:37:05.961Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

World-building: Plot holes are a lot easier to make by mistake than atmosphere for the average author. Most of the "this place sucks" seems atmospheric to me - Rowling may not have thought as poorly of her world as I do, but I doubt she thinks it'd be a great place to live after the wonder wore off.

Unambiguous evil: I disagree entirely. Yes, the Death Eaters and Dementors are unambiguous, but Snape drove back and forth across that line so many times that it's ridiculous("possible", really?), Grindelwald was appealing enough to draw Dumbledore in, Hagrid was criminally stupid half the times we saw him(literally), Lockhart/Slughorn/every politician were some combination of pathetic and loathsome, Percy Weasley was an utter git and a massive enabler, and I could go on. Admittedly, most of those weren't big-E Evil, but they certainly did not lack for human flaws and ill consequences. Don't let the unambiguousness of Voldemort or Umbridge fool you.

Slaughter: It wasn't that long ago that's precisely what happened. And even today, I spent the last few days with the part of my family that's farmers, and all of them have been hunting since childhood. Perhaps that's "desensitization", but if so it's an utterly common sort in the right cultures. Death being locked away is a modern innovation, not the natural order of things.

Milgram: Yes, people react extremely poorly to animals suffering - sometimes worse than to humans suffering(which can be funny or just, depending, not necessarily simple torture). But Vanishing is not suffering, it's simply death, as odd as that sounds. That's a lot easier to handle when it's applied to animals.

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-13T21:34:09.111Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

World-building: Plot holes are a lot easier to make by mistake than atmosphere for the average author. Most of the "this place sucks" seems atmospheric to me - Rowling may not have thought as poorly of her world as I do, but I doubt she thinks it'd be a great place to live after the wonder wore off.

Yet the "this place sucks" atmosphere doesn't actually kick in for real until Book 5, when the protagonist finds himself on the wrong side of the barricades for the first time (and also when Rowling leaves the teenage angst tap on). Until then, the dominant theme is that of a marvellous, whimsical magical world that's so dazzling with its uniqueness that you don't stop to question the holes and contradictions. It seems likely that touches such as Vanishing kittens are meant to be seen in this context rather than the negative one of the later books (which in any case focuses heavily on formal structures such as law, politics and media rather than day-to-day social practices).

Unambiguous evil: I disagree entirely. Yes, the Death Eaters and Dementors are unambiguous, but Snape drove back and forth across that line so many times that it's ridiculous("possible", really?), Grindelwald was appealing enough to draw Dumbledore in, Hagrid was criminally stupid half the times we saw him(literally), Lockhart/Slughorn/every politician were some combination of pathetic and loathsome, Percy Weasley was an utter git and a massive enabler, and I could go on. Admittedly, most of those weren't big-E Evil, but they certainly did not lack for human flaws and ill consequences. Don't let the unambiguousness of Voldemort or Umbridge fool you.

That's exactly my point. Apart from Snape, the reader never has to stop and think "is this person good or bad?" Grindelwald is charming but proto-evil even in his youth (based on his views), Hagrid is unambiguously well-intentioned even at his stupidest, Lockhart and Slughorn are clearly low-grade evil (though at least by the time we get to Slughorn, Rowling is learning to make bad people slightly sympathetic), and Percy Weasley has no redeeming features until he actually gets redeemed. You never have to think in order to tell good from bad (apart from Snape). And this leads me to believe that if something is not portrayed as bad in the least, then you're not meant to think it is, because it seems foolish to save all your subtlety for details of world-building and use none in characterisation.

Slaughter: It wasn't that long ago that's precisely what happened. And even today, I spent the last few days with the part of my family that's farmers, and all of them have been hunting since childhood. Perhaps that's "desensitization", but if so it's an utterly common sort in the right cultures. Death being locked away is a modern innovation, not the natural order of things.

That's not relevant in this context, though. We're not dealing with people from cultures elsewhere in the world, or from a different time period. We're dealing with modern British children, some from Muggle society and some from wizard society, engaging in practices that contradict at least the norms of Muggle society and possibly the wizard one as well.

But Vanishing is not suffering, it's simply death, as odd as that sounds. That's a lot easier to handle when it's applied to animals.

Yup, and that would certainly reduce the psychological impact of Vanishing Charm practice to some extent. Of course, there are also other spells practised on live animals that do not have this saving grace ("your pincushion still quivers in fear whenever somebody approaches it with a pin").

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T22:12:25.757Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I find your impressions of good and evil rather amusing. Grindelwald is basically a utilitarian, something that most people are, he just doesn't do it very well. Slughorn was specifically introduced to be a good guy Slytherin, if a bit weaselly, so I disagree with you there as well. And Percy's a tool, but he's not actually evil, he's mostly just self-important and clueless - ditto Lockhart, for that matter. It's nowhere near as morally arguable as MoR, but it's hardly a world of cardboard either.

Re Vanishing, that's a fair point. But to counter - what do the kids get told about where the cats go? Regardless of the truth of the matter, if they're told "Oh, we just bring them back after class", then they'll be fine with it.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T22:37:08.363Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

And Percy's a tool, but he's not actually evil, he's mostly just self-important and clueless - ditto Lockhart, for that matter.

Lockhart mindwiped a bunch of people to steal credit for their good deeds. He ended up attempting to mindwipe Harry and Ron. He's evil.

Replies from: loserthree, Alsadius
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-14T01:02:43.346Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Lockhart mindwiped a bunch of people to steal credit for their good deeds. He ended up attempting to mindwipe Harry and Ron. He's evil.

Evil, perhaps, but also correct about some important points. If you compare his back story to Harry Potter's interactions with the public in the remainder of the series, Lockhart does handle fame better and if he'd taken credit (and if there hadn't been a series of additional threats waiting in the wings that he had no reason to expect) it would have been better for Harry to have been ignorant of his own involvement.

Lockhart's fame-sink argument may well have been just as correct for all those other, earlier people he swindled.

But I agree that Rowling meant him to be irredeemably evil.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-14T01:04:36.335Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

If you compare his back story to HJPEV's interactions with the public in the remainder of the series

What does the EV stand for in this case?

Edit:

Lockhart does handle fame better and if he'd taken credit (and if there hadn't been a series of additional threats waiting in the wings that he had no reason to expect) it would have been better for HJPEV to have been ignorant of his own involvement.

He tried to mindwipe them before they actually killed the basilisk. And I always read

"The adventure ends here, boys!" he said. "I shall take a bit of this skin back up to the school, tell them I was too late to save the girl, and that you two tragically lost your minds at the sight of her mangled body - say good-bye to your memories!"

as indicating a complete mindwipe, of the sort that (not coincidentally) happened to Lockhart when his spell backfired.

Replies from: loserthree, Alsadius
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-14T01:12:34.992Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

What does the EV stand for in this case?

Gah! Thank you. I'll excuse myself by saying I just got up, it's early 'morning' for my graveyard shift.

That would quite exactly undo the entire reason I use that name. How embarrassing.

Reply to Edit : You're right. It's been too long since I read the original and I've allowed certain fanfiction to cloud my judgement.

comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-14T04:24:34.206Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

What does the EV stand for in this case?

'E's Very habitual when it comes to writing names in acronym form, clearly.

comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-14T00:06:07.515Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Okay, fair(though most of the reason most people disliked Lockhart had more to do with the incompetence than the evil, from what I've seen). But I stand by Percy - he reminds me of Elaida from Wheel of Time, if you've read it. Not actually evil, and in fact trying to be good, but so utterly incompetent about it that everyone's surprised by that.

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-14T22:01:36.233Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

But here's the thing - his portrayal has pretty much no redeeming features. He's not even "nice unless you get in the way of his ambitions", he's just low-grade nasty all the time, except when he's being blatantly patronising. Whatever the big picture view of his personality, at any given time he is either 100% unpleasant or actually redeemed.

I think that goes for most of the other characters as well. They aren't portrayed as, say, positive 10% of the time and negative 90% of the time - instead, every single thing they do conforms to the same moral level. Someone like Lockhart couldn't pet a kitten without it being a PR move (or possibly without accidentally hurting it to demonstrate his incompetence).

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-15T20:49:48.133Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Granted, but it's possible to be unpleasant without being evil. In fact, that was my original point - you said "we never need to think about who's evil", and then went through my list and sorted 2/5 into the wrong box. Yes, Percy's a jerk and Slughorn's a single-minded social climber, but neither of them actually means ill any more than Hagrid does. That doesn't make them evil.

Replies from: Vaniver, wedrifid
comment by Vaniver · 2012-04-15T20:58:13.516Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

In fact, that was my original point - you said "we never need to think about who's evil", and then went through my list and sorted 2/5 into the wrong box.

Wrong box? I think you might be giving your interpretation a bit too much credit, especially with Lockhart.

comment by wedrifid · 2012-04-15T20:57:11.324Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yes, Percy's a jerk and Slughorn's a single-minded social climber, but neither of them actually means ill any more than Hagrid does. That doesn't make them evil.

'Evil' isn't a synonym of 'malicious'.

Indifference combined with the aggressive seeking of a particular incompatible goal can well and truly result in fitting the description of 'evil' so long as the judged remains sufficiently socially near that making a moral judgement makes sense. "Actually meaning ill" is not required.

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-15T23:29:26.701Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Maybe "evil" is a word with too many connotations. Let's try "bad". If a character is "bad" in the Potterverse, then they will be the same level of "bad" 100% of the time, whether that level is "being obnoxious and sucking up to authority" or "casual murder of anyone who gets in the way". They will never display moral complexity unless their name is Severus or Draco.

I'm reminded of the attribution fallacy. The protagonists act well or badly in response to the circumstances they're in. The antagonists have "badness" of one sort or another as an integral feature of their character, and all their actions reflect it.

comment by DanArmak · 2012-04-13T17:14:48.633Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You seem to imply that, if it could be done in a suitably clean and convenient fashion, the average teenager would happily slaughter their own cows, chickens, lambs etc. for dinner on a daily basis, without a preceding process of desensitisation (which the majority do not go through). I disagree.

Up to a few hundred years ago, almost all teenagers lived in a rural context and did just that. A big part of the world population still does.

The necessary desensitization occurred simply by growing up there - being aware of it and considering it to be a normal part of life. Maybe if normal young children (11yo) are placed in an environment where their peers, upperclassmen and instructors all do it and act like it's perfectly normal, then they'll get used to it in a couple of days and it'll be normal for them too. Why do you expect otherwise?

I agree that killing species preconceived of as pets rather than food, pests, etc. could require more desensitization for some children.

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-13T17:26:30.220Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You seem to argue that the majority of teenagers would act in the way you suggest if it were a natural part of the culture they were brought up in. I agree.

However, I don't think we have evidence to believe that British wizarding culture is such. And even if it were, this would not account for why Muggleborn students (including pet cat owner Hermione) act no differently to their pureblood counterparts.

Replies from: DanArmak
comment by DanArmak · 2012-04-14T14:16:56.737Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

[...] if it were a natural part of the culture they were brought up in. [...] However, I don't think we have evidence to believe that British wizarding culture is such.

They routinely have children kill (vanish) animals in class to learn a spell. Their parents presumably did the same when they were in school. Isn't this pretty much the definition of it being a natural part of the culture?

As for Hermione, I agree with the interpretation "Rowling is a bad writer" over "she is making a subtle point here".

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-14T22:16:31.245Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Circular argument, I think. "It's presently OK to kill animals in class, therefore it must have been the same in the past, therefore it must be part of the culture, therefore it's presently OK to kill animals in class".

Replies from: DanArmak
comment by DanArmak · 2012-04-16T07:53:41.375Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Read "is OK to ..." to mean a cultural norm, not a judgement made by my or yours real values.

My argument is then: It's presently OK (in their culture); therefore (all else being equal) it's likely to have been OK in the recent past, and is not a recent innovation; therefore it matches the definition for being a part of their culture.

The last link to "therefore it's OK" that you propose is simply not necessary, I have already reached my conclusion.

Now if you read "it's OK" as meaning I, User:DanArmak, think it's OK for wizards to kill kittens, that would be a circular argument, and also a wrong one (because I don't think so). But that's not what I was saying.

comment by TimS · 2012-04-13T21:06:09.746Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

There is no way that any citizen of a modern democracy could have written the courtroom scene in Order of the Phoenix and thought well of the society that produced it. That's when I started to really see how rotten the country was. Similarly, look at the utter incompetence of the politicians - they're worse than ours, and that takes some doing. There's enough other examples scattered throughout that I cannot believe that they were placed there unconsciously.

Politics and litigation are almost totally incomprehensible to the average citizen. Therefore, it seems very plausible to me that Rowling thought she was depicting something analogous to what actually happens. Maybe not what happens frequently, but happens occasionally in a country the size of Magical Britain.

I think she's wrong to think her depictions were realistic, but that's a separate issue.

Replies from: pedanterrific, Alsadius
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T22:30:42.693Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I don't know, Magical Britain is the size of a small town. It doesn't seem unreasonable that small towns with no higher authority to answer to would devolve into that.

comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T22:13:40.038Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

If she intended that to be accurate, then she makes CSI look well-researched.

Replies from: TimS
comment by TimS · 2012-04-13T22:44:24.280Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I think she intended it to be plausible. Weren't we just discussing what a terrible worldbuilder Rowling is?

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-14T04:25:47.807Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's an entirely plausible legal process...for a shitty country stuck in the Middle Ages. If she's so much as watched an episode of Matlock, she'd be aware of how far outside the realm of modern legal procedure it is.

comment by NancyLebovitz · 2012-04-11T14:58:49.071Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yes, understatement. I'm not sure what probability you should have attached.

They celebrate Christmas.

It's possible that they invented scrolls for themselves, but I'm not counting on it.

IIRC, they use the Roman alphabet, or at least I don't remember British muggle students having to learn a different alphabet.

Their spells show an influence from Latin.

Hogwarts resembles a British public school.

They speak English, even if words relating to technology and science are absent.

They use a train.

Faint memory: didn't they have a statue in plate armor?

Replies from: loserthree, cultureulterior
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-11T16:24:12.327Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Clothing.

Crockery.

Shelters, both portable and permanent (masonry, carpentry, and textile)

Prepared foods (despite divergence).

Eye glasses.

The custom of men shaving their faces

The custom of women being more likely than men to have long hair (not actually sure about this one for adults, but it seems to apply to the children)

Theater.

It is a difficult thing to make a complete list. Days later I'm sure I'll have twenty more if I didn't hear of a better puzzle.

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-11T17:55:03.651Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Faint memory: didn't they have a statue in plate armor?

Yup. For that matter, Sir Cadogan is fairly unambiguously described as a mounted knight.

On the other hand, I'm not sure how this project is to be reliably carried out without knowing what wizards could have invented for themselves - or, indeed, how far back the separation between the two societies goes historically. I'll give you the train, certainly, but on the other hand:

They celebrate Christmas.

Early Christianity may have existed before Muggle and wizard societies separated. It may have had both wizard and Muggle worshippers (Rowling is silent on the matter of religion, but resurrection would be just as miraculous to wizards). For that matter, Jesus could have existed in the Potterverse, in which case odds of him being a wizard are extremely high.

IIRC, they use the Roman alphabet, or at least I don't remember British muggle students having to learn a different alphabet.

The Muggle and wizard communities are tightly bound enough to maintain the same language (they share the same geographical territory, and intermarriage is not uncommon). Assuming that, at some point in the past, wizardry emerged from a Muggle population, there's no reason why the two should not share the same linguistic evolution.

Their spells show an influence from Latin.

Which suggests the existence of Roman wizards, supporting the above point.

Hogwarts resembles a British public school.

Fair point. Although I struggle to come up with a mechanism by which nearly-modern Muggle teaching practices should come to be adopted by a school founded nearly a millennium earlier by wizarding purebloods, and maintained in a highly conservative fashion. If anything, one might speculate that British public schools are influenced by Hogwarts.

They speak English, even if words relating to technology and science are absent.

See above.

They use a train.

No contest. Ditto the printing press. I think our best bet may be to look at technologies which wizards would not have developed on their own (e.g. in that no other standard wizarding form of transport we know remotely resembles a train, or something which could evolve into a train). But that's a much more limited list.

Replies from: EchoingHorror, taelor
comment by EchoingHorror · 2012-04-11T20:14:51.650Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Jesus in Potterverse, as a wizard who experimented with turning squib-disciples into wizards so he could eventually do the same with all muggles and be their king. His blood in wine-potions and flesh in bread-potions only gave the recipients as much magic as went into creating those body parts, allowing the occasional "miracle".

Decades after this story, Draco and his Science Eaters isolate and replicate the magic genes and start making potions that turn muggles and squibs into wizards (but also marks them in a way they can't see, for ... research, and to give them extra power), and use their huge army of new wizards and noble and blood purist allies everywhere to conquer the world. Hermione leads a resistance force of the best trained wizards alive to stop them. Harry discovers that Draco's mark sets in too soon before the transformation to wizard is complete, becoming fatal within a few years in ~90% of cases, which Draco considers an acceptable risk to become a wizard. And that it bends their will to Draco's. So Harry, the elite Bayesian Conspiracy, and the Chaos Legion, formed from anyone/anything else that would fight, fight to remove the mark, stop Hermione's people from killing new wizards before they've been freed and had a chance to choose their own actions, distribute a potion that doesn't fatally mark new wizards, and protect the new wizards without the mark, who are about as powerful as third-years.

The rise in wizard creation and deaths triggers the end of Jesus's stasis spell, and he analyzes the situation, gathers Harry, Hermione, and Draco together, and tells Harry to divide a third of his troops between Draco's and Hermione's armies, to make it fair. Hermione dies.

Replies from: thomblake, LauralH
comment by thomblake · 2012-04-11T20:31:51.919Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The rise in wizard creation and deaths triggers the end of Jesus's stasis spell, and he analyzes the situation, gathers Harry, Hermione, and Draco together, and tells Harry to divide a third of his troops between Draco's and Hermione's armies, to make it fair.

Upvoted for this part.

Replies from: EchoingHorror
comment by EchoingHorror · 2012-04-18T00:18:31.718Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Thanks. The middle paragraph was far too predictable and mundane to exist without the proper punchline.

comment by LauralH · 2012-04-14T05:50:47.403Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Wow, now I sorta want to write this... well, the first paragraph anyway. BIBLE/POTTER CROSSOVERS!

comment by taelor · 2012-04-12T04:33:10.548Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Early Christianity may have existed before Muggle and wizard societies separated. It may have had both wizard and Muggle worshippers (Rowling is silent on the matter of religion, but resurrection would be just as miraculous to wizards). For that matter, Jesus could have existed in the Potterverse, in which case odds of him being a wizard are extremely high.

Early Christians did not have a tradition regarding a fat, bearded man commemorating the birth of their savior by giving gifts to good children.

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-12T13:47:35.375Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Nor do we know that wizards have one. We know that people give each other presents at Christmas. We also know that there is a wizard explanation for the hanging of green and red decorations. Are there any other features of Muggle Christmas that show up in canon?

Replies from: pedanterrific, Percent_Carbon
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-12T16:43:26.744Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Decorated Christmas trees, mistletoe hanging from the ceiling... And the 'wizard explanation' for red and green is MoR-only, of course.

Replies from: Sheaman3773
comment by Sheaman3773 · 2012-06-26T17:15:49.226Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

If it's not already in other fanfics by now, it will be soon.

comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-12T14:03:22.954Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Father Christmas, isn't it? Or Santa Claus. That's canon.

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-12T14:49:02.139Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Is it? I can't remember. The only Santa Claus reference that springs to mind is the signature on the notes in MoR.

comment by cultureulterior · 2012-04-11T15:48:05.846Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Personally, I think Eliezer keeping the train- qua train- is a mistake. It shows too much influence from the muggle universe. I mean, what did Hogwarts use as soon as 200 years ago? Why would they change it given their extremely conservative world-view? A Eberron-style lightning train would be more plausible.

Replies from: thomblake
comment by thomblake · 2012-04-11T16:16:34.473Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Eliezer also has magical pop-top soda cans. I think he's just keeping it as random and nonsensical as canon, which to me accurately maps the way cultures bleed into one another.

comment by NihilCredo · 2012-04-11T18:00:04.413Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

DISINTEGRATING LIVE KITTENS is standard spell practice for schoolchildren in the Potterverse

Which spell would that be?

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-11T18:05:13.002Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

In one of the middle books, the Transfiguration class is practising Vanishing Charms on mice (I think). Hermione, being Hermione, progresses to practising on kittens by the end of the lesson.

In Book 7, it is explicitly stated that a Vanished object disappears from existence. I guess, strictly speaking "annihilating" is more accurate than "disintegrating".

Replies from: kilobug, None, gwern
comment by kilobug · 2012-04-11T19:23:06.589Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Doesn't seem worse to me than dissecting mice as it was done in biology lessons at school not so long ago here. Well, for the vanishing charms of mice at least. For the kitten it sounds more scary to us who have cats as pets, but the "this is a pet that you can't kill"/"this is a farm animal that you can eat" categorization is very depend of culture.

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-11T20:23:27.868Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I think we had frogs - once - and I opted out of that class. But I imagine those would be already-dead mice? You wouldn't have to kill them yourself?

Also, maybe it's just me, but I think that the more intelligent an animal is, the harder it is to objectify and kill. Stepping on insects is easier than killing mice because insects seem alien and thus easier to objectify. Killing mice is easier than killing cats or dogs because the behaviour of cats and dogs is closer to our own in complexity (or seems to be) and thus it is harder to dismiss them as "not really alive the way we are alive".

To be sure, the taboo on killing kittens is very much culture-dependent - but Hermione, who apparently has no problems with it, comes from "our" Anglo-Saxon culture. in which kittens are beloved household pets as well as common symbols of innocence and various other positive features. Which edges me towards "Rowling doesn't think" rather than "Rowling is very subtle in showing us the darkness of the Potterverse".

Replies from: thomblake, DanArmak, None
comment by thomblake · 2012-04-11T20:29:46.230Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

But I imagine those would be already-dead mice? You wouldn't have to kill them yourself?

Until very recently, vivisection was also a staple of biology classes.

You could cut open a frog while it was still alive and watch its heart stop beating as it wished for the faculties necessary to cry for mercy.

Replies from: RobertLumley, Velorien, Desrtopa
comment by RobertLumley · 2012-04-11T22:16:08.813Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Almost downvoted for bringing me to the verge of tears. But I can't actually justify that downvote since you definitely added something to the conversation.

comment by Velorien · 2012-04-11T20:36:15.892Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

facepalm at reality

So the upside for Rowling is that Vanished animals presumably don't suffer (at least for more than an instant). The downside is that the children are practising killing for no higher purpose than to practise killing (in that if they just wanted to learn how to Vanish inanimate objects, they're much more easily available than animate ones).

comment by Desrtopa · 2012-04-12T01:04:12.080Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Not that I think this was good class practice, but I rather doubt that frogs have the faculties to formalize such thoughts. The nearest equivalent in human terms would probably be something like

"AAAAAAAAAAAAAHH!!"

comment by DanArmak · 2012-04-13T17:25:12.331Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

But I imagine those would be already-dead mice? You wouldn't have to kill them yourself?

So a teacher killed them all the day before and put them in the freezer. How is that better? We'd have to hire biology teachers who score lower on empathy than the cultural norm.

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-13T17:40:14.551Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Experienced, (hopefully) emotionally stable adult with a full understanding of the purpose and benefits of the process, versus emotionally developing child with a narrower perspective.

Our culture has a firmly grounded principle that some experiences are traumatic for children but not necessarily for adults, such as sex and violence. It seems odd that it should apply to, say, video games, but not to hands-on animal killing.

Replies from: DanArmak
comment by DanArmak · 2012-04-14T14:11:58.816Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Our culture has a firmly grounded principle that some experiences are traumatic for children but not necessarily for adults, such as sex and violence. It seems odd that it should apply to, say, video games, but not to hands-on animal killing.

I feel this point is less correct than your original one.

Is there evidence that sex or violence depicted in video games are traumatic to children (and not to adults)?

In cultures where real-life sex between children is or was the norm, is there evidence that it was often traumatic to them? (What is the definition of 'children' in this context? Pre-pubescent? What age?)

Finally, as for real-life violence, it often leads to (physical) trauma so if's obviously dangerously traumatic in at least that respect. But if we put that aside, what makes you suppose it's any more traumatic to children than to (average, not specially trained) adults?

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-14T22:24:58.912Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You misunderstand. I'm not proposing that said principle is correct. I'm far from convinced that it is.

However, it is a foundation for our culture's treatment of children, and I find it dubious that it should be suspended for convenience's sake in cases such as this one, yet fiercely maintained elsewhere.

Replies from: DanArmak
comment by DanArmak · 2012-04-16T08:01:04.181Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It appears, however, that this principle is not aligned with the magical culture's approved treatment with children.

If we allow examples from MoR, we have Draco not having any moral problems with raping another child, and most of the Hogwarts faculty and students see nothing wrong with physically violent bullying between students. In canon, I understand that Harry tested out unknown (potentially deadly) curses on random (stranger) Slytherin children (instead of, say, kittens), and wasn't told off by anyone. Etc etc.

In our world, where it is against cultural norms, posters in this thread report that dissecting live (and recently killed) animals in class has indeed been diminishing. (Personal anecdata: I was in highschool in Israel 10-15 years ago and we witnessed a dissection of a single dead frog for the entire class, and only once.)

Replies from: fubarobfusco
comment by fubarobfusco · 2012-04-16T08:20:04.142Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

If we allow examples from MoR, we have Draco not having any moral problems with raping another child

As initially presented, Draco's habits of moral thinking — I wouldn't say "principles" — seem to have been trained to the expectation that might makes right; and that doing something that you want to do, and that can't be held against you, can't be sensibly objected to. Draco is probably not typical.

most of the Hogwarts faculty and students see nothing wrong with physically violent bullying between students

This was, until relatively recently, a pretty typical attitude in the real world.

Replies from: DanArmak
comment by DanArmak · 2012-04-16T18:23:41.028Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Draco is probably not typical.

He's atypical mostly in having the 'might' to get away with things other can't.

Can you give examples of non-Muggleborn wizarding children in MoR (I am less familiar with canon, but that would still be valid) who are opposed to violence on principle? Gryffindors who speak out against hurting Slytherins for fun, or vice versa, because of moral considerations, or a universal principle that everyone has the right not to be hurt? Someone who would have tried to stop Canon!Harry as he (apparently) tried out unfamiliar Dark curses on random Slytherins?

This was, until relatively recently, a pretty typical attitude in the real world.

