Voting Results for the 2021 Review

post by Raemon · 2023-02-01T08:02:06.744Z · LW · GW · 10 comments

Contents

  Results
None
10 comments
Well, that's a wrap for the 2021 Review. We had 238 people cast votes. 452 posts were originally nominated, of which 149 posts received at least one review. The LessWrong moderation team will be awarding prizes and assembling posts into the Best of 2021 Books / Sequences soon. But for now, you can look here at the raw results.

Results

Voting is visualized here with dots of varying sizes (roughly indicating that a user thought a post was "good" "important", or "extremely important"). Green dots indicate positive votes. Red indicate negative votes. You can hover over a dot to see its exact score.

0 Strong Evidence is Common Mark Xu
1 “PR” is corrosive; “reputation” is not. AnnaSalamon
2 Your Cheerful Price Eliezer Yudkowsky
3 ARC's first technical report: Eliciting Latent Knowledge paulfchristiano
4 This Can't Go On HoldenKarnofsky
5 Rationalism before the Sequences Eric Raymond
6 Lies, Damn Lies, and Fabricated Options Duncan_Sabien
7 Fun with +12 OOMs of Compute Daniel Kokotajlo
8 What 2026 looks like Daniel Kokotajlo
9 Ngo and Yudkowsky on alignment difficulty Eliezer Yudkowsky
10 How To Write Quickly While Maintaining Epistemic Rigor johnswentworth
11 Science in a High-Dimensional World johnswentworth
12 How factories were made safe jasoncrawford
13 Cryonics signup guide #1: Overview mingyuan
14 Making Vaccine johnswentworth
15 Taboo "Outside View" Daniel Kokotajlo
16 All Possible Views About Humanity's Future Are Wild HoldenKarnofsky
17 Another (outer) alignment failure story paulfchristiano
18 Split and Commit Duncan_Sabien
19 What Multipolar Failure Looks Like, and Robust Agent-Agnostic Processes (RAAPs) Andrew_Critch
20 There’s no such thing as a tree (phylogenetically) eukaryote
21 The Plan johnswentworth
22 Trapped Priors As A Basic Problem Of Rationality Scott Alexander
23 Finite Factored Sets Scott Garrabrant
24 Selection Theorems: A Program For Understanding Agents johnswentworth
25 Slack Has Positive Externalities For Groups johnswentworth
26 My research methodology paulfchristiano
27 The Rationalists of the 1950s (and before) also called themselves “Rationalists” Owain_Evans
28 Ruling Out Everything Else Duncan_Sabien
29 Leaky Delegation: You are not a Commodity Darmani
30 Feature Selection Zack_M_Davis
31 Cup-Stacking Skills (or, Reflexive Involuntary Mental Motions) Duncan_Sabien
32 larger language models may disappoint you [or, an eternally unfinished draft] nostalgebraist
33 Self-Integrity and the Drowning Child Eliezer Yudkowsky
34 Comments on Carlsmith's “Is power-seeking AI an existential risk?” So8res
35 Working With Monsters johnswentworth
36 Simulacrum 3 As Stag-Hunt Strategy johnswentworth
37 Elephant seal 2 KatjaGrace
38 EfficientZero: How It Works 1a3orn
39 Lars Doucet's Georgism series on Astral Codex Ten Sune
40 Catching the Spark LoganStrohl
41 Specializing in Problems We Don't Understand johnswentworth
42 Shoulder Advisors 101 Duncan_Sabien
43 Notes from "Don't Shoot the Dog" juliawise
44 Why has nuclear power been a flop? jasoncrawford
45 Whole Brain Emulation: No Progress on C. elgans After 10 Years niconiconi
46 Frame Control Aella
47 Worst-case thinking in AI alignment Buck
48 Yudkowsky and Christiano discuss "Takeoff Speeds" Eliezer Yudkowsky
49 You are probably underestimating how good self-love can be charlie.rs
50 Infra-Bayesian physicalism: a formal theory of naturalized induction Vanessa Kosoy
51 Jean Monnet: The Guerilla Bureaucrat Martin Sustrik
52 Seven Years of Spaced Repetition Software in the Classroom tanagrabeast
53 Bets, Bonds, and Kindergarteners jefftk
54 Coordination Schemes Are Capital Investments Raemon
55 The Point of Trade Eliezer Yudkowsky
56 Law of No Evidence Zvi
57 Discussion with Eliezer Yudkowsky on AGI interventions Rob Bensinger
58 Saving Time Scott Garrabrant
59 Intentionally Making Close Friends Neel Nanda
60 What Do GDP Growth Curves Really Mean? johnswentworth
61 The case for aligning narrowly superhuman models Ajeya Cotra
62 The bonds of family and community: Poverty and cruelty among Russian peasants in the late 19th century jasoncrawford
63 The Death of Behavioral Economics habryka
64 Why I Am Not in Charge Zvi
65 Politics is way too meta Rob Bensinger
66 Where do your eyes go? alkjash
67 Highlights from The Autobiography of Andrew Carnegie jasoncrawford
68 Lessons I've Learned from Self-Teaching TurnTrout
69 Grokking the Intentional Stance jbkjr