And still is in many places. Which supports my point that it's plausible to believe Potterverse magical society is not opposed to violence between children and certainly no more than between adults.

comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-12T07:49:31.388Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Hermione also has a pet cat, Crookshanks.

comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-13T03:39:50.171Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I think there's a point of philosophical contention here. I gather you're talking about Professor McGonagall's answer to the Ravenclaw Tower door?

The riddle is, "Where do vanished objects go?" to which she responds, "Into unbeing, which is to say, everything."

To me this implies that in canon "existence" is a predicate (common metaphysical opinion is that it isn't in the real world), which means that whilst vanished objects lose the property of existence they keep all their other properties and can be re-substantiated just by magically restoring their quality of existence. So killing someone leaves them existent but changes them irreversibly from alive to dead, whereas vanishing them changes them reversibly from real to not-real. This, of course, doesn't make sense, which is why not many people think existence really is a predicate.

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-13T12:30:44.437Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The other thing is that on the occasions when we are explicitly told a Vanishing Charm is being used, it is being used on objects that one does not expect to want back (such as failed potions). This suggests that its purpose is to get rid of things permanently rather than suspend their existence temporarily.

Come to that, if Vanishing Charms worked as you propose, they would surely see much wider use in the books in the many instances when an object must be temporarily concealed from a searching enemy.

Replies from: None
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-13T14:34:25.392Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

In canon we also see Bill Weasley use the spell on several parchments that look like building plans to Harry in order to stop Harry reading them: these turn out to be Order of the Phoenix business. So from that, it seems like vanishing probably doesn't destroy the target and does get used to hide things you don't want seen.

I actually can think of another example of vanishing being used in canon to hide an object from the enemy: there exist vanishing cabinets that will vanish you if you step inside and close the doors, and then re-conjure you inside the cabinet's twin, wherever it happens to be. These are useful as a means of escape in case of Death Eater attack. Notably, if the twin cabinet is non-functional you get stuck in a limbo that sounds very much like non-being.

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-13T15:18:44.858Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Over his shoulder Harry saw Bill, who still wore his long hair in a ponytail, hastily rolling up the lengths of parchment left on the table.(...) In the flash of light caused by Mrs Weasley's charm Harry caught a glimpse of what looked like the plan of a building. Mrs Weasley had seen him looking. She snatched the plan off the table and stuffed it into Bill's already overladen arms. This sort of thing ought to be cleared away promptly at the end of meetings,' she snapped, before sweeping off towards an ancient dresser from which she started unloading dinner plates. Bill took out his wand, muttered, 'Evanesce!' and the scrolls vanished.

Bill explicitly using the Vanishing Charm on valuable documents is stronger evidence for your interpretation than McGonagall's statement is for mine. I hereby change my belief.

(this weakens my original point, that of casual cruelty to animals in the Potterverse as a sign of poor world-building, but doesn't falsify it since we have plenty of other examples, especially from Transfiguration)

comment by gwern · 2012-04-11T20:49:10.271Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It is? That surprises me, given that the only other guaranteed fatal spell is an Unforgivable which the teacher has to fight to demonstrate or teach. (Also, I see nothing on the HP wikia about fatality, and it's usually good with the details; the article on Vanishing mentions multiple examples of non-fatal Vanishing-related things, and speculates that it is non-fatal. Perhaps the staff economize on expenses by re-conjuring all the animals back from Vanishment.)

Replies from: Velorien, pedanterrific
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-11T21:22:25.601Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

“Where do Vanished objects go?" “Into non-being, which is to say, everything,” replied Professor McGonagall.

Replies from: gwern
comment by gwern · 2012-04-11T22:58:11.977Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

...which is consistent with what I just said and does not improve your case. If McGonagall had meant 'they're dead', she could have said as much.

Replies from: pedanterrific, Velorien
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-11T23:15:37.931Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Wasn't that the Ravenclaw door asking a riddle? And anyway it says "Vanished objects", it would be a weird non-answer to say "they die".

Replies from: gwern
comment by gwern · 2012-04-11T23:23:09.199Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Wasn't that the Ravenclaw door asking a riddle?

So who knows what to make of the answer.

tl;dr: rumors that Rowling is a psychotic who wrote a Hogwarts in which students sadistically murder hundreds of kittens a year may be exaggerated.

Replies from: drethelin
comment by drethelin · 2012-04-12T06:17:22.443Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

considering the glass harry makes vanish in the zoo, maybe the kittens just reappear again a little while later.

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-12T13:43:44.910Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Except accidental magic use in the Potterverse ignores all known rules of magic. It has young children manage things that aren't possible without extensive study and a wand. But even ignoring this, the facts that accidental magic stops when a child starts learning spellcasting, even in circumstances where it would save their life, and that children stop being able to perform wandless magic without super-advanced training, suggest it's not properly integrated into the rest of the setting.

comment by Velorien · 2012-04-12T13:39:27.161Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Goes into non-being = ceases to exist = dies if previously alive. Possibly worse than that, since in canon the dead do not disappear but go on to an afterlife.

If I said to you "Bob has gone into non-being", is there even a slight chance that you would interpret this as "Bob has been temporarily teleported to another dimension" rather than a fancy way of saying "Bob has ceased to exist"?

Replies from: gwern
comment by gwern · 2012-04-12T14:50:28.356Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I dunno. When you told me that a pane of glass went into non-being and it came back a little while later, and this sort of thing happens with all the other examples, what should I think?

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-12T15:12:33.234Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

We have no canon examples of a person using a Vanishing Charm to make something disappear and come back later. We have accidental magic (which does not appear to follow normal magic rules, as I note elsewhere), we have objects being Vanished and never seen again (including all the entries in the Wiki), and we have Vanishing Cabinets, which we have no reason to believe are the same thing as Vanishing Charms.

To assume that "a thing disappears by magic" = "use of Vanishing Charm" is as spurious as to assume "a thing gets killed by magic" = "use of Avada Kedavra".

Replies from: gwern
comment by gwern · 2012-04-12T15:19:37.545Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

We have no canon examples of a person using a Vanishing Charm to make something disappear and come back later.

We don't have canon examples of a lot of things.

Which is more likely, that the Vanished animals follow the trends already observed for all the related magics, or that Rowling makes an exception for the animals and Hogwarts is a charnelhouse?

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-12T16:33:06.354Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

We don't have canon examples of a lot of things.

But we have an explicit canon statement by a recognised authority in the spell school in question. That should trump guesses based on inferred similarities between different instances of different spells.

Which is more likely, that the Vanished animals follow the trends already observed for all the related magics, or that Rowling makes an exception for the animals and Hogwarts is a charnelhouse?

Given that

1) the trends you cite are only there if we assume that every instance of something disappearing uses identical magical mechanisms to the Vanishing Charm

and

2) Rowling appears to have no conception of non-sentients' rights whatsoever (cf. Transfiguring hedgehogs into pincushions, some of which still quiver in fear when faced with pins)

I believe the balance of evidence favours the "charnelhouse" claim. To clarify, I don't believe that Rowling makes an exception for the animals: whatever magical effects apply elsewhere, the specific spell known as the Vanishing Charm is intended to make its target enter "non-being" and permanently disappear.

Replies from: gwern
comment by gwern · 2012-04-12T17:22:20.502Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

But we have an explicit canon statement by a recognised authority in the spell school in question.

No. You do not.

I believe the balance of evidence favours the "charnelhouse" claim.

I'm bowing out here. If you really care, as opposed to want to have a cool contrarian belief about Harry Potter, I suggest asking Rowling.

comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-12T00:58:01.521Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

an Unforgivable which the teacher has to fight to demonstrate or teach.

Are you mixing up canon and MoR? There's no mention I can recall that Crouch-Moody needed any particular permission to demonstrate all three Unforgivables on the first day of class, and he never taught how to cast any of them.

Replies from: gwern
comment by gwern · 2012-04-12T01:44:53.447Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Entirely possible! I thought Moody needed Ministry approval, but I no longer have the books to check.

Replies from: pedanterrific, TimS
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-12T01:58:39.564Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Whoops, you're right, actually- but it seems to be standard procedure, it's not like he had to fight to have it done.

Now, according to the Ministry of Magic, I'm supposed to teach you countercurses and leave it at that. I'm not supposed to show you what illegal Dark curses look like until you're in the sixth year. You're not supposed to be old enough to deal with it till then. But Professor Dumbledore's got a higher opinion of your nerves, he reckons you can cope, and I say, the sooner you know what you're up against, the better.

Replies from: gwern
comment by gwern · 2012-04-12T02:00:17.866Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

So he did violate normal operating procedure - I claim this as a moral victory!

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-12T02:05:05.744Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Is that more satisfying than the normal kind?

Replies from: gwern, Alsadius
comment by gwern · 2012-04-12T02:10:10.657Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

As long as I don't try to eat it or make use of it in any way.

comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T02:59:24.679Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

No, but it's a lot easier to accomplish.

comment by TimS · 2012-04-12T01:53:49.812Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

In canon, Hermione (I think) notes that it is weird that illegal curses are being cast, but no one follows up - at all.

I'm not sure if Dumbledore realized at the time that it occurred.

comment by DanArmak · 2012-04-11T17:59:05.215Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I sometimes ponder whether Rowling herself places an unnaturally low value on any form of life that can't speak a human language

Would wizards would react differently to disintegration of live snake hatchlings?

Replies from: Velorien, Alsadius
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-11T18:10:16.397Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Probably not - Parseltongue is an extremely rare gift.

I specify speaking a human language, incidentally, because mandrakes act like humans to a limited but recognisable extent (they throw tantrums when young, become moody and secretive as teenagers, and attempt to move into each other's pots as young adults), but are still chopped up and used as potion reagents as soon as they achieve maturity. On the other hand, centaurs and goblins are at least recognised as intelligent beings with their own thoughts and feelings to be trampled over.

Replies from: pedanterrific, DanArmak
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-12T00:43:35.215Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

For those who haven't been keeping up with Eliezer's favorites list on ffnet: Mandragora.

Replies from: LauralH
comment by LauralH · 2012-04-14T05:50:07.307Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Ooooh, and Tied for Last!

(well, that's just a Riddle/Granger ship fic, but very well done, WITHOUT time travel.)

comment by DanArmak · 2012-04-12T09:55:38.493Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

On the other hand, centaurs and goblins are at least recognised as intelligent beings with their own thoughts and feelings to be trampled over.

Because the goblins have got a nation-level army, and everyone's gold in their vaults, and possession is nine points of the law and all of it in case of war. I don't know what the centaurs have, not having read that part of canon, but I predict they too are respected because they are feared.

comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T02:45:05.481Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Hell, would they react differently to disintegration of elves? For that matter, a good percentage of them were okay with mass murder of humans.

Replies from: gwern, DanArmak
comment by gwern · 2012-04-13T02:50:45.199Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yes. Elves are valuable and useful - recall Lucius nearly had a stroke when he realized he lost his House Elf. It'd be like casually shooting your stable's prime stallion.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T02:58:22.576Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Clearly you don't kill your own elves. You do it to somebody you don't like.

Replies from: Eugine_Nier
comment by Eugine_Nier · 2012-04-13T05:07:01.571Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

They might sue you for destruction of valuable property.

comment by DanArmak · 2012-04-13T17:02:39.924Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

For that matter, a good percentage of humans have been OK with mass murder of humans.

The whole discussion is not very well grounded. Why make a big deal out of kittens but not of chickens etc?

comment by Sheaman3773 · 2012-06-26T16:59:03.482Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's possible that the kittens were Conjured, and thus due to fade away in time regardless of what happened to them. I'm not saying that's what it was, for all we know they had to be real for it to effectively practice Vanishing, but it is possible.

comment by Quirinus · 2012-04-11T05:57:17.165Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

A problem with Quirrell's heroic alter ego being Tom Riddle, even if the only ones who know Tom Riddle is Voldemort are the inner circle of the Order of the Phoenix, is, why wouldn't madam Bones tell Dumbledore that Tom Riddle is currently inhabiting Quirrell's body?

Quirrell said that he "reported to the headmaster" by which I interpret Dumbledore wants to know in what ways the defense professor was involved in this whole debacle, from which we can infer that he will have or has had Bones report to him as well. The fact that a war hero that was an incredibly powerful wizard as well and led forces against death eaters in various occasions is inhabiting the body of your defense proffesor is not trivial. And then Quirrell also outright TELLS Bones that Dumbledore doesn't know his identity, so we can be sure that Amelia will be reporting that this alleged hero, whatever his identity is, is currently posing as professor Quirrell.

I had assumed before that Dumbledore knew Quirrell's identity, that perhaps he was told that upon his travels after his graduation, Quirinus Quirrell had stumbled upon an ancient tomb containing the soul of a powerful and clever dark wizard, and this spirit had taken possession of Quirrell's body. Dumbledore, accepting this, agrees to let him teach at Hogwarts given that he will be able to teach things to his students few other wizards will be able to. Or something along those lines.

But not before a warning the staff about his nature and making sure things don't get too freaky. From chapter 15:

"Now repeat after me," said Professor McGonagall. (...)

"Even if the current Defense Professor at Hogwarts tells me that a Transfiguration is safe, and even if I see the Defense Professor do it and nothing bad seems to happen, I will not try it myself."

After all, they've had all sorts of wacko defense professors already. From chapter 70:

"My goodness," said Penelope Clearwater. "I think that's the most overtly evil Defense Professor we've ever had."

Professor McGonagall coughed warningly, and the Head Boy said, "You weren't around for Professor Barney," which made several people twitch.

So it's just another year at defense class.

But now it turns out Dumbledore doesn't know his identity? Or does he actually know it and it turns this fabricated heroic identity is not Tom Riddle? If he actually doesn't know, what is he playing at, hiring some incredibly powerful wizard from Merlin knows where who is obviously untrustworthy and likes to plot an awful lot? Dumbledore at one point states the three most powerful wizards in the school are him, Snape, and Professor Quirrell.

And the worst thing is that it actually does fit if the slytherin hero who rose against the death eaters and disappeared suddenly happened to be Riddle.

-Born in 1926

-Sorted into Slytherin

-People speaking of him as the next Dumbledore

-Likes to wander off in Albania

-Of noble house descent

I'm assuming that given how the politics and nobility work in MoR, House Gaunt didn't lose all their gold, or at least not in the same fashion as in canon given that there is probably some sort of convenient system to prevent this. But then again, House Potter did just go broke. And we are told that his grandmother is the Lady of his House. We do never see Merope's mother in canon; so I'm assuming that if the differences from canon are enough to keep House Gaunt from poverty, perhaps it's not all that strange if her mother is alive as well. However, it was Riddle's grandfather, not grandmather, who bore the name of Gaunt. If he died, would her wife inherit his title? I'm thinking not. Or perhaps yes if she was of noble ancestry herself, which is a given considering we are talking about someone who married a Gaunt. And if this new heroic figure wasn't Tom Riddle, then can we assume it was an actual heroic person and Voldemort it taking advantage of his story to cover his usage of Quirrell's body? After all, they were born in the same year, and I can't imagine Riddle manipulating another person since he was eleven years old into being Voldemort's nemesis for a huge social experiment in years to come. Or could he?

I notice I am terribly confused.

And Quirrell does speak about playing the two sides in different occasions, and he did sound to me like he was talking about a social experiment when talking to Hermione, on which he was a leader in both sides of the conflict, and whose outcome he did not expect:

Professor Quirrell shook his head as though in bemusement. "And it was the strangest thing - the Dark Wizard, that man's dread nemesis - why, those who served him leapt eagerly to their tasks. The Dark Wizard grew crueler toward his followers, and they followed him all the more. Men fought for the chance to serve him, even as those whose lives depended on that other man made free to render his life difficult... I could not understand it, Miss Granger."

Replies from: ChrisHallquist, LucasSloan
comment by ChrisHallquist · 2012-04-11T06:18:30.733Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

A problem with Quirrell's heroic alter ego being Tom Riddle, even if the only ones who know Tom Riddle is Voldemort are the inner circle of the Order of the Phoenix, is, why wouldn't madam Bones tell Dumbledore that Tom Riddle is currently inhabiting Quirrell's body?

Riddle appears to have convinced Bones that he's a genuinely good guy who's dying, and wants to live out the final months of his life without his true identity being known. She will likely respect his wishes because, hey, he was a real hero once.

Or Bones will tell Dumbledore and this will lead to a climax suitable for the end of a Hogwarts school year.

But unfortunately, it seems that in this fic even smart people are capable of shooting themselves in the foot not sharing information freely enough. I mean, if Dumbledore and Harry sat down and shared all the information they have, they'd have identified Quirrell as Riddle/Voldemort by now.

Replies from: Spencer_Sleep
comment by Spencer_Sleep · 2012-04-11T06:23:43.661Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Or it's not Riddle at all. I was writing out a whack of reasons for this, but there is no need: Eliezer has spoken:

I've edited the birthdate of the person Amelia refers to, to be 1927 - too many people were interpreting that as "She thinks he's Tom Riddle" despite the House incongruence, an interpretation I'd honestly never thought of due to Illusion of Transparency.

comment by LucasSloan · 2012-04-11T06:16:19.915Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It seems perfectly in keeping with the foresight and planning we've seen from Quirrell that he killed off a classmate soon after Hogwarts in the event that he needed an identity to assume later. It seems equally plausible that Quirrell would have tried, to the extent he could do so costlessly, play a person on both sides of the conflict he created. It is worth noting that this supposed hero used Avada Kedavra on the Death Eaters, a signature of Quirrell. This hero also failed to kill Belatrix Black, a major pawn of the other side. I do not think that the name of this supposed hero is Riddle, given that Dumbledore knows that Voldemort and Riddle are one and the same, but it seems very likely that Quirrell was playing this man.

Replies from: Quirinus, Desrtopa
comment by Quirinus · 2012-04-11T14:02:45.391Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Well, the theory of this identity being Riddle has been jossed by Eliezer.

And you're right, I was thinking in terms of Riddle manipulating this other person into being Voldemort's nemesis since the start of his Hogwarts education (given how apparently magically talented this person was) but now after reading what you wrote I realize there is no information regarding this person's magical talent or political alignment while he was attending Hogwarts.

"Born 1927, entered Hogwarts in 1938, sorted into Slytherin, graduated 1945. Went on a graduation tour abroad and disappeared while visiting Albania. Presumed dead until 1970, when he returned to magical Britain just as suddenly, without any explanation for the missing twenty-five years. He remained estranged from his family and friends, living in isolation. In 1971, while visiting Diagon Alley, he fended off an attempt by Bellatrix Black to kidnap the daughter of the Minister of Magic, and used the Killing Curse to slay two of the three Death Eaters accompanying her. Beyond this all Britain knows the story; need I continue it?"

So Riddle/Voldemort murders this person when he is travelling after graduation. He assumes his identity in 1970 and gives this person a solitary life so he can manage his time better better between identities, and also to avoid commiting mistakes that would give away his impersonation in front of his family. A year later he jump-starts Britain's wizarding war setting this other identity as a prominent player in the anti-voldemort side in a single move. Beautiful.

I think most of the confusion surrounding this new character stemmed from the assumption that given his importance in the war, he would have an analogous in canon, and Tom Riddle seemed to fit pretty good (or maybe he is a modified canon character, but I can't really think of any).

Now I'm curious about the details of this impersonation. Amelia Bones mentioned that there was no explanation for his absence, so why did they just assume it was him? Surely someone would have tried a Polyfluis Reverso as soon as they saw him, so it's possible there are darker magics involved, which is totally justifiable with Voldemort. But perhaps it's not that uncommon for wizards seeking power to disappear for a few years and then reappear with a better mastery of magic and a more jaded personality. After all, travelling to exotic places is normal for wizards in canon too.

comment by Desrtopa · 2012-04-12T01:57:56.254Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

This was the primary conclusion that I came to as well. Quirrell has already demonstrated a propensity for playing multiple identities. Plus, if I were in his place as a professor needing a fallback secret identity, I would want it to be someone who nobody would find me suspiciously incongruous with on account of it actually also being me.

Also, the fact that the unnamed person lived in isolation, and was estranged from his family and friends, is evidence for this hypothesis. If he's under Imperius, being impersonated with polyjuice, or otherwise being magically replaced, Voldemort wouldn't want people around him who would notice any sort of incongruous behavior, or force him to play a role full time.

comment by ChrisHallquist · 2012-04-11T05:50:39.125Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

1926 is the date Amelia Bones gives for what she suspects to be Quirrell's true identity. It is also the date of Tom Marvolo Riddle's birth in canon. This and other details suggest that Bones believes Quirrell is Riddle. But for that to be true, it must be that during Voldemort's first campaign, Riddle was still appearing as Riddle until, apparently, 1973

Bones must not know Riddle is Voldemort, or she would be behaving very differently towards Dumbledore. Dumbledore, on the other hand, appears to believe Riddle is Voldemort, because just a few chapters ago he told the Marauder's Map to find Tom Riddle when he was looking for Voldemort. Therefore Dumbledore must not know Quirrell is Riddle. It's maddening how many problems could be solved here by the characters' sharing information with each other.

Anyway, given that Riddle is Bones' hero, much of what Riddle told Hermione may have been perfectly truthful. And here is what especially caught my eye:

I stopped trying to be a hero, and went off to do something else I found more pleasant.

So it sounds like Riddle initially created Voldemort so he could make himself into a hero, but then decided to be Voldemort full-time, because it would be more fun. This he did for eight years, from 1973-1981.

Similarly, Riddle previously told Harry (in chapters nineteen and twenty) that he decided not to become a Dark Lord, and that he realized that if he did everything necessary to do that Dark Lord gig right, there would be no point. What if he was telling the truth? What if Riddle decided to dispose of the Voldemort persona because it stopped being fun?

Personally, the thought of someone totally amoral and willing to totally change around their plans based on what is most fun is rather frightening.

EDIT: See also this comment of mine, which lays out the story I am proposing in chronological order. Note that my confidence in what Riddle was originally planning on doing when he first went full-time as Voldemort, and my confidence in his motives for abandoning the Voldemort persona, is lower than my confidence in the rest of my theory.

Replies from: Alsadius, ahel
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T01:55:49.135Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

That makes a lot of sense, really. Nobody does things "For Teh Evulz!", they do them either because they think it's good or because they think it's awesome.

Replies from: Eugine_Nier
comment by Eugine_Nier · 2012-04-13T04:36:03.218Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Well, some people confuse Teh Evulz with awesome.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T05:13:05.810Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I don't think they're confused at all.

Edit: No, seriously, they're not. Anything that isn't fun and isn't good doesn't even enter most people's minds, because there's no reason to do it. An amoral man doing stuff he finds to be good fun will generally cross the line to evil precisely where he starts doing all the stuff that he enjoys and that isn't common, because if it's enjoyable and morally acceptable, it'll be common already.

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-13T18:08:46.070Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Anything that isn't fun and isn't good doesn't even enter most people's minds, because there's no reason to do it.

Unless you have a really broad definition of 'fun' you're quire wrong here. Sometime people will experiment. Sometimes people will do what they're told not to as a gesture of defiance. Sometimes people will do things that are very harmful to themselves because it is the only way they can strike against forces they are otherwise powerless to resist, like an abusive partner or guardian. Sometimes people mistakenly think they don't have any other options, sometimes those people aren't mistaken.

If you want to talk about the First World, then maybe you're just barely right with your 'most'; I doubt it, but I think we can just dismiss that possible interpretation instead. Because outside the First World you're quite mistaken: many things that are not fun or good enter into the majority of people's minds.

An amoral man doing stuff he finds to be good fun will generally cross the line to evil precisely where he starts doing all the stuff that he enjoys and that isn't common, because if it's enjoyable and morally acceptable, it'll be common already.

Plenty of evil things are quite common. I had a list, but I don't think it actually adds anything to the comment when I all need to say is "emotionally abusive relationship." They're common enough that it's been claimed they're in the majority.

Well, some people confuse Teh Evulz with awesome.

I don't think they're confused at all.

I am some people, and if evil ain't awesome then I'm confused.

It's generally high-risk. A lot of the obvious examples have overvalued rewards. Much of First World society protects people from it. And that's good, because I like having some protection from people who are better at evil things than I am at defending against them.

But there remain opportunities. And there remains awesome.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T19:15:30.835Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Okay, I was oversimplifying - there's "necessary"(which is a pretty broad category, even in the first world), there's experiment, and there's a dozen others. But my point was "there's things good people would do, and then there's things that they won't but bad people will. The latter category is likely to be all the fun-but-naughty stuff", and I think that's still basically true.

Replies from: thomblake
comment by thomblake · 2012-04-13T19:21:31.891Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The latter category is likely to be all the fun-but-naughty stuff

I still think that's wrong.

Most people don't operate in fun-seeking mode, most of the time.

Good people will not beat you to death for a loaf of bread. Evil people might.

Maybe you're just using an overly-broad definition of "fun". An evil person might (reluctantly) murder you for a huge wad of cash, which might be used for all sorts of non-fun things like paying the mortgage, buying a safe SUV for the family, paying off the mob boss, or securing a place of power for safety.

Replies from: Sheaman3773
comment by Sheaman3773 · 2012-06-26T20:07:12.610Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

What on earth are you talking about?

I'll grant that good people won't beat you to death over a loaf of bread, if you stipulate that desperate people who would otherwise never do such a thing are not good, which could be argued either way. However, when the choice is between a rich man not willing to spare anything and a father trying desperately to keep his children alive with nowhere else to go, the question becomes murkier.

But that an evil person might reluctantly murder you for a wad of cash to purchase non-fun things; I'm honestly befuddled. Despite the fact that crime rates (in America, at least) have generally been going down, people have been murdered for a couple of bills that may be in their wallets. The idea that someone would kill someone else for a pair of shoes has gotten so ubiquitous that it's become a cliche! And these are from people that most would not consider evil. So why do you think an evil person would hesitate? Which doesn't even cover the fact that more money spent on non-fun activities means more of the original amount of money could be spent on fun actions.

What does 'evil' mean to you that you think evil would kill so reluctantly?

Replies from: thomblake
comment by thomblake · 2012-06-27T12:39:04.982Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You seem to have taken the wrong emphasis from my words. The grandparent was arguing that the things that good people won't do but bad people will, are all fun-but-naughty stuff. My point was that there are lots of things that 'bad' people might do, that are not fun.

The idea that someone would kill someone else for a pair of shoes has gotten so ubiquitous that it's become a cliche!

This supports my point, unless you think that people are stealing shoes because shoes are fun.

Replies from: Sheaman3773
comment by Sheaman3773 · 2012-06-27T16:49:24.062Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I do, actually.

I think I see the disconnect here. If I'm correct, then you believe that I was referring to people who kill someone for shoes because they have none, which falls under the above situation of desperation. In fact, that was not what I was referring to.

In certain sub-cultures, shoes are status symbols. The "killing someone for their shoes" cliche that I was referring to is about killing someone so that you can remove their status as above you, appropriate their status as your own, or in response to their damaging of your own status (in which case they likely wouldn't keep the shoes).

So killing over shoes is killing to maintain or improve your status, which is fun in the same way that getting a new car is to those who are obsessed with them; it may not be the classical definition of fun, but it certainly seems appropriate in this situation.

comment by ahel · 2012-04-11T21:38:41.266Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I truly hope you are not right about what you have written. I found it really plausible. Frightening plausible.

comment by thescoundrel · 2012-04-11T15:09:35.825Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Prediction: Harry's investigation to clear Hermione's name leads him to Quirrlemort's true identity.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T03:13:51.386Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

p=?

Replies from: thescoundrel
comment by thescoundrel · 2012-04-13T03:44:22.204Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

75%

Seems very clear at this point that Q. cannot predict Harry's actions, and that he was responsible for Hermione's framing. Truth is entangled, Harry is very clever, especially when not under a time crunch- this seems very likely to me.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T04:00:06.772Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I think the probability might be that high given narrative requirements(i.e., Harry will near-certainly figure it out, Potter books usually end at the end of school years and it's April, and we know that the series is in the homestretch), but I'd put an in-universe probability without reference to that data a vastly lower chance.

comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-11T06:48:25.483Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Aw, I just noticed Auror QQQ got renamed. Here I was wondering how Bones managed to pronounce that, and how he avoided getting stuck with "Mike".

comment by Incorrect · 2012-04-11T04:29:55.536Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Does Quirrel have cataplexy?

comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-11T04:00:09.529Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

In 1971, while visiting Diagon Alley, he fended off an attempt by Bellatrix Black to kidnap the daughter of the Minister of Magic

Is this a reference to A Black Comedy?

Replies from: ygert
comment by ygert · 2012-04-11T09:13:29.378Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Vg frrzf yvxr vg vf. Ryvrmre unf vapyhqrq bgure ersreraprf gb bgure snasvpf va gur cnfg, naq guvf svgf irel jryy jvgu gur gurbel gung Evqqyr jnf onfvpyl gelvat gb chyy n "Qnivq Zbaebr" naq chg uvzfrys (be na nygreangr vqragvgl bs uvzfrys) nf gur ureb svtugvat Ibyqrezbeg. (Gur qvssrerapr jbhyq or bs pbhefr, gung va N Oynpx Pbzrql ur vf abg va pbageby bs obgu cnegf ("Qnivq Zbaebr" naq Ibyqrzbeg), ohg engure gur gb cnegf bs uvz ernyyl ner svtugvat. Vg vf cbffvoyr gung gung vf jung vf unccravat urer nf jryy, ohg V svaq gung engure hayvxryl.)

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-11T22:33:21.727Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I was trying to avoid spoiling A Black Comedy, but whatever.

Replies from: ygert
comment by ygert · 2012-04-14T17:58:50.713Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Hmm... that makes sense. Rot13'd.

comment by cultureulterior · 2012-04-13T15:51:45.872Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

How Magic Works, Some Facts, Inferences, Conclusions, and Speculations

The Facts:

  • Wizards did not have clocks before muggles did.
  • Time turners are limited to 6 solar hours.
  • Therefore time turners were limited after the invention of Equinoctal hours, in 127CE.
  • The Aurors are planning a jinx to stop opposite reaction effect rockets, but they don't understand rockets.
  • There was a significant flux in children's spells, but children did not seem to use more or fewer spells in the past.
  • Brooms work via Aristotelian physics.
  • It's easier to put together spells to make a broom than to make a new spell to make a broom.
  • You can create semi-intelligent objects without understanding what you're doing or creating a copy of yourself or breeding.
  • Mass production of magical effect-bound objects is easier than individual crafting of individual spells for each item.
  • Objects and animals can be made to understand and respond to speech.
  • Magical animals and plants exist and contain magical power and but are all sized more or less a few orders of magnitude around the human norm. No magical ticks or ants seem to exist.
  • Created animals and object are not aware by default.
  • The Interdict of Merlin seems to be blocking the creation of new powerful spells but allow old powerful spells to be rediscovered.
  • The Interdict of Merlin does not block the creation of new spells, only new powerful spells
  • Random unwanted effects seem to seep into the creation of new spells.
  • New spell creation does not seem correlated with magical power or skill.
  • New spells are created, but not all the time- it is either random, requires effort, or requires time.
  • Nobody was as good as Merlin, and then nobody was as good as the four founders.
  • Children have unconscious magic, but not to the extent that OT Harry did.
  • Wizards seem to spend most of their time in pocket universes, otherwise you'd spot dragons and hogwarts trains on satellite imagery.

The Speculations:

  • The source of magic has a certain limited number of permitted Spell to Effect associations on each power level. These associations are susceptible for expiration when no-one knows the spell anymore. High level associations were frozen in place by the Interdict of Merlin, but low level slots are still expiring, and whatever ritual the wizards use to create spells is merely triggering a garbage collect and conditional new spell insert.

  • Upon reception of the insert ritual, the Source of Magic scans the Wizard's mind, and performs an optimization algorithm on a set of existing spells to make a new spell which is close enough in some set of dimensions to what it thinks the Wizard wants, after which it associates the spell and effect. Therefore it would use thousands of years of existing infrastructure for making intelligent object effects.

  • In this scenario a wizard might be trying to create a spell for years, until a slot opens up that he will get to first, competing with everyone else trying to make spells.

  • Wizards, of course, not willing to accept the apparent randomness of this, have additional learned behaviors about creating spells, things they believe are required, most of which are not required and boil down to daydreaming about the effect you want and practice with the spell string and wand wave.

Replies from: TheOtherDave, Velorien, pedanterrific, ArisKatsaris, chaosmosis
comment by TheOtherDave · 2012-04-13T16:43:54.186Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Time turners are limited to 6 solar hours.
Therefore time turners were limited after the invention of Equinoctal hours, in 127CE.

Can you expand on the reasoning here? I don't see how you conclude that the limitation on time turners is somehow dependent on someone thinking in terms of equinoctal hours. It seems just as plausible that the (length of day)/4 limit (which happens to equal six equinoctal hours) is based on the physics of time turning and has applied all along.

Replies from: cultureulterior
comment by cultureulterior · 2012-04-13T16:53:58.441Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

My non-conclusive arguments for this are as follows:

  • Each rotation equals one hour.
  • We cannot privilige the human experience, and therefore the length of the earth day cannot be a physical constant.
Replies from: TheOtherDave, DanArmak, qjmw, Random832
comment by TheOtherDave · 2012-04-13T17:54:45.488Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Hm. If we were using physics here, I'd observe that a usable time turner has to be tied into things like the rotation and movement of the earth, because traveling back in time without taking those things into account somehow leaves one stranded in interplanetary or interstellar space. Given that we're talking magic, well, who knows. But sure, I agree that it's suggestive but inconclusive.

comment by DanArmak · 2012-04-14T17:10:08.666Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

We cannot privilige the human experience, and therefore the length of the earth day cannot be a physical constant.

The length of an earth day is part of all Earth life experience, not uniquely human.

comment by qjmw · 2012-04-14T04:23:19.779Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

A good bit off topic but replying here anyway. If humanity was not special enough to set the Interdict of Merlin on absolutely everybody it could really turn against them when the aliens arrive.

comment by Random832 · 2012-04-16T15:09:20.335Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Are we certain that the amount of time that each rotation takes you actually is an equinoctal hour, or a constant? If broomsticks can use Aristotlean physics, maybe Time Turners can be limited to six solar hours.

comment by Velorien · 2012-04-13T16:43:52.489Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Would you mind giving your evidence for the following points?

Magical animals and plants exist and contain magical power and but are all sized more or less a few orders of magnitude around the human norm. No magical ticks or ants seem to exist.

We don't actually have any general comments on what kind of animals and plants don't exist. We only know which ones exist in the vicinity of Hogwarts, plus a limited sampling of foreign ones (such as Veela).

The Interdict of Merlin seems to be blocking the creation of new powerful spells but allow old powerful spells to be rediscovered.

Isn't this the opposite of what it does? I thought its sole effect was to prevent the impersonal transmission of spells (and thus the rediscovery of old powerful spells from books).

Random unwanted effects seem to seep into the creation of new spells.

Example, please?

Nobody was as good as Merlin, and then nobody was as good as the four founders.

This is Draco's opinion, IIRC, and apart from the fact that he's an 11-year old boy of limited education, we know that his information sources on wizard power over the ages are strongly biased and unreliable.

Replies from: cultureulterior
comment by cultureulterior · 2012-04-13T17:00:47.180Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

In re: Interdict of Merlin- if the Interdict of Merlin did not block the creation of high-level spells, the loss of old high level spells would not matter, since newly invented high level spells would replace them. You might say that this is due to loss of knowledge, but then we have to assume that the interdict of Merlin actually limits not only spells but also knowledge.

In re: Random Effects: Booger-tasting jelly beans from OT universe would be one.

Replies from: Alsadius, Velorien
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-14T04:42:40.178Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You're assuming that a culture as ossified as modern wizarding society has lots of people striving to create new spells en masse, and that it's sufficiently easy to do so that they'd be getting created if the people were trying and "slots" were available. That's absurd. Also, you seem to have no understanding whatsoever of the Interdict of Merlin - it says that spells above a certain power level can only be passed between intelligent minds, with no intermediaries(like books) allowed. The best I can assume is that you're engaged in circular reasoning, with the lack of new spells proving the slot theory proving your weird interpretation of the Interdict proving the lack of new spells.

comment by Velorien · 2012-04-13T17:16:36.362Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Its purpose might simply have been to slow down the rate of high-level spell development and use. We know that the greatest body of magical lore would have been lost with Atlantis (going with the theory that the Atlanteans created the Source of Magic) and that magical research appears to largely be the province of individuals. The Interdict of Merlin would be like going to medieval Europe and saying "OK, you can carry on developing science/natural philosophy/etc., but you can't read any classical works, and if you want the latest research, you've got to get it in person rather than reading your fellow thinkers' texts".

Is anyone here familiar with the "Labyrinths of Echo" sequence by Max Frei (the first book of which has recently been butchered into English)? That has the central premise that magical power is fuelled by the magical axis running through the the world, and that overuse of said power has nearly drained away the soul of the planet. As such, the protagonists are a magical police force dedicated to protecting the ban on high-level magic so that the heart of the world can recover and the all-too-near apocalypse can be averted. I wonder if the Interdict of Merlin is based on a similar idea.

Replies from: Xachariah, Velorien, None
comment by Xachariah · 2012-04-14T00:18:15.101Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It appears to me that the original purpose of the Interdict was as a form of DRM for strong spells. If you want to disseminate a spell, you can't just take a book, magically duplicate the book, and pass it out to all your friends. Learning a powerful spell thus required a willing trainer to teach you the spell, and you couldn't duplicate the knowledge contained in your mind until you knew the spell well enough to teach it yourself (and teaching something is harder than just being able to use it).

If you take this as a starting point, it's just basic classism at play motivating Merlin. All the wrong sorts were getting literacy and learning spells from books, taking away from the right sorts, who had learned from tutors, exclusive clubs, and networking with other powerful wizards. And it probably worked exceedingly well for several hundred years until those damn four decided to start up a school and accept everyone to be taught.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-14T04:46:28.630Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I'd think of it as being more like "don't spread nuclear design secrets" than DRM, given the nature of powerful wizardry.

comment by Velorien · 2012-04-13T17:21:32.925Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

In re: Random Effects: Booger-tasting jelly beans from OT universe would be one.

Feature rather than bug, I think. They don't call them "Every Flavour Beans" for nothing.

comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-13T22:51:21.300Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

the first book of which has recently been butchered into English

Is it actually that bad? I haven't read it in English yet, but if the translation is at least semi-decent, then I can start recommending it to friends.

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-14T21:52:57.144Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I will admit to having read reviews rather than the actual thing (having read the original in Russian). However, the reviews are pretty damning in terms of translation quaity. To give one example, the translator apparently didn't twig that, in the Cyrillic alphabet, "X" is pronounced "KH" rather than "ECKS". As a result, every single name containing an "h" sound (of which there are many, including major characters) has had it swapped for an "x" sound. This is a level of incompetence that I wouldn't believe if I hadn't read the reviews first-hand.

Replies from: None
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-15T00:16:47.485Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

...Huh. By itself, that doesn't seem that bad: it's not as though the exact pronunciation matters to someone who hasn't read the original. But it is a pretty frightening warning sign.

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-15T12:28:51.982Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's pretty bad in that it forces you to pronounce lots of awkward "x"s in names that were meant to be euphonic. But yes, the main issue is that a translator making such an epic mistake can't be trusted to maintain accuracy or faithfulness elsewhere.

Also, a separate review criticism is that the translation fails miserably to capture the cheerful, whimsical style of the original narration, instead giving it a completely different and much less gripping narrative voice that ends up clashing with the content of the story.

comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T21:35:43.782Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Magical animals and plants exist and contain magical power and but are all sized more or less a few orders of magnitude around the human norm. No magical ticks or ants seem to exist.

Chizpurfles appear to be canon.

comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-15T14:19:39.696Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You don't distinguish your facts from your inferences well enough. Your list of "facts" seems to contains inferences like "Therefore time turners were limited after the invention of Equinoctal hours, in 127CE.", speculations like "Wizards seem to spend most of their time in pocket universes, otherwise you'd spot dragons and hogwarts trains on satellite imagery." and assumptions like "Children have unconscious magic, but not to the extent that OT Harry did."

Replies from: cultureulterior
comment by cultureulterior · 2012-04-15T19:03:36.019Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I admit all the above flaws.

comment by chaosmosis · 2012-04-13T16:05:54.789Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

This made me think of an omission that's probably not a very big deal, but preHogwarts Rationalist Harry never reports having used magic before. At the same time, he believes in magic. So maybe he did some magic or saw some magic and was Obliviated?

Also, since Harry's magic bag responds to sign language, can all spells be cast that way even by people who're bad at nonverbal magic?

Replies from: gwern, gjm
comment by gwern · 2012-04-13T16:17:49.557Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I don't think he really believes in magic... he just points out that belief is not necessary since it can be tested:

"Then you don't have to fight over this," Harry said firmly. Hoping against hope that this time, just this once, they would listen to him. "If it's true, we can just get a Hogwarts professor here and see the magic for ourselves, and Dad will admit that it's true. And if not, then Mum will admit that it's false. That's what the experimental method is for, so that we don't have to resolve things just by arguing."

Although he also thinks

Except that some part of Harry was utterly convinced that magic was real, and had been since the instant he saw the putative letter from the Hogwarts School of Witchcraft and Wizardry.

In canon, it's suggested that accidental magic is self-defense. Harry apparently has a perfectly happy & safe childhood spent reading, so no need for underage magic to ever manifest and no events to cause his dark side like an abused child. So what explains all this?

Well, we know one thing that explains both the certainty and dark side, and does not require any unhappiness or accidental magic in his childhood: influence from a Voldemort horcrux.

Replies from: Desrtopa, chaosmosis
comment by Desrtopa · 2012-04-14T23:28:35.357Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Well, we know one thing that explains both the certainty and dark side, and does not require any unhappiness or accidental magic in his childhood: influence from a Voldemort horcrux.

You know, if it weren't for everyone else taking it so seriously, I would have (and did, before I started following discussions) dismissed Harry's so called dark side as a perfectly normal personality quirk which he makes a big deal of because once he's told he's a prophesied hero he feels he ought to have something dramatically appropriate like a mysterious dark side.

In his place, I wouldn't be thinking "My mysterious dark side is good at X," I'd be thinking "I'm good at X when I put myself into the right frame of mind."

Well, actually, in his place, I might be thinking "my mysterious dark side is good at X," but that's because if I were in his place, I'd be eleven.

Replies from: wedrifid
comment by wedrifid · 2012-04-14T23:35:44.637Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

In his place, I wouldn't be thinking "My mysterious dark side is good at X," I'd be thinking "I'm good at X when I put myself into the right frame of mind."

Sometimes I'm all simplistic and think to myself "I'm good at X when I get pissed off." Combined with a little emotional regulation with respect to pissed-off levels it amounts to much the same thing.

Replies from: DavidAgain
comment by DavidAgain · 2012-04-22T20:42:49.555Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Especially if the 'frame of mind' has lots of other stuff going on as well: the implication is that he can't get the competence without the rest of the baggage. So it's like 'slightly drunk me is good at pool (but it also wants to drink more and thus become very bad at pool), rather than 'thoughtful me is good at understanding where other people are coming from'.

comment by chaosmosis · 2012-04-13T16:30:32.519Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Okay, that makes sense. But I disagree that the dark side is part of Voldemort's soul.

The dark side is the one that wants to protect his friends, and calling it dark isn't really fair. Voldemort is pretty selfish so this doesn't seem like it applies to him. It's also been stressed in MOR that Harry's dark side isn't giving him access to any of Voldemort's powers. I think it's just a part of his psychology and lonely genius personality and that "the normal explanation is worth considering", even in the wizarding world.

I just thought of something, and I'm not sure what the connection is to this but I feel like there is an underlying connection. Is EY emphasizing Snape's history for a pragmatic plot type reason? Maybe there's a secret reveal coming up, about Lily or something? This is purely intuitive so it's probably crap. But sometimes my intuition is smarter than my active thoughts.

Replies from: gwern
comment by gwern · 2012-04-13T16:39:48.667Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's also been stressed in MOR that Harry's dark side isn't giving him access to any of Voldemort's powers.

I would have thought Parseltongue was an obvious example.

Replies from: Velorien, chaosmosis
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-13T16:56:48.333Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It also allows him to master the preparatory Occlumency exercises with extreme speed and ease. Which makes sense since the heart of Occlumency is assuming whatever personality you want at a given time, a gift Voldemort claims to have in abundance.

I just thought of something, and I'm not sure what the connection is to this but I feel like there is an underlying connection. Is EY emphasizing Snape's history for a pragmatic plot type reason? Maybe there's a secret reveal coming up, about Lily or something? This is purely intuitive so it's probably crap. But sometimes my intuition is smarter than my active thoughts.

My guess is that he's filling in Snape's character background to give him the full complexity he deserves as one of the major players. Although Dumbledore doesn't seem to think twice about him, Harry treats him as an obstacle, and Quirrell dismisses him as an opponent, it's been made clear that Snape is running his own multi-stage plans (such as his manipulation of Hermione), which interact and interfere with everyone else's. Perhaps his role is due to expand.

Replies from: chaosmosis
comment by chaosmosis · 2012-04-13T17:07:18.603Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Harry is totally schizophrenic in MOR though. He's got all of the Founders in his head.

The dark side isn't even a personality, as such, which implies strongly that it's not a soul.

I think your interpretation of the Snape thing is probably accurate.

Replies from: Velorien, pedanterrific
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-13T17:32:21.819Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Harry is totally schizophrenic in MOR though. He's got all of the Founders in his head.

You seem to be working from a unified view of the mind in which there is one single personality with one single voice, and deviations from this structure are pathological. I don't think this is accurate.

Even if it was, it is common for people to hold internal dialogues, and not unusual for patterns to develop where certain kinds of thought are given certain labels. I don't think this says anything special about Harry, except that he has a rich and vibrant inner life.

Also, a Public Service Announcement: "schizophrenia" is an umbrella term for a long list of possible symptoms whose main common feature is disconnection from reality or warped perception of it. You are thinking of Dissociative Identity Disorder (commonly known as Multiple Personality Disorder), which is a completely different thing altogether.

comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T21:01:52.583Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The dark side isn't even a personality, as such, which implies strongly that it's not a soul.

I was originally going to put a quote here, but it turned out to be pretty much half the chapter, so... Chapter 56. In particular, when you read

a blind terrified thing that only wanted to find a dark corner and hide and not have to think about it any more - [...]

Visualizing himself cradling his dark side like a frightened child in his arms.

Think back to Deathly Hallows, Chapter 36: King's Cross, specifically the bit

He was the only person there, except for -

He recoiled. He had spotted the thing that was making the noises. It had the form of a small, naked child, curled on the ground, its skin raw and rough, flayed-looking, and it lay shuddering under a seat where it had been left, unwanted, stuffed out of sight, struggling for breath.

He was afraid of it. Small and fragile and wounded though it was, he did not want to approach it. Nevertheless he drew slowly nearer, ready to jump back at any moment. Soon he stood near enough to touch it, yet he could not bring himself to do it. He felt like a coward. He ought to comfort it, but it repulsed him.

comment by chaosmosis · 2012-04-13T16:56:40.654Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

No. Parseltongue has nothing to do with the dark side, and neither does the possible piece of Voldemort's soul inside Harry. You're confusing two different things. I'm not trying to argue that he isn't a Horcrux, I'm trying to argue that the dark side is an authentic part of Harry and was not a result of the Horcrux.

Harry has some Voldemort powers. None of those are from the dark side of Harry, though. Nothing about Harry's dark side is Voldemorty except that Harry arbitrarily labeled it dark.

Replies from: None
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-13T17:00:41.123Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The dark side is ridiculously afraid of death, which we know to be a Voldemort trait. It's also very much separate from Harry.

Replies from: chaosmosis, Velorien
comment by chaosmosis · 2012-04-13T17:05:07.006Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I see fear of death as more of a universally human thing. I think that makes more sense than saying Voldemort's soul is inherently more fearful.

I think people are attributing things to the dark side that don't really belong there.

Why do you think the dark side is any more separate from Harry than Hufflepuff?

Replies from: None
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-13T17:20:51.551Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Harry says it is, in Azkaban.

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-13T19:21:12.776Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I think the difference there is that Hufflepuff is a voice representing some of Harry's thoughts and attitudes, running in parallel with the voice that Harry thinks of as himself. His dark side is a different state of consciousness - while it's "on", Harry processes emotions differently to normal, as well as thoughts, and the difference is big enough for him to perceive a separation between the dark side and his usual self.

Replies from: Normal_Anomaly
comment by Normal_Anomaly · 2012-04-16T01:49:22.067Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Anecdotal evidence: I have a mental separation in my own inner life between "modules", things like Harry's house avatars that interject thoughts into my ongoing thought process, and "other personalities," only one of which can be running at once. So the structure isn't totally unrealistic.

comment by Velorien · 2012-04-13T17:19:41.787Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

In fairness, MoR!Voldemort has yet to demonstrate this trait. If anything, he acts as if he is tired of living.

Replies from: LauralH
comment by LauralH · 2012-04-14T05:29:18.360Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Well, Quirrell thinks that the Dementor at Hogwarts tells him that he'll hunt him down....

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-14T05:51:28.967Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

When you think about it, it makes sense that Horcruxing yourself would piss off Deathmentors something fierce.

comment by gjm · 2012-04-13T18:52:21.913Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

since Harry's magic bag responds to sign language, can all spells be cast that way [...] ?

I very much doubt it. You have to say "prior incantato" or whatever it is, not "previous spell", and "expecto patronum" rather than "I'm waiting for my protector", etc., and (at least in MoR) the exact durations of the vowel sounds in "oogely boogely" are essential for conjuring glowing bats. It seems very much as if magic is keyed to particular sounds and (pseudo-)languages. There might be sign-language spells, which might make for an interesting underexploited niche for an ambitious magical researcher, but I don't see any reason to expect any sign-language translations of spells to exist.

Replies from: Xachariah
comment by Xachariah · 2012-04-14T00:09:19.028Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

and (at least in MoR) the exact durations of the vowel sounds in "oogely boogely" are essential for conjuring glowing bats

In canon you have to pronounce it Wing-gar-dium Levi-o-sa and can't cast it unless you make the 'gar' nice and long. (In the movies, it's "Levi-o-sa, not levio-sah").

comment by orthonormal · 2012-04-11T23:29:48.062Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Quirrellmort's history (or, at least, his history as believed by Bones) reminds me a bit of Count Fenring from Dune, somehow.

Replies from: Vaniver
comment by Vaniver · 2012-04-12T02:40:48.320Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Interesting; I'm curious what parallels you see.

Replies from: orthonormal
comment by orthonormal · 2012-04-12T20:46:09.202Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Both were groomed to be Messiahs but failed, for one reason or another (though being groomed through eugenics is rather different than being groomed through circumstance); both carry a sardonic and world-weary detachment through much of the plot, broken by a few dramatic moments (Fenring's refusal to kill Paul, Quirrellbody's dramatic appearances and disappearances).

That, and Fenring's secret humming language (obviously with a different purpose, but still).

comment by wirov · 2012-04-11T12:44:53.768Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

There was a bookcase containing random books rescued from a bargain bin, and a full shelf of ancient magazines, including one from 1883.

Funny. 1883 seems to be the year Grindelwald was born. (Although that's not sure – it even says “c. 1882” in the main article.)

I can't see how this might be related to the rest of the story, and most probably this is just a way of telling us “Yes, these magazines are ancient.“ On the other hand, this 1926/1927 thing made me somewhat more susceptible to possibly meaningful dates …

Replies from: Eugine_Nier
comment by Eugine_Nier · 2012-04-12T06:32:08.554Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

On the other hand, this 1926/1927 thing made me somewhat more susceptible to possibly meaningful dates …

When it really should have caused you to update in the other direction.

Replies from: Random832
comment by Random832 · 2012-04-12T17:43:56.167Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Not so. That he changed it implies that he will make an effort to avoid possibly meaningful dates unless they really are meaningful. Therefore if we see any possibly meaningful dates in the future it is more likely that they are meaningful, than if he had left a non-meaningful possibly-meaningful date in this chapter.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T02:40:36.353Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Only if we jump on it as hard as we'd jumped on the hero-Riddle theory.

comment by Joshua Hobbes (Locke) · 2012-04-18T02:37:00.127Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Despite the many good reasons to believe Quirrell is H&C, My Red Herring Alarm (©) wouldn't stop going off while Harry was going over the list of suspects. My gut is usually fairly good at seeing plot-twists coming, and it's very certain there's someone Harry is forgetting about. Anyone else getting a similiar vibe?

Replies from: Jonathan_Elmer, anotherblackhat
comment by Jonathan_Elmer · 2012-04-18T02:54:34.363Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I think H&C is Snape. I am really confused about what was going on with H&C1 and Quirrell but everything since then is consistent with Snape plotting against Harry.

Replies from: Normal_Anomaly
comment by Normal_Anomaly · 2012-04-19T09:26:44.952Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

What do you think is his motive?