70 Agency in Conway’s Game of Life Alex Flint
71 Reneging Prosocially Duncan_Sabien
72 Experimentally evaluating whether honesty generalizes paulfchristiano
73 Birds, Brains, Planes, and AI: Against Appeals to the Complexity/Mysteriousness/Efficiency of the Brain Daniel Kokotajlo
74 Unnatural Categories Are Optimized for Deception Zack_M_Davis
75 Can you control the past? Joe Carlsmith
76 A Brief Introduction to Container Logistics Vitor
77 Core Pathways of Aging johnswentworth
78 Imitative Generalisation (AKA 'Learning the Prior') Beth Barnes
79 [Book review] Gödel, Escher, Bach: an in-depth explainer Sam Marks
80 Selection Has A Quality Ceiling johnswentworth
81 Book Review: A Pattern Language by Christopher Alexander lincolnquirk
82 Technological stagnation: Why I came around jasoncrawford
83 I'm from a parallel Earth with much higher coordination: AMA Ben Pace
84 Redwood Research’s current project Buck
85 What will 2040 probably look like assuming no singularity? Daniel Kokotajlo
86 Reward Is Not Enough Steven Byrnes
87 Coordination Skills I Wish I Had For the Pandemic Raemon
88 Dear Self; We Need To Talk About Social Media Elizabeth
89 Testing The Natural Abstraction Hypothesis: Project Intro johnswentworth
90 How To Get Into Independent Research On Alignment/Agency johnswentworth
91 Exercise: Taboo "Should" johnswentworth
92 Precognition jasoncrawford
93 Biology-Inspired AGI Timelines: The Trick That Never Works Eliezer Yudkowsky
94 Visible Thoughts Project and Bounty Announcement So8res
95 Unwitting cult leaders Kaj_Sotala
96 Zvi’s Thoughts on the Survival and Flourishing Fund (SFF) Zvi
97 RadVac Commercial Antibody Test Results johnswentworth
98 Curing insanity with malaria Swimmer963
99 Ngo and Yudkowsky on AI capability gains Eliezer Yudkowsky
100 Going Out With Dignity Tomás B.
101 Social behavior curves, equilibria, and radicalism Eric Neyman
102 The feeling of breaking an Overton window AnnaSalamon
103 The Coordination Frontier: Sequence Intro Raemon
104 The Telephone Theorem: Information At A Distance Is Mediated By Deterministic Constraints johnswentworth
105 Fixing The Good Regulator Theorem johnswentworth
106 Soares, Tallinn, and Yudkowsky discuss AGI cognition So8res
107 Where did the 5 micron number come from? Nowhere good. [Wired.com] Elizabeth
108 The Prototypical Negotiation Game johnswentworth
109 Three enigmas at the heart of our reasoning Alex Flint
110 Gravity Turn alkjash
111 Secure homes for digital people paulfchristiano
112 Killing the ants Joe Carlsmith
113 Choice Writings of Dominic Cummings Connor_Flexman
114 Shared Frames Are Capital Investments in Coordination johnswentworth
115 How do we prepare for final crunch time? Eli Tyre
116 AI Risk for Epistemic Minimalists Alex Flint
117 Kelly *is* (just) about logarithmic utility abramdemski
118 What's Stopping You? Neel Nanda
119 Testing The Natural Abstraction Hypothesis: Project Update johnswentworth
120 Building Blocks of Politics: An Overview of Selectorate Theory Yoav Ravid
121 The Case for Radical Optimism about Interpretability Quintin Pope
122 Coherence arguments imply a force for goal-directed behavior KatjaGrace
123 The Most Important Century: Sequence Introduction HoldenKarnofsky
124 Beware over-use of the agent model Alex Flint
125 Almost everyone should be less afraid of lawsuits alyssavance
126 Decoupling deliberation from competition paulfchristiano
127 Why did we wait so long for the threshing machine? jasoncrawford
128 The blue-minimising robot and model splintering Stuart_Armstrong
129 Tales from Prediction Markets ike
130 A non-magical explanation of Jeffrey Epstein lc
131 A few thought on the inner ring KatjaGrace
132 Deliberate Play jsteinhardt
133 Automating Auditing: An ambitious concrete technical research proposal evhub
134 Benchmarking an old chess engine on new hardware hippke
135 Transcript: "You Should Read HPMOR" TurnTrout
136 Concentration of Force Duncan_Sabien
137 Against neutrality about creating happy lives Joe Carlsmith
138 Rules for Epistemic Warfare? Gentzel
139 Morality is Scary Wei_Dai
140 Norm Innovation and Theory of Mind Raemon
141 Scott Alexander's "Ivermectin: Much More Than You Wanted To Know" Raemon
142 Bad names make you open the box Adam Zerner
143 Review of "Fun with +12 OOMs of Compute" adamShimi
144 Random facts can come back to bite you tailcalled
145 Coase's "Nature of the Firm" on Polyamory 1a3orn
146 The Upper Limit of Value Davidmanheim
147 Your Dog is Even Smarter Than You Think StyleOfDog
148 Robin Hanson's Grabby Aliens model explained - part 1 Writer