(Full disclosure: I'm >80% confident it was Quirrell.)

Replies from: Jonathan_Elmer
comment by Jonathan_Elmer · 2012-04-22T01:00:00.229Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Full disclosure for me as well, I want H&C to be Snape so there may be confirmation bias at work on my part. I think that the rage inducing revelation that Snape had in chapter 22 caused Snape to abandon his canon role has Harry's protector and went back to the obvious role for him: fighting for the dark lord whom he used to serve and will soon be returning. Which means fighting against Harry.

For what its worth Harry also thinks something significant happened in that interaction:

*Just before Harry left the workroom, with his hand on the doorhandle, the boy turned back and said, "As long as we're here, have either of you noticed anything different about Professor Snape?"

"Different?" said the Headmaster.

Minerva didn't let her wry smile show on her face. Of course the boy was apprehensive about the 'evil Potions Master', since he had no way of knowing why Severus was to be trusted. It would have been odd to say the least, explaining to Harry that Severus was still in love with his mother.

"I mean, has his behavior changed recently in any way?" said Harry.

"Not that I have seen..." the Headmaster said slowly. "Why do you ask?"

Harry shook his head. "I don't want to prejudice your own observations by saying. Just keep an eye out, maybe?"

That sent a quiver of unease through Minerva in a way that no outright accusation of Severus could have.*

comment by anotherblackhat · 2012-04-18T03:54:35.816Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The evidence against QQ is pretty strong;

  • H&C cast a memory charm on Hermione without triggering the wards.

Only a Hogwarts professor, Dumbledore, and maybe Lupin could do that.

  • H&C either wanted Hermione to be blamed for attempted murder, or wanted her to succeed.

That rules out everyone is isn't willing to kill innocent children to advance their plots. Realistically, only QQ fits.

Whether Harry has enough information to figure it out is a different question.

Replies from: wedrifid, JoshuaZ
comment by wedrifid · 2012-04-18T04:12:41.319Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Only a Hogwarts professor, Dumbledore, and maybe Lupin could do that.

What is special about Lupin that he could pull it off? The professors would probably have security clearance. Dumbledore has security clearance and is incidentally freaking Dumbledore but Lupin is just some wizard. He's fairly competent but not so much as, say, Mad-Eye. I suppose he has better than average Hogwarts-security knowledge due to his misspent youth...

Replies from: anotherblackhat
comment by anotherblackhat · 2012-04-18T04:33:58.763Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Lupin was brought in as a special instructor for the Patronus charm, thus might possibly have professor status.

comment by JoshuaZ · 2012-04-18T03:57:29.159Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Only a Hogwarts professor, Dumbledore, and maybe Lupin could do that.

Snape falls into the first category. That said, I agree that Quirrell is almost certainly the actual culprit.

comment by 75th · 2012-04-18T01:20:44.930Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

(This isn't a prediction, exactly. Or if it is, it's extremely speculative and with a fairly low weight of confidence.)

The end of an arc will be posted here in a little while. The last couple of arc-concluding chapters have been from points of view we don't normally get. The end of TSPE was with Trelawney, and before the switch, Self-Actualization ended with Snape. Both were rather portentous moments: Trelawney had a vision of something horrible coming, and Snape made a decision that might ally him permanently with the Dark side.

For obvious reasons, we've not really had a section from Quirrell's point of view. The parentheticals a couple of chapters ago, about Amelia Bones being quite intelligent but surrounded by morons, might have been from Quirrell's head, and much of the rest of the section was written with implied omniscience of Quirrellmort's past, but it was far from a complete inner monologue.

As we approach the end of Harry's first year in Hogwarts, things are probably going to get much worse fairly quickly. And if the revelation of Quirrell's true nature is forthcoming, I wouldn't be surprised to see — or at least, I would love to see — Quirrell's last thoughts before his endgame plans are put into motion.

Replies from: Locke
comment by Joshua Hobbes (Locke) · 2012-04-18T02:44:47.914Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Nice catch.

I'm now wondering exactly how the prophecy system works. Did Harry's resolution alter time and directly cause these seers to see what they saw?

comment by LKtheGreat · 2012-04-17T17:56:06.251Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Just noticed this lovely little tidbit at the very end of Chapter 84:

"[Hermione] thought she heard, as she was within the doorway, a distant cawing cry. But it wasn't meant for her, she knew[.]"

What on Earth is that supposed to mean? Who or what is cawing in Hogwarts or on the grounds, and how does she know something about it that we don't? Or am I missing some terribly obvious connection here?

Replies from: Eliezer_Yudkowsky, pedanterrific, loserthree, linkhyrule5, ArisKatsaris
comment by Eliezer Yudkowsky (Eliezer_Yudkowsky) · 2012-04-18T02:23:21.993Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I'm very sorry about this. It referred to a part of Ch. 85 that I simply couldn't work out in time for the posting deadline. I've removed the corresponding lead-in from Ch. 84.

If I get Ch. 85 to work as originally planned, I may put it back in later.

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-18T02:37:29.632Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's so totally Snape.

comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-17T18:18:46.890Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Fawkes.

Replies from: 75th
comment by 75th · 2012-04-17T22:14:59.803Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yes. And it absolutely was meant for her.

Replies from: aladner
comment by aladner · 2012-04-17T22:42:46.349Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I'm pretty sure it was meant for Dumbledore. If it was meant for Hermione it could have just fire-ported to her.

Replies from: chaosmosis
comment by chaosmosis · 2012-04-17T23:17:15.639Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's done similar things before. It called her to the bullies (probably) without her seeing it.

Replies from: Vladimir_Nesov
comment by Vladimir_Nesov · 2012-04-17T23:58:21.984Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's plausible that that was actually Fancr, vavgvngvat uvf pbasyvpg rfpnyngvba cybg.

comment by loserthree · 2012-04-18T01:58:50.827Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Snape may have used the sound of a phoenix call to guide Hermione in the past.

Replies from: chaosmosis
comment by chaosmosis · 2012-04-18T05:35:04.666Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Me gusta. Not the part about Snape being her mysterious old wizard, but he was probably responsible for the escalation and was doing so for some unknown motive, I agree with that part, and that he's probably not motivated by love for Lily anymore.

Edit: The unwarranted negative reputation proves that people are stupid assholes everywhere, this lesson shall be appreciated and remembered.

Replies from: Normal_Anomaly
comment by Normal_Anomaly · 2012-04-19T09:35:14.575Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Please stop talking about your karma. I am tired of seeing these huge long threads arguing with you about your karma and whether lesswrong has groupthink and whether other people are being rude or disingenuous or whatever. You have singlehandedly lowered the quality of my experience reading LW this past week, and I am earnestly requesting that you stop it.

comment by linkhyrule5 · 2012-04-18T02:48:49.166Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I thought it was the phoenix, myself.

comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-17T23:26:28.090Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

There's still an aftermath chapter left I think - it may be we'll see first hand what Fawkes was cawing for.

comment by RobertLumley · 2012-04-17T14:56:49.689Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Automatically, the mask of the innocent Harry said exactly what it would have said: "Are my parents in danger? Do they need to be moved here?"

"No," said the old wizard's voice. "I do not think so. The Death Eaters learned, toward the end of the war, not to attack the Order's families. And if Voldemort is now acting without his former companions, he still knows that it is I who make the decisions for now, and he knows that I would give him nothing for any threat to your family. I have taught him that I do not give in to blackmail, and so he will not try."

This quote from Chapter 62 seems quite prudent to consider in hindsight.

comment by chaosmosis · 2012-04-12T16:56:43.809Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Could anyone try to summarize some of the main theories that have been in previous discussion threads?

This is way too overwhelming for a newcomer.

Replies from: FAWS
comment by FAWS · 2012-04-12T19:01:14.059Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
  • Quirrel is pretty much universally agreed to be Voldemort, likely with the 5 places Harry names in chapter 46 as his Horcrux hiding places, among them the Pioneer plate, and probably Harry himself as in canon.
  • Surius Black is generally agreed not to ever have been taken to Azkaban, most likely by somehow making Peter Pettigrew take his place.
  • Lucius is agreed to think that Harry is Voldemort (and be right with respect to Harry's dark side).

There were a bunch of theories regarding the identities of Hat and Cloak and Santa Claus and the details of the prank on Rita Skeeter, but those were mostly settled in recent chapters.

Replies from: chaosmosis, None
comment by chaosmosis · 2012-04-13T02:58:14.220Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I can haz evidences, plz?

But thanks for even just the claims.

Replies from: loserthree, FAWS, pedanterrific
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-13T17:31:24.656Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Quirrell makes 'riddle' puns and told the story of his mother's crime as an offhand remark. The rest is all under Conservation of Detail, which the author suggested we pay attention to.

That is, there is only room for one, true antagonist, everyone else is just an obstacle. Voldemort, more than anyone else (except maybe Dumbledore if you follow that fascinating fringe theory), is set up to be the antagonist. Behind all the things that Quirrell does for HJPEV or anyone else, he is evil. He really is.

Donc, he's almost certainly Voldemort.

I think it is also fairly accepted that Dumbledore helped Lily Potter pretty-up her sister through the potion textbook he gave to HJPEV with the "terrible secret." I think that's winning out over the "Dumbledore used Lily to break Snape" theory that I was favoring a while back.

We think Lucius thinks HJPEV is Vodlemort because it makes a lot more sense out of what Lucius says to HJPEV in chapter 38. And later chapters, too. That's a "It just fits together" answer that I'm sure some don't like. But there it is.

I don't know of good proof for Harry's status. I thought it was disputed. There's the whole 'dark side' thing, but then he kind of has a lot of sides.

I could get quote for all of these later, like Monday or maybe sooner. But not right now. Maybe someone else will in the meantime, maybe not.

Replies from: chaosmosis
comment by chaosmosis · 2012-04-18T00:30:00.223Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

On Riddle Puns:

"A riddle, Lord Malfoy!" the Boy-Who-Lived shouted across the Most Ancient Hall. "I know you weren't in Ravenclaw, but try to answer this one anyway! What destroys Dark Lords, frightens Dementors, and owes you sixty thousand Galleons?"

For an instant Lord Malfoy stood there with eyes slightly widened; then his face fell back into calm scorn, and his voice spoke coolly in reply. "Are you openly threatening me, Mr. Potter?"

Malfoy's "instant" of surprise doesn't make sense unless it's in response to what Potter said. Malfoy wouldn't have been surprised for only an instant by anything else that Harry said, because he had already seen Harry spook the dementor. This supports the theory that Malfoy thinks Harry is Voldemort, to the extent that the Quirrell = Voldemort theory is true. It also supports the Quirrel = Voldemort theory to the extent that the Malfoy thinks Harry is Voldemort theory is true. It ties those theories together, a little bit.

The weakness of this argument is that it requires a previously unmentioned detail, that Malfoy knows Voldemort uses riddle puns. But that's a small weakness and the argument still seems more true than false.

Replies from: ArisKatsaris
comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-18T00:47:15.148Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The weakness of this argument is that it requires a previously unmentioned detail, that Malfoy knows Voldemort uses riddle puns.

It only requires that Malfoy knows Voldemort to be Tom Riddle -- which in canon he did.

Replies from: chaosmosis
comment by chaosmosis · 2012-04-18T04:49:11.299Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I don't know why you think I didn't know this. But there is a difference between knowing Tom Riddle is Voldemort and knowing that Voldemort's secret identities often use Riddle puns. This difference is poignantly illustrated by the fact that HPMOR Harry knows Tom Riddle is Voldemort but never catches on to the Riddle puns. If you're going to correct me, please make sure that I'm actually wrong in the first place.

Additionally, I explicitly said that this objection was only weak and that the theory was still fairly strong. I don't know why you would make this comment unless you're fishing for karma or you love to argue about trivial and stupid things.

Replies from: ArisKatsaris, pedanterrific
comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-18T09:53:17.922Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

This difference is poignantly illustrated by the fact that HPMOR Harry knows Tom Riddle is Voldemort but never catches on to the Riddle puns.

Harry in HPMoR hasn't been told Voldemort was once named Tom Riddle.

If you're going to correct me, please make sure that I'm actually wrong in the first place.

I've just made sure, by searching for all occurrences of the word "riddle" in the Methods of Rationality PDF -- and seeing that Dumbledore never once mentions the name Tom Riddle in front of Harry. Is this enough "making sure"?

I don't know why you would make this comment unless you're fishing for karma or you love to argue about trivial and stupid things.

Your imprecisions lead to flawed conclusions. I've only been making corrections when the mistakes significantly affect such conclusions.

Replies from: drnickbone, chaosmosis
comment by drnickbone · 2012-05-21T20:39:06.883Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

This is a good catch by the way, and itself another oddity.

Canon Dumbledore told Harry a lot about Voldemort's background (including the Riddle years and his theories about the horcruxes) - HPMOR Dumbledore has done none of this. And yet he expects Harry to fight him, and Harry already knows about the prophecy.

Another issue is that I'm recently doubting whether Quirrell/Voldemort is actually Tom Riddle in the HPMOR universe. It is clearly implied that Quirrell = Voldemort, but then suddenly in chapters 84 and 85 we get this Quirrell = Hero identification (from a Noble and Ancient House, no less). Further, Eliezer has made it clear that Hero is not Tom Riddle (by adjusting the birth year).

So what are the possibilities? It seems that either Tom Riddle killed the original Hero character, and then impersonated him in the fight against his alter ego Voldemort. Or, even more intriguingly, the Hero character fought and defeated Tom Riddle much earlier on, then set up the Voldemort character to be the awful Dark Lord with a "secret" identity of Tom Riddle, while himself being the "secret within a secret" identity, and the heroic adversary. This is a plot worthy of a truly evil Sith Lord such as Emperor Palpatine. Presumably the Death Eaters as well as Dumbledore and aurors are all deceived, and this is the real reason why booby-trapping the grave of Tom Riddle's father (after TSPE) is going to be of no use. Quirrelmort has no need to hide the father's grave, because it's totally irrelevant.

comment by chaosmosis · 2012-04-18T13:28:32.344Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You've completely conceded that your initial argument was total crap. Now you're making a completely different argument. But you were initially just being a total asshole, and your initial argument was wrong. If you would have actually conceded that instead of completely changing what your criticism was, I might think of you as a more genuine person rather than as a disingenuous reputation hound.

I've made factual mistakes but they in no way justify your behavior or the behavior of others.

My imprecision led to no flawed conclusions. And you just stole that argument from pedanterrific, you didn't even think of it yourself, that's pathetic for a defense of your actions or above comment. And I didn't make the imprecision until after your comment: "It only requires that Malfoy knows Voldemort to be Tom Riddle -- which in canon he did." So you're obviously lying when you say "I've only been making corrections when the mistakes significantly affect such conclusions." But the commenters here are stupid and apparently don't notice things like that.

But the idiots who gave you 2 karma (solely for the purpose of opposing my post, because I am now "low status" in your eyes) obviously don't care about consistent advocacies or anything like that, so you only have social incentives to cheat and lie and commit underhanded fallacies, instead of actually either defending your point or admitting that you were wrong. Your (2 levels) above comment was useless, so I conclude that the commenters on this site either don't know how to evaluate comments rationally or else they want to use karma for other purposes.

My impression of this site has gone way down. I mistakenly assumed rationalists would be rational.

That was stupid of me.

Goodbye. I'll still visit because the authors of the posts are intelligent, but I never want to deal with moron commenters who don't want to have productive discussions or, more importantly, the fact that so many people out there just don't recognize the tactics that you're using. I'm sure that this type of belief and argument has a "low status" association in the eyes of many of the other commenters, and based on their past behavior I predict that more negative reputation and bad counterarguments are on the way. But it can't be helped, and I'm not going to waste my time responding to them.

Replies from: ArisKatsaris
comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-18T14:02:37.685Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You've completely conceded that your initial argument was total crap.

No, I haven't.

Now you're making a completely different argument.

Since you then made a completely separate and different error, of course I'll make a completely different argument against that completely separate and different error.

and your initial argument was wrong

I've not made a wrong argument against any of your positions.

My imprecision led to no flawed conclusions. And you just stole that argument from pedanterrific, you didn't even think of it yourself, that's pathetic for a defense of your actions or above comment. And I didn't make the imprecision until after your comment: "It only requires that Malfoy knows Voldemort to be Tom Riddle -- which in canon he did." So you're obviously lying when you say "I've only been making corrections when the mistakes significantly affect such conclusions."

Again with the accusations of lying?

Look, your initial claim: "The weakness of this argument is that it requires a previously unmentioned detail, that Malfoy knows Voldemort uses riddle puns." led to a unnecessary requirement -- that Malfoy knows something of Voldemort's liking about riddle puns. That Malfoy knows something about Voldemort's sense of humour.

That's a false conclusion. If he just knows Voldemort's name to have been Tom Riddle, he can find importance at the word "riddle" being told to him by Harry Potter, without needing to have any prior knowledge of Voldemort's liking for puns.

Look here: you obviously have a HUGE problem about being corrected. That's not gonna work in a site dedicated to becoming LESS WRONG.

The proper response to being corrected is "Thanks, I missed that" or "Thanks, you're right about that" or "Oops, sorry".

Not treating people as enemies for making you be less wrong.

And certainly not accusing them for lying. I know for a fact that I've never lied to you, in any of my comments towards you. That's just an absolute knowledge I have regarding my own actions, even though I can't convince you of it.

And you just stole that argument from pedanterrific

That's a crime in your mind? I knew the same thing without the need for him/her to say it, but obviously I'm not going to convince you. But even if I did "steal" that argument from pedanterrific, and wasn't aware of it independently, so what? That's what arguments are for, to convince people independently of origin.

the fact that so many people out there just don't recognize the tactics that you're using.

The only tactics I've been using is telling you whenever you make a mistake in either facts or reasoning. And being straightforward to you, not sugarcoating your mistakes.

The tactic you've been using is accusing me of lying, whenever I disagree with you about anything, and accusing other people of being morons whenever they disagree with you.

You hate me -- we get it. But the only "sin" I've committed against you is correcting you without paying too much attention at how politely I did it. I've never lied -- I didn't even downvote any of your posts except the ones where you accuse me of lying.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-18T15:29:48.395Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I knew the same thing he said

Out of curiosity, have I identified myself as male on this site?

That is, I do that sometimes, I just hadn't thought I did here.

Replies from: ArisKatsaris
comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-18T15:40:11.684Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Out of curiosity, have I identified myself as male on this site?

Not to my knowledge. Apologies -- I just wrongly tend to use the male pronoun as default in some cases. Edited to fix.

comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-18T04:55:46.024Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

HPMOR Harry knows Tom Riddle is Voldemort

What makes you think this? (He doesn't.)

Replies from: chaosmosis
comment by chaosmosis · 2012-04-18T05:46:03.608Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Dumbledore talks about Tom = Voldemort all the time in front of him... I think.

But it doesn't impact my point either way. But I understand why pointing out the error still makes sense despite the previous sentence.

And now I've wasted an hour arguing on the internet which is one of the most useless things that I know of and which is what I was trying to avoid in the first place hangs head in shame.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-18T05:56:51.003Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Dumbledore talks about Tom = Voldemort all the time in front of him... I think.

Not even once, in fact.

comment by FAWS · 2012-04-13T17:55:59.184Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

In addition to what the others have said there are numerous other passages and oddities that hint at Quirrel = Voldemort = Harry's dark side. Harry and Quirrel describing a Horcrux between them when they talk about the Pioneer plate. Quirrel saying he "resolved his parental issues to his satisfaction" long ago, just after saying being grateful for his parents could never have occured to him. Quirrel having a much better model of Harry than of Draco or Hermione, particularly when Harry's dark side is involved. Harry's dark side and Quirrel both being extremely vulnerable to Dementors. Harry's dark side and Quirrel both being very good at pretending to be other people. Quirrel's extremely odd reaction when Harry talks about having a mysterious dark side and his going along with the convenient conclusion that it's just another part of Harry. Dumbledore and Snape recognizing Voldemort's hand in Quirrels actions. Harry's dark side hating Dumbledore. And so on.

The strongest piece of evidence for Lucius believing Harry to be Voldemort is his "I know it was you" message after breaking out Bellatrix.

Replies from: Benquo
comment by Benquo · 2012-04-17T21:47:37.301Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Quirrel saying he "resolved his parental issues to his satisfaction" long ago, just after saying being grateful for his parents could never have occured to him.

And of course, from Chapter 34:

My own family is long since dead at the Dark Lord's hand.

comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T03:22:21.178Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Evidence for the second one (Sirius Black).

Replies from: chaosmosis
comment by chaosmosis · 2012-04-13T15:57:20.689Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The guy who caught that second quote is completely amazing.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T18:42:53.960Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Why thank you.

comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-12T19:18:58.865Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Wait, when did we learn anything about the Rita Skeeter prank?

Replies from: FAWS
comment by FAWS · 2012-04-12T19:40:01.098Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Harry concluded that it must have been a false memory charm. That was one of the more popular theories before, and Harry agreeing is probably as much confirmation as we are going to get in-story.

comment by gwern · 2012-04-11T14:46:45.117Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

On the Stone's mention: http://lesswrong.com/lw/bfo/harry_potter_and_the_methods_of_rationality/6ahg

Replies from: thescoundrel, HonoreDB
comment by thescoundrel · 2012-04-11T15:27:54.166Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

In a rather large "Oh Duh" moment: if Harry knew about the stone, he would insist it be used on everyone. Barring some unforeseen mechanism that prevents its mass use, he would view Dumbledore as Evil for knowing how to keep everyone alive, and not acting on it.

comment by HonoreDB · 2012-04-11T19:09:18.981Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

See also this exchange on the tvtropes forum, where EY clarifies at least one of his reasons for removing the Griphook line.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T03:13:41.041Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's a bit late to chime in there, but if EY actually thinks that dying people have no interest in things that extend life, he's crazy.

Replies from: loup-vaillant
comment by loup-vaillant · 2012-04-13T14:16:07.951Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

His exact words don't imply that:

Only eternal youth, available up front, would actually stir most people to action.

Of course, most dying people would have huge interest in extending their life. But they're not most people. Also, ponder the real-world evidence about revealed preferences of tobacco users (among other self-destructive practices). Having an interest often isn't enough to act upon it.

Replies from: Alsadius
comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T15:04:07.898Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Tobacco users generally feel that it's worth the loss of lifespan(or that "I don't want to live at that age anyways", or "I'll beat the odds", or other such irrational arguments), and there's very few people who wouldn't pay quite a lot to arrest aging even if they couldn't reverse it.

Replies from: Barry_Cotter
comment by Barry_Cotter · 2012-04-13T16:15:01.137Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Well it's been five days now so as a newly minted ex-tobacco smoker: There are plenty who can and will honestly say "My will is not strong enough". I was 21 before I ever smoked a full cigarette. Believe me when I say that there are people who know in their bones how stupid smoking is, who make no defense based on reasons they will own, they will stand behind, but who keep smoking nevertheless. Nicotine may not be heroin (and I'm not going to find out) but it is truly some good shit.

Don't start smoking kids.

Replies from: TheOtherDave
comment by TheOtherDave · 2012-04-13T16:31:23.940Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yeah... smoking kids is seriously frowned upon by your neighbors.

comment by ChrisHallquist · 2012-04-16T02:50:43.427Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Ack. I can't believe it took me this long, but I think Quirrellmort's plan has finally fallen into place for me. Quirrellmort's primary goals are:

(1) Attain immortality. (2) Enjoy it.

But he believes a necessary means to those ends is:

(3) Kill Harry Potter.

When Quirrellmort first said that when he made his Evil Overlord list, he realized following it all the time would defeat the purpose of being a Dark Lord. I wondered if he was telling the truth about that. HPMOR is all about playing with things that don't make sense in traditional stories, and the fact the bad guy wants to rule the world in traditional stories is one of those things that rarely makes any sense. It's taken for granted that bad guys want to rule worlds, but why? Wouldn't it be a lot of work?

At first glance, though, having Quirrellmort not want to rule the world (or even just Magical Britain) would have done funny things to the dramatic tension of the story. Probably the story would end up being about whether Harry could think clearly enough to do utopia right, with Quirrellmort acting not as a traditional antagonist but more of a tempter-figure, trying to nudge Harry towards becoming a Dark Lord.

Now I've become convinced that Quirrellmort was very much telling the truth about deciding not to be a Dark Lord. Here's the thing, though: he still wants to be immortal. Remember the scene where Harry realizes that his mysterious dark side is terrified of death, and he needs to coddle it? If his dark side is a piece of Voldemort's soul, that's telling us that Voldemort is terrified of death.

And Voldemort has heard a prophecy saying that either he or Harry must die. He's absolutely terrified of death, so he's going to try to make sure it's Harry. He didn't intend to kill Harry on the Night of Godric's Hollow, but that's because he knew the part of the prophecy that said, "He will mark him as his equal." He realized if he tried to kill Harry directly, according to the prophecy something would go wrong, so he decided to first fulfill the part about marking Harry as his equal intentionally, and then figure out how to kill Harry in a way that nothing would go wrong.

For purposes of the story's plot, his central goal isn't any different than Canon!Voldemort's. Both are focused on killing Harry. But HPMOR!Voldemort, once he's done that, won't try to rule Magical Britain. He'll go off and do whatever the hell he feels like.

I wonder if maybe from '73-'81 Voldemort deliberately avoided winning the war, because he thought fighting a war would be more fun than actually trying to rule after you've won.

Replies from: alex_zag_al, FAWS, Jonathan_Elmer, SkyDK, shminux
comment by alex_zag_al · 2012-04-17T16:10:13.093Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's taken for granted that bad guys want to rule worlds, but why? Wouldn't it be a lot of work?

Seems Quirrell has a good motive for conquest that you didn't mention, or at least a motive for attempting the unification of wizards, whether under his leadership or not.

"Those fool Muggles will kill us all someday!" Professor Quirrell's voice had grown louder. "They will end it! End all of it!"

Harry was feeling a bit lost here. "What are we talking about here, nuclear weapons?"

"Yes, nuclear weapons!"

And remember his magical fascism speech, where he said to imagine an outside enemy attacking the divided armies?

It could be that Quirrell wanted a believable fake secret motive for his interest in Harry, and all of the above was so that Harry wouldn't question this:

"Sso," Harry hissed, "what iss your plan for me, precissely?"

"You ssaid no time," came the snake's hiss, "but plan iss for you to rule country, obvioussly, even your young noble friend hass undersstood that by now, assk him on return if you wissh.

Or, his desire to unite wizards against the muggle threat could be sincere.

EDIT: A proposal of this theory by 75th, and a little bit of discussion, here: http://lesswrong.com/lw/ams/harry_potter_and_the_methods_of_rationality/60di

comment by FAWS · 2012-04-16T03:20:29.477Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's definitely not just that, otherwise he'd have tossed Harry a knut port key into an active volcano or the like. His plan seems to involve Harry's "dark side" taking permanent control (like he expected to be the case before he was surpised by the news that there was a separate dark side in the first place rather than just Harry sometimes pretending to be non-dark).

comment by Jonathan_Elmer · 2012-04-16T04:12:27.172Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

They prophecy does not say that "either he or Harry must die" it says that one will "destroy all but a remnant of the other." One way for that to be true is that Volde dies but is still exists as a spirit due to his horcrux. However even if that is the obvious answer it would be wise for him to try to determine non-obvious ways the prophecy might be fulfilled. Preferably one where he could win. For example, inserting his personality into Harry's mind so that his personality changes Harry's such that it is only a remnant of its previous form.

Prophecies are a done deal, what is said will come to pass. Considering that the obvious answer is that Harry kills Volde it might be a good idea to make sure that happens when Harry is still a baby and cannot finish him off. With the personality insert as a backup plan for fulfilling the prophecy without completely losing.

Replies from: 75th, Normal_Anomaly
comment by 75th · 2012-04-16T17:11:28.925Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Keep in mind that in canon, "either" in the prophecy was used in its lesser-known (but legitimate) definition of "both". "Either must die by the hand of the other", but what really happened was that BOTH died by the hand of the other.

So if that persists in MoR, we should expect both Harry and Voldemort to somehow destroy all but a remnant of the other.

Replies from: Jonathan_Elmer
comment by Jonathan_Elmer · 2012-04-18T00:20:34.452Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Good point.

comment by Normal_Anomaly · 2012-04-17T12:52:04.319Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Prophecies are a done deal, what is said will come to pass.

If I recall correctly, there are unfulfilled prophecies in canon.

comment by SkyDK · 2012-04-16T19:17:39.166Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Seems an awful lot of work to go through rather than just siccing an expert killer on the baby. No, I find it highly unlikely that killing Harry is the main goal. On the other hand Dumbledore's version of good seems to be very incompatible with Harry's...

comment by shminux · 2012-04-16T03:59:28.961Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

"He will mark him as his equal."

You might also interpret this sentence in a mathematical sense, the two of them being identical, so the survival of either one is good enough for either of them. Thus V. tries to ensure that HP (presumably) has the best possible chance of survival in the harsh realities of Magical Britain :)

comment by CronoDAS · 2012-04-24T06:58:47.637Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

When was the Naruto parody added to the omake chapter?

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-24T07:04:32.676Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Several months ago, I'm pretty sure.

comment by drethelin · 2012-04-16T20:22:16.481Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Wild guessing:

There's a lot of things said about Voldemort that don't really make sense. How did get killed by a child? Quirrel himself makes fun of the Dark Mark, and why would someone who wants to be an effective leader torture his own servants for fun? He destroys the martial arts school without learning anything. I'm starting to think that Voldemort makes far more sense as a propagandized creation of Dumbledore's side than as a real entity. It's pretty obvious that the known story of what happened at Godric's Hollow isn't what REALLY happened. Dumbledore was the winner in the historic conflict, and who knows how well a wizard, the supreme mugwump, gets to rewrite history in his favor. He instantly acts to suppress knowledge of a prophecy, and why would he do that if he didn't have huge secrets to keep? Which is the side that uses dementors?

If Quirrel is Voldemort, I think it's possible he isn't and never was the Voldemort known from canon. Is it more plausible that crazy violent dumb Voldemort would become Quirrel, or that he never really existed at all?

Replies from: Jonathan_Elmer, pedanterrific
comment by Jonathan_Elmer · 2012-04-17T02:12:53.274Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Tom Riddle needed a Voldemort for his plot so he became Voldemort for a time. Just as he needed a Quirrel and a Mister Jaffe.

comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-16T20:45:58.603Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Quirrel himself makes fun of the Dark Mark

Ah... no? Actually, the opposite of that.

"Division is weakness," said the Defense Professor. His hand closed into a tight fist. "Unity is strength. The Dark Lord understood that well, whatever his other follies; and he used that understanding to create the one simple invention that made him the most terrible Dark Lord in history. Your parents faced one Dark Lord. And fifty Death Eaters who were perfectly unified, knowing that any breach of their loyalty would be punished by death, that any slack or incompetence would be punished by pain. None could escape the Dark Lord's grasp once they took his Mark. And the Death Eaters agreed to take that terrible Mark because they knew that once they took it, they would be united, facing a divided land. One Dark Lord and fifty Death Eaters would have defeated an entire country, by the power of the Dark Mark."

Replies from: drethelin, GeeJo
comment by drethelin · 2012-04-17T03:41:44.370Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Shit, you're right. Who was it that made fun of the concept of having a sign that could easily reveal you to your enemies if they just asked you to roll up your sleeve?

Replies from: Jonathan_Elmer
comment by Jonathan_Elmer · 2012-04-17T03:47:21.204Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Harry in chapter 21.

comment by GeeJo · 2012-05-11T08:22:15.533Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

On the other hand, it surely wouldn't be beyond the Dark Lord to come up with a system that accomplished all that without leaving such an obvious identifier on his minions.

comment by MichaelHoward · 2012-04-14T14:54:02.408Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Pottermore is out of beta.

comment by LKtheGreat · 2012-04-15T21:32:54.641Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Related to the discussion about the Defense Professor's talk with Hermione, but more generalized:

We've had Word of God (can't find the specific comment quickly) to the effect that parts of the text that are "too obvious" to readers are in fact meant to be that obvious, not meant as red herrings. Have we had any pronouncement about the truthfulness of things that the characters find "too obvious"? (As, for example, Hermione's realisation that Quirrell was apparently trying to get her to leave.)

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-16T05:15:15.288Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Dumbledore tried to push Hermione away from heroism specifically to push her towards it. Maybe Quirrell thinks the same tool work work on her. He doesn't even have to know that Dumbledore thought that would work or used that tool on Hermione. He could just observe in her the same vulnerability to that method.

Replies from: ArisKatsaris
comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-16T07:00:54.354Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Okay, can someone answer in what way it would look different if Quirrel did try to get Hermione away and just honestly failed? As opposed to this supposedly not-real attempt?

Because I think too many people in this thread suffer from thinking that Quirrel is literally infallible in regards to anything he tries.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-16T07:31:04.517Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Because I think too many people in this thread suffer from thinking that Quirrel is literally infallible in regards to anything he tries.

I have thought the same in conversations about other puzzles for that character, so I should heartily agree. The evidence shows no reason for him to want her to stay.

I update to believing that Quirrell tried and failed to drive Hermione away p>0.6. His groundhog day attack equipped him to expertly apply pressure to her but she still persevered, even barely, because she is heroic. (He was using reverse psychology to drive her toward Harry p0.25.)

Thank you for the reality check.

comment by VincenzoLingley · 2012-04-12T23:32:20.404Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I was rereading the new chapters and got very confused about what happens between casting a spell and its effects.

Hexes are slow enough to be dodged from almost point-blank range. Chapter 78:

But Granger flashed and whirled around the Tooth-Lengthening Hex, and then her own wand came around and leveled at almost point-blank range This suggests slow bolts of light, like in the movies.

But some spells have instantaneous effect. Chapter 78:

Neville was falling toward the ground and screaming "Chaotic landing!" and the Chaotics were wrenching their attention away from fights to cast the Hover Charm

(There is no way that could have been safe given normal reaction times and current values of g)

Then there is wandless magic, which (I think) is instantaneous in canon, but that would be far too overpowered for MoR. Actually even the hover charm, assuming it is instantaneous, could be deadlier in the hands of a powerful wizard than the killing curse.

Replies from: chaosmosis, Velorien
comment by chaosmosis · 2012-04-13T16:10:17.533Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I'm curious why the spell has to be shot out from the wand, rather than from a completely different direction or appearing spontaneously in the middle of the target. There's an underlying assumption that magic is like lasers and wands are like guns in much of Canon!HP and in MOR, but that doesn't really seem justified. Maybe this is just another conceptual limitation?

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-13T16:48:26.446Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You're right, no hint of an explanation why wands are necessary has ever been given. Spontaneous underage magic, as well as high-level wandless magic, would be evidence in favour of the "conceptual limitation" theory.

On the other hand, this wouldn't explain why Bacon, who apparently lacked this conceptual limitation, was severely held back in his research by lack of a wand. Also, it doesn't explain why high-level wizards continue to use wands for the overwhelming majority of their spellcasting.

Replies from: Rejoyce
comment by Rejoyce · 2012-04-14T09:29:20.718Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Maybe it's not that wands are needed to cast spells, but that they amplify magical power (and perhaps adds focus to a target). While the magically powerful are able to cast high level wandless magic, most are unable to. Hence, they have to use wands to make their spells powerful enough to have an effect. Children have spontaneous magic but they can't cast as much as adults normally can with wands.

Perhaps Roger Bacon just wasn't magically powerful. -shrugs- Not all great thinkers have to have tons of strength. Er, wasn't he Muggleborn? If the "Muggleborns-are-weaker" theory is true, then it makes sense.

My hypothesis for the reason why high-level wizards continue to use wands is that they've simply grown dependent. If they've been using magic-amplifying wands ever since they were eleven, then they would be used to being assisted by the wand. I think this matches my mental model of Quirrell, who is seen doing a lot of wandless magic (stopping spells midair, spontaneously combusting inkwells). He seems like the kind of person that would train himself to use his wand as little as possible. And even if he can't duel without, his magical ability is certainly very impressive.

Replies from: Velorien
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-14T22:29:09.938Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Children have spontaneous magic but they can't cast as much as adults normally can with wands.

However, the spells they do cast are fully as powerful as those of adults with wands.

If the "Muggleborns-are-weaker" theory is true, then it makes sense.

Pretty sure this theory has been unambiguously dismissed both in canon and in MoR.

Otherwise your hypothesis is credible, though I still don't accept it as I can't see all the high-level wizards we know being dependent on wands when there are so many advantages to wandless magic (and when high-level wizards tend to be ones with strong, independent personalities).

Replies from: Random832, pedanterrific
comment by Random832 · 2012-04-16T13:12:52.060Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

If the "Muggleborns-are-weaker" theory is true, then it makes sense.

Pretty sure this theory has been unambiguously dismissed both in canon and in MoR.

I think both have been silent on the question of whether there is any notion of inherent "power levels" at all, let alone whether it is heritable or whether it is correlated to being a "muggleborn".

EDIT: It's clear in MoR that - if Harry's hypothesis on magic heritability is true (a big if), then other non-binary factors seem unlikely to be correlated to being a "muggleborn". However, I felt that Harry very strongly anchored on that hypothesis, which was one of my reasons for being annoyed with him and eventually stopping reading (to pick it back up later on, obviously)

comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-14T22:48:57.485Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

However, the spells they do cast are fully as powerful as those of adults with wands.

In fact more powerful than most adults; there's a line in Chapter 78 that "If [Mr and Mrs Davis]'d been children young enough for accidental magic they probably would've spontaneously Disillusioned themselves.", which we know requires significantly above-average power in MoR. (Assuming that line from the narrator isn't exaggeration.)

Otherwise your hypothesis is credible, though I still don't accept it as I can't see all the high-level wizards we know being dependent on wands when there are so many advantages to wandless magic

If you accept the hypothesis, wanded magic has the not-insignificant advantage of being more powerful. What's the advantage of wandless magic?

Replies from: Rejoyce, Velorien
comment by Rejoyce · 2012-04-15T17:01:24.376Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

If you accept the hypothesis, wanded magic has the not-insignificant advantage of being more powerful. What's the advantage of wandless magic?

I thought it was obvious. What if you're without a wand?

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-17T19:57:56.419Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

If you're in battle without a wand, it seems to me that either 1) you've been ambushed, or 2) you've been disarmed. I don't really see that the ability to cast understrength spells helps all that much in either situation.

Replies from: Alix
comment by Alix · 2012-04-19T01:28:01.060Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

That depends on how creative you get. Even understrength spells, especially if unexpected, could tip the balance in your direction - especially if all you're looking for is, say, an opportunity to escape. Even if you lose your gun, a rock can still be useful.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-19T02:09:49.217Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yeah, thinking about it a little more, even just wandless Apparation would be pretty useful.

Replies from: wedrifid
comment by wedrifid · 2012-04-19T02:45:33.318Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yeah, thinking about it a little more, even just wandless Apparation would be pretty useful.

Even just wandless Apparation? Wandless Apparation! Of all the defensive magic options available that don't involve time travel that's quite possibly the first pick. I'd take it over the ability to cast Avada Kedavra (at all). I'd consider taking it even if it meant sacrificing my ability to cast any offensive dueling spell ever.

Once that is in place it is time to research as many alertness and general paranoia spells as possible.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-19T03:01:04.769Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Do we have any indication how difficult it is to cast Anti-Disapparation Jinxes, in canon or MoR?

The fact that Quirrell ends his spiel about how the correct tactic is usually "Just Apparate away!" with the fact that Dark Wizards can still reliably threaten even people who can do that indicates it's at least possible in combat time (i.e. doesn't require a day to cast it on a house, say).

Edit: But yeah, that's obviously the best single choice (though I think you're selling the AK a little low). Number two would be Accio, I guess.

Replies from: wedrifid
comment by wedrifid · 2012-04-19T07:56:09.003Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Do we have any indication how difficult it is to cast Anti-Disapparation Jinxes, in canon or MoR?

In particular, how difficult are they compared to a reliable AOE destructive spell cast on the same area? (Skipping straight to the killer instinct!)

Edit: But yeah, that's obviously the best single choice (though I think you're selling the AK a little low).

I'm buying Apparate high. AK is great and all but easily acquired in the form of hired or otherwise accessible muscle. Firepower is a commodity, the life and safety of the general less so.

Number two would be Accio, I guess.

I'm curious as to your reasoning. A location spell and a little effort can handle this use case. (ie. If you can already cast apparate twice and know which direction to cast it you've got most of that use case handled.)

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-19T10:47:22.977Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Operating under the assumption that you don't have your wand because you've been ambushed or disarmed, the ability to get your wand back seems marginally more useful than the ability to slam your head against an anti-disapparation jinx.

comment by Velorien · 2012-04-15T12:24:41.074Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Non-reliance on wands is a big one, since watching the movements of an opponent's wand, or disarming them, are combat fundamentals. Being able to cast spells unnoticed is another one (consider the powerful effect of the mid-interrogation Memory Charm in the Order of the Phoenix). Also, it's presumably better training in terms of building up power and skill to cast spells without a crutch.

Besides, many spells don't really need extra power to work, as they have a binary effect (like the Quietus Charm) or typically target objects that can't resist (such as the Vanishing Charm).

Replies from: alex_zag_al
comment by alex_zag_al · 2012-04-15T20:06:18.225Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Nitpick, but Quirrell cast a Quieting Charm on the rocket in the Azkaban escape, but Harry's ears were still ringing enough afterward that he couldn't hear Bellatrix shouting. So it's not a binary effect; there could be Quieting Charms that are capable of silencing louder noises than others.

comment by Velorien · 2012-04-13T01:13:48.625Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It seems to be different for different spells. For example, some spells can't be dodged because of the missile shape rather than because of speed (e.g. wide blasts rather than beams or missiles). Likewise, some require physical contact (Transfiguration) while others affect everyone in the vicinity irrespective of location, targeting or obstacles (Muffliato, the one that stops people overhearing you).

Also, I don't think it gets deadlier than the Killing Curse by definition - it is unblockable and kills instantly. Any other spell we know of can be blocked by a good enough shield and/or have its effects undone before they are fatal (by an ally if not by the target themselves).

Replies from: VincenzoLingley
comment by VincenzoLingley · 2012-04-13T01:32:47.399Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Also, I don't think it gets deadlier than the Killing Curse by definition - it is unblockable and kills instantly.

It can be dodged. My point was that if the hover charm is instant and cannot be dodged, then accelerating the victim into something (e.g. sky then ground) can kill them without giving them time before the spell hits. And with sufficient acceleration, the victim won't be able to react.

Replies from: Xachariah, Desrtopa, Velorien, pedanterrific
comment by Xachariah · 2012-04-13T01:34:36.331Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Alternatively, the Arresto Momentum spell is quite instantly deadly if you use the right frame of reference.

Replies from: Jonathan_Elmer, chaosmosis
comment by Jonathan_Elmer · 2012-04-13T05:21:45.587Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Ha, another magical weapon of mass destruction. Hop on a broom and repeatedly cast Arresto Momentum on the Earth.

comment by chaosmosis · 2012-04-13T02:56:01.995Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Genius. Just arrest the momentum of, say, their head while they are flying on a broomstick. Or stop their heart from beating.

Assuming that partial Charming is possible which it probably is because of the same reasons partial Transfiguration is.

Replies from: Xachariah
comment by Xachariah · 2012-04-13T07:22:46.327Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I was actually thinking that the surface of the earth relative to the core rotates at 1040 miles per hour. Also that the speed of the earth relative to the sun is 67,000 miles per hour, though that could be too deadly. (Edit: Since I was curious, casting arresto momentum with the sun as a frame of reference on a 50kg person would release 22 gigajoules. IE, you'd turn them into a kinetic kill weapon with destructive force equal to 5 tons of TNT)

But you're right, arresting the momentum could be brutal in a lot of different ways.

Replies from: Velorien, drethelin
comment by Velorien · 2012-04-13T16:52:10.547Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Presumably, you'd need some kind of conceptual shift like with partial Transfiguration before you could do this. It seems like an implicit rule of Potterverse magic that it works according to the laws of physics you instinctively expect (or perhaps the ones the designer expected), so you have to "jailbreak" the spell before it can work in an updated, relativistic model.

comment by drethelin · 2012-04-13T17:23:55.544Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The same thing would happen with Apparition, floo travel, etc. I'm pretty sure you just aren't allowed to manipulate momentum that way.

comment by Desrtopa · 2012-04-13T12:46:51.904Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

In canon, Snape was able to shut down everything Harry tried against him in combat in the sixth book, because as long as Harry hadn't mastered occlumency or silent spellcasting, his attacks were all sufficiently telegraphed that a superior duelist and leglimens like Snape could simply counter them all before he could fire them off.

Replies from: gwern
comment by gwern · 2012-04-13T16:32:58.496Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Indeed. I'm reminded of martial arts - in a sparring match between a very fit beginner and a creaky master, the master still just toys with the beginner because their movements are so predictable. I've seen this in fencing, taekwondo, and karate, and it's a mixture of hilarious, impressive, and sad all at once.

Replies from: Desrtopa
comment by Desrtopa · 2012-04-13T18:08:13.786Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

If you're really good, you can toy around like that even with people who're quite proficient. I haven't seen it myself, but my sifu said that his teacher, grandmaster Al Dacascos, who's a first generation martial arts hall of famer, really is that good in his sixties, and on the wikipedia page of Kenshiro Abbe, it says that he recalled how his own kendo instructor, a 75 year old tenth dan (back when tenth dans in kendo actually still existed) couldn't be touched by any of the students or younger instructors.

comment by Velorien · 2012-04-13T01:49:46.815Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

True. But that would have to be an extreme amount of acceleration, whereas in MoR it takes several casters just to fully counter the effect of gravity on one teenage boy. Also, it seems unlikely at best that the Hover Charm can accelerate people downwards - and if you lift someone high enough for a fall to kill them, you give them time to react while they fall.

Also, it's possible that the Hover Charm could be blocked by a pre-cast shield - in fact, this seems likely, otherwise people could just get around non-spherical shields by lifting the target and then shooting them from underneath.

Replies from: VincenzoLingley
comment by VincenzoLingley · 2012-04-13T05:55:06.867Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

it takes several casters

Several first-year casters. Quirrell stuck 50 people to the ceiling. You might say that he has better ways to use his power - but the killing curse is not one of them. His killing curse is little better than anyone else's.

Also, it seems unlikely at best that the Hover Charm can accelerate people downwards

There's got to be a spell for that, and it it likely to work similarly to the hover charm, i.e. instant effect.

Also, it's possible that the Hover Charm could be blocked by a pre-cast shield

If by a specific anti-hover shield, then one needs to always keep up a large number of shields against various spells. If by a generic shield, well, that isn't in my mental model of shields, but I guess it's possible. In which case I agree that the killing curse is superior agains a raised shield, but it is still inferior against an unsuspecting enemy.

Replies from: Rejoyce, pedanterrific, ahartell, Velorien
comment by Rejoyce · 2012-04-14T09:42:18.093Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

There's got to be a spell for that, and it it likely to work similarly to the hover charm, i.e. instant effect.

Ah. Hundreds of girls Summoning a Harry Potter into their arms?

comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T06:01:49.215Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

If by a generic shield, well, that isn't in my mental model of shields, but I guess it's possible.

I imagine SPHEW's battles vs. the bullies would have looked different if Protego didn't protect against telekinesis.

comment by ahartell · 2012-04-15T16:02:20.088Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

An unsuspecting enemy can apparate when they realize they are being affected by the hover charm. When they realize they are being affected by Avada Kedavra... they're dead.

comment by Velorien · 2012-04-13T12:37:21.033Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You make some excellent points. I can only conclude that the Hover Charm (and your proposed opposite) must have some built-in limitations, otherwise no-one would bother using anything else against unshielded targets.

I do suspect that the spells we think of as instant are actually very fast invisible missiles - this would account both for the fact that one aims them with a wand, and for the fact that the likes of Quirrell can sneeze away spells which have no visible missiles.

comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T01:42:31.417Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Are you assuming it can't be shielded against? That seems unlikely. And if you can catch your opponent before he casts any shields there are easier ways to kill someone.

Replies from: VincenzoLingley, Alsadius
comment by VincenzoLingley · 2012-04-13T05:43:10.078Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Are you assuming it can't be shielded against?

You would need to always have a shield up.

And if you can catch your opponent before he casts any shields there are easier ways to kill someone.

For example? Most purpose-built spells are in the form of a bolt that you have time to see and dodge.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T05:56:49.842Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You would need to always have a shield up.

Yes... this is a fact of combat. Not sure why you said this.

For example?

"Accio frontal lobe."

Or "Imperio, kill yourself."

Or for that matter "Obliviate."

Edit: Actually, I'm pretty sure Somnium is invisible. It doesn't kill immediately, of course, but that's easily rectified.

Replies from: gjm, VincenzoLingley
comment by gjm · 2012-04-13T14:16:59.139Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Accio frontal lobe

Might have the same sort of problem as partial Transfiguration has for everyone other than Harry: only works on a Whole Object and not on parts thereof. Your frontal lobe, or even your brain, might not be considered a separate object by whatever is responsible for making magic work.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-17T20:01:12.577Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Personally, I doubt that Charms and free Transfiguration are alike in that sense, but even if they are we have Word of McGonagall that it's possible to Transfigure just your skin or hair. Apparently human bodies are subdivided, according to the idea of Forms.

comment by VincenzoLingley · 2012-04-13T06:17:04.080Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yes... this is a fact of combat.

Not in what we have seen so far. IIRC, neither Quirrell nor Dumbledore have pre-cast shields in TSPE, which (IIRC) is the only piece of serious action by competent people in MoR. I don't remember canon well, but I would have noticed consistent pre-cast shields.

"Accio frontal lobe."

This is the same idea as hover charm.

Or "Imperio, kill yourself."

Imperio can be resisted.

Or for that matter "Obliviate."

No idea how obliviate works, so maybe.

But all 3 are spells with instantaneous effect. I think/agree that spells with instantaneous effect are overpowered. But the fact is that we haven't seen anyone use or mention such ways of killing, which makes me think that they must somehow be impossible. Hence the initial question.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T06:26:03.255Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

IIRC, neither Quirrell nor Dumbledore have pre-cast shields in TSPE, which (IIRC) is the only piece of serious action by competent people in MoR.

Funny thing about the combat in TSPE, we get this little digression:

The Auror was protected by a blue shimmer, it was hard to see the details but Harry could see that much, the Auror had shields already raised and strengthened.

Crap, thought Harry. According to the Defense Professor, the essential art of dueling consisted of trying to put up defenses that would block whatever someone was likely to throw at you, while trying in turn to attack in ways that were likely to go past their current set of defenses. And by far the easiest way to win any sort of real fight - Professor Quirrell had said this over and over - was to shoot the enemy before they raised a shield in the first place, either from behind or from close enough range that they couldn't dodge or counter in time.

And a little later,

Bahry had already swapped the harmonics on his shields so that his own stunner couldn't pass back through, already tilted his wand back into a defensive position, already raised his hardened artificial hand into position to block anything blockable, and was already thinking wordless spells to put more layers on his shields -

The man wasn't looking at Bahry. Instead he was poking curiously at Bahry's stunner where it still wavered on the end of his wand, drawing out red sparks and flicking them away with his fingers, slowly disassembling the hex like a child's rod puzzle.

The man hadn't raised any shields of his own.

Quirrell (and presumably Dumbledore) are on the level above where they have to worry about shielding against anyone but an equal.

And do I really have to go back through Self-Actualization and come up with the list of times the bullies and Tonks had pre-cast Protegos before they entered combat?

I don't remember canon well, but I would have noticed consistent pre-cast shields.

Yes, this is a change from canon. Mainly because magical combat was actually given some thought in MoR.

This is the same idea as hover charm.

Except a lot faster and with less expenditure of energy. Rather than bouncing someone off the ceiling- which seems difficult to do hard enough to instantly kill a wizard (who can survive a lot more blunt trauma than Muggles)- you just rip their brain out their eyesockets.

Imperio can be resisted.

As far as I know, the only word on that we have in MoR is "Powerful wizards are not so easy to Imperius," which leaves a lot of room for interpretation.

comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T03:53:35.603Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Other than Patronus 2.0, it is explicitly stated to be unblockable by people who would know.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T03:56:52.708Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I'm talking about Wingardium Leviosa.

comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-12T16:22:02.048Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I find it fascinating that both the logical HPMOR analysis of Tom and the spiritual/magical analysis found in other fanfics both say that his downfall was trying to split himself up - with tricks or soul-wise, respectively.

comment by johnswentworth · 2012-04-11T20:03:22.962Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I would like feedback on a theory.

First, some groundwork. Voldemort's first "destruction" as a result of Lily Potter's sacrifice does not seem right. Even if we accept that love and sacrifice somehow block the killing curse, she was trying to kill Voldemort when he killed her. That doesn't add up to burnt-out husk of Voldemort. Now, before I suggest a solution, you might want to consider alternatives for yourself.