10 comments

Comments sorted by top scores.

comment by Yoav Ravid · 2023-02-01T15:07:03.322Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

How many posts were posted in total in 2021?

Replies from: Benito
↑ comment by Ben Pace (Benito) · 2023-02-01T20:13:52.989Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

3249.

(You can check by seeing the numbers next to the load more button on the all-posts page for 2021 [? · GW].)

Replies from: Raemon
↑ comment by Raemon · 2023-02-01T20:17:10.365Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Huh, this was approximately the number I'd have guessed, but I remembered you should probably filter out events and low-karma posts, and I'm actually fairly surprised that when you do that the number drops down to 1040:

https://www.lesswrong.com/allPosts?after=2021-01-01&before=2022-01-01&limit=100&timeframe=yearly&includeEvents=false&karmaThreshold=0 [? · GW] 

Replies from: Benito, Raemon
↑ comment by Ben Pace (Benito) · 2023-02-01T20:19:08.881Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

When I un-check "Show low karma" it goes down to 3233.

I didn't have "Show Events" checked.

↑ comment by Raemon · 2023-02-01T20:17:59.439Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Whoops, totally wrong, that was the shortform number.

comment by Ben Pace (Benito) · 2023-02-01T20:12:49.977Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Woop! Pretty good results. A few of my +9s aren't in the top 50, but most of them are. And well done to Elephant Seal 2, ranking higher than Elephant Seal 1 did.

comment by Double · 2023-02-01T19:26:55.710Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

4/8 of Eliezer Yudkowsky's posts in this list have a minus 9. Compare this with 1/7 for duncan_sabien, 0/6 for paulfchristiano, 0/5 for Daniel Kokotajlo, or 0/3 for HoldenKarnofsky. I wonder why that is.

Replies from: DragonGod
↑ comment by DragonGod · 2023-02-02T10:49:16.550Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

To state the obvious, Yudkowsky's writing style/rhetoric/argument annoys people.

comment by Raemon · 2023-02-06T02:22:11.284Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Man I find myself curious about whoever medium-downvoted "The Death of Behavioral Economics". This seems like it throws a wrench in some of the original underpinnings of LessWrong. I get not thinking it was all that important, but surprised someone would vote strongly against it.

Replies from: Unnamed
↑ comment by Unnamed · 2023-02-06T06:41:43.587Z · LW(p) · GW(p)

Presumably they agreed with Scott's criticisms of it, and thought they were severe enough problems to make it not Review-worthy?

I didn't get around to (?re-)reading & voting on it, but I might've wound up downvoting if I did. It does hit a pet peeve of mine, where people act as if 'bad discourse is okay if it's from a critic'.