I suggest that Voldemort was intentionally turning Harry into a Horcrux. There are at least two reasons for the burnt-out husk result. (1) Using a human as horcrux was probably experimental, and prone to disaster. (2) Voldemort's original body served as the human sacrifice to create the horcrux. There are many other possibilities, and the details are not critical. What matters is that Harry, as a horcrux, is at least partly a copy of Voldemort himself (thus the mysterious dark side). Interestingly, this means a copy of Voldemort grew up with a loving and supportive family.

Now for the important part: what the heck is Professor Quirrel up to? Acquiring political power for Harry seems to be high on his agenda. If Harry contains a copy of Voldemort, then acquiring political power for Harry is, in some sense, acquiring power for Voldemort.

Summary: Harry is (partly) Voldemort. Voldemort/Quirrel's plan (or at least one of them) was to make a copy, put it in Harry, and make Harry the new Lord.

The events of the recent chapters have provided significant evidence against this theory. Taking out Harry's best friends is not consistent with putting Harry in a position of political power, assuming that it was Voldemort/Quirrel behind the incident. But that's a problem regardless of theory. Professor Quirrel's obvious agenda is to put Harry in power. If he really wants to destroy Harry, why this agenda? Note that far less would suffice to make Quirrel look innocent in Harry's destruction. But if he really does want Harry in power, why remove his friends?

If someone else was behind it, who and why? Dumbledore should not be ruled out yet, although he doesn't have an obvious motive and he's putting up a damn good show if it was him. Lucius does have an obvious motive, but also put up a damn good show, and it seems overly clever for him. Postulating an unknown third party would take a lot more evidence to justify the increase in complexity and provide little predictive power, though it's not impossible.

So, three questions: (1) Any other evidence for/against the "Harry is the new Voldemort" theory? (2) If Quirrel was behind the attack on Draco/Hermione, what is his real agenda? (3) If someone else was behind it, who and why?

Replies from: Desrtopa, Velorien
comment by Desrtopa · 2012-04-12T00:19:55.785Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I suggest that Voldemort was intentionally turning Harry into a Horcrux. There are at least two reasons for the burnt-out husk result. (1) Using a human as horcrux was probably experimental, and prone to disaster.

Seems like a really good reason not to be the first to try it then.

comment by Velorien · 2012-04-11T21:04:52.174Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I suggest that Voldemort was intentionally turning Harry into a Horcrux.

For the central premise on which your theory is founded, you skip over this without giving any reason to privilege this possibility over others (such as "Voldemort wasn't intentionally turning Harry into a Horcrux"). It's hard to take a theory seriously when it skips straight from a central premise to discussing implications, without considering the state of the evidence first.

As an example problem, all other Horcruxes, both in canon and MoR, are nigh-indestructible magical artefacts. In fact, the only other MoR one was chosen for its utter inaccessibility to Voldemort's enemies. Yet here Voldemort is choosing a baby as guarantor of his immortality.

If Harry contains a copy of Voldemort, then acquiring political power for Harry is, in some sense, acquiring power for Voldemort.

Again, needs justification. If Harry is a Horcrux, this has not given Voldemort any form of control over him (not even the canon mind-link). Acquiring power for Harry only acquires power for Voldemort if Voldemort can control or manipulate Harry - and this he must accomplish without any aid of Harry's Horcrucicity.

But if he really does want Harry in power, why remove his friends?

In order to forestall their positive influence on his personality and make him more open to his own cynical worldview, and thus his manipulation.

Also, two "l"s in "Quirrell".

Replies from: None
comment by [deleted] · 2012-04-11T21:16:50.321Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Another reason to remove Harry's friends is to get rid of anyone that might be suspicious if Voldemort were to take Harry's place through possession or Polyjuice. Compare this to Noble Hero's behavior after returning from Albania: he avoids family and former friends, presumably to avoid being identified as Voldemort.

Replies from: drethelin
comment by drethelin · 2012-04-13T17:31:22.479Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Huh, this is actually super plausible and Harry is unknowingly making it far easier than it could be. By acting in adult-like and weird ways all the time, if Quirrell takes his place far fewer people would realize than if he was a regular boy. Though I think a form of possession is probably more likely than polyjuice based on the hassles inherent in polyjuicing someone for long periods.

comment by chaosmosis · 2012-04-18T00:00:40.793Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Quirrell is reading Hermione's mind and manipulating her during their conversation at the end of 84.

"But you don't have to be a hero, Miss Granger," said Professor Quirrell. "You can stop anytime you please."

That idea...

...had occurred to her before, several times over the last two days.

And also:

Whatever else you imagine of me, I swear that if you asked me to see you safely in Beauxbatons, I would do all in my power to convey you there."

"I can't just -" Hermione said.

"But you can, Miss Granger." Now the pale blue eyes watched her intently. "Whatever you wish to make of your life, you cannot attain it at Hogwarts, not anymore. This place is ruined for you now, even leaving aside all other threats. Simply ask Harry Potter to command you to go to Beauxbatons and live out your life in peace. If you stay here, he is your master in the eyes of Britain and its laws!"

She hadn't even been thinking about that, it paled so much in comparison to being eaten by Dementors; it had been important to her before, but now it all seemed childish, unimportant, pointless, so why were her eyes burning?

"And if that fails to move you, Miss Granger, consider also that Mr. Potter has, just today at lunchtime, threatened Lucius Malfoy, Albus Dumbledore, and the entire Wizengamot because he cannot think sensibly when something threatens to take you from him. Are you not frightened of what he will do next?"

It made sense. Terrible sense. Dreadful awful sense.

It made too much sense -

She couldn't have described it in words, what triggered the realization, unless it was the sheer pressure that the Defense Professor was exerting on her.

That if the Defense Professor was behind this whole thing - then Professor Quirrell had done it all just to get her out of the way of his plans for Harry.

Without any conscious decision, she shifted her weight to the other foot, her body moving away from the Defense Professor -

"So you think I am the one responsible?" said Professor Quirrell.

He stares at her, and plucks thoughts out of her head to persuade her, and her eyes start burning (maybe she's not blinking or something, or EY is adding that as a side effect of legimancy, or it's just to draw our attention to the eye contact), and the instant she decides he's responsible he echoes her thought. So that seems pretty obvious. I now understand why EY thinks that we're bad at reading clues, I've read that chapter about three times and this is the first time I've picked up on it.

Also, I'd like to have said that he stopped manipulating her right after she broke eye contact, but it never explicitly says where she breaks eye contact. I would assume that she broke eye contact when she stepped away from him though, that seems more natural and is how the scene goes down when I imagine it inside my head.

Replies from: ArisKatsaris
comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-18T00:41:57.012Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

the instant she decides he's responsible he echoes her thought

No, he echoes her thought the instant she physically reacts to move away from him. NOT the "instant she decides". Keep the facts straight, please.

We've already been told that common sense is often mistaken for Legimancy. This event doesn't require reading her mind, it just requires reading her body language.

, and her eyes start burning (maybe she's not blinking or something, or EY is adding that as a side effect of legimancy, or it's just to draw our attention to the eye contact

Eyes burning has never been mentioned as a side-effect of Legimancy previously, as far as I can remember -- so I don't see how you can use it as evidence in favour of Legimancy. Eyes burning seems more likely to be indicative of someone who's about to cry.

Replies from: chaosmosis
comment by chaosmosis · 2012-04-18T01:06:56.295Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I feel like your post is a bit snippy and that your tone and the negative karma you gave are not warranted.

I should have phrased it differently, but it's not body language, it's Legimancy.

There are many possible reasons that she could have taken a step back. That she stepped away from Quirrell in no way mandates that she's distrusting Quirrell, it could be many other things. There's also many possible reasons she could distrust him. Him naming the exact thought that she had almost immediately after she stepped away from him seems improbable. Quirrell is an idiot if he jumped to the conclusion that she thought he was responsible just because she stepped away from him, that conclusion only makes sense in the context of the information in Hermione's mind.

We already know that Quirrell can read minds and there's decent reason to suspect that he would do so. We know that Legimancy requires looking someone in the eyes, and he's doing that. Additionally, if you'd read my comment more carefully you would have noticed that I gave many explanations for why her eyes might have been burning.

Means, motive, opportunity, no probable counterexplanation...

Replies from: ArisKatsaris
comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-18T01:20:05.713Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

and the negative karma you gave

I didn't downvote you - please don't assume that a criticism is always accompanied by a downvote.

That she stepped away from Quirrell in no way mandates that she's distrusting Quirrell, it could be many other things.

Name three.

Quirrell is an idiot if he jumped to the conclusion that she thought he was responsible just because she stepped away from him, that conclusion only makes sense in the context of the information in Hermione's mind.

When her first reaction to his sight was "Are you here to kill me?"

Him naming the exact thought that she had almost immediately after she stepped away from him seems improbable.

Except that he didn't name the exact thought that she had. The thought that she had at the moment was "If the Defense Professor was behind this whole thing then Professor Quirrell had done it all just to get her out of the way of his plans for Harry." -- in short she thought of his motivation. She had already thought of him as number one suspect just before she said "Are you here to kill me?" at the beginning of the encounter.

So he wasn't actually echoing any current thought. He just assumed she thought him responsible, after several obvious physical and verbal indications she feared him.

Quirrell is an idiot if he jumped to the conclusion that she thought he was responsible just because she stepped away from him

He would be an idiot if he didn't jump to that conclusion.

Replies from: chaosmosis
comment by chaosmosis · 2012-04-18T03:54:13.227Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I don't really feel like you're interested in genuine discussion. Your comments feel extremely disingenuous to me, as though you're arguing for the sake of winning (winning what? I have no idea). I don't want to argue with you if you're not actually going to evaluate the points I'm making. Monty Python's Argument Clinic: "An argument is an intellectual process, contradiction is just the automatic gainsaying of anything the other person says". That's pretty much what I feel that you're doing here. I have no obligation to continue this discussion.

If I'm right and he was mind reading, you get to feel like a moron. If you're right and he wasn't, I get to feel like a moron. (Yes, I'm being inspired by Harry's contract thing for Hermione criticism.) I think it's most probable though that EY doesn't even bother to specify which of us had the correct interpretation, so we'll probably just have to be content with our opinions. I don't really give a damn about trying to convince other people, I just want to get the information out there so that they can make a decision for themselves.

Bye.

Replies from: JoshuaZ, ArisKatsaris
comment by JoshuaZ · 2012-04-18T04:05:52.132Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Can you explain what part of the comments by ArisKatsaris that you found disingenuous? I'm not seeing it at all.

Replies from: chaosmosis
comment by chaosmosis · 2012-04-18T04:38:53.121Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Okay.

His first comment capitalized "NOT", which was kind of rude. He also chided me in a paternalistic manner "keep the facts straight please". On the negative karma: Since I can't prove it and we're disagreeing he has an incentive to lie which means I discard his response and stick to the other information I have (to rephrase, he would have said he didn't do it regardless of whether or not he did do it, unless I have some reason to trust him I would ignore his comments either way, I obviously don't have a reason to trust him since he has no possible positive incentives to tell the truth but has possible negative incentives to lie, and also I don't know him, and also see my next paragraph for more support). I know that he commented within five minutes of my receiving a negative karma vote. So I feel like he lied there. (People lie all the time, especially on the internet, so please ignore that gut level reaction that you need extremely strong evidence to believe that someone lied to you and actually rationally evaluate what I'm saying here, he is probably lying.) Apparently the above is wrong, but don't ignore the first two points please.

He nitpicked one of my comments below, which shows that he argues for the sake of arguing. (http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/bmx/harry_potter_and_the_methods_of_rationality/6dnr) Coincidentally, this one also has a negative reputation. And there's nothing within it that should be considered bad. Even if you think his flaw was worth mentioning (I don't, and in fact his objection is wrong, see my new comment below his comment), it's kind of odd that he would go around following all my comments and pointing out their flaws. That doesn't seem justified, it seems kind of like something a jerk would do.

Finally, I feel like if he was critically evaluating the issue he would be coming to a different conclusion. If you honestly feel that it's most probable that Quirrell wasn't reading Hermione's mind despite his ability and obvious incentive to do so and the fact that Yudkowsky said they were making eye contact, then I'm going to conclude that you are arguing for the sake of arguing. There is literally zero evidence to reject the mind reading hypothesis, his entire line of argument [/sarcasm] is pointing out that other possibilities exist, which does nothing to effect the probability of my interpretation. They do exist, but they're barely probable, especially in light of the very obvious mind reading hypothesis. All he's doing is making minor points to slightly undermine my point, he's not producing any points which are more credible than even my slightly weakened theory, so his arguments don't really matter.

If there are three people out there who actually feel that it's most probable that Quirrell wasn't mind reading, and who are willing to let me mock them when their theories don't produce evidence making them better than mine, then I'll bother to address his points in his last comment. If they're not willing to let that happen then they shouldn't have -negkarma'd my comment(s). But I honestly doubt that there are really three people out there who really think that, and I'm pretty sure that if three people actually do respond it will be because of biases or social pressures and not critical thinking.

But it was justified to ask for reasons, that makes sense and honestly probably makes my viewpoint much more credible, so have a cookie, and also a karma point.

Replies from: pedanterrific, aleksiL, ArisKatsaris
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-18T04:47:06.065Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Two things: one, that first downvote was mine, not ArisKatsaris's. It's still there, someone else just upvoted you.

Two: Quirrell's not stupid. He went through that whole Groundhog Day Attack rigmarole to avoid leaving detectable Legilimency traces; he would be a fool to try it now, after Dumbledore's specifically warded her against "hostile magic [...], or any spirit".

Replies from: chaosmosis
comment by chaosmosis · 2012-04-18T05:03:34.149Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Why did you downvote, that doesn't seem justified at all??

Two: Quirrell's not stupid. He went through that whole Groundhog Day Attack rigmarole specifically to avoid leaving detectable Legilimency traces; he would be a fool to try it now, after Dumbledore's specifically warded her against "hostile magic [...], or any spirit".

This is the first legitimate counterargument that's been made and we're seven layers in, that should tell everyone something.

I'll lower the probability of mind reading, but I still don't buy it. Hostile magic is obviously not the same as Legilmancy, that passage is talking about Dark Curses like Imperio. The Groundhog Day Attack argument makes sense, but I think Quirrell's already played his hand. Why would Dumbledore care and what would Dumbledore do differently if Dumbledore found out that Quirrell had looked into Hermione's mind? Also, if Quirrell succeeded in getting Hermione to leave, which he probably expected to do, then there would have been zero risk of detection.

I think textual clues outweigh extratextual extrapolation, too. The fact that the eye contact was specifically mentioned seems important, it was probably mentioned for a reason. I trust what the author writes more than what the commenters on this site write because EY doesn't always make characters perfectly consistent and rational because he's not God, and also because EY has knowledge about the book that we don't. It makes sense to privilege what the writer has written over a fan's opinion of what will probably happen next.

Even if I was mostly wrong I would still expect more argumentation and less group ritual display from a website like this. But I have way more -karmas than I do plausible counterarguments to what I'm saying, and in my mind downvoting should be used for punishing (or expressing disapproval of) immoral things rather than of mistakes, or things that aren't even mistakes but are just theories you don't believe in. That's lame.

When commenters downvote everything I write, even if it's mostly useful or prompts interesting discussions, it makes me want to leave this site. That's not a good thing for people purportedly trying to promote rationality. People should probably be more laid back about downvoting. You guys kind of suck.

Replies from: pedanterrific, ArisKatsaris, wedrifid
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-18T05:54:08.942Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Hostile magic is obviously not the same as Legilmancy

It's also not the same as the sort of LifeAlert wards Quirrell (claims that he) put on Draco, which we know (that Quirrell claimed that) Heh specifically forbade.

Why would Dumbledore care and what would Dumbledore do differently if Dumbledore found out that Quirrell had looked into Hermione's mind?

Well, for one thing, he might look at the Map again. (He suspects Voldemort is trying to influence Hermione's mind; the Defence Prof is caught trying to read Hermione's mind; it doesn't take a genius.)

The fact that the eye contact was specifically mentioned seems important

But it wasn't, though. "The pale blue eyes watched her intently" is not an unambiguous indication of eye contact.

in my mind downvoting should be used for punishing (or expressing disapproval of) immoral things rather than of mistakes

How astonishingly strange. (I don't agree.)

People should probably be more laid back about downvoting.

Yes. People should. (Hint hint.)

Replies from: chaosmosis
comment by chaosmosis · 2012-04-18T13:17:13.182Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Groupthink triumphs again. This is disappointing.

I'm done with this.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-18T22:05:36.074Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Groupthink triumphs again.

I've been looking at it, and I really have no idea what part of my comment you are referring to here. Which is mildly concerning. Could you clarify?

comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-18T10:20:20.361Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

This is the first legitimate counterargument that's been made and we're seven layers in, that should tell everyone something.

It tells me that you see far fewer counterarguments as "legitimate" than you should.

I think textual clues outweigh extratextual extrapolation, too. The fact that the eye contact was specifically mentioned seems important, it was probably mentioned for a reason.

As I mention in a comment above, Quirrel's intent gaze is also mentioned in ch. 70, in a situation where we're pretty sure no Legimancy occurred.

Even if I was mostly wrong I would still expect more argumentation and less group ritual display from a website like this.

You refused to accept argument, and you take offense at being corrected as if making you less wrong is a hostile act.

comment by wedrifid · 2012-04-18T06:15:06.232Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

and in my mind downvoting should be used for punishing (or expressing disapproval of) immoral things

Fuck that (ie. I viscerally disapprove of and hold in honest contempt this asserted social norm.) Moralizing gets annoying.

That's not a good thing for people purportedly trying to promote rationality.

ie. Not trying to promote moral purity.

People should probably be more laid back about downvoting.

You're the one getting worked up about it. Really, getting voted down isn't that much of a big deal and even if it was directly challenging it is a tricky social move to pull off.

You guys kind of suck.

So did your... nevermind.

comment by aleksiL · 2012-04-18T07:58:57.014Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Here's a vote for not-mind-reading. This seems deliberately written to suggest Quirrell's reacting to body language, not thought:

Without any conscious decision, she shifted her weight to the other foot, her body moving away from the Defense Professor -

"So you think I am the one responsible?" said Professor Quirrell.

comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-18T10:28:28.743Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

His first comment capitalized "NOT", which was kind of rude. He also chided me in a paternalistic manner "keep the facts straight please".

Rudeness isn't the same thing as disingenuousness. I was probably rude. But I wasn't disingenuous.

it's kind of odd that he would go around following all my comments and pointing out their flaws.

I don't expect you to believe me now, since you didn't believe me before, but since I was honest before, perhaps you'll hopefully have updated the level of my trustworthiness upwards: I didn't "follow you around". I was looking at the recent comments of the HPMoR thread, not your comments. I don't remember noticing who made that comment until after I had responded to it.

And I didn't downvote that comment of yours either. So far I've only downvoted two of your comments, and both of which contained false accusations against me specifically.

The fact that I corrected you again is just indicative that you're the one who's been recently making sloppy arguments and false claims all over the place. (no, Quirrel didn't echo her exact thought, no Dumbledore didn't speak of Tom Riddle in front of Harry, no Lucius Malfoy doesn't need to know of Voldemort's love of puns to take note of the word "riddle" when directly mentioned to him by Harry Potter)

comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-18T10:12:55.020Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I evaluated your arguments, I precisely showed how you were wrong in one case (his words didn't exactly echo her thought), how her eyes burning can't be treated as evidence of Legimancy if burning eyes are never correlated with Legimancy.

At this point the only specific argument you got left that I didn't address was that Quirrel is mentioned staring at her. So here, let me address that one as well: In chapter 70 (one of the Self Actualization chapters) Quirrel is again mentioned to be looking at her:

Then Professor Quirrell’s gaze shifted away from Tracey, he was looking at her, the pale blue eyes staring at her with an awful intensity— “Tell me, Miss Granger. Do you have an ambition?

But we are pretty certain there was no Legimancy done back there, because when her mind was later examined, Legimancy had only been used on her in January (back when Dumbledore communicated with her)

So tell me, chaosmosis, which argument of yours have I now failed to evaluate? Do you have a fourth suspicious sentence?

I'm downvoting this comment, btw, as you falsely accused me, as you ignored my own arguments, as you failed to show where I was supposedly ignoring your, as you don't indicate where I was being disingenuous, and as you didn't provide three of the many ways that Hermione might have had to step away from Quirrel.

comment by MichaelHoward · 2012-04-14T15:05:27.063Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Pottermore is out of beta.

Replies from: MichaelHoward
comment by MichaelHoward · 2012-04-14T15:06:41.142Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

...but you might be queuing forever to get in if you don't sign up quick.

comment by pleeppleep · 2012-04-11T04:16:12.415Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I would never have guessed that Quirrell was such a fan of Atlas Shrugged. Also, I'm slightly confused at how he's being portrayed in this chapter. Its been made explicitly clear that Quirrell is Voldemort, and Eliezer has expressed annoyance at people who fail to notice this. I understand that such a ruse would further his goals, but I can't imagine why false clues would be given to distract from a twist that everyone should see coming.

Replies from: pedanterrific, Bugmaster, Nominull
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-11T04:32:40.806Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The rot13 policy indicates your third sentence should be in cipher, in case you weren't aware.

Replies from: NihilCredo, pleeppleep
comment by NihilCredo · 2012-04-11T04:42:40.017Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

V guvax ur jebgr vg va gur grkg rdhvinyrag bs fubhgvat va fbzr rneyvre Nhgube'f Abgrf, npghnyyl.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-11T05:12:07.909Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yes. And then he retracted that statement.

Replies from: pleeppleep
comment by pleeppleep · 2012-04-11T21:50:08.202Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Its Eliezer's site and all, but doesn't it kinda go against seeking the truth to pretend someone never said something when they did? I mean, if J.K. Rowling makes a statement about Harry Potter and retracts it, does that make the statement a spoiler? Eliezer chose to give information to people in his notes. He can't really take that knowledge away. If anything, retracting a statement indicates that the statement is no longer valid, not that it is now a secret (this by the way would've been enough to answer my question, after which I would have gladly deleted my "spoiler" with no more than 3, rather than 30, downvotes). Rules are rules, but it just seems to me that it sorta goes against rationalism to hold to a rule just because someone says so, when it doesn't entirely make sense.

(This better not get downvoted like all my other comments here. I said nothing irrational or detrimental to any reader. I was making an honest case, and if anyone wants to provide a civilized response, I welcome them. We're trying to be rational here, that implies treating arguments with a degree of fairness)

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-11T22:03:35.248Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Look. It's very simple. The only response necessary is a gesture toward the main post:

Spoiler Warning: this thread is full of spoilers. With few exceptions, spoilers for MOR and canon are fair game to post, without warning or rot13. More specifically:

You do not need to rot13 anything about HP:MoR or the original Harry Potter series unless you are posting insider information from Eliezer Yudkowsky which is not supposed to be publicly available (which includes public statements by Eliezer that have been retracted).

If there is evidence for X in MOR and/or canon then it’s fine to post about X without rot13, even if you also have heard privately from Eliezer that X is true. But you should not post that “Eliezer said X is true” unless you use rot13.

I assumed, correctly as it turned out, that you weren't aware your statement fell under that category. It's just impolite that your response was something other than "oops, fixed." If you think the policy is misguided somehow, make a top-level comment about it.

It's your right to ignore the clearly-stated rules of these threads, just as it's our right to downvote you for it.

Replies from: pleeppleep
comment by pleeppleep · 2012-04-11T22:18:50.345Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I hadn't realized that Eliezer retracted the statement or that I was I was violating the rules. Someone said it should be coded, but nobody actually explained why I had broken the rules until after I went to sleep. When I awoke, I had lost half my karma and I was ready to fight about it. At this point I don't feel that I did anything wrong enough to warrant more than 5 downvotes on what was otherwise a reasonable query and I am sure as hell not going to change what I wrote now, rules or no rules.

Replies from: ArisKatsaris, thomblake, Percent_Carbon
comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-12T09:09:48.795Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

When I awoke, I had lost half my karma and I was ready to fight about it.
[...] and I am sure as hell not going to change what I wrote now, rules or no rules.

Too bad, agreeing to follow the rules of the thread, even if that means editing/rot13ing past comments, would have been the easiest way to get your karma back.

Edited to add: Some Quirrel-type lesson about learning when to lose, and the costs of needless escalation, seems appropriate.

Replies from: pleeppleep, Random832
comment by pleeppleep · 2012-04-12T18:25:04.091Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The initial shock of having lost so much karma was the only time I felt I really "lost" here. I notice that karma loss does more to infuriate than actually punish, and that it has the potential to hurt the site more than me, by nullifying my ability to reach a larger audience when I have something important to say. When I see a rule I don't like, I tend to ignore it, not that doing so was my intention here. My problem wasn't that I lost karma, it was that I was accused of wrongdoing which I did not believe myself to have committed.

(That said, you are probably right about learning to lose. One of my biggest problems has been that I find escalation of conflict fun after it reaches a point where I cannot possibly win. I'm very popular with authority, as you could probably guess.)

Replies from: TheOtherDave
comment by TheOtherDave · 2012-04-12T18:31:29.591Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I find escalation of conflict fun after it reaches a point where I cannot possibly win. I'm very popular with authority, as you could probably guess.

I would also guess that many of your peers don't much care for the escalation of conflict for its own sake, either.

Replies from: pleeppleep
comment by pleeppleep · 2012-04-12T18:53:35.238Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

no, just authority.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-12T18:55:40.414Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

(The people who downvoted you here are your peers, not authority.)

Replies from: pedanterrific, pleeppleep
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-12T20:17:03.961Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Okay, I'm honestly curious: why the downvotes? I thought I was being helpful.

comment by pleeppleep · 2012-04-12T19:16:36.886Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I consider a peer to be anyone I can beat in an argument when my logic is sound, regardless of other circumstances.

comment by Random832 · 2012-04-12T20:30:24.715Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

As far as he knew it was gone. I wouldn't have predicted that you (presumably) and thomblake make a habit of monitoring posts you downvote for changes, and I'm not sure if you're not being too optimistic to expect it of the others who downvoted.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon, ArisKatsaris
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-13T06:20:23.965Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

When I started here I went back and changed posts, hoping that downvotes would be replaced with upvotes. There was little reaction and I think it really wasn't worth the time.

Near as I can tell, the easiest way to get your karma back is to make a top level post repeating what other people are already saying in storytelling way. That may fall out of fashion at some point, though, so don't over invest your time in developing your storytelling and other people repeating skills, or whatever.

comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-13T08:39:37.122Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I wouldn't have predicted that you (presumably) and thomblake make a habit of monitoring posts you downvote for changes,

We were still in the discussion thread. I don't promise to stick around indefinitely, but he would have obviously chosen to mention he has now fixed it, same way that he chose to complain instead.

comment by thomblake · 2012-04-12T14:34:12.803Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I hadn't realized that Eliezer retracted the statement or that I was I was violating the rules.

In general, when someone says something is a spoiler and should be put in ROT13, the polite thing to do is to comply. You can then argue that it shouldn't be necessary, after the damage control is done.

If you're failing to do that, then the only recourse the rest of us have is to downvote the comment several times so that it is by default hidden from view. I will generally check back in a day to see if the spoiler has been ROT13'd, and reverse my downvote if it has.

The policy is listed in the post header, and the "more specifically" link says exactly what it is that should only be mentioned in ROT13.

And if you'd just bothered to go down to the local planning office, you'd see the policy was available for anyone to look at for the last nine months.

Replies from: pleeppleep, Random832
comment by pleeppleep · 2012-04-12T19:03:36.094Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I have never posted a spoiler before, nor had I intended to. I was not aware that confidence was to be given to the accusing party. I will keep this in mind in the future.

Replies from: ArisKatsaris
comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-13T08:30:47.059Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's not about who's the "accusing party", it's about limiting potential damage. It would have cost you only a few seconds to edit in order to rot13 or remove something you were told was spoiler -- an action which would have been of positive utility to us, of hardly any cost to you -- instead you preferred to spend a hundredfold times that amount of time in a negative-sum game, where we lose because the damn spoiler is still up, and you lose by losing all your karma, and we ALL lose by wasting time debating this back and forth.

Why don't we instead trade utilities, you by editing to remove/rot13 the spoiler, and I by removing my own downvotes of you? As could have been done from the very first post?

Replies from: Percent_Carbon, pleeppleep
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-13T09:12:58.826Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

a negative-sum game, where we lose because the damn spoiler is still up, and you lose by losing all your karma, and we ALL lose by wasting time debating this back and forth.

Not everyone is losing. For example, I've been enjoying this. I doubt I'm the only one.

Replies from: Viliam_Bur, pleeppleep
comment by Viliam_Bur · 2012-04-13T09:29:41.283Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

For example, I've been enjoying this. I doubt I'm the only one.

First time it can be amusing, but if such situation would repeat often, the amusement would fade and the costs would stay. So I cooperate with my future selves by resisting to act on my amusement.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon, pleeppleep
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-13T11:50:03.516Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

First time it can be amusing, but if such situation would repeat often, the amusement would fade and the costs would stay.

I can't tell if you're telling me I don't actually enjoy this or if you're threatening me with promises that time will deliver retribution.

I cooperate with my future selves

Things like this are why I can't convince my friends that you guys aren't a "system of religious veneration and devotion directed toward a particular figure or object." I don't know what you're saying but I'll bet p>0.75 there's a way to say it without sounding like a fucking time traveler.

EDIT: I mean to say that you use phrases that reference something common to some group you belong to, but uncommon to the public majority. I could say you sound like you come from fairy land or a phyg or outer space, but saying that you sound like you come from another time seemed the most apt until I noticed the phrase I criticized said something about your future selves. Maybe that's why I thought of time travel. I wasn't taking you literally.

EDIT II: Son of Edit: Phyg

Replies from: Viliam_Bur
comment by Viliam_Bur · 2012-04-13T12:54:54.610Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I'm threatening you that time may deliver more discussions about whether we should or shouldn't rot-13 the spoilers, how exactly the spoiler is defined, etc... and that can become rather boring.

And by the way, I am a time traveller, I just always move in the same direction with a constant speed.

Point taken, though.

comment by pleeppleep · 2012-04-13T14:54:23.870Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Actually, I would say that this whole affair was a net positive. It brought to light an issue that I'm sure some of us believe should be reformed. At this point I've gotten most of my karma back, and a lot of people have gained karma, so I'd say karma is up overall. Rationalists cannot agree to disagree, so when we argue correctly, we become stronger. I suppose I was briefly frustrated by this and its possible that some animosity sprung up here and there, but in the end we're all really friends here trying to talk about a story we enjoy, and this was undeniably amusing.

Replies from: Viliam_Bur
comment by Viliam_Bur · 2012-04-13T15:17:15.096Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

At this point I've gotten most of my karma back, and a lot of people have gained karma, so I'd say karma is up overall.

With regards to karma, most of the comments on LW have positive karma, very few have negative. So by mere participation in a long discussion people gain karma, unless they do something very wrong and refuse to give up.

This does not directly contradict what you said. Most of discussions are added value on LW. I just suspect that the karma does not reflect utility precisely; positive votes are given more cheaply than negative votes. (An exaggerated example: if someone writes something bad and gets -10 karma, and two people react with "stop doing this!" and get +5 karma each, the total balance is 0, but the total utility is negative.) Also chronical procrastinators like me probably have a bias against recognizing the opportunity cost of time spent reading comments, which makes us ignore comments that - judged strictly by the utility they give us - should be downvoted.

This is just a speculation about the nature of karma on LW. I don't think that you did something horrible here, and I consider the downvoting of the offending comment a sufficient fix. But next time be more careful, because on this site torturing a person for 50 years is considered appropriate to avoid 3^^^3 readers getting spoilers in their eyes. :D

Replies from: pleeppleep
comment by pleeppleep · 2012-04-13T15:25:07.312Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I would never have guessed that we had that many readers.

Replies from: Viliam_Bur
comment by Viliam_Bur · 2012-04-14T10:02:32.165Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It depends on a few assumptions:

  • there will be a Singularity, the human race will survive and greatly expand through the universe;

  • some of those future humans will be interested in history;

  • LessWrong site and HP:MoR will be among the important historical artifacts, and their contents will be preserved.

Of course each of these assumptions is open to discussion, but if you give non-zero probability to each of them, the inevitable logical conclusion follows.

(Also, I am joking.)

Replies from: pleeppleep
comment by pleeppleep · 2012-04-14T23:13:20.356Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Wouldn't transhumans with sufficiently modified minds probably have the cognitive ability necessary to guess the spoiler?

comment by pleeppleep · 2012-04-13T14:48:55.014Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I actually agree, Although it is rather exasperating to argue against a larger group of people.

comment by pleeppleep · 2012-04-13T15:10:27.214Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

(see my comment below for why this was actually positive-sum) We're kinda wasting time in the first place. I mean, we're debating a Harry Potter fanfiction. That's hardly the most productive use of our time. Your trade would be very reasonable if I valued my karma as much as I value leaving my comment. i apologize to anyone who might have the story ruined for them by the revelation at the end of the first book, from more than 15 years ago. I'm not going to use the rot13 because it would be putting symbolism over substance. I would be censoring myself to avoid what is only technically defined as a spoiler because spoilers are "bad" regardless of whether their presence does any real harm.

Honestly, does anyone here actually say, "Rot13! I better not read this question because this guy is going to tell me the entire third act"? If anything, Rot13 just makes me more curious, as does a simple "Spoiler Alert". I realized that this is only evidence for my mind, but even if someone on here as a deadly allergy to information they're probably going to know anyway by next week, my comment would barely hurt them, if at all. Harry traded a 100,000 galleons because the value he assigned to Hermione was exponentially greater. I would trade twice my current amount of karma because the value I assign to resisting absurd technicalities is exponentially greater.

comment by Random832 · 2012-04-12T14:58:54.200Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

If you're failing to do that, then the only recourse the rest of us have is to downvote the comment several times so that it is by default hidden from view.

A post only needs a score of -1 to be hidden.

The post currently stands at -12 points, in addition to ongoing punitive serial-downvoting of his (and my) further posts on the issue (most of which both did not mention the spoiler and were hidden under the hidden post).

Replies from: thomblake
comment by thomblake · 2012-04-12T15:05:32.392Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

A post only needs a score of -1 to be hidden.

By default, posts with -2 or less are hidden. (I just created a new account to check). I'm pretty sure the default used to be -4.

The post currently stands at -12 points, in addition to ongoing punitive serial-downvoting of his (and my) further posts on the issue (most of which both did not mention the spoiler and were hidden under the hidden post).

That is not relevant to anything I said. People can downvote for whatever reason they want, and should generally do so to mean "I want to see fewer comments like this one".

Replies from: Douglas_Knight
comment by Douglas_Knight · 2012-07-01T15:45:47.970Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

By default, comments with a score of -2 are visible and with a score of -3 are hidden. The preferences page is confusing because it uses "below" as a strict inequality. I believe this was the original default, though there may have been something else in the middle.

comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-12T09:05:37.252Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Are you suggesting there's some rule about what a post 'deserves' in terms of votes?

The actual mechanic is that scores or hundreds of individuals read each post. If they like it, they hit upvote. If they don't like it, they hit downvote. Some voters may think "this has enough upvotes already" and not upvote even though they like a post. Some voters may think "this has enough downvotes to collapse and I only get a limited number of downvotes myself so I'll save them for things other people aren't downvoting." But in the end it is mostly a reflect of the number of people that noticed your post and felt something about it.

You don't deserve 12 downvotes for this, that's just what happened.

Also, you can prevent accumulation of negative karma, if you're concerned about that, by retracting.

Replies from: pleeppleep
comment by pleeppleep · 2012-04-12T18:14:56.078Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I wasn't suggesting any rules, I was pointing out that this case seemed less than fair to me. In any case I suppose you're right.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-13T11:03:58.359Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I didn't mean to say you were suggesting particular rules.

If a thing is unfair, then it is not following the rules. It does sound like you believe or believed that there were some rules that should have been followed, but were not.

Your hypothetical rules might have been reasonable. If my vague speculation about roughly what those rule might have been is close, then there isn't a means in place on this board to enforce rules like that.

Replies from: pleeppleep
comment by pleeppleep · 2012-04-13T14:44:48.470Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

fairness means only following the rule that reactions should be proportionate to the initial action. I thought you guys were being silly by insisting that I had spoiled something everyone already knew. I thought you were all too quick to judge, and I felt that you became biased against my comments, even ones unrelated to the spoiler. I was not aware that I had broken any rules until I had nothing left to lose. An accused person has the right to know why they are being accused and to defend themselves before receiving a penalty. If this were not the case then the accusing party would wield far too much power to be trustworthy. I think I have made it very clear why I thought this was unfair.

Replies from: thomblake, Random832, Percent_Carbon
comment by thomblake · 2012-04-13T15:53:57.133Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

An accused person has the right to know why they are being accused and to defend themselves before receiving a penalty.

Irrelevant. Damage was done, and downvotes were used to route around the damage. Try not to take it personally.

Replies from: pleeppleep
comment by pleeppleep · 2012-04-13T16:06:20.220Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

i don't take it personally. He questioned my understanding of fairness. I answered him. I wasn't complaining, because I have not really been harmed. And downvotes did not solve the problem, as the "damage" remains. Do try to follow the conversation.

comment by Random832 · 2012-04-13T15:14:27.080Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

fairness means only following the rule that reactions should be proportionate to the initial action.

Of course - each person's reaction was to downvote your post once (ignoring for the moment the issue I've mentioned elsewhere of additional penalties for defending yourself - it's not really relevant in this case since that's theoretically a second 'initial action'). So, what you really mean is the collective response should be proportionate to the initial action. The way the voting system works creates a strange set of incentives - downvoting a post that already has a low score - or a person who already has low karma - does not cost any more (in terms of the cost to the downvote cap) than downvoting a post which is just on the visibility threshold.

Yet it's hard to see how this could be otherwise, particularly if both the downvote cap and karma scores need to be statically calculated.

Replies from: pleeppleep
comment by pleeppleep · 2012-04-13T15:22:22.112Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I've been thinking about that, but didn't want to say anything because its really not my site and I probably couldn't design a better one if I tried. But, yeah, I think the downvote system does warrant some reform, and I have no idea how that would work because it would vary from case to case. Maybe there could be some guidelines advising the community on which general infractions deserve a certain number of downvotes. It could be an interesting project, actually...

Replies from: Random832
comment by Random832 · 2012-04-13T15:34:35.111Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It was explained that the [well, a] main purpose of downvoting is to cause "bad" comments to be hidden from view, rather than to punish the writer. When I asked in another thread for an explanation of downvoting to very low scores under this model, it was explained that this is done to offset the risk of people voting up the posts after the downvoters are no longer paying attention to the thread.

One way to change the system that might mitigate these factors would be to allow for "soft" downvotes that don't subtract from the karma of the author of the post until the post gets upvoted past a certain threshold. Another would be to limit, reduce, or eliminate the contribution to karma of negative-scored posts (if it is limited to -2, this is equivalent to making all downvotes "soft" under the first proposal)

Replies from: pleeppleep
comment by pleeppleep · 2012-04-13T16:03:13.645Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

If the only function is to silence the writer, than the system doesn't make that much sense at all. Beyond the twenty points needed to prove trustworthy, karma only serves as emotional satisfaction. This is clearly intended as incentive be mindful of what you post. There would be no reason for people to accumulate thousands of points. Maybe there could be a system of likes and dislikes, as well as a system of up or downvotes.

Up and down are only to be used in regard to rationality, and they'll be limited. These votes would be on display to show whether or not a person should be trusted. There should probably be limits on how much of these a person can have.

The likes and dislikes should be used when someone says something either clever or amusing, or something like my comment which people might consider unhelpful, but does not reflect on my rationality. This would be displayed above the comments, but the total amount of likes a commenter has stored up will be private.

This way the emotional element will still be present, but will not interfere with a person's ability to add to our understanding of rationality.

Replies from: Random832, thomblake
comment by Random832 · 2012-04-13T16:16:36.287Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Downvotes you can make are limited to some multiple of your karma.

Replies from: pleeppleep
comment by pleeppleep · 2012-04-13T18:31:18.167Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I didn't know that..... How does that make sense?

Replies from: thomblake
comment by thomblake · 2012-04-13T18:51:37.942Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

How does that make sense?

The idea is mainly to keep new users from wrecking the site by downvoting everything. Since things tend to get upvoted over time, everyone who participates (and doesn't seriously piss off the community) tends to get a slow trickle of karma even if they don't post anything astounding.

It was a quick-fix sort of solution. The initial limit was equal to your karma, but I already had used more than 4x that many downvotes, so it was quickly changed to a limit of 4x your karma, since the intention was not to limit the downvoting power of existing users. I was annoyed because I had to change my voting policy, but I only had to gain a few hundred karma at that point to catch up. With the initial policy, I would have had to gain more karma than Eliezer had at the time, in order to downvote again.

Replies from: pleeppleep
comment by pleeppleep · 2012-04-13T19:24:47.329Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Why limit the downvoting ability of people who have already proven unlikely to abuse that power? Why not just limit downvoted until you reach a certain point, like the twenty karma rule for adding main posts?

Replies from: thomblake
comment by thomblake · 2012-04-13T19:36:47.024Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

As compared to that, the current system trades "Established users might get limited in downvoting ability at very large numbers" for "Someone might get the requisite 20 karma and then pillage the site".

It's a pretty good tradeoff, but I still think I like your system better.

comment by thomblake · 2012-04-13T18:45:36.563Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Yes, this sort of thing was proposed at the site's inception (I was a major proponent), but it failed to get off the ground. Mostly, the objection was that the UI would necessarily be confusing.

Replies from: pleeppleep
comment by pleeppleep · 2012-04-13T19:22:26.561Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The people who frequent this site are expected to read a sequence of posts explaining quantum physics, but a dual "like" system is too complicated?

Replies from: thomblake
comment by thomblake · 2012-04-13T19:24:08.188Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

inorite?!

comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-14T03:46:55.685Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

An accused person has the right to know why they are being accused and to defend themselves before receiving a penalty

Sorry, but this doesn't appear to be the case. If you do not possess the means to defend a right, you don't actually have it. In this case, no authority greater than your own had declared this right, and you have no expectation for any power to intercede on your behalf.

It's like Nerf Mob Justice in here.

comment by pleeppleep · 2012-04-11T04:41:03.206Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Not really. I got the idea from the author's noted and my knowledge of canon. Its entirely possible that I could be wrong about the existence of a twist, but it would kind of ruin the story. I mean half the time people on these threads refer to the character as "Qurrellmort". If that doesn't count as a spoiler, then I don't see how my post is any worse.

Replies from: Username, pedanterrific, wedrifid
comment by Username · 2012-04-11T05:19:01.124Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Eliezer has retracted that comment, and has stated that such retractions should be spoilered as they are no longer common knowledge.

We can't force you to ROT13 your original comment as well as this one, but you're not being fair to the spirit of the fanfiction and you should expect to take a karma hit if you don't.

Replies from: wedrifid, Random832
comment by wedrifid · 2012-04-13T09:31:52.479Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Eliezer has retracted that comment, and has stated that such retractions should be spoilered as they are no longer common knowledge.

Eliezer does not have the power to declare what is common knowledge. Common knowledge is an objective element of the world, not directly subject to authority. What he can exert power to enforce is that all repetitions of said common knowledge are censored.

comment by Random832 · 2012-04-11T13:43:27.711Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

That's not how common knowledge works. I was following the fanfic at the time, and I took that revelation as a statement that gur Cvbarre cyndhr guvat jnf vagraqrq nf n pbapyhfvir va-fgbel erirny. It doesn't matter why EY decided to take it back, or even that he did; it clearly wasn't intended at the time he wrote it as a twist to be revealed later, and it was revealed at the time for everyone who was reading it at the time, so why should new readers get a twist we don't get? He made his decision - and the tone IIRC was that he felt that people who didn't figure it out then were stupid - so he should live with it.

Replies from: loserthree, ArisKatsaris
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-11T15:48:30.584Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

why should new readers get a twist we don't get?

Because the author wants to give it to them.

He made his decision ... so he should live with it.

It is commonly held that making friends is easier when you keep judgements about what people should do with their lives and their possessions to a minimum.

comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-11T13:53:23.530Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

so why should new readers get a twist we don't get?

Why shouldn't they? Eliezer has edited lots of things in the past in order to improve the story according to his judgment -- e.g. removing a mention of the Philosopher's Stone at chapter 4, or editing Draco's words at chapter 7 to make them less vulgar.

What meta-ethical theory is your objection supposed to be indicative of?

Replies from: Random832
comment by Random832 · 2012-04-11T14:05:25.057Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

For one thing, there is a difference between editing the text of the story (and we don't seem to be forbidden from mentioning in cleartext what those edits were) and (EDIT turns out this part is wrong) --deciding that a scene is no longer meant to be the big reveal without (as far as I know) changing a word of the text.--

A general norm in forums discussing fiction is that all material published through normal channels (or all but the most recent) is treated equally in regards to the spoiler policy. This would include the entire fic and all authors notes, and not allow for any "retractions" to make something "no longer common knowledge"

My objection was also specifically to the use of the phrase "no longer common knowledge". Stuff cannot be removed from common knowledge by decree, it can only be removed by actually being forgotten by people. I was surprised by this subthread because as recently as this week it was mentioned on IRC with no-one saying anything about it being retracted. Is there a list somewhere of all edits and retractions?

Replies from: ArisKatsaris, thomblake, pedanterrific
comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-11T14:16:04.913Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

A general norm in forums discussing fiction is that all material published through normal channels (or all but the most recent) is treated equally in regards to the spoiler policy. This would include the entire fic and all authors notes, and not allow for any "retractions" to make something "no longer common knowledge"

Even granting that this is indeed the "general norm" in such forums (I wouldn't know), don't you think that when a thread in some forum states different rules, then it ought be respected?

Or do you feel that no thread, anywhere in the internet, should be allowed to utilize different rules than what you consider the norm?

Replies from: Random832
comment by Random832 · 2012-04-11T14:26:17.769Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

What I described as the norm has the distinct advantage that the set of things considered "non-spoilery" can never have things removed from it, only added. So people don't have to keep track of removals to know if they can still discuss something that was openly discussed in the past. Having a rule that does not have this property just doesn't work well. You end up with people ignoring the rule, people complaining about the rule, people getting punished for posting things they believed were okay to post... basically everything we've seen in this subthread.

Also, as an aside: Why don't comments have a proper spoiler tag, that you can just select text to see it? I've seen people use them in posts. Some of the resistance to rot13 may be the complexity of using it: it requires multiple steps and an external program.

Replies from: Username, ArisKatsaris
comment by Username · 2012-04-11T19:45:51.217Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I agree that we should have a spoiler tag.

One data point in favor of rot13 however: The extra effort it takes to decode is an incentive to try and figure things out on your own.

EDIT: I mean this in general, not just for HPMoR.

Replies from: Random832
comment by Random832 · 2012-04-11T20:11:52.857Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

This is not a point for using it for something that the majority of people posting in the thread already know. At that point it's just annoying.

EDIT: removed some stuff that's needlessly confrontational and redundant to a different post I made.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-12T09:16:30.725Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

This is not a point for using it for something that the majority of people posting in the thread already know.

If spreading spoilers hurts then its hurt is not limited to vulnerable people posting in the thread, but encompasses all vulnerable people reading the thread.

I doubt you have evidence that the majority of people posting in the thread are aware of the spoiler. I am certain you have only weak reasons to believe you know about all the people reading the thread. I lurked here for over a year.

Replies from: Random832, Random832
comment by Random832 · 2012-04-12T12:15:57.398Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Do the numerous positive-scored posts on this thread mentioning the spoiler (due to the sporadic enforcement of the rule) count as such evidence? If not, why not?

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-12T12:26:43.598Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I think the first step toward evidence is being evident. You can find out how to cleanly include a link in your post by clicking Show Help to the right and below the box you type your comments in.

When you find a post you'd like to link, you can right click on the little links of chain below and to the right of that post and choose to copy the link.

Replies from: Random832
comment by Random832 · 2012-04-12T12:48:10.846Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

From doing some searching, this thread contains at least nine positively scored comments I classify as mentioning the spoiler. here and here are representative examples.

Full list of the "nine": 6azo 6ar5 6amx 6al7 6as6 6all 6anm 6ait 6alr. Some of these are weaker than others, but the overall impression I have is that people have no problem writing posts as if it is a fact with no spoiler obfuscation.

Replies from: ArisKatsaris, thomblake
comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-12T13:05:19.644Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's not treating it a fact that's frowned upon, same way that it's not frowned upon to treat Hat&Cloak as Quirrel, or Dumbledore as Santa Claus - we don't ask that people treat their conclusions as if they're spoilers.

What's against the rules is to reveal the specific announcements that have been "unrevealed".

Is this too fine a distinction for you to understand? Here's a clue, none of those nine comments say anything about what Eliezer has or hasn't revealed in retracted Authorial Notes.

So give it a rest already.

comment by thomblake · 2012-04-12T14:42:00.374Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I have is that people have no problem writing posts as if it is a fact with no spoiler obfuscation.

That is correct. The policy does not require that those comments be obfuscated.

You need to obfuscate "Eliezer said X" and you don't need to obfuscate "X".

For example, I would have to obfuscate "Eliezer told me that the true source of magic is really a supercomputer in Atlantis" (not spoilered here because he didn't really) but I would not have to obfuscate an assertion / guess / assumption "the true source of magic is really a supercomputer in Atlantis".

The policy is very clear - if you don't think the policy is clear on this, please point to how the wording can be improved.

Replies from: Random832
comment by Random832 · 2012-04-12T14:48:31.635Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

So... no obfuscation is required to prevent people from noticing that if people are asserting "X" and not ever giving any reasoning for it or discussing how new evidence updates its probability, that their basis is probably "Eliezer said X" rather than it being an actual theory they have evidence for?

Or to prevent someone who doesn't want to be spoiled from inadvertently creating a trap for themselves by asking what the evidence for "X" is? (if the response is in rot13, "....oh. crap.")

I also don't think that not attributing the insider information is sufficient not to qualify as "posting insider information". The second paragraph of the rule therefore seems to contradict the first rather than clarifying it.

P.S. Even given that, I think the language "we are to understand" in post 6ar5 is still a violation because it implies a basis in an authoritative source.

Replies from: ArisKatsaris, loserthree
comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-12T15:04:34.718Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Your whole argument seems to be "if someone might potentially get spoiled, then by golly everyone should be".

We realize the rule can't prevent all spoilage. But it can reduce it, and (it being simple and specific) it's extremely easy to follow for anyone who is a non-jerk.

Replies from: Random832
comment by Random832 · 2012-04-12T15:10:59.960Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I don't think the rule right now prevents any spoilage. It is implausible that anyone learns anything from hearing "Eliezer said X" that they don't already have (including the inevitable conclusion that Eliezer must have, in fact, said X) from seeing everyone else treat X as unquestioned fact. The rule should, if anything, be expanded to require people to either rot13 those parts of these posts, go through the motions of treating it as a hypothesis, and at the very least avoid casually tossing off allusions to X when it's not central to what they're posting about.

P.S. "it's extremely easy to follow" of course it is, that's the problem - it's easy to follow because it is written to avoid inconveniencing people except for people who don't know the secret handshake. A real rule that actually had a chance of preventing people from being spoiled would impose inconvenience on people who actually matter and might get pushback from people whose karma you can't wipe out.

Replies from: ArisKatsaris
comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-12T15:14:10.747Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I don't think the rule right now prevents any spoilage.

Unless you argue that it actually causes spoilage (which is implausible), it's highly implausible that it's effect is exactly zero.

Such guidelines as you suggest are perhaps nice to be followed voluntarily, but obliging people to follow them would impose an additional cost and burden -- when it seems that atleast two people in this thread have a problem with the rule being as much of a burden on them as it currently is.

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-12T16:40:35.793Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Unless you argue that it actually causes spoilage (which is implausible)...

I'll argue that it causes spoilage.

Create a new account. On the day after a chapter goes up, post a complaint about someone saying that Dhveeryy vf Ibyqrzbeg and ask how anyone knows. Even if all the replies to you are ciphered, you will still know that people know. And if you were not already-in-the-know, you would be spoiled. And any non-posting lurker who has already seen this happen a half donzen times but was not in the know and did not decipher anything also has been spoiled.

The cipher rule makes people comfortable talking about spoilers, so they do talk about spoilers. But the rule doesn't prevent the spoilage that occurs because of the talk about spoilers, just what occurs because of the spoilers themselves.

Sensitization is complicated. That's one reason censorship is so popular.

Replies from: thomblake, Random832
comment by thomblake · 2012-04-12T18:44:36.768Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I'll argue that it causes spoilage.

I completely agree with the plausibility of your scenario, but think that on net it causes less spoilage than no policy at all.

My original stance was that spoily things shouldn't be talked about at all in the clear, but that was overruled by majority plus Eliezer. That policy resulted in much more time spent correcting / arguing about corrections than the current policy, so I agree it was worse on net.

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-13T00:54:29.339Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I ... think that on net it causes less spoilage than no policy at all.

I agree that there is almost certainly less spoilage with this policy than there would be with no policy at all.

comment by Random832 · 2012-04-12T16:43:33.857Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I refrained from making this argument (even though it is in essence the same as my argument that it prevents nothing) specifically because it only makes the case as compared to a general rule against posting spoilers, not as compared to a general rule allowing it. Is your contention that in the absence of any rule on the subject people would tend to self-censor spoilers (even this one, out of all spoilers)? I wasn't comfortable making that claim.

OH, COME ON! What'd I say HERE that earned a downvote?

Replies from: loserthree, thomblake, thomblake
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-12T16:58:33.681Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Is your contention that in the absence of any rule on the subject people would tend to self-censor spoilers (even this one, out of all spoilers)?

No. People do self-censor, but I'll be damned if I can tell when.

I'm arguing that the rot13 rule leads to spoilage in a way that a no-spoilers-full-stop rule would not.

comment by thomblake · 2012-04-12T18:54:48.911Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Is your contention that in the absence of any rule on the subject people would tend to self-censor spoilers (even this one, out of all spoilers)

The rule on Less Wrong aside from HP:MOR threads is that you shouldn't spoil anything unless you're really sure it's common knowledge, and anyone claiming it's not common knowledge is usually good enough evidence that it's not common knowledge. So you can say "C3P0 is Luke Skywalker's father" in a post about rationality, but if anyone complains then it should probably be changed to "Spoiler for Empire Strikes Back (ROT13): blahblahblah", and "last week's episode of Buffy" should always be concealed.

This rule is directly enforced by Eliezer when necessary; he is very anti-spoilers. Unfortunately, I don't think the policy is stated directly anywhere other than here.

comment by thomblake · 2012-04-12T18:40:57.315Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

OH, COME ON! What'd I say HERE that earned a downvote?

This.

Replies from: wedrifid
comment by wedrifid · 2012-04-12T18:50:00.209Z · LW(p) · GW(p)
OH, COME ON! What'd I say HERE that earned a downvote?

This.

More fun with pictures!

comment by loserthree · 2012-04-12T16:33:51.854Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Thanks for the mention. It's nice to hear that my contributions have been noted.

Just an FYI, I said almost the same thing in my very first post, "Mr. Hat-and-Cloak, who we are to understand is most certainly Quirrell" The difference is that you know a spoiler about the one, and don't know a spoiler about the other. In both cases there are sufficient in-text cues for me to speak as confidently as I do.

comment by Random832 · 2012-04-13T17:59:36.013Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

This is not a point for using it for something that the majority of people posting in the thread already know.

If spreading spoilers hurts then its hurt is not limited to vulnerable people posting in the thread, but encompasses all vulnerable people reading the thread.

The context of this post was "rot13" vs "a proper collapsing or color-based spoiler tag to be implemented in markdown", so this is not sufficient to make difficulty a point in rot13's favor, even if it ever was. The people who don't want to read spoilers don't have to view them, in the case of a spoiler tag. Choosing a spoiler tag over rot13 only harms people who A) are harmed by seeing a spoiler [and do not already know the spoiler] and B) have enough willpower to resist un-rot13ing it, but not enough to avoid selecting the text to view it without an external program. That sounds like a very tiny group.

comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-11T14:35:17.034Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Some of the resistance to rot13 may be the complexity of using it: it requires multiple steps and an external program.

If you have Firefox, install the LeetKey addon.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-12T00:15:10.679Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Chrome also has an extension (the one I use is just called 'rot13').

comment by thomblake · 2012-04-11T15:24:57.510Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Is there a list somewhere of all edits and retractions?

There is one relevant retraction. It comes up about once per discussion thread, and it is referred to obliquely in the header of every discussion thread. I know that you already know what it is.

Perhaps we should ROT13 the actual spoiler and stick it in the standard MOR discussion header, so that people stop missing the point.

It is a better story without that spoiler. People are very annoyed when it gets spoiled, with good reason.

Sure, the cat's out of the bag, but that doesn't mean it's necessarily clawing your face yet.

Replies from: pedanterrific, Alsadius, Random832
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-12T00:10:25.526Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's mentioned explicitly in the "more specifically" link to the original spoiler policy.

comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-12T23:36:40.735Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

What retraction are you referring to? I've heard of several, with none seeming more relevant than any other.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-12T23:45:12.627Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's mentioned explicitly in the "more specifically" link to the original spoiler policy.

Why am I repeating this?

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-13T01:54:29.848Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Why am I repeating this?

Because you're aptly pedantic?

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T01:59:59.045Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

It's a blessing and a curse.

comment by Random832 · 2012-04-11T15:37:11.068Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

"There is one relevant retraction."

I wasn't sure of that before you said it. There could have been another. You could be wrong. It could change tomorrow. This is not good policy.

(EDIT turns out this is wrong --If it's a better story without revealing that at that time, why did he write the chapter in such a way as he thought at the time it was an obvious reveal? Why is the text of that section unchanged when he decided not to reveal it after all - are people who can figure it out (as he assumed everyone would when he wrote it) not entitled to as good a story as people who can't?--)

People are very annoyed when it gets spoiled. "People". Not you, you already knew it. I am annoyed now. Who are these people?

Replies from: thomblake
comment by thomblake · 2012-04-11T15:46:15.784Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Why is the text of that section unchanged when he decided not to reveal it after all - are people who can figure it out (as he assumed everyone would when he wrote it) not entitled to as good a story as people who can't?

Figuring it out != getting it spoiled.

I was confident of that fact well before that section of the story. I would expect anyone with knowledge of canon to suspect a connection between the two characters.

But if you didn't get it spoiled, you get to test your hypothesis against every new piece of evidence, and it's a much more entertaining read.

If it's a better story without revealing that at that time, why did he write the chapter in such a way as he thought at the time it was an obvious reveal?

Because he was convinced that it was a better story without it, after he wrote that chapter and AN.

EDIT: (responding to unmarked edit above)

People are very annoyed when it gets spoiled. "People". Not you, you already knew it. I am annoyed now. Who are these people?

All of my friends either enjoy speculating about that fact because it wasn't spoiled, or are annoyed that it was spoiled. I was annoyed when it was spoiled for me, in the original AN.

Replies from: Random832
comment by Random832 · 2012-04-11T17:37:27.598Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

(responding to unmarked edit above)

Is it a norm on Less Wrong that there is not a "grace period" to make an edit within a few seconds after posting and before anyone has replied, to make minor corrections or to add something that the user forgot to say and just realized after submitting the comment?

(Also, did I really deserve -8 karma for my opinions on this issue, or is it just a matter of -2 not seeming so bad when you do it four times?)

Replies from: thomblake, ArisKatsaris, Percent_Carbon
comment by thomblake · 2012-04-11T20:17:24.450Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Is it a norm on Less Wrong that there is not a "grace period" to make an edit within a few seconds after posting and before anyone has replied, to make minor corrections or to add something that the user forgot to say and just realized after submitting the comment?

No

comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-11T18:13:48.089Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I haven't downvoted any of your posts, but it need not be just your opinions -- it may very well be the way you express them, either in terms of expressed hostility, or in terms of confusion/lack of clarity.

e.g. you've still not explained the meaning of the 'should' in "He made his decision - so he should live with it." .

But frankly, I'd wager it's just the constant aura of hostility you seem to exude towards the rest of us.

Replies from: Random832
comment by Random832 · 2012-04-11T18:39:49.340Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

My perception was that the "retraction" was an attempt to reverse the effect of the original author's note. This is obviously not actually possible. While EY probably knows this, I think he is overestimating the actual benefit of the retraction (and of the related decision to suppress discussion derived from that information in these threads).

The people the retraction is most likely to [arguably] benefit are people who started reading after it was removed and people who were reading it at the time but were inattentive to the author's note and any discussion that happened in the intervening period. My assumption is that there are not actually very many people fitting that description participating in these threads. This is weighed against by the cost of imposing rot13 on all discussion derived from that information and arbitrary downvote penalties on people who are unaware of the rule (as well as acting as the spark that sets off arguments like this).

I also think that it's possible that HPMOR discussion would be better served by a conventional forum rather than the reddit engine, as some others have mentioned, and that this could mitigate the spoiler problem, but that's mostly unrelated.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-12T09:12:44.355Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

So mostly you object to being told to go out of your way while discussing something you enjoy so that others can enjoy it the way the person who made the thing your discussing intended?

May I put those words in your mouth or should I wait for the foot to come out?

comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-13T11:11:01.550Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Is it a norm on Less Wrong that there is not a "grace period" to make an edit within a few seconds after posting and before anyone has replied, to make minor corrections or to add something that the user forgot to say and just realized after submitting the comment?

I'm not certain of what you're asking, here, but I just found out that you can delete a post if no one has responded to it yet. So in case that's what you were after, there's that.

Replies from: Random832
comment by Random832 · 2012-04-13T11:36:35.952Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

He said "responding to unmarked edit" as though there was something wrong with failing to mark a simple addition made 10 seconds after the original post. I was confused, since it was not my experience that anyone considered this a problem anywhere.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-13T11:56:45.871Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Oh. I edit mine when I make a mistake that makes them mean something else. Or when someone prompts me to.

But if you're adding information then it's useful to you to mark that you added something. That way the people that already pounced on your post notice there's something new there while they're pounding Refresh to see if you've responded to them.

comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-12T00:13:04.039Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

and deciding that a scene is no longer meant to be the big reveal without (as far as I know) changing a word of the text.

The text was changed; a short scene at the end was deleted for being too obvious.

The scene still means exactly what it did, it's just that a lot of people came away from that scene without figuring out the thing that was stated in the (now deleted) Author's Note, and as I understand it they expressed annoyance at having it thrown in their faces like that.

comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-11T05:13:00.018Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The Author's Note you refer to has since been retracted. You're ruining the twist for the people who haven't figured it out yet. As are all those other people, yes.

Replies from: MarkusRamikin, Alsadius, pleeppleep
comment by MarkusRamikin · 2012-04-11T07:58:25.530Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Am I the only one who thinks this is all silly? The cat it out of the bag, good luck pushing it back in. On the Internet, too.

comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-12T23:33:21.443Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I think this particular spoiler has crossed the Rosebud Line, and there's no getting it back. If you read this forum, or for that matter if you're like 2/3 of the English-speaking world and have read Philosopher's Stone, you know perfectly well who Quirinus Quirrell actually is. Getting fussy about it being a spoiler is ridiculous.

Replies from: loserthree, pedanterrific
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-13T01:57:21.856Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You should probably cipher a bit of that. This part, specifically:

jub Dhvevahf Dhveeryy npghnyyl vf

I mean, unless you intend specifically to not follow a rule while criticizing the rule. You might notice that seems to attract disapproval.

Replies from: Random832, Alsadius
comment by Random832 · 2012-04-13T18:02:53.479Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

My list of examples of people saying that (as violations of the rule) was specifically rejected, since none of them (just as Alsadius's post) mentioned [rot13]gung Ryvrmre unq fnvq vg.[/rot13]. You can't decide "rot13 has to be contagious to the information itself" here, and the opposite when denying that the rule is inconsistently enforced.

Everyone who has defended the policy on the grounds that it only means you can't say [what I rot13'd above] should vote his post back up.

EDIT changed tone

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-13T18:19:02.385Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I'm sorry about my tone

It may be difficult to take an apology like this at face value when you could just go back and edit the tone to something you wouldn't have to apologize for. You either put it in before you clicked 'Comment' the first time or you hit Edit to put it in.

Also, he said, "you know perfectly well." This communicates that the conclusion you would draw is the correct one. And that is spoilage.

Replies from: Random832, thomblake
comment by Random832 · 2012-04-13T18:44:25.201Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The rule is that it's only spoilage if you say both things in cleartext in the same post. Yes, I agree, it's a stupid rule, but it is the rule, and I was angry because that argument was used specifically against my claim that it's inconsistently enforced.

"edit the tone to something you wouldn't have to apologize for." I could only do so honestly if this did not make me angry. EDIT - done. I'm still a bit angry about it though...

Replies from: thomblake
comment by thomblake · 2012-04-13T18:54:39.892Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I could only do so honestly if this did not make me angry.

I wouldn't normally see that as worse than doing something while apologizing for it. This isn't Brockian Ultra Cricket.

comment by thomblake · 2012-04-13T18:24:11.691Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Also, he said, "you know perfectly well." This communicates that the conclusion you would draw is the correct one. And that is spoilage.

No, it isn't. I can say "You know perfectly well that the true source of magic is an advanced artificial intelligence" and that's not a spoiler.

Nonetheless, in context it was rude.

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-13T18:38:10.548Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Not quite the same as there isn't potential for spoilage there.

If I said, "If you're like 2/3 of the fans here and you've followed up on links to Methods conversations elsewhere, then you know perfectly well that gur nhgube gbyq n ohapu bs crbcyr ng n jrqqvat gung uvf zntvp flfgrz jnf qrgrezvarq ol cybg pbafgenvarq ol pbzcngvovyvgl jvgu jung ur nyernql rfgnoyvfurq." sans cipher then that would be spoilage.

No, that's a bad example. I'm retracting.

comment by Alsadius · 2012-04-13T02:52:00.287Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Clearly I was referring to the fan theory that QQ is Voldemort, or the fact that QQ is Voldemort in canon, not the fact that Eliezer said that DD vf Ibyqrzbeg(and if you need to rot13 to know what I'm saying there, kill yourself now).

For what it's worth, I hadn't read the Rowling books when I first read MoR, and finding out who Quirrell was was actually somewhat of a shock. I'm the target audience for this rule, so far as any such exists, and I think it's pretty dumb. I wouldn't just slap it on as a chapter title if I was the editor, but if you're reading this forum thread, certain things are assumed of you.

Replies from: loserthree
comment by loserthree · 2012-04-13T17:16:52.488Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Clearly

Not so, good sir. Do you call me a liar? I would challenge you on the field of honor, had I any.

For what it's worth, I hadn't read the Rowling books when I first read MoR, and finding out who Quirrell was was actually somewhat of a shock. I'm the target audience for this rule, so far as any such exists, and I think it's pretty dumb.

Is anyone logging anecdotes? We've got one here!

I wouldn't just slap it on as a chapter title if I was the editor, but if you're reading this forum thread, certain things are assumed of you.

Okay. That's cool. So how do you feel about following politely asked and reasonable requests that cost you only quick trip to rot13.com and are enthusiastically enforced by at least a handful of trigger-happy registrants of karmic disapproval?

If said under-thumbers weren't in play, would you obey the request of the author?

What's your price?

comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-12T23:43:07.402Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The spoiler is "Eliezer said X", not "X". This has been mentioned, repeatedly, by other users in this thread.

comment by pleeppleep · 2012-04-11T15:49:40.014Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Seriously? I'm ruining the twist?!! I'M RUINING THE TWIST?!!!?! The author's notes on this subject were up the last time I checked, and I didn't have any reason to think Eliezer would change that. If you check any other thread on this topic, you'll find dozens of people talking about Quirrelmort. How many of those are you going to downvote? There's no way anyone can hope to follow the conversation here without that assumption. One of the replies to my comment says how both Voldemort and Quirrell are characters of Tom Riddle. And its UPVOTED!!! I had no reason whatsoever to think I was spoiling anything for anyone and I think the response to my comment is totally unfair.

Replies from: ArisKatsaris, Username, thomblake
comment by ArisKatsaris · 2012-04-11T16:08:04.297Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

You've been told the spoiler policy. You've been asked to obey it. Expect to be downvoted if you don't obey the rules of the thread. Capital letters and multiple exclamation marks aren't an argument.

I don't like people who deliberately join a forum whose rules they don't have any willingness to follow, no matter how "unfair" they seem to them.

comment by Username · 2012-04-11T19:38:18.862Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The trouble was that you attributed the information to Eliezer, and said that it had been made explicitly clear. Commonly held speculation is one thing, insider information from the author is quite another.

If your comment was (non-rot13'd):

V jbhyq arire unir thrffrq gung Dhveeryy jnf fhpu n sna bs Ngynf Fuehttrq. Nyfb, V'z fyvtugyl pbashfrq ng ubj ur'f orvat cbegenlrq va guvf puncgre. Dhveeryy vf boivbhfyl Ibyqrzbeg, naq V pna'g vzntvar jul snyfr pyhrf jbhyq or tvira gb qvfgenpg sebz n gjvfg gung rirelbar fubhyq frr pbzvat.

then it could have been read as your own speculation, and that would have been absolutely fine.

comment by thomblake · 2012-04-11T16:47:21.088Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Seriously. If this was another forum, you'd have been outright banned by now for failing to follow the stated policy, even after repeated warnings. Please go elsewhere or follow the rules.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-12T09:21:16.373Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Please be aware that not everyone wants you to leave. Whether you conform on not, I hope you stay.

This is fantastic and I look forward to more of the same.

EDIT: downvote me back if it helps. I doubt the regulars will defend this post with their upvotes.

FURTHER EDIT: okay, apparently I was wrong. After a reasonable dip, the comment is headed back up, despite my "No, no. Keep fighting." encouragement.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T06:50:32.054Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

This is fantastic and I look forward to more of the same.

Curious: what are you referring to by this?

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-13T07:44:08.454Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

what are you referring to by this?

The bickering.

You, specifically, do it so much. Surely you do it because you enjoy it?

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T07:54:20.341Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

(ノಠ益ಠ)ノ彡┻━┻

Not so much.

Replies from: Percent_Carbon
comment by Percent_Carbon · 2012-04-13T11:31:14.522Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Aw. That's like learning that the reason Mulder and Scully have such great chemistry is that David Duchovny and Gillian Anderson can't stand each other.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-14T22:18:56.084Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

That... that isn't true, is it?

comment by wedrifid · 2012-04-13T09:41:34.209Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I have systematically upvoted the last two pages of your comments. After 14 pages of "Quirrelmort" and personal declarations from the author anyone - including Eliezer - who wants to pretend that the speculative kinship is not already a sufficiently thoroughly disseminated meme is being silly.

The accusations that pleeppleep is "not being fair to the spirit of the fanfiction" that I see in the children comments frankly disgust me. Is the "spirit of the fanfiction" playing "Simon Says" or is said spirit just inconsistent and controlling?

It is enough to acknowledge that "Quirrelmort" is no longer the Word of God.

Replies from: pedanterrific, pleeppleep
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T20:33:06.703Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Would you change your mind if I dug up links to the two times in the last two weeks that someone on the LW discussion page asked why everyone was so certain that Q=V, clearly displaying that they didn't know the spoiler?

And just to reiterate, since pleeppleep is determinedly ignoring this fact despite being repeatedly made aware of it, the spoiler isn't "X" but "Eliezer said X".

Replies from: Random832, wedrifid
comment by Random832 · 2012-04-13T20:51:20.384Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Out of interest, and as an experimental test of the point I made earlier, what sort of responses did those comments receive?

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T21:21:12.676Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Here's one.

Replies from: Random832
comment by Random832 · 2012-04-13T21:27:55.529Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

My theory was correct: the policy did not prevent that user from being told the spoiler. You may say this is because it was violated, as of course it was, but what was the correct response?

"We can't tell you due to the spoiler policy"? "Ryvrmre fnvq fb va na rneyvre nhgube'f abgr gung jnf ergenpgrq"? Would either of those, or indeed any response, have resulted in that user not finding out about it?

If someone says something similar in the next thread, what would you have me do?

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T21:37:30.565Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

The same thing I did then: inform them that it is a spoiler, and give them the option to find out.

Replies from: Random832
comment by Random832 · 2012-04-13T22:19:50.794Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

But they already know that everyone believes Q=V. The spoiler is the fact that there is a spoiler.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T22:23:17.566Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

What I want to know is, why are you arguing about this with everyone except the person whose opinion actually matters? Just PM Eliezer and have done.

Replies from: Random832
comment by Random832 · 2012-04-13T22:31:38.206Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I was under the impression this was a community rule. People were certainly talking as if they believed in the logical basis for having the policy in order to prevent people from getting spoiled, rather than just doing what he says.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-13T22:38:14.680Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

If Eliezer unretracted the Author's Note I highly doubt anyone would argue to keep the policy.

comment by wedrifid · 2012-04-14T04:22:08.935Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Would you change your mind if I dug up links to the two times in the last two weeks that someone on the LW discussion page asked why everyone was so certain that Q=V, clearly displaying that they didn't know the spoiler?

No. That is, this does not provide information that surprises me and requires updating - it's 14*500 comments worth of common knowledge, not something that is completely universal.

The point is - this kind of reality editing is tacky and I'm never going to support vilifying pleep or anyone else for not getting behind it. If you go as far as to outright patronize people for not understanding something then it is just too late to pretend it is a secret.

Replies from: pedanterrific
comment by pedanterrific · 2012-04-14T04:42:13.086Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

If you go as far as to outright patronize people for not understanding something then it is just too late to pretend it is a secret.

See, I could've sworn I said

And just to reiterate, since pleeppleep is determinedly ignoring this fact despite being repeatedly made aware of it, the spoiler isn't "X" but "Eliezer said X".

Should I change that "pleeppleep" to "wedrifid"?

comment by pleeppleep · 2012-04-13T14:47:06.413Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

thank you so much! I've actually gotten back almost all my karma now, an I'm really sorry if you've lost any points defending me.

Replies from: wedrifid
comment by wedrifid · 2012-04-13T17:46:00.505Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

thank you so much! I've actually gotten back almost all my karma now, an I'm really sorry if you've lost any points defending me.

Don't worry those particular points went into battle never expecting to return. Sometimes you need to make them use force!

In this case I could never expect to change majority will but I could change your role from that of lone dissenter who should know better all along to a loser in a controversial policy change. Being a loser is a better role than being weird.

comment by Bugmaster · 2012-04-11T05:24:13.382Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Also, I'm slightly confused at how he's being portrayed in this chapter.

I'm not. It's easy enough to say that "character X is Y", but what does that mean ? The motivations of character Y in HP:MoR are very different from what they are in canon. Merely knowing the label "Y" tells you very little; the greater mystery is not what label we should apply to X, but what his goals are, and what actions he has already taken, or is planning to take, and what his overall grand design looks like. Everything we observe the character saying or doing is evidence that can help us expose this design. His canon counterpart's actions in the original HP books, on the other hand, are not.

comment by Nominull · 2012-04-11T04:27:10.193Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

If you understand that such a ruse would further his goals, what's left to be confused about? What is he supposed to do, not further them?

Replies from: pleeppleep
comment by pleeppleep · 2012-04-11T04:36:47.159Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Don't get me wrong, it makes for excellent storytelling and fits the character, but the effect is really weakened by the fact that we've been told the punchline. The chapter is written so as to give the reader the impression that Quirrell could turn out to not be Voldemort, which doesn't make any sense when its been made perfectly obvious that he is Voldemort. Of course Eliezer could go back on his word not to intentionally give false information regarding the story and have Quirrell really be just a misguided good guy, but that doesn't seem like something either the character or the writer would do. I love how Quirrell seems genuinely saddened by Hermione's apparent innocence while trying to manipulate her like a chess piece. He's about as complex a character as you could find in fiction and serves as a perfect antithesis to Harry's rational optimism. It would be a shame for that to be ruined.

Replies from: drethelin, Nominull
comment by drethelin · 2012-04-11T04:46:14.396Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

A large part of the point of Quirrel/Riddle/Voldemort in HPMOR is that he can assume any identity he wants to. His behavior being at odds with what you imagine a Voldemort would do is simply his deception going to a much higher level. He doesn't act like a Voldemort because he was never actually Voldemort any more than he is actually Quirrel.

Replies from: pleeppleep
comment by pleeppleep · 2012-04-11T04:50:28.775Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Where does that interpretation come from? It makes sense, but I'm curious. Also I think I was clear that such actions would fit the character. I included the possibilities that were out of character as examples to rule out certain explanations. My main grievance was with the way the chapter was written. It seemed like it was trying to trick the reader, which would be brilliant If we didn't all know the truth.

Replies from: LucasSloan, drethelin
comment by LucasSloan · 2012-04-11T04:58:01.792Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

I will say this much, Mr. Potter: You are already an Occlumens, and I think you will become a perfect Occlumens before long. Identity does not mean, to such as us, what it means to other people. Anyone we can imagine, we can be; and the true difference about you, Mr. Potter, is that you have an unusually good imagination. A playwright must contain his characters, he must be larger than them in order to enact them within his mind. To an actor or spy or politician, the limit of his own diameter is the limit of who he can pretend to be, the limit of which face he may wear as a mask. But for such as you and I, anyone we can imagine, we can be, in reality and not pretense. While you imagined yourself a child, Mr. Potter, you were a child. Yet there are other existences you could support, larger existences, if you wished. Why are you so free, and so great in your circumference, when other children your age are small and constrained? Why can you imagine and become selves more adult than a mere child of a playwright should be able to compose? That I do not know, and I must not say what I guess. But what you have, Mr. Potter, is freedom.

comment by drethelin · 2012-04-11T04:56:52.671Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

He acts as different people in Azkaban, as Hat and Cloak (and/or Ghost Lady). He has a different face to every person he interacts with, from Snape to Harry to the public at the ceremony, and in this chapter presenting an entirely new, almost caring face to Hermione.

Replies from: Bugmaster
comment by Bugmaster · 2012-04-11T05:26:17.296Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

and in this chapter presenting an entirely new, almost caring face to Hermione.

Which makes perfect sense, since, via his dictionary attack (that took place in earlier chapters), he'd already learned that this is the easiest way to manipulate her.

comment by Nominull · 2012-04-11T04:39:43.180Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

When the audience knows something that the characters do not, this is known as "dramatic irony". HPMOR is not technically a play but I think the general principle still applies; we can enjoy watching Quirrell fool the other characters even as we are not fooled.

Replies from: pleeppleep
comment by pleeppleep · 2012-04-11T04:44:10.066Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

That is the best answer, but the way its written makes it look like its trying to fool the reader. Otherwise there wouldn't be clues like the fact that Quirrell never actually admitting to being the person Bones suspects him to be.

Replies from: bogdanb
comment by bogdanb · 2012-04-11T06:01:24.542Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

but the way its written makes it look like its trying to fool the reader.

Eliezer might be aiming further than just us. Future readers will probably not read the notes and LessWrong threads in parallel with the book, and he knows from past reactions that the Voldie hints are interpreted more ambiguously by readers than he intended to. So the style might be intended to be ironic for us and mysterious for future readers